
477 
FNUS54 KMRX 230850
FWFMRX

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST
VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN
350 AM EST SUN DEC 23 2012

.DISCUSSION...
A RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE OVER THE SOUTHEAST STATES WILL 
WEAKEN TODAY. A LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL THEN TRACK NORTHEAST 
THROUGH THE TENNESSEE VALLEY BY TONIGHT...BRINGING INCREASING RAIN 
CHANCES INTO MONDAY. ANOTHER AREA OF LOW PRESSURE IS EXPECTED TO 
MOVE THROUGH THE REGION CONTINUING THE CHANCE OF PRECIPITATION ON 
TUESDAY AND WEDNESDAY.  

VAZ001-002-005-006-008-241000-
JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-
350 AM EST SUN DEC 23 2012

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      MON          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      46-51 (+12)  32-37 (+14)  46-51        
RH % (24H TREND)      33-38 (-11)  95-100 (+25) 69-74        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   S  5         
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      SW  6        
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         RAIN         RAIN         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            80           90           
PRECIP DURATION                    2            5            
PRECIP BEGIN                       7 PM         CONTINUING   
PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.16         0.34         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  4                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3700                      3400         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 23                      SW 28        
DISPERSION            33 FAIR                   32 FAIR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE
MID TO UPPER 30S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. CHANCE OF RAIN. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO
LOWER 50S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY NIGHT...RAIN. LOWS IN THE MID TO UPPER 30S. SOUTHEAST
WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...RAIN AND CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO
MID 40S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 20S TO MID 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP
TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF
RAIN. LOWS AROUND 30. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S.
SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. LOWS IN THE
UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO MID 40S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ018-041-043-045-047-241000-
NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
350 AM EST SUN DEC 23 2012

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      MON          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      45-50 (+11)  34-39 (+15)  46-51        
RH % (24H TREND)      25-30 (-10)  78-83 (+18)  57-62        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      SW  5        
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         RAIN         RAIN         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            70           80           
PRECIP DURATION                    2            5            
PRECIP BEGIN                       CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.13         0.34         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  4                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4100                      3900         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 23                      SW 26        
DISPERSION            27 FAIR                   26 FAIR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE
MID 30S TO LOWER 40S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. HIGHS IN THE 40S
TO MID 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE
SOUTHEAST IN THE AFTERNOON. 
.TUESDAY NIGHT...RAIN. LOWS IN THE 30S. SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO
20 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...RAIN WITH SNOW SHOWERS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S
TO UPPER 40S. WEST WINDS 10 TO 20 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 20S TO LOWER 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS
5 TO 15 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S.
HIGHS IN THE 30S TO UPPER 40S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW AND RAIN. LOWS IN THE
MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S TO UPPER 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO
15 MPH. 

$$

TNZ072-074-241000-
TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-
350 AM EST SUN DEC 23 2012

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      MON          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      45-50 (+7)   34-39 (+13)  46-51        
RH % (24H TREND)      20-25 (-3)   80-85 (+21)  60-65        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   SW 10 G24    
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      SW  9 G21    
PRECIP TYPE           RAIN         RAIN         RAIN         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           90           80           
PRECIP DURATION       1            5            5            
PRECIP BEGIN          1 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.02         0.17         0.32         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  4                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4300                      4100         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 22                      SW 32        
DISPERSION            24 FAIR                   30 FAIR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE
MID 30S TO LOWER 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...RAIN LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO MID 50S. SOUTHEAST
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY NIGHT...WINDY...RAIN. LOWS IN THE 30S TO LOWER 40S.
SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 30 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...RAIN LIKELY AND CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE
30S TO UPPER 40S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO LOWER 40S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF
RAIN. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S TO UPPER 40S.
SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. LOWS IN THE
MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO UPPER 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO
10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ087-102-241000-
SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
350 AM EST SUN DEC 23 2012

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      MON          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      50-55 (+6)   34-39 (+12)  50-55        
RH % (24H TREND)      22-27 (-2)   95-100 (+32) 65-70        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   S  9 G19     
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      SW  7 G16    
PRECIP TYPE           RAIN         RAIN         RAIN         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           90           70           
PRECIP DURATION       1            5            3            
PRECIP BEGIN          1 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   7 PM         
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.02         0.20         0.31         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  4                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3500                      3200         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 16                      SW 26        
DISPERSION            20 GEN POOR               27 FAIR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS NEAR
40. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...RAIN LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S.
SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY NIGHT...RAIN. LOWS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S. SOUTH
WINDS 5 TO 20 MPH INCREASING TO 15 TO 20 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
.WEDNESDAY...RAIN LIKELY AND CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE
40S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE
LOWER 30S TO MID 40S. NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF
RAIN. LOWS AROUND 30. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO LOWER 50S.
SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. LOWS IN THE
MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO
10 MPH. 

