
686 
FNUS54 KMRX 250851
FWFMRX

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST
VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN
351 AM EST TUE DEC 25 2012

.DISCUSSION...
CHRISTMAS DAY WILL START OFF FOGGY ACROSS THE REGION...WITH A LITTLE 
IMPROVEMENT FROM LATE MORNING THROUGH EARLY AFTERNOON. HOWEVER...
A STRONG LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM DEVELOPING OVER THE LOWER MISSISSIPPI 
VALLEY REGION...WILL QUICKLY SPREAD SHOWERS NORTHWARD INTO THE 
TENNESSEE VALLEY AND SOUTHERN APPALACHIANS LATE THIS AFTERNOON AND 
OVERNIGHT. A FEW THUNDERSTORMS...POSSIBLY STRONG TO SEVERE...COULD 
AFFECT A SMALL PART OF SOUTHEAST TENNESSEE AND SOUTHWESTERN NORTH 
CAROLINA...LATE TONIGHT AND EARLY WEDNESDAY MORNING.  

HIGH MOUNTAIN WINDS ARE ALSO ANTICIPATED LATE TONIGHT INTO 
WEDNESDAY. 


VAZ001-002-005-006-008-261000-
JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-
351 AM EST TUE DEC 25 2012

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      WED          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        CLOUDY       CLOUDY       
TEMP (24H TREND)      45-50 (+1)   36-41 (-2)   47-52        
RH % (24H TREND)      61-66 (-21)  94-99 (-2)   60-65        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   SE 20 G38    
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      E  6         SE 11 G33    
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         SHOWERS      SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            90           100          
PRECIP DURATION                    6            8            
PRECIP BEGIN                       7 PM         CONTINUING   
PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.66         0.45         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  4                         2            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4300                      2700         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   E  5                      SE 29        
DISPERSION            8 POOR                    17 GEN POOR  

REMARKS...NONE.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...SNOW SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE MID TO UPPER
20S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH INCREASING TO 15 TO 20 MPH AFTER
MIDNIGHT. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE
30S TO LOWER 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. SOUTHWEST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE
OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS IN
THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO UPPER 40S. WEST WINDS UP TO
10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID
20S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 20S TO LOWER 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO
10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO
MID 40S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ018-041-043-045-047-261000-
NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
351 AM EST TUE DEC 25 2012

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      WED          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        CLOUDY       CLOUDY       
TEMP (24H TREND)      47-52 (+3)   37-42 (0)    45-50        
RH % (24H TREND)      55-60 (-20)  92-97 (-2)   59-64        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   SE 23 G43    
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      SE  8 G20    S 13 G40     
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         SHOWERS      TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            100          100          
PRECIP DURATION                    6            8            
PRECIP BEGIN                       CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.88         0.45         
LAL                   1            4            5            
LASI                  3                         2            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5300                      3800         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SE  8                     SE 25        
DISPERSION            17 GEN POOR               25 FAIR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE 20S TO LOWER 30S.
WEST WINDS 10 TO 20 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 20S TO LOWER 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 20 MPH. 
.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. WEST WINDS
UP TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE
OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO LOWER 50S. WEST WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS AND SHOWERS. LOWS IN
THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S TO UPPER 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS
5 TO 15 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID
20S. HIGHS IN THE MID 20S TO LOWER 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO
15 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO
UPPER 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

$$

TNZ072-074-261000-
TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-
351 AM EST TUE DEC 25 2012

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      WED          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        CLOUDY       MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      47-52 (+2)   40-45 (+2)   47-52        
RH % (24H TREND)      57-62 (-21)  92-97 (+2)   63-68        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   S 21 G48     
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      SE  9 G26    SW 16 G29    
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      TSTMS        TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           100          100          
PRECIP DURATION       1            5            5            
PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.06         1.19         0.20         
LAL                   1            4            5            
LASI                  3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5200                      5500         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   S  7                      SW 35        
DISPERSION            12 POOR                   72 GOOD      

REMARKS...NONE.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...SNOW SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE 20S TO LOWER
30S. WEST WINDS 10 TO 20 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. HIGHS IN
THE UPPER 20S TO MID 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 20S. SOUTHWEST WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER
30S TO LOWER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY AND CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS IN
THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO
15 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE
OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID 20S TO LOWER
40S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ087-102-261000-
SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
351 AM EST TUE DEC 25 2012

