
198 
FNUS54 KMRX 091521 AAA
FWFMRX

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...UPDATED
VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN
1021 AM EST WED JAN 9 2013

.DISCUSSION...
HIGH PRESSURE WILL GIVE WAY TO INCREASING MOISTURE AND A CHANCE OF 
RAIN TODAY THROUGH THE END OF THE WEEK. A SOUTHERLY FLOW WILL WARM 
TEMPERATURES TO WELL ABOVE NORMAL BY THURSDAY.  


VAZ001-002-005-006-008-101630-
JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-
1021 AM EST WED JAN 9 2013

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      THU          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      52-57 (+2)   40-45 (+5)   58-63        
RH % (24H TREND)      56-61 (+21)  93-98 (+6)   60-65        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     30           20           30           
PRECIP DURATION       1            1            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          10 AM        CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.06         0.01         0.04         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  3                         2            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3400                      3600         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 17                      S 10         
DISPERSION            20 GEN POOR               13 GEN POOR  

REMARKS...NONE.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER
50S TO MID 60S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN
THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE
60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS
IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID 60S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS NEAR 60.
SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ018-041-043-045-047-101630-
NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
1021 AM EST WED JAN 9 2013

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      THU          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      50-55 (0)    42-47 (+9)   57-62        
RH % (24H TREND)      57-62 (+23)  95-100 (+8)  57-62        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   SE  6 G15    
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      SE  8 G15    
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     30           20           30           
PRECIP DURATION       1            1            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.05         0.02         0.03         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  3                         2            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3300                      4200         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 17                      S 12         
DISPERSION            9 POOR                    15 GEN POOR  

REMARKS...NONE.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO
MID 60S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN
THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE
60S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND 50. HIGHS IN THE
50S TO UPPER 60S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S
TO MID 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE
40S TO UPPER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ072-074-101630-
TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-
1021 AM EST WED JAN 9 2013

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      THU          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      51-56 (0)    45-50 (+10)  57-62        
RH % (24H TREND)      50-55 (+9)   95-100 (+14) 58-63        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     S  6                      SE  5        
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      SE  8 G16    
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     60           40           40           
PRECIP DURATION       2            1            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.04         0.05         0.03         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3400                      4400         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 14                     S 15         
DISPERSION            4 VERY POOR               17 GEN POOR  

REMARKS...NONE.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID
50S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 20 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER
50S TO MID 60S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 20 MPH. 
.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN
THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE
60S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS
IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID 60S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS AROUND 50. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO MID
60S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS AROUND 40. HIGHS IN THE 50S.
NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ087-102-101630-
SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
1021 AM EST WED JAN 9 2013

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      THU          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      56-61 (+4)   46-51 (+7)   60-65        
RH % (24H TREND)      60-65 (+13)  95-100 (+10) 58-63        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     S  5                      SE  7 G18    
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      SE 10 G20    
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     70           50           40           
PRECIP DURATION       2            1            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.05         0.06         0.10         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  3                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    2800                      3800         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 10                     SE 21        
DISPERSION            6 VERY POOR               32 FAIR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE 40S TO MID 50S.
SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 20 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO UPPER 60S. SOUTH
WINDS 5 TO 20 MPH DECREASING TO 5 TO 10 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON. 
.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN
THE MID 50S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE MID
60S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 50S
TO UPPER 60S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE
LOWER 50S TO MID 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE
50S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

NCZ060-061-101630-
NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-
1021 AM EST WED JAN 9 2013

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      THU          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      56-61 (+4)   45-50 (+7)   60-65        
RH % (24H TREND)      59-64 (+12)  95-100 (+10) 57-62        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   SE  7 G18    
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      SE 11 G20    
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     70           40           40           
PRECIP DURATION       2            1            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.04         0.07         0.10         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3400                      4400         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 10                     SE 21        
DISPERSION            10 POOR                   39 FAIR      
MAX LVORI             5                         4            

REMARKS...NONE.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER
50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID 60S.
SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN
THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE MID
60S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS
IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID 60S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS AROUND 50. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO
LOWER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE
50S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-101630-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-
1021 AM EST WED JAN 9 2013

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      THU          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      52-57 (+1)   41-46 (+8)   60-65        
RH % (24H TREND)      58-63 (+22)  95-100 (+7)  61-66        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   E  5         
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      SE  5        
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     40           30           40           
PRECIP DURATION       1            1            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.05         0.02         0.02         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  2                         2            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    2700                      3000         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 14                      SE 13        
DISPERSION            14 GEN POOR               16 GEN POOR  

REMARKS...NONE.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO
UPPER 60S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN
THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE
MID TO UPPER 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS
IN THE 60S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 50S TO MID 60S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE
50S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-101630-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-
1021 AM EST WED JAN 9 2013

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      THU          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      53-58 (+2)   44-49 (+7)   61-66        
RH % (24H TREND)      58-63 (+13)  95-100 (+9)  62-67        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   E  5         
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     70           40           40           
PRECIP DURATION       2            1            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.07         0.04         0.04         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  2                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    2500                      2900         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 14                     SE 14        
DISPERSION            14 GEN POOR               20 GEN POOR  

REMARKS...NONE.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
40S TO UPPER 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE 60S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO
10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN
THE 50S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER
60S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 50S
TO UPPER 60S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S
TO MID 60S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 40S TO LOWER 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-101630-
CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-
1021 AM EST WED JAN 9 2013 /921 AM CST WED JAN 9 2013/

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      THU          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        CLOUDY       MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      55-60 (+4)   44-49 (+2)   62-67        
RH % (24H TREND)      63-68 (+14)  95-100 (+8)  61-66        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   E  7 G17     
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      NE  5        SE  8 G18    
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     80           50           40           
PRECIP DURATION       3            1            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.11         0.07         0.06         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    2200                      3200         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   S 10                      SE 22        
DISPERSION            9 POOR                    38 FAIR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE 50S. SOUTHEAST
WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO LOWER 70S.
SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN
THE MID TO UPPER 50S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS NEAR 70.
SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE
60S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 50S TO MID 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 40S TO LOWER 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

$$

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