
140 
FNUS54 KMRX 260942
FWFMRX

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST
VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN
442 AM EST WED DEC 26 2012

.DISCUSSION...
A STRONG LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL IMPACT THE SOUTHERN APPALACHIANS 
TODAY AND TONIGHT. THE TIGHT PRESSURE GRADIENT AROUND THIS SYSTEM 
WILL PRODUCE DAMAGING MOUNTAIN WINDS THROUGH THIS AFTERNOON. IN WAKE 
OF A COLD FRONT...COOLER AIR WILL SPILL INTO THE REGION AND CHANGE 
RAIN SHOWERS OVER TO LIGHT SNOW OR FLURRIES BY LATE THIS AFTERNOON 
AND EVENING THROUGH TONIGHT. MOST AREAS WILL RECEIVE MINOR 
ACCUMULATIONS...BUT SOME AREAS ACROSS THE HIGHER TERRAIN MAY SEE A 
FEW INCHES OF SNOWFALL ACCUMULATION. 


VAZ001-002-005-006-008-271045-
JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-
442 AM EST WED DEC 26 2012

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      THU          

CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       MCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      41-46 (-4)   23-28 (-13)  34-39        
RH % (24H TREND)      61-66 (-7)   95-100 (+7)  60-65        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SE 14 G31                 W 10 G18     
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW 10 G20    W 11 G19     NW  8 G15    
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SNOW SHOWERS SNOW SHOWERS 
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     100          70           30           
PRECIP DURATION       8            3            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   11 AM        
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.46         0.10         0.01         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    2100                      3100         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   S 36                      NW 28        
DISPERSION            1 VERY POOR               25 FAIR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 20S. NORTHWEST WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTH
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY NIGHT...RAIN LIKELY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. EAST WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...SNOW SHOWERS OR SHOWERS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S
TO LOWER 40S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS IN
THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID 20S TO LOWER 40S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO
10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN OR SNOW. LOWS IN THE
LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO UPPER 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN OR SNOW. LOWS IN THE
UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S. NORTH WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ018-041-043-045-047-271045-
NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
442 AM EST WED DEC 26 2012

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      THU          

CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       MCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      40-45 (-7)   22-27 (-15)  33-38        
RH % (24H TREND)      61-66 (-1)   95-100 (+8)  56-61        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SE 17 G37                 W 13 G25     
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW 11 G23    W 15 G27     W 10 G21     
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SNOW SHOWERS SNOW SHOWERS 
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     100          70           30           
PRECIP DURATION       8            3            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   11 AM        
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.58         0.11         0.01         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    2800                      3500         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   S 37                      NW 35        
DISPERSION            0 VERY POOR               20 GEN POOR  

REMARKS...NONE.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. NORTHWEST
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO LOWER 50S.
NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHWEST IN THE
AFTERNOON. 
.FRIDAY NIGHT...CHANCE OF RAIN OR SNOW LIKELY. LOWS IN THE LOWER
TO MID 30S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...SNOW SHOWERS OR SHOWERS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER
30S TO MID 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS IN
THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID 20S TO LOWER 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS
UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN OR SNOW. LOWS IN THE
LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S TO UPPER 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN OR SNOW. LOWS IN THE
UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO MID 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ072-074-271045-
TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-
442 AM EST WED DEC 26 2012

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      THU          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      42-47 (-4)   22-27 (-18)  35-40        
RH % (24H TREND)      64-69 (0)    90-95 (+5)   46-51        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     S 16 G44                  NW  7 G17    
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW 15 G30    W 15 G32     NW  5        
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SNOW SHOWERS SNOW SHOWERS 
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     100          70           20           
PRECIP DURATION       8            3            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   11 AM        
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.31         0.12         0.01         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3100                      3600         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 35                     NW 23        
DISPERSION            0 VERY POOR               8 POOR       

REMARKS...NONE.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. NORTH
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO LOWER 50S. WEST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY NIGHT...CHANCE OF RAIN OR SNOW. LOWS IN THE LOWER TO MID
30S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY OR CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. HIGHS IN
THE LOWER 30S TO MID 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS IN
THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID 20S TO LOWER 40S. SOUTHEAST WINDS
UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN OR SNOW. LOWS IN THE
LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN OR SNOW. LOWS IN THE
UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S TO UPPER 40S. NORTH WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ087-102-271045-
SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
442 AM EST WED DEC 26 2012

