
879 
FNUS54 KMRX 041944
FWFMRX

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST
VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN
244 PM EST FRI JAN 4 2013

.DISCUSSION...
CLEAR AND COOL CONDITIONS CAN BE EXPECTED TONIGHT AND SATURDAY 
MORNING...FOLLOWED BY INCREASING CLOUDINESS ON SATURDAY AFTERNOON AS 
A WEAK LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM MOVES TOWARD THE SOUTHERN APPALACHIAN 
REGION. RAIN CHANCES INCREASE SATURDAY EVENING...AND REMAIN THROUGH 
SUNDAY MORNING...BUT ANY PRECIPITATION SHOULD BE LIGHT. THE RAIN MAY 
MIX WITH...OR TRANSITION TO SNOW SATURDAY NIGHT...BUT NO 
ACCUMULATION IS EXPECTED IN VALLEY LOCATIONS...AND LESS THAN AN INCH 
IS ANTICIPATED IN THE MOUNTAINS.  


VAZ001-002-005-006-008-052045-
JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-
244 PM EST FRI JAN 4 2013

                      TONIGHT      SAT          SAT NIGHT    SUN          

CLOUD COVER           CLEAR        PCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      18-23 (-1)   43-48 (+7)   27-32        40-45        
RH % (24H TREND)      90-95 (+2)   32-37 (-18)  76-81        48-53        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   SW  5        
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      SW  6        
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         SHOWERS      NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            20           0            
PRECIP DURATION                                 1                         
PRECIP BEGIN                                    7 PM                      
PRECIP END                                      7 AM                      
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.03         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               4                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3800                      4000         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW  8                     W 22         
DISPERSION                         13 GEN POOR               38 FAIR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW
SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO UPPER 40S. EAST WINDS UP TO
10 MPH. 
.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. SOUTHEAST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S.
SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER
30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO UPPER 50S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER
30S. HIGHS NEAR 50. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER
40S TO MID 50S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ018-041-043-045-047-052045-
NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
244 PM EST FRI JAN 4 2013

                      TONIGHT      SAT          SAT NIGHT    SUN          

CLOUD COVER           CLEAR        PCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      17-22 (-1)   42-47 (+6)   25-30        38-43        
RH % (24H TREND)      80-85 (0)    32-37 (-13)  75-80        47-52        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   W  5         
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      W  7         
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         SHOWERS      SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            30           20           
PRECIP DURATION                                 1            1            
PRECIP BEGIN                                    7 PM         CONTINUING   
PRECIP END                                      CONTINUING   1 PM         
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.04         0.01         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               4                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3600                      4700         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 12                     W 25         
DISPERSION                         8 POOR                    42 GEN GOOD  

REMARKS...NONE.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS.
LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S TO UPPER 40S. SOUTHEAST
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. EAST WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S.
SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER
30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO MID 50S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID
30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO
10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID
50S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ072-074-052045-
TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-
244 PM EST FRI JAN 4 2013

                      TONIGHT      SAT          SAT NIGHT    SUN          

CLOUD COVER           CLEAR        PCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      18-23 (0)    42-47 (+4)   25-30        39-44        
RH % (24H TREND)      81-86 (0)    32-37 (-8)   75-80        42-47        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   W  5         
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      W  8 G16     
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         SHOWERS      SHOWERS      SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            20           30           20           
PRECIP DURATION                    1            1            1            
PRECIP BEGIN                       4 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   1 PM         
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.01         0.04         0.01         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               4                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3900                      4900         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 13                     W 28         
DISPERSION                         8 POOR                    41 GEN GOOD  

REMARKS...NONE.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW
SHOWERS. LOWS 19 TO 25. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH SHIFTING TO
THE NORTHEAST AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
.MONDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO 40S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 20S TO LOWER 30S.
NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO LOWER 50S.
EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER
30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID
30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO
10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID
50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ087-102-052045-
SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
244 PM EST FRI JAN 4 2013

