
288 
FNUS54 KMRX 272002
FWFMRX

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST
VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN
302 PM EST THU DEC 27 2012

.DISCUSSION...
HIGH PRESSURE BEGINS TO BUILD IN BRIEFLY OVERNIGHT IN ADVANCE OF OUR 
NEXT STORM SYSTEM. RAIN CHANCES RETURN ON FRIDAY AFTERNOON AS A COLD 
FRONT BEGINS TO PUSH THROUGH THE AREA...WITH PERIODS OF RAIN FRIDAY 
NIGHT THROUGH EARLY SATURDAY MORNING. COLDER AIR WILL ONCE AGAIN 
FILTER IN TO THE REGION ON SATURDAY ALLOWING FOR SOME LIGHT SNOW 
SHOWERS LATER IN THE DAY.


VAZ001-002-005-006-008-282115-
JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-
302 PM EST THU DEC 27 2012

                      TONIGHT      FRI          FRI NIGHT    SAT          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        CLOUDY       CLOUDY       
TEMP (24H TREND)      21-26 (-4)   43-48 (+12)  31-36        39-44        
RH % (24H TREND)      90-95 (-6)   41-46 (-29)  89-94        60-65        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   W  5         
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      W  8         
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         RAIN         SHOWERS      SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            20           100          70           
PRECIP DURATION                    1            8            2            
PRECIP BEGIN                       1 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.01         0.43         0.08         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               5                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3900                      4200         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 13                     W 18         
DISPERSION                         19 GEN POOR               36 FAIR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS
18 TO 25. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 20S TO UPPER 30S. NORTHWEST
WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS 17 TO 23. NORTHEAST WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHWEST AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN OR SNOW. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN OR SLIGHT CHANCE OF
SNOW. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S.
NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW. LOWS IN THE
MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO MID 40S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW. LOWS IN THE
LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 20S TO UPPER 30S. WEST WINDS UP TO
10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ018-041-043-045-047-282115-
NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
302 PM EST THU DEC 27 2012

                      TONIGHT      FRI          FRI NIGHT    SAT          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        CLOUDY       CLOUDY       
TEMP (24H TREND)      19-24 (-5)   42-47 (+12)  30-35        38-43        
RH % (24H TREND)      91-96 (-3)   41-46 (-25)  88-93        61-66        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   W  6 G15     
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      SE  5        W 10 G19     
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         RAIN         SHOWERS      SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            20           100          70           
PRECIP DURATION                    1            8            3            
PRECIP BEGIN                       1 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.01         0.44         0.09         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               5                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3900                      4300         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 10                     W 23         
DISPERSION                         10 POOR                   30 FAIR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.SATURDAY NIGHT...SNOW SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS 18 TO 25. NORTHWEST
WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO
15 MPH. 
.SUNDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS 16 TO 23. SOUTHWEST WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN OR SNOW. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN OR SNOW. LOWS IN THE MID
20S. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN OR SNOW. LOWS
IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. NORTHWEST
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW. LOWS IN THE
LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 20S TO LOWER 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS
5 TO 20 MPH. 

$$

TNZ072-074-282115-
TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-
302 PM EST THU DEC 27 2012

                      TONIGHT      FRI          FRI NIGHT    SAT          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        CLOUDY       MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      21-26 (-4)   44-49 (+10)  30-35        39-44        
RH % (24H TREND)      84-89 (-10)  37-42 (-12)  84-89        58-63        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   W  6 G15     
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      S  6 G17     W 10 G19     
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         RAIN         SHOWERS      SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            30           100          60           
PRECIP DURATION                    1            8            2            
PRECIP BEGIN                       1 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.01         0.45         0.05         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               5                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4000                      4600         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 12                     W 21         
DISPERSION                         9 POOR                    26 FAIR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS
17 TO 26. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO LOWER 40S. NORTH
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS 16 TO 25. SOUTHEAST WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHWEST AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN OR SNOW. HIGHS IN THE 30S
TO UPPER 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN OR SLIGHT CHANCE OF
SNOW. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO MID 40S. NORTH
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN OR SNOW. LOWS
IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO UPPER 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW. LOWS AROUND 19.
HIGHS IN THE UPPER 20S TO MID 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

$$

TNZ087-102-282115-
SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
302 PM EST THU DEC 27 2012

                      TONIGHT      FRI          FRI NIGHT    SAT          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        CLOUDY       MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      23-28 (-4)   47-52 (+8)   33-38        41-46        
RH % (24H TREND)      81-86 (-16)  36-41 (-7)   82-87        56-61        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   NW  5        
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      SE  5        W  9 G17     
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         RAIN         SHOWERS      SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            40           100          50           
PRECIP DURATION                    1            8            2            
PRECIP BEGIN                       1 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.04         0.45         0.03         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               5                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3600                      4700         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 12                     NW 18        
DISPERSION                         15 GEN POOR               41 GEN GOOD  

REMARKS...NONE.

