
846 
FNUS54 KMRX 240954
FWFMRX

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST
VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN
454 AM EST MON DEC 24 2012

.DISCUSSION...
A LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL TRACK NORTHEAST ACROSS THE REGION TODAY
SPREADING RAIN OVER MOST AREAS. THE RAIN BRIEFLY ENDS TONIGHT...
BEFORE ANOTHER STRONGER AREA OF LOW PRESSURE DEVELOPS OVER THE LOWER 
MISSISSIPPI VALLEY REGION ON CHRISTMAS DAY. THIS SYSTEM WILL SPREAD 
RAIN AND A CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS INTO THE SOUTHERN APPALACHIANS...
TUESDAY NIGHT INTO WEDNESDAY.   

VAZ001-002-005-006-008-251100-
JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-
454 AM EST MON DEC 24 2012

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      TUE          

CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      43-48 (-3)   35-40 (+1)   47-52        
RH % (24H TREND)      80-85 (+42)  95-100 (+4)  60-65        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW  5        LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           RAIN         RAIN         RAIN         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     100          20           20           
PRECIP DURATION       7            1            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM         CONTINUING   1 PM         
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   7 AM         CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.33         0.01         0.02         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  2                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3500                      4500         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 23                     S  7         
DISPERSION            28 FAIR                   15 GEN POOR  

REMARKS...NONE.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS. LOWS NEAR 40. SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO
15 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 40S TO MID 50S. SOUTH
WINDS 10 TO 20 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS AND SHOWERS.
COLDER. LOWS IN THE 20S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. COLDER. HIGHS
IN THE UPPER 20S TO LOWER 40S. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. LOWS IN THE
LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO UPPER 40S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. LOWS IN THE
MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. WEST WINDS UP TO
10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW. COLDER. LOWS IN
THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 20S TO MID 30S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO
10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ018-041-043-045-047-251100-
NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
454 AM EST MON DEC 24 2012

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      TUE          

CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      44-49 (-1)   35-40 (-1)   49-54        
RH % (24H TREND)      72-77 (+38)  92-97 (+13)  58-63        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SE  7 G21                 LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW  6 G17    LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           RAIN         RAIN         RAIN         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     100          20           40           
PRECIP DURATION       5            1            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.33         0.01         0.11         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  2                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4000                      5000         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 24                     S 12         
DISPERSION            26 FAIR                   22 FAIR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S.
SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 20 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 50S. SOUTH
WINDS 10 TO 20 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...SNOW SHOWERS LIKELY AND CHANCE OF SHOWERS.
COLDER. LOWS IN THE 20S. WEST WINDS 10 TO 20 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. COLDER. HIGHS
IN THE UPPER 20S TO LOWER 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF
RAIN. LOWS AROUND 30. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 50S.
SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. LOWS IN THE
LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO UPPER 40S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH.
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S.
HIGHS IN THE UPPER 20S TO LOWER 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH.

$$

TNZ072-074-251100-
TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-
454 AM EST MON DEC 24 2012

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      TUE          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      45-50 (0)    37-42 (+1)   49-54        
RH % (24H TREND)      76-81 (+46)  91-96 (+10)  55-60        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     S  8 G26                  LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW  8 G23    LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           RAIN         RAIN         RAIN         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     100          20           70           
PRECIP DURATION       5            1            2            
PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.30         0.01         0.26         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  2                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4200                      5100         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 31                     SW 17        
DISPERSION            31 FAIR                   30 FAIR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...BREEZY...SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE 30S TO MID 40S.
SOUTHEAST WINDS 10 TO 20 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTH AFTER
MIDNIGHT. 
.WEDNESDAY...WINDY. SHOWERS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 40S TO MID
50S. SOUTH WINDS 10 TO 30 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHWEST 10 TO
15 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON. 
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS AND
SHOWERS. MUCH COLDER. LOWS 18 TO 28. WEST WINDS 5 TO 20 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. COLDER.
HIGHS IN THE 30S TO LOWER 40S. NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. LOWS IN THE
LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP
TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. LOWS IN THE
MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO UPPER 40S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW. LOWS IN THE MID 20S.
HIGHS IN THE 30S TO LOWER 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ087-102-251100-
SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
454 AM EST MON DEC 24 2012

