
159 
FNUS54 KMRX 241937
FWFMRX

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST
VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN
237 PM EST MON DEC 24 2012

.DISCUSSION...
A LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE NORTHEAST...WITH RAIN 
CHANCES DECREASING ACROSS THE AREA THROUGH THE EVENING. HOWEVER... 
PERIODS OF DRIZZLE AND AREAS OF FOG...SOME LOCALLY DENSE ANTICIPATED 
OVERNIGHT TONIGHT.  ANOTHER STRONGER LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL MOVE
ACROSS THE REGION TUESDAY NIGHT AND WEDNESDAY...BRINGING WIDESPREAD 
RAIN AND A CHANCE FOR THUNDERSTORMS CHRISTMAS DAY INTO WEDNESDAY.
HIGH MOUNTAIN WINDS ARE ALSO ANTICIPATED LATE TUESDAY NIGHT AND
WEDNESDAY.


VAZ001-002-005-006-008-252045-
JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-
237 PM EST MON DEC 24 2012

                      TONIGHT      TUE          TUE NIGHT    WED          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        CLOUDY       CLOUDY       
TEMP (24H TREND)      35-40 (+1)   46-51 (+2)   36-41        48-53        
RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (0)   62-67 (-20)  95-100       60-65        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   SE 20 G38    
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      E  6         SE 11 G33    
PRECIP TYPE           DRIZZLE      NONE         SHOWERS      SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            90           100          
PRECIP DURATION                                 6            8            
PRECIP BEGIN                                    7 PM         CONTINUING   
PRECIP END                                      CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.66         0.45         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               5                         2            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4300                      2700         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NW  5                     S 44         
DISPERSION                         11 POOR                   25 FAIR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...SNOW SHOWERS AND SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE
20S TO LOWER 30S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. HIGHS
IN THE 30S TO LOWER 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. NORTHWEST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S
TO LOWER 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS
IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. NORTHWEST
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID
20S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 20S TO LOWER 40S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH.
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID
30S TO LOWER 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ018-041-043-045-047-252045-
NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
237 PM EST MON DEC 24 2012

                      TONIGHT      TUE          TUE NIGHT    WED          

CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       MCLDY        CLOUDY       CLOUDY       
TEMP (24H TREND)      34-39 (-2)   48-53 (+4)   37-42        46-51        
RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (+11) 59-64 (-16)  95-100       61-66        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   SE 23 G43    
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W  5         LGT/VAR      SE  8 G20    S 13 G40     
PRECIP TYPE           RAIN         SHOWERS      SHOWERS      TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           10           100          100          
PRECIP DURATION       1            1            6            8            
PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM         1 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            7 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.01         0.06         0.88         0.45         
LAL                   1            1            4            5            
LASI                               4                         2            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5300                      3800         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W  5                      S 49         
DISPERSION                         11 POOR                   38 FAIR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...SNOW SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE 20S TO LOWER
30S. WEST WINDS 10 TO 20 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. HIGHS
IN THE UPPER 20S TO MID 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. NORTH WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S
TO LOWER 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS
IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S TO UPPER 40S. NORTHWEST
WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID
20S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 20S TO LOWER 40S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH.
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO
MID 40S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ072-074-252045-
TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-
237 PM EST MON DEC 24 2012

                      TONIGHT      TUE          TUE NIGHT    WED          

CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       MCLDY        CLOUDY       MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      36-41 (0)    48-53 (+3)   40-45        48-53        
RH % (24H TREND)      94-99 (+3)   56-61 (-22)  95-100       63-68        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   S 21 G48     
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      SE  9 G26    SW 16 G29    
PRECIP TYPE           RAIN         SHOWERS      TSTMS        TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           20           100          100          
PRECIP DURATION       1            1            5            5            
PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM         10 AM        CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            7 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.02         0.31         1.19         0.20         
LAL                   1            1            4            5            
LASI                               3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4900                      5500         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SE  3                     S 46         
DISPERSION                         5 VERY POOR               95 GOOD      

REMARKS...NONE.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...SNOW SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE UPPER TEENS
TO LOWER 30S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 20 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. HIGHS
IN THE UPPER 20S TO MID 40S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. NORTH WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE EAST AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO
LOWER 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS
IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO
10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID
20S. HIGHS IN THE MID 20S TO LOWER 40S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S
TO MID 40S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ087-102-252045-
SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
237 PM EST MON DEC 24 2012

                      TONIGHT      TUE          TUE NIGHT    WED          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        CLOUDY       MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      38-43 (+2)   52-57 (+4)   43-48        50-55        
RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (+1)  58-63 (-26)  95-100       67-72        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   S 19 G41     
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      SE 15 G38    SW 15 G26    
PRECIP TYPE           RAIN         SHOWERS      TSTMS        TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     10           30           100          100          
PRECIP DURATION       1            1            8            5            
PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM         10 AM        CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            7 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.01         0.52         1.19         0.10         
LAL                   1            1            5            5            
LASI                               3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4600                      5100         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SE  3                     S 43         
DISPERSION                         8 POOR                    112 VERY GOOD