                      TONIGHT      SAT          SAT NIGHT    SUN          

CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       PCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      19-24 (-1)   46-51 (+3)   27-32        45-50        
RH % (24H TREND)      84-89 (-4)   31-36 (-6)   76-81        41-46        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      W  6         
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         SHOWERS      SHOWERS      SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            20           30           20           
PRECIP DURATION                    1            1            1            
PRECIP BEGIN                       4 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   1 PM         
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.01         0.04         0.01         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               4                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3500                      4200         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W  9                      W 22         
DISPERSION                         10 POOR                   40 FAIR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER TO MID 20S.
NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTHEAST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 20S TO LOWER 30S.
SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTHEAST AFTER
MIDNIGHT. 
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO MID 50S. SOUTHEAST
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER
40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO
10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID
30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID
50S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

$$

NCZ060-061-052045-
NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-
244 PM EST FRI JAN 4 2013

                      TONIGHT      SAT          SAT NIGHT    SUN          

CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       PCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      18-23 (-1)   46-51 (+2)   27-32        46-51        
RH % (24H TREND)      87-92 (-9)   30-35 (-8)   75-80        36-41        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      W  6         
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         SHOWERS      SHOWERS      SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            20           30           20           
PRECIP DURATION                    1            1            1            
PRECIP BEGIN                       4 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   1 PM         
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.01         0.04         0.01         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               4                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3600                      4500         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 12                      W 23         
DISPERSION                         13 GEN POOR               44 GEN GOOD  
MAX LVORI                          4                         3            

REMARKS...NONE.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. NORTH WINDS
UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS
UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. EAST WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S.
SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER
40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID
30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER
50S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-052045-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-
244 PM EST FRI JAN 4 2013

                      TONIGHT      SAT          SAT NIGHT    SUN          

CLOUD COVER           CLEAR        PCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      18-23 (-1)   45-50 (+6)   26-31        42-47        
RH % (24H TREND)      86-91 (-1)   31-36 (-13)  78-83        45-50        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   SW  5        
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      SW  6        
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         SHOWERS      NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            20           0            
PRECIP DURATION                                 1                         
PRECIP BEGIN                                    7 PM                
PRECIP END                                      7 AM                      
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.03         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               4                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3300                      3600         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW  6                     W 21         
DISPERSION                         9 POOR                    38 FAIR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. NORTHWEST
WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTHEAST AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
.MONDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO UPPER 40S. EAST WINDS UP TO
10 MPH. 
.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. SOUTHEAST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S.
SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER
30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO
10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID
30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO
10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID
50S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-052045-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-
244 PM EST FRI JAN 4 2013

                      TONIGHT      SAT          SAT NIGHT    SUN          

CLOUD COVER           CLEAR        PCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      20-25 (0)    44-49 (+2)   27-32        43-48        
RH % (24H TREND)      84-89 (-2)   33-38 (-5)   78-83        45-50        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   SW  5        
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      W  6         
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         SHOWERS      SHOWERS      NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            20           20           0            
PRECIP DURATION                    1            1                         
PRECIP BEGIN                       4 PM         CONTINUING                
PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   7 AM                      
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.01         0.03         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               4                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3200                      3600         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW  7                     W 23         
DISPERSION                         11 POOR                   47 GEN GOOD  

REMARKS...NONE.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. NORTHWEST
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTHEAST AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
.MONDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. EAST WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. NORTHEAST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO MID 50S. EAST WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND 40.
HIGHS IN THE 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER
30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO UPPER 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE
LOWER TO MID 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-052045-
CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-
244 PM EST FRI JAN 4 2013 /144 PM CST FRI JAN 4 2013/

                      TONIGHT      SAT          SAT NIGHT    SUN          

CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       PCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      22-27 (+1)   46-51 (+2)   28-33        44-49        
RH % (24H TREND)      83-88 (0)    33-38 (-2)   78-83        45-50        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      W  6         
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         SHOWERS      SHOWERS      NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            20           20           0            
PRECIP DURATION                    1            1                         
PRECIP BEGIN                       4 PM         CONTINUING                
PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   7 AM                      
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.01         0.03         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               4                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3100                      3600         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W  7                      W 23         
DISPERSION                         11 POOR                   50 GEN GOOD  

REMARKS...NONE.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. NORTHEAST
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTHEAST
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS AROUND 30. EAST WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S.
SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER
40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER
30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE
LOWER TO MID 50S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

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