
371 
FNUS54 KMRX 231936
FWFMRX

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST
VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN
236 PM EST SUN DEC 23 2012

.DISCUSSION...
A LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL TRACK NORTHEAST ACROSS THE WESTERN 
TENNESSEE VALLEY TONIGHT...BRINGING AN INCREASED CHANCE OF RAIN FOR 
TONIGHT AND MONDAY. A SECOND AREA OF LOW PRESSURE WILL BEGIN TO MOVE 
THROUGH THE AREA ON TUESDAY...SPREADING PRECIPITATION ACROSS THE 
SOUTHERN APPALACHIAN REGION TUESDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH WEDNESDAY.  


VAZ001-002-005-006-008-242045-
JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-
236 PM EST SUN DEC 23 2012

                      TONIGHT      MON          MON NIGHT    TUE          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        CLOUDY       MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      33-38 (+15)  45-50 (-1)   34-39        48-53        
RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (+28) 74-79 (+36)  95-100       65-70        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      S  5         SW  5        LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           RAIN         RAIN         NONE         RAIN         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     100          100          0            20           
PRECIP DURATION       5            7                         1            
PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM         CONTINUING                1 PM         
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   7 PM                      CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.17         0.34         0.00         0.02         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               2                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3500                      4700         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 23                     S  7         
DISPERSION                         28 FAIR                   17 GEN POOR  

REMARKS...NONE.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER TO MID 40S. SOUTHEAST
WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...SHOWERS WITH SNOW SHOWERS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER
40S TO MID 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 20 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. COLDER. LOWS
IN THE 20S. WEST WINDS 10 TO 20 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. COLDER. HIGHS
IN THE UPPER 20S TO LOWER 40S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF
RAIN. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO UPPER 40S.
SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. LOWS IN THE
MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO 40S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S.
HIGHS IN THE 20S TO MID 30S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

$$

TNZ018-041-043-045-047-242045-
NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
236 PM EST SUN DEC 23 2012

                      TONIGHT      MON          MON NIGHT    TUE          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        CLOUDY       MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      35-40 (+16)  45-50 (0)    34-39        50-55        
RH % (24H TREND)      82-87 (+22)  62-67 (+28)  95-100       59-64        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  S  5                      LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      SW  5        W  6         SE  6 G15    
PRECIP TYPE           RAIN         RAIN         NONE         RAIN         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     100          100          0            40           
PRECIP DURATION       5            5                         1            
PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM         CONTINUING                7 AM         
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   7 PM                      CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.13         0.34         0.00         0.09         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               2                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4000                      5200         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 24                     S 12         
DISPERSION                         26 FAIR                   24 FAIR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S.
SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 20 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...BREEZY. SHOWERS WITH SNOW SHOWERS LIKELY. HIGHS IN
THE UPPER 30S TO MID 50S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 20 MPH SHIFTING TO THE
WEST 10 TO 25 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON. 
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...WINDY...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. MUCH
COLDER. LOWS IN THE 20S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 30 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. COLDER. HIGHS
IN THE UPPER 20S TO LOWER 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW. LOWS AROUND 30. HIGHS IN
THE MID 30S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW AND RAIN. LOWS IN THE
MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 20S TO LOWER 50S. WEST WINDS 10 TO
20 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S.
HIGHS IN THE MID 20S TO LOWER 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 20 MPH. 

$$

TNZ072-074-242045-
TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-
236 PM EST SUN DEC 23 2012

                      TONIGHT      MON          MON NIGHT    TUE          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      35-40 (+14)  47-52 (+2)   37-42        50-55        
RH % (24H TREND)      85-90 (+26)  62-67 (+32)  89-94        59-64        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  S  7 G16                  LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW  5        SW  8 G21    LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           RAIN         RAIN         NONE         RAIN         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     100          100          0            70           
PRECIP DURATION       5            5                         2            
PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM         CONTINUING                7 AM         
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   7 PM                      CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.23         0.31         0.00         0.12         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               2                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4200                      5400         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 31                     SW 17        
DISPERSION                         31 FAIR                   36 FAIR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...WINDY...SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE 30S TO UPPER 40S.
SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 30 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...SHOWERS AND SNOW SHOWERS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER
30S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 20 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. MUCH
COLDER. LOWS 18 TO 28. WEST WINDS 5 TO 20 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. HIGHS
IN THE 30S TO LOWER 40S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF
RAIN. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 50S.
SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. LOWS IN THE
MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW. LOWS IN THE MID 20S.
HIGHS IN THE UPPER 20S TO LOWER 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH.

$$

TNZ087-102-242045-
SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
236 PM EST SUN DEC 23 2012

                      TONIGHT      MON          MON NIGHT    TUE          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      35-40 (+13)  49-54 (-1)   38-43        52-57        
RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (+33) 71-76 (+38)  95-100       61-66        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  S  6                      LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      SW  7 G16    LGT/VAR      SE  7 G17    
PRECIP TYPE           RAIN         RAIN         NONE         RAIN         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     100          100          0            80           
PRECIP DURATION       5            5                         3            
PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM         CONTINUING                7 AM         
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   7 PM                      CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.31         0.29         0.00         0.17         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               2                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3300                      4500         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 26                     S 21         
DISPERSION                         29 FAIR                   43 GEN GOOD  