REMARKS...NONE.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS.
LOWS IN THE 20S TO LOWER 30S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S TO UPPER 40S.
NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. NORTHEAST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO
LOWER 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF
SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO UPPER
40S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE
LOWER 30S TO MID 40S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S
TO UPPER 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

NCZ060-061-252045-
NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-
237 PM EST MON DEC 24 2012

                      TONIGHT      TUE          TUE NIGHT    WED          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        CLOUDY       MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      39-44 (+3)   53-58 (+5)   43-48        51-56        
RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (-2)  55-60 (-29)  95-100       64-69        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   S 18 G35     
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      SE  6        SE 12 G29    SW 13 G24    
PRECIP TYPE           RAIN         SHOWERS      TSTMS        TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           40           100          100          
PRECIP DURATION       1            1            8            5            
PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM         10 AM        CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            7 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.02         0.52         1.34         0.13         
LAL                   1            1            5            5            
LASI                               3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5700                      5800         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                S  3                      S 41         
DISPERSION                         10 POOR                   124 VERY GOOD
MAX LVORI                          5                         4            

REMARKS...NONE.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS.
LOWS IN THE 20S TO LOWER 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO UPPER 40S. NORTH
WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. NORTH WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO
LOWER 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF
SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER
50S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S
TO MID 40S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 40S.
NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-252045-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-
237 PM EST MON DEC 24 2012

                      TONIGHT      TUE          TUE NIGHT    WED          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        CLOUDY       CLOUDY       
TEMP (24H TREND)      35-40 (-1)   49-54 (+4)   38-43        51-56        
RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (+1)  61-66 (-17)  95-100       55-60        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   SE 17 G36    
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      E  6 G16     S  9 G24     
PRECIP TYPE           DRIZZLE      NONE         SHOWERS      TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            90           100          
PRECIP DURATION                                 6            5            
PRECIP BEGIN                                    7 PM         CONTINUING   
PRECIP END                                      CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.86         0.35         
LAL                   1            1            5            5            
LASI                               4                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4300                      3300         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NW  3                     S 37         
DISPERSION                         9 POOR                    55 GEN GOOD  

REMARKS...NONE.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...SNOW SHOWERS AND SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE
MID 20S TO LOWER 30S. WEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. HIGHS
IN THE LOWER 30S TO MID 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. LIGHT
WINDS. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO
LOWER 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS
IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO UPPER 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP
TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID
20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO LOWER 40S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-252045-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-
237 PM EST MON DEC 24 2012

                      TONIGHT      TUE          TUE NIGHT    WED          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        CLOUDY       CLOUDY       
TEMP (24H TREND)      36-41 (-1)   49-54 (+3)   41-46        49-54        
RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (+4)  58-63 (-21)  93-98        59-64        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   S 13 G30     
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      E  8 G19     SW 14 G26    
PRECIP TYPE           DRIZZLE      SHOWERS      TSTMS        TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            20           100          100          
PRECIP DURATION                    1            7            5            
PRECIP BEGIN                       1 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.19         1.05         0.16         
LAL                   1            1            5            5            
LASI                               4                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3900                      4000         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NE  3                     S 36         
DISPERSION                         8 POOR                    87 GOOD      

REMARKS...NONE.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS AND
SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 20S TO LOWER 30S. WEST WINDS 5 TO
15 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO MID 40S. NORTH
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. NORTHEAST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO
LOWER 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS
IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO UPPER 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS
UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS IN
THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO MID 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO
10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S
TO MID 40S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-252045-
CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-
237 PM EST MON DEC 24 2012 /137 PM CST MON DEC 24 2012/

                      TONIGHT      TUE          TUE NIGHT    WED          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        CLOUDY       MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      39-44 (+1)   51-56 (+2)   42-47        48-53        
RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (+4)  62-67 (-17)  95-100       57-62        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   S 15 G31     
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      E  5         E 10 G22     SW 15 G25    
PRECIP TYPE           DRIZZLE      SHOWERS      TSTMS        TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            50           100          90           
PRECIP DURATION                    1            8            5            
PRECIP BEGIN                       10 AM        CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.55         1.09         0.08         
LAL                   1            1            5            5            
LASI                               4                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3700                      4000         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                E  6                      SW 35        
DISPERSION                         12 POOR                   88 GOOD      

REMARKS...NONE.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 20S TO LOWER 30S. WEST WINDS 5 TO
15 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 40S. NORTH WINDS 5 TO
10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. NORTHEAST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO
LOWER 50S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF
SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 40S. NORTHWEST
WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 30. HIGHS IN THE 40S. WEST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

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