
501 
FNUS54 KMRX 251937
FWFMRX

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST
VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN
237 PM EST TUE DEC 25 2012

.DISCUSSION...
A STRONG LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM MOVING THROUGH THE LOWER MISSISSIPPI 
VALLEY REGION...WILL QUICKLY SPREAD SHOWERS NORTHWARD INTO THE 
TENNESSEE VALLEY AND SOUTHERN APPALACHIANS OVERNIGHT.  STRONG 
STORMS...SOME POSSIBLY BECOMING SEVERE IN THE SOUTH...WILL AFFECT 
THE REGION THROUGH WEDNESDAY MORNING. 

THE TIGHT PRESSURE GRADIENT AROUND THIS SYSTEM WILL ALSO PRODUCE 
DAMAGING MOUNTAIN WINDS LATE TONIGHT INTO WEDNESDAY.  THE RAIN WILL 
CHANGE TO LIGHT SNOW OR FLURRIES FOR LATE WEDNESDAY AND WEDNESDAY 
NIGHT.


VAZ001-002-005-006-008-262045-
JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-
237 PM EST TUE DEC 25 2012

                      TONIGHT      WED          WED NIGHT    THU          

CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       CLOUDY       MCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      36-41 (-2)   47-52 (+2)   25-30        35-40        
RH % (24H TREND)      94-99 (-2)   60-65 (-8)   95-100       56-61        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  SE 20 G38                 NW 10 G20    
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     E  6         SE 11 G33    W 11 G21     NW  7 G17    
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      SHOWERS      SNOW SHOWERS 
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     100          100          70           30           
PRECIP DURATION       6            8            4            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   11 AM        
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.60         0.62         0.10         0.01         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               2                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 2500                      2800         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SE 44                     NW 24        
DISPERSION                         17 GEN POOR               15 GEN POOR  

REMARKS...NONE.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. NORTHWEST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 40S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN OR SNOW. LOWS IN
THE LOWER 30S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...RAIN LIKELY OR CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE
LOWER 30S TO MID 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS IN
THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 20S TO LOWER 40S. SOUTHEAST WINDS
UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER
30S TO MID 40S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW OR RAIN. LOWS IN THE MID
20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO LOWER 40S. NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.

$$

TNZ018-041-043-045-047-262045-
NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
237 PM EST TUE DEC 25 2012

                      TONIGHT      WED          WED NIGHT    THU          

CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       CLOUDY       MCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      37-42 (0)    45-50 (-2)   24-29        34-39        
RH % (24H TREND)      92-97 (-3)   59-64 (-3)   95-100       53-58        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  SE 23 G43                 NW 13 G28    
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SE  8 G20    S 13 G40     W 14 G27     W  9 G20     
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      TSTMS        SNOW SHOWERS SNOW SHOWERS 
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     100          100          70           30           
PRECIP DURATION       4            8            4            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   11 AM        
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.71         0.77         0.11         0.01         
LAL                   4            5            1            1            
LASI                               3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3400                      3500         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SE 45                     NW 31        
DISPERSION                         22 FAIR                   19 GEN POOR  

REMARKS...NONE.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. NORTHWEST
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO UPPER 40S. SOUTH
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW OR SLIGHT CHANCE OF
RAIN. LOWS IN THE LOWER TO MID 30S. SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...RAIN OR SNOW SHOWERS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 30S
TO MID 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID
20S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 20S TO LOWER 40S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO
10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO
40S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW OR RAIN. LOWS IN THE MID
20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO MID 40S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

$$

TNZ072-074-262045-
TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-
237 PM EST TUE DEC 25 2012

                      TONIGHT      WED          WED NIGHT    THU          

CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      40-45 (+2)   47-52 (+1)   24-29        37-42        
RH % (24H TREND)      92-97 (-2)   63-68 (-1)   95-100       43-48        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  S 21 G48                  NW  7 G16    
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SE  9 G26    SW 16 G29    W 14 G27     LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        SNOW SHOWERS SNOW SHOWERS 
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     100          100          70           20           
PRECIP DURATION       5            7            3            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   11 AM        
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.82         0.35         0.12         0.01         
LAL                   4            5            1            1            
LASI                               3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3700                      3800         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                S 36                      NW 21        
DISPERSION                         16 GEN POOR               10 POOR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. NORTH
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHWEST AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 50S.
SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN OR SNOW. LOWS IN
THE LOWER 30S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...RAIN OR SNOW SHOWERS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 30S
TO MID 40S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID
20S. HIGHS IN THE MID 20S TO LOWER 40S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO
40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW OR RAIN. LOWS IN THE MID
20S. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S TO UPPER 40S. EAST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

$$

TNZ087-102-262045-
SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
237 PM EST TUE DEC 25 2012