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      WED          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        CLOUDY       MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      50-55 (+2)   43-48 (+3)   49-54        
RH % (24H TREND)      61-66 (-23)  95-100 (+3)  63-68        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   S 19 G41     
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      SE 15 G38    SW 15 G26    
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      TSTMS        TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     30           100          100          
PRECIP DURATION       1            8            5            
PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.17         1.19         0.10         
LAL                   1            5            5            
LASI                  3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4600                      5100         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SE  9                     SW 31        
DISPERSION            20 GEN POOR               83 GOOD      

REMARKS...NONE.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS IN
THE MID 20S TO LOWER 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO MID 40S. NORTHWEST
WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 20S. NORTHEAST WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTH AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO
LOWER 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS.
LOWS AROUND 30. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO UPPER 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP
TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID
30S TO UPPER 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 30. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO
LOWER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

NCZ060-061-261000-
NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-
351 AM EST TUE DEC 25 2012

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      WED          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        CLOUDY       MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      50-55 (+2)   43-48 (+2)   50-55        
RH % (24H TREND)      60-65 (-24)  95-100 (+5)  61-66        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   S 18 G35     
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SE  5        SE 12 G29    SW 13 G24    
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      TSTMS        TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     40           100          100          
PRECIP DURATION       1            8            5            
PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.15         1.34         0.13         
LAL                   1            5            5            
LASI                  3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5600                      5800         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SE  9                     SW 32        
DISPERSION            28 FAIR                   96 GOOD      
MAX LVORI             4                         4            

REMARKS...NONE.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS AND
SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID TO UPPER 20S. NORTHWEST WINDS 10 TO
15 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO MID 40S. NORTHWEST
WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. NORTH WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S
TO LOWER 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW
SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO UPPER 40S.
NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO
UPPER 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 30. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO
LOWER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-261000-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-
351 AM EST TUE DEC 25 2012

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      WED          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        CLOUDY       CLOUDY       
TEMP (24H TREND)      49-54 (+4)   38-43 (0)    50-55        
RH % (24H TREND)      59-64 (-19)  95-100 (-2)  55-60        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   SE 17 G36    
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      E  6 G16     S  9 G24     
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         SHOWERS      TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            90           100          
PRECIP DURATION                    6            5            
PRECIP BEGIN                       CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.86         0.35         
LAL                   1            5            5            
LASI                  3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4200                      3300         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SE  5                     SE 24        
DISPERSION            12 POOR                   40 FAIR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...SNOW SHOWERS AND SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE
MID 20S TO LOWER 30S. WEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. HIGHS
IN THE 30S TO LOWER 40S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. WEST WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTH AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE
40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS IN
THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO UPPER 40S. WEST WINDS UP TO
10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS IN
THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO LOWER 40S. WEST WINDS UP TO
10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE 40S.
NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-261000-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-
351 AM EST TUE DEC 25 2012

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      WED          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        CLOUDY       CLOUDY       
TEMP (24H TREND)      49-54 (+3)   41-46 (+2)   48-53        
RH % (24H TREND)      58-63 (-21)  91-96 (-6)   59-64        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   S 13 G30     
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NE  5        E  8 G19     SW 14 G26    
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      TSTMS        TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     30           100          100          
PRECIP DURATION       1            7            5            
PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.06         1.05         0.16         
LAL                   1            5            5            
LASI                  3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3800                      4000         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   E  6                      SW 30        
DISPERSION            12 POOR                   72 GOOD      

REMARKS...NONE.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS IN
THE MID 20S TO LOWER 30S. WEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO MID 40S. NORTHWEST
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. WEST WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTH AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S
TO LOWER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY AND CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS IN
THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS IN
THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO MID 40S. WEST WINDS UP TO
10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 40S.
NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-261000-
CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-
351 AM EST TUE DEC 25 2012 /251 AM CST TUE DEC 25 2012/

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      WED          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        CLOUDY       MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      51-56 (+2)   42-47 (+1)   47-52        
RH % (24H TREND)      60-65 (-19)  95-100 (0)   57-62        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     NE  5                     S 15 G31     
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NE  5        E 10 G22     SW 15 G25    
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      TSTMS        TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     50           100          90           
PRECIP DURATION       1            8            5            
PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.29         1.09         0.08         
LAL                   1            5            5            
LASI                  3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3600                      4000         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SE 10                     SW 28        
DISPERSION            22 FAIR                   71 GOOD      

REMARKS...NONE.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS.
LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. NORTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER TO MID 40S.
NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. NORTH
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTH AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS NEAR 50. SOUTH
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS.
LOWS AROUND 30. HIGHS IN THE 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S
TO UPPER 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID
40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

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