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      THU          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      43-48 (-6)   23-28 (-20)  39-44        
RH % (24H TREND)      66-71 (-4)   83-88 (-11)  39-44        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     S 16 G38                  N  7 G15     
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW 13 G24    W 12 G24     N  5         
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SNOW SHOWERS NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     90           40           0            
PRECIP DURATION       5            1                         
PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM         CONTINUING                
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   7 AM                      
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.23         0.07         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    2100                      2800         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 32                     NW 22        
DISPERSION            0 VERY POOR               12 POOR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. NORTHEAST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. HIGHS IN THE 40S
TO MID 50S. LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTHWEST LESS THAN 10 MPH IN
THE AFTERNOON. 
.FRIDAY NIGHT...RAIN. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO
10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS OR SLIGHT CHANCE OF
SNOW SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO UPPER 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO
10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER
30S TO MID 40S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN OR SNOW. LOWS IN THE
LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTH WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN OR SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW
SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO UPPER 40S.
NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

NCZ060-061-271045-
NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-
442 AM EST WED DEC 26 2012

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      THU          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      44-49 (-5)   23-28 (-20)  40-45        
RH % (24H TREND)      66-71 (-3)   84-89 (-9)   37-42        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     S 15 G33                  NW  8 G16    
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W 12 G22     W 13 G23     NW  6        
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SNOW SHOWERS NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     100          40           0            
PRECIP DURATION       5            1                         
PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM         CONTINUING                
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   7 AM                      
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.25         0.07         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    2300                      2800         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 32                     NW 28        
DISPERSION            0 VERY POOR               12 POOR      
MAX LVORI             9                         5            

REMARKS...NONE.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. NORTH WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. HIGHS IN THE 40S
TO UPPER 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY NIGHT...RAIN. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. EAST WINDS UP TO
10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS OR SLIGHT CHANCE OF
SNOW SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER
30S TO MID 40S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN OR SNOW. LOWS IN THE
LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTH WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN OR SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW
SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 40S. NORTH WINDS UP
TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-271045-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-
442 AM EST WED DEC 26 2012

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      THU          

CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       MCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      43-48 (-5)   24-29 (-14)  36-41        
RH % (24H TREND)      57-62 (-7)   93-98 (+2)   54-59        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SE 13 G29                 W  9 G17     
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW 13 G24    W 13 G23     W  6         
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SNOW SHOWERS SNOW SHOWERS 
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     100          60           20           
PRECIP DURATION       8            2            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   11 AM        
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.41         0.07         0.01         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    1500                      2700         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   S 31                      NW 22        
DISPERSION            0 VERY POOR               23 FAIR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. WEST WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. LIGHT
WINDS BECOMING EAST LESS THAN 10 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON. 
.FRIDAY NIGHT...RAIN LIKELY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. NORTHEAST WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...SNOW SHOWERS OR SHOWERS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO
MID 40S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO
LOWER 40S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN OR SNOW. LOWS IN THE
LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN OR SNOW. LOWS AROUND 30.
HIGHS IN THE 30S TO UPPER 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-271045-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-
442 AM EST WED DEC 26 2012

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      THU          

CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       MCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      43-48 (-5)   24-29 (-17)  38-43        
RH % (24H TREND)      60-65 (-5)   86-91 (+2)   48-53        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     S 13 G27                  NW  6        
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW 13 G23    W 12 G22     LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SNOW SHOWERS NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     100          50           0            
PRECIP DURATION       8            2                         
PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM         CONTINUING                
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   7 AM                      
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.30         0.05         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    1300                      2500         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 30                     NW 17        
DISPERSION            0 VERY POOR               17 GEN POOR  

REMARKS...NONE.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. NORTH
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO MID 50S. SOUTHEAST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE MID
30S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY OR CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. HIGHS IN
THE 30S TO UPPER 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE
LOWER 30S TO MID 40S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN OR SNOW. LOWS IN THE
LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN OR SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW
SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO UPPER 40S.
NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-271045-
CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-
442 AM EST WED DEC 26 2012 /342 AM CST WED DEC 26 2012/

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      THU          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      44-49 (-6)   25-30 (-17)  40-45        
RH % (24H TREND)      60-65 (-8)   79-84 (-12)  45-50        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     S 14 G30                  NW  7        
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W 14 G24     W 12 G24     N  5         
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SNOW SHOWERS NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     80           20           0            
PRECIP DURATION       5            1                         
PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM         CONTINUING                
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   7 AM                      
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.20         0.02         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  3                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    1300                      2100         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 31                     NW 18        
DISPERSION            4 VERY POOR               14 GEN POOR  

REMARKS...NONE.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. NORTH
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. HIGHS IN THE UPPER
40S TO MID 50S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY NIGHT...RAIN. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. EAST WINDS UP TO
10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS OR SLIGHT CHANCE OF
SNOW SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S
TO UPPER 40S. EAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE MID 30S.
HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN OR SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW
SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S.
NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

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