                      TONIGHT      WED          WED NIGHT    THU          

CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      43-48 (+3)   49-54 (0)    25-30        42-47        
RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (+1)  63-68 (-7)   95-100       36-41        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  S 19 G41                  N  8 G16     
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SE 15 G38    SW 15 G26    W 12 G24     N  5         
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        SNOW SHOWERS NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     100          100          30           0            
PRECIP DURATION       8            5            1                         
PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING                
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   7 AM                      
PRECIP AMOUNT         1.14         0.15         0.07         0.00         
LAL                   5            5            1            1            
LASI                               3                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3400                      3600         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                S 31                      N 20         
DISPERSION                         34 FAIR                   25 FAIR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. NORTHEAST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTH
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE MID
30S. SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...RAIN LIKELY OR SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. HIGHS
IN THE MID 30S TO UPPER 40S. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S
TO MID 40S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 30S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW OR RAIN. LOWS IN THE
UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S TO UPPER 40S. EAST WINDS UP TO
10 MPH. 

$$

NCZ060-061-262045-
NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-
237 PM EST TUE DEC 25 2012

                      TONIGHT      WED          WED NIGHT    THU          

CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      43-48 (+2)   50-55 (+1)   25-30        43-48        
RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (+1)  61-66 (-8)   95-100       33-38        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  S 18 G35                  N  8         
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SE 12 G29    SW 13 G24    W 13 G23     NW  5        
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        SNOW SHOWERS NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     100          100          30           0            
PRECIP DURATION       8            5            1                         
PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING                
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   7 AM                      
PRECIP AMOUNT         1.28         0.19         0.07         0.00         
LAL                   5            5            1            1            
LASI                               3                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4100                      4400         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                S 30                      NW 24        
DISPERSION                         45 GEN GOOD               42 GEN GOOD  
MAX LVORI                          5                         3            

REMARKS...NONE.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. LIGHT
WINDS. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTH
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE MID
30S. SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...RAIN LIKELY OR SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. HIGHS
IN THE 30S TO UPPER 40S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID
30S TO UPPER 40S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 40S
TO LOWER 50S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW OR RAIN. LOWS IN THE
UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. EAST WINDS UP TO
10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-262045-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-
237 PM EST TUE DEC 25 2012

                      TONIGHT      WED          WED NIGHT    THU          

CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       CLOUDY       MCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      38-43 (0)    50-55 (+2)   26-31        37-42        
RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (-2)  55-60 (-9)   95-100       51-56        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  SE 17 G36                 W  8 G17     
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     E  6 G16     S  9 G24     W 14 G26     W  6         
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      TSTMS        SHOWERS      SNOW SHOWERS 
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     100          100          50           20           
PRECIP DURATION       4            8            2            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   11 AM        
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.67         0.54         0.07         0.01         
LAL                   5            5            1            1            
LASI                               3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 2500                      2800         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                S 33                      NW 18        
DISPERSION                         29 FAIR                   20 GEN POOR  

REMARKS...NONE.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. WEST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 40S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTH IN THE AFTERNOON. 
.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN OR SNOW. LOWS IN
THE LOWER 30S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...RAIN LIKELY OR CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE
30S TO MID 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS IN
THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO LOWER 40S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID
30S TO UPPER 40S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW OR RAIN. LOWS IN THE MID
20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO MID 40S. NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-262045-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-
237 PM EST TUE DEC 25 2012

                      TONIGHT      WED          WED NIGHT    THU          

CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       CLOUDY       MCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      41-46 (+2)   48-53 (0)    26-31        39-44        
RH % (24H TREND)      91-96 (-6)   59-64 (-6)   93-98        47-52        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  S 13 G30                  NW  6        
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     E  8 G19     SW 14 G26    W 12 G22     LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        SHOWERS      NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     100          100          50           0            
PRECIP DURATION       8            6            2                         
PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING                
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   7 AM                      
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.76         0.25         0.05         0.00         
LAL                   5            5            1            1            
LASI                               3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 2500                      2800         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                S 25                      NW 15        
DISPERSION                         28 FAIR                   18 GEN POOR  

REMARKS...NONE.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. NORTH
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTH
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE MID
30S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...RAIN LIKELY OR CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE
30S TO UPPER 40S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S
TO MID 40S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S
TO UPPER 40S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW OR RAIN. LOWS IN THE
UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO UPPER 40S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-262045-
CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-
237 PM EST TUE DEC 25 2012 /137 PM CST TUE DEC 25 2012/

                      TONIGHT      WED          WED NIGHT    THU          

CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      42-47 (+1)   47-52 (-3)   26-31        41-46        
RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (0)   57-62 (-11)  92-97        42-47        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  S 15 G31                  N  7         
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     E 10 G22     SW 15 G25    W 12 G24     N  5         
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        SNOW SHOWERS NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     100          90           20           0            
PRECIP DURATION       8            5            1                         
PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING                
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   7 AM                      
PRECIP AMOUNT         1.13         0.11         0.02         0.00         
LAL                   5            5            1            1            
LASI                               3                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 2600                      2900         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 26                     N 16         
DISPERSION                         35 FAIR                   22 FAIR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. NORTHEAST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTH
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY NIGHT...RAIN LIKELY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. EAST WINDS 5 TO
10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...RAIN LIKELY AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. HIGHS
IN THE 40S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S
TO UPPER 40S. EAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 30. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO
LOWER 50S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN OR SNOW. LOWS AROUND 30.
HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

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