.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS.
LOWS IN THE 20S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO MID 40S. NORTH WINDS
UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS 19 TO 26. EAST WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTH AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. HIGHS IN THE 40S. SOUTH
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN OR SLIGHT CHANCE OF
SNOW. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S. NORTH WINDS UP TO
10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN OR SNOW. LOWS
IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS OR SNOW. LOWS
IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 30S TO MID 40S. NORTHWEST
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

NCZ060-061-282115-
NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-
302 PM EST THU DEC 27 2012

                      TONIGHT      FRI          FRI NIGHT    SAT          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        CLOUDY       MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      22-27 (-6)   49-54 (+8)   32-37        41-46        
RH % (24H TREND)      81-86 (-15)  32-37 (-4)   85-90        56-61        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   NW  5        
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      NW  9        
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         RAIN         SHOWERS      SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            30           100          50           
PRECIP DURATION                    1            8            1            
PRECIP BEGIN                       1 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.02         0.46         0.04         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               5                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4100                      4800         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 10                     NW 21        
DISPERSION                         16 GEN POOR               45 GEN GOOD  
MAX LVORI                          3                         4            

REMARKS...NONE.

.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS.
LOWS IN THE 20S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO MID 40S. NORTH WINDS
5 TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER TO MID 20S.
NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. HIGHS IN THE 40S. SOUTH
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN OR SLIGHT CHANCE OF
SNOW. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S. NORTH WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN OR SNOW. LOWS
IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTHWEST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN OR SNOW. LOWS IN
THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO MID 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO
10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-282115-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-
302 PM EST THU DEC 27 2012

                      TONIGHT      FRI          FRI NIGHT    SAT          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        CLOUDY       CLOUDY       
TEMP (24H TREND)      20-25 (-6)   45-50 (+12)  32-37        41-46        
RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (+3)  42-47 (-23)  87-92        58-63        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   W  5         
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      W  8         
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         RAIN         SHOWERS      SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            20           100          60           
PRECIP DURATION                    1            8            2            
PRECIP BEGIN                       1 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.01         0.44         0.06         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               5                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3300                      4000         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 10                     W 18         
DISPERSION                         15 GEN POOR               40 FAIR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS IN
THE LOWER TO MID 20S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO
10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS 18 TO 24. SOUTH WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO
UPPER 40S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN OR SLIGHT CHANCE OF
SNOW. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S.
NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN OR SNOW. LOWS
IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. WEST WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN OR SNOW. LOWS IN
THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO LOWER 40S. WEST WINDS UP TO
10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-282115-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-
302 PM EST THU DEC 27 2012

                      TONIGHT      FRI          FRI NIGHT    SAT          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        CLOUDY       MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      24-29 (-1)   45-50 (+9)   33-38        42-47        
RH % (24H TREND)      86-91 (-4)   42-47 (-14)  83-88        58-63        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   NW  5        
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      W  8         
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         RAIN         SHOWERS      SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            40           100          40           
PRECIP DURATION                    1            8            1            
PRECIP BEGIN                       1 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.04         0.40         0.03         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               4                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3100                      4200         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 14                     W 16         
DISPERSION                         22 FAIR                   42 GEN GOOD  

REMARKS...NONE.

.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS.
LOWS IN THE 20S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO LOWER 40S. NORTH
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER TO MID 20S.
SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. HIGHS IN THE 40S.
SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN OR SLIGHT CHANCE OF
SNOW. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO UPPER 40S. NORTH
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN OR SNOW. LOWS
IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. WEST WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN OR SNOW. LOWS IN
THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO MID 40S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-282115-
CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-
302 PM EST THU DEC 27 2012 /202 PM CST THU DEC 27 2012/

                      TONIGHT      FRI          FRI NIGHT    SAT          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        CLOUDY       MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      25-30 (0)    46-51 (+8)   34-39        43-48        
RH % (24H TREND)      84-89 (-9)   42-47 (-9)   80-85        54-59        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   NW  6        
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      W  9 G17     
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         RAIN         SHOWERS      SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            60           100          30           
PRECIP DURATION                    2            8            1            
PRECIP BEGIN                       1 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   7 PM         
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.12         0.35         0.02         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               3                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3000                      4400         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 13                     NW 18        
DISPERSION                         21 FAIR                   52 GEN GOOD  

REMARKS...NONE.

.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. NORTHWEST
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. NORTH
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. EAST WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTH AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S.
SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S.
HIGHS IN THE 40S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE
UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS OR SNOW. LOWS
IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO UPPER 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP
TO 10 MPH. 

$$

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