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      TUE          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      48-53 (-2)   38-43 (+2)   53-58        
RH % (24H TREND)      81-86 (+48)  95-100 (+4)  55-60        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     S  7 G20                  LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW  5 G17    LGT/VAR      SE  5        
PRECIP TYPE           RAIN         RAIN         RAIN         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     100          20           80           
PRECIP DURATION       5            1            3            
PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.28         0.01         0.31         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  2                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3300                      4300         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 26                     S 21         
DISPERSION            29 FAIR                   40 FAIR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...BREEZY. SHOWERS AND CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE LOWER TO MID 40S. SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH
INCREASING TO 10 TO 25 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
.WEDNESDAY...BREEZY. SHOWERS LIKELY AND CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS.
HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTH WINDS 15 TO 25 MPH
SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHWEST 10 TO 15 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON. 
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
SNOW SHOWERS. MUCH COLDER. LOWS 18 TO 28. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH.
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. COLDER. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 30S TO MID
40S. NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S.
HIGHS IN THE 30S TO MID 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. LOWS IN THE
MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO UPPER 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO
10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW. LOWS IN THE MID
20S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 30S TO MID 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO
10 MPH. 

$$

NCZ060-061-251100-
NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-
454 AM EST MON DEC 24 2012

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      TUE          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      48-53 (-4)   39-44 (+3)   54-59        
RH % (24H TREND)      82-87 (+50)  95-100 (+3)  51-56        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SE  5                     LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      SE  7        
PRECIP TYPE           RAIN         RAIN         RAIN         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     100          20           80           
PRECIP DURATION       5            1            3            
PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.30         0.01         0.36         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  2                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3700                      4700         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 25                     S 21         
DISPERSION            31 FAIR                   42 GEN GOOD  
MAX LVORI             4                         4            

REMARKS...NONE.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS AND CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE
LOWER TO MID 40S. SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY AND CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN
THE 40S TO MID 50S. SOUTH WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH SHIFTING TO THE
SOUTHWEST IN THE AFTERNOON. 
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS.
MUCH COLDER. LOWS IN THE 20S. NORTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. COLDER. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO MID 40S.
NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE MID 30S.
HIGHS IN THE LOWER 40S TO MID 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. LOWS IN THE
MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW. LOWS IN THE MID
20S. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO
10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-251100-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-
454 AM EST MON DEC 24 2012

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      TUE          

CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      45-50 (-2)   36-41 (0)    51-56        
RH % (24H TREND)      75-80 (+38)  95-100 (+4)  59-64        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           RAIN         RAIN         RAIN         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     100          20           30           
PRECIP DURATION       5            1            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.31         0.01         0.09         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  2                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    2700                      3700         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 21                     S  8         
DISPERSION            22 FAIR                   15 GEN POOR  

REMARKS...NONE.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS. LOWS NEAR 40. SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO
10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO UPPER 50S.
SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHWEST IN THE
AFTERNOON. 
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS AND
SHOWERS. COLDER. LOWS IN THE MID TO UPPER 20S. WEST WINDS 5 TO
15 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. COLDER. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 30S TO MID
40S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S.
HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. LOWS IN THE
MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE 40S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW. LOWS IN THE MID
20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO LOWER 40S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-251100-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-
454 AM EST MON DEC 24 2012

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      TUE          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      46-51 (-2)   37-42 (0)    50-55        
RH % (24H TREND)      77-82 (+34)  95-100 (+10) 60-65        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           RAIN         RAIN         RAIN         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     100          20           50           
PRECIP DURATION       5            1            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM         CONTINUING   1 PM         
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   7 AM         CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.27         0.01         0.19         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  2                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    2600                      3600         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 22                     S 10         
DISPERSION            24 FAIR                   20 GEN POOR  

REMARKS...NONE.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S.
SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO MID 50S.
SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS AND
SHOWERS. COLDER. LOWS IN THE MID TO UPPER 20S. WEST WINDS 5 TO
15 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. COLDER. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 30S TO MID
40S. NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE MID 30S.
HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. LOWS IN THE
MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE 40S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW. LOWS IN THE MID
20S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 30S TO MID 40S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-251100-
CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-
454 AM EST MON DEC 24 2012 /354 AM CST MON DEC 24 2012/

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      TUE          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      49-54 (0)    39-44 (+1)   52-57        
RH % (24H TREND)      76-81 (+31)  95-100 (+6)  63-68        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     S  6                      LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      E  5         
PRECIP TYPE           RAIN         RAIN         RAIN         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     100          20           70           
PRECIP DURATION       5            1            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM         CONTINUING   10 AM        
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   7 AM         CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.23         0.01         0.28         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  2                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    2600                      3600         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 24                     S 18         
DISPERSION            31 FAIR                   40 FAIR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS AND CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE
40S. SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS
IN THE MID 40S TO UPPER 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
SNOW SHOWERS. MUCH COLDER. LOWS IN THE 20S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO
20 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. COLDER. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S TO UPPER
40S. NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE MID 30S.
HIGHS IN THE 40S TO 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF
SNOW. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS
5 TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW. LOWS IN THE MID
20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO MID 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH. 

$$

TG/TD

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