REMARKS...NONE.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...BREEZY. SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE
40S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 25 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...SHOWERS...THUNDERSTORMS AND SNOW SHOWERS LIKELY.
HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 20 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS.
MUCH COLDER. LOWS 18 TO 28. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 30S TO MID 40S.
NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF
RAIN. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO MID 50S. SOUTH
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. LOWS IN THE
MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO LOWER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO
15 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW. LOWS IN THE MID 20S.
HIGHS IN THE UPPER 20S TO LOWER 40S. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

$$

NCZ060-061-242045-
NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-
236 PM EST SUN DEC 23 2012

                      TONIGHT      MON          MON NIGHT    TUE          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      34-39 (+13)  49-54 (-3)   39-44        53-58        
RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (+33) 70-75 (+38)  95-100       59-64        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  S  5                      LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      S  5         LGT/VAR      SE  6        
PRECIP TYPE           RAIN         RAIN         NONE         RAIN         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     100          100          0            80           
PRECIP DURATION       5            5                         3            
PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM         CONTINUING                7 AM         
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   7 PM                      CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.21         0.31         0.00         0.22         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               2                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3700                      4900         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 25                     S 21         
DISPERSION                         31 FAIR                   46 GEN GOOD  
MAX LVORI                          4                         4            

REMARKS...NONE.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE 40S TO
LOWER 50S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...SHOWERS...THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY AND CHANCE OF SNOW
SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS.
MUCH COLDER. LOWS IN THE 20S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO MID 40S. NORTH
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. LOWS IN THE MID
30S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 40S TO MID 50S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. LOWS IN THE
MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO LOWER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS
5 TO 15 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW. LOWS IN THE MID 20S.
HIGHS IN THE 30S TO LOWER 40S. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

$$

TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-242045-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-
236 PM EST SUN DEC 23 2012

                      TONIGHT      MON          MON NIGHT    TUE          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        CLOUDY       MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      34-39 (+17)  47-52 (0)    35-40        51-56        
RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (+22) 71-76 (+34)  95-100       61-66        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      E  5         
PRECIP TYPE           RAIN         RAIN         NONE         RAIN         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     100          100          0            30           
PRECIP DURATION       5            5                         1            
PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM         CONTINUING                7 AM         
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   7 PM                      CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.17         0.32         0.00         0.05         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               2                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 2700                      3900         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 21                     S  8         
DISPERSION                         22 FAIR                   17 GEN POOR  

REMARKS...NONE.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER TO MID 40S. SOUTHEAST
WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...SHOWERS AND SNOW SHOWERS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO
MID 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 20 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. COLDER.
LOWS IN THE MID TO UPPER 20S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 20 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. COLDER. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 30S TO MID
40S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. LOWS IN THE
LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. LOWS IN THE
MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO LOWER 50S. WEST WINDS 5 TO
15 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW. LOWS IN THE MID 20S.
HIGHS IN THE 30S TO LOWER 40S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

$$

TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-242045-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-
236 PM EST SUN DEC 23 2012

                      TONIGHT      MON          MON NIGHT    TUE          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      37-42 (+16)  49-54 (+1)   37-42        50-55        
RH % (24H TREND)      91-96 (+21)  71-76 (+28)  95-100       64-69        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      SW  5        LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           RAIN         RAIN         NONE         RAIN         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     100          100          0            50           
PRECIP DURATION       5            5                         1            
PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM         CONTINUING                1 PM         
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   7 PM                      CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.30         0.28         0.00         0.05         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               2                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 2600                      3800         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 22                     S 10         
DISPERSION                         24 FAIR                   22 FAIR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE 30S TO
UPPER 40S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...SHOWERS AND SNOW SHOWERS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER
30S TO MID 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 20 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. COLDER.
LOWS IN THE MID TO UPPER 20S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 30S TO MID 40S.
NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. LOWS IN THE
LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 50S. SOUTH WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. LOWS IN THE
UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 50S. WEST WINDS UP TO
10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW. LOWS IN THE MID 20S.
HIGHS IN THE UPPER 20S TO MID 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-242045-
CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-
236 PM EST SUN DEC 23 2012 /136 PM CST SUN DEC 23 2012/

                      TONIGHT      MON          MON NIGHT    TUE          

CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      37-42 (+15)  50-55 (+1)   39-44        51-56        
RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (+24) 69-74 (+24)  95-100       71-76        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  S  5                      LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      SW  6        LGT/VAR      SE  6 G16    
PRECIP TYPE           RAIN         RAIN         NONE         RAIN         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     100          100          0            70           
PRECIP DURATION       5            5                         1            
PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM         CONTINUING                10 AM        
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   7 PM                      CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.38         0.24         0.00         0.14         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               2                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 2600                      3800         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 24                     S 18         
DISPERSION                         31 FAIR                   44 GEN GOOD  

REMARKS...NONE.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE 30S TO
UPPER 40S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 20 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY...CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW
SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO LOWER 50S. WEST WINDS 10 TO
20 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS.
COLDER. LOWS IN THE 20S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO MID 40S. NORTH
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE MID 30S.
HIGHS IN THE 40S TO 50S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF
SNOW. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO LOWER 50S.
NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW. LOWS IN THE MID
20S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 30S TO MID 40S. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

$$

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