$$

NCZ060-061-241000-
NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-
350 AM EST SUN DEC 23 2012

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      MON          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      52-57 (+7)   33-38 (+12)  51-56        
RH % (24H TREND)      18-23 (-2)   94-99 (+30)  66-71        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   S  5         
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      SW  5        
PRECIP TYPE           RAIN         RAIN         RAIN         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           90           70           
PRECIP DURATION       1            5            3            
PRECIP BEGIN          1 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.02         0.16         0.35         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  4                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3900                      3600         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 15                      SW 25        
DISPERSION            21 FAIR                   29 FAIR      
MAX LVORI             4                         4            

REMARKS...NONE.

.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE
LOWER 40S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...RAIN LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO UPPER 50S. SOUTHEAST
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY NIGHT...RAIN. LOWS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S.
SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTH 15 TO 20 MPH
AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
.WEDNESDAY...RAIN LIKELY AND CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE
40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID
30S TO LOWER 40S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. LOWS IN THE
LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO
10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. LOWS IN THE
MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO UPPER 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO
10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-241000-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-
350 AM EST SUN DEC 23 2012

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      MON          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      47-52 (+10)  33-38 (+16)  49-54        
RH % (24H TREND)      32-37 (-6)   92-97 (+19)  66-71        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           RAIN         RAIN         RAIN         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            80           80           
PRECIP DURATION                    5            5            
PRECIP BEGIN                       CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.17         0.32         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  4                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    2900                      2600         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 20                      SW 28        
DISPERSION            23 FAIR                   27 FAIR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE
30S TO LOWER 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. CHANCE OF RAIN. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S
TO MID 50S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY NIGHT...RAIN. LOWS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S. SOUTH
WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...RAIN LIKELY AND CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE
30S TO UPPER 40S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS IN
THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO LOWER 40S. NORTH WINDS UP TO
10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. LOWS AROUND 30.
HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. LOWS IN THE
UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO UPPER 40S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.

$$

TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-241000-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-
350 AM EST SUN DEC 23 2012

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      MON          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      48-53 (+9)   36-41 (+15)  49-54        
RH % (24H TREND)      33-38 (-1)   88-93 (+18)  66-71        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   S  5         
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      SW  6        
PRECIP TYPE           RAIN         RAIN         RAIN         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           90           70           
PRECIP DURATION       1            5            3            
PRECIP BEGIN          1 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.02         0.22         0.29         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  4                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    2800                      2500         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 20                      SW 28        
DISPERSION            25 FAIR                   28 FAIR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS NEAR 40. WEST WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. CHANCE OF RAIN. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO
UPPER 50S. EAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY NIGHT...RAIN. LOWS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S. SOUTH
WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...RAIN LIKELY AND CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. COLDER.
HIGHS IN THE MID 30S TO UPPER 40S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE
LOWER 30S TO MID 40S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. LOWS AROUND 30.
HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. LOWS IN THE
UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO LOWER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS
UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-241000-
CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-
350 AM EST SUN DEC 23 2012 /250 AM CST SUN DEC 23 2012/

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      MON          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        CLOUDY       MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      49-54 (+6)   36-41 (+14)  50-55        
RH % (24H TREND)      34-39 (+6)   95-100 (+24) 67-72        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   S  7         
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      SW  6        
PRECIP TYPE           RAIN         RAIN         RAIN         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     40           100          70           
PRECIP DURATION       1            5            3            
PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   7 PM         
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.03         0.30         0.24         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  4                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    2900                      2500         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 18                     SW 25        
DISPERSION            27 FAIR                   30 FAIR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S.
NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. HIGHS IN THE 50S.
SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY NIGHT...RAIN. LOWS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S. SOUTH
WINDS 5 TO 20 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS.
COLDER. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO UPPER 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO
15 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE
MID 30S TO UPPER 40S. NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S.
HIGHS IN THE LOWER 40S TO MID 50S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF
SNOW. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S.
NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TG/TD

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