
890 
FNUS54 KMRX 221956
FWFMRX

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST
VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN
256 PM EST SAT DEC 22 2012

.DISCUSSION...
HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS INTO THE AREA BRINGING ANOTHER COLD 
AND DRY NIGHT TONIGHT...WITH LOWS FROM THE UPPER TEENS TO THE UPPER 
20S. WARMER TEMPERATURES ARE EXPECTED BY SUNDAY. A LOW PRESSURE 
SYSTEM WILL TRACK THROUGH THE TENNESSEE VALLEY BY SUNDAY 
NIGHT...BRINGING INCREASING RAIN CHANCES INTO MONDAY. ANOTHER AREA 
OF LOW PRESSURE IS EXPECTED TO MOVE THROUGH THE REGION CONTINUING 
THE CHANCE OF PRECIPITATION ON TUESDAY AND WEDNESDAY.  


VAZ001-002-005-006-008-232100-
JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-
256 PM EST SAT DEC 22 2012

                      TONIGHT      SUN          SUN NIGHT    MON          

CLOUD COVER           CLEAR        PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      18-23 (0)    46-51 (+12)  31-36        45-50        
RH % (24H TREND)      75-80 (-3)   34-39 (-10)  95-100       74-79        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  SW  6 G15                 LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      SW  7 G15    SW  5        SW  6        
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         RAIN         RAIN         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            70           90           
PRECIP DURATION                                 2            5            
PRECIP BEGIN                                    7 PM         CONTINUING   
PRECIP END                                      CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.16         0.35         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               4                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3700                      3300         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 29                      SW 32        
DISPERSION                         40 FAIR                   34 FAIR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. AREAS OF FOG. SLIGHT CHANCE OF
RAIN. LOWS IN THE MID TO UPPER 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.
.TUESDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE
MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID TO UPPER 30S. SOUTHEAST
WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...BREEZY. SHOWERS LIKELY AND CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS.
HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 25 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE 20S TO UPPER 30S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW. LOWS IN THE UPPER
20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO MID 40S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS
IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO 40S. WEST WINDS UP TO
10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ018-041-043-045-047-232100-
NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
256 PM EST SAT DEC 22 2012

                      TONIGHT      SUN          SUN NIGHT    MON          

CLOUD COVER           CLEAR        PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      19-24 (+4)   45-50 (+11)  33-38        44-49        
RH % (24H TREND)      65-70 (-10)  28-33 (-7)   83-88        63-68        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  W  6                      S  6         
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W  5 G15     W  6         LGT/VAR      SW  6        
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         RAIN         RAIN         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            60           80           
PRECIP DURATION                                 2            5            
PRECIP BEGIN                                    CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END                                      CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.13         0.35         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               5                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3800                      3400         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 29                      SW 31        
DISPERSION                         27 FAIR                   18 GEN POOR  

REMARKS...NONE.

.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. AREAS OF FOG. SLIGHT CHANCE OF
RAIN. LOWS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO
10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. CHANCE OF RAIN. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO MID
50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. SOUTHEAST WINDS
5 TO 15 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...WINDY. SHOWERS AND SNOW SHOWERS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE
MID 30S TO UPPER 40S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 30 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID 20S TO LOWER 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS
5 TO 15 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW. LOWS IN THE MID 20S.
HIGHS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS
IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO LOWER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS
5 TO 15 MPH. 

$$

TNZ072-074-232100-
TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-
256 PM EST SAT DEC 22 2012

                      TONIGHT      SUN          SUN NIGHT    MON          

CLOUD COVER           CLEAR        PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      22-27 (+7)   45-50 (+7)   32-37        46-51        
RH % (24H TREND)      66-71 (-1)   30-35 (+7)   87-92        66-71        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  SW  7 G18                 S  8 G18     
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      SW  8 G18    SW  6 G15    SW  8 G18    
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         RAIN         RAIN         RAIN         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            20           80           80           
PRECIP DURATION                    1            5            5            
PRECIP BEGIN                       1 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.02         0.17         0.32         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               5                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4000                      3600         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 28                      SW 37        
DISPERSION                         23 FAIR                   18 GEN POOR  

REMARKS...NONE.

.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. AREAS OF FOG. SLIGHT CHANCE OF
RAIN. LOWS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.
.TUESDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO
MID 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY NIGHT...BREEZY...SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. SOUTH
WINDS 5 TO 25 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...SNOW SHOWERS AND SHOWERS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE MID
30S TO UPPER 40S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 20 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 20S TO LOWER 40S. NORTH WINDS UP TO
10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW. LOWS IN THE MID 20S.
HIGHS IN THE 30S TO UPPER 40S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS
IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S TO UPPER 40S. NORTHWEST
WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ087-102-232100-
SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
256 PM EST SAT DEC 22 2012

                      TONIGHT      SUN          SUN NIGHT    MON          

CLOUD COVER           CLEAR        PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      23-28 (+5)   49-54 (+5)   32-37        51-56        
RH % (24H TREND)      71-76 (+7)   28-33 (+4)   95-100       69-74        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  SW  5 G16                 S  7 G15     
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      SW  7 G16    S  6         SW  6        
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         RAIN         RAIN         RAIN         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            20           80           70           
PRECIP DURATION                    1            5            3            
PRECIP BEGIN                       1 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.02         0.20         0.31         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               5                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3400                      3000         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 22                      SW 31        
DISPERSION                         25 FAIR                   25 FAIR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. AREAS OF FOG. SLIGHT CHANCE OF
RAIN. LOWS NEAR 40. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO
THE SOUTHEAST AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
.TUESDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER
40S TO MID 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S. SOUTH
WINDS 5 TO 20 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...SHOWERS AND SNOW SHOWERS LIKELY. COLDER. HIGHS IN
THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 20 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE
LOWER 30S TO MID 40S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. LOWS IN THE MID
20S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS
IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 50S. NORTHWEST
WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

$$

NCZ060-061-232100-
NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-
256 PM EST SAT DEC 22 2012

                      TONIGHT      SUN          SUN NIGHT    MON          

CLOUD COVER           CLEAR        PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      22-27 (+5)   50-55 (+5)   31-36        52-57        
RH % (24H TREND)      70-75 (+4)   27-32 (+7)   95-100       66-71        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  SW  5                     S  6         
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      SW  6        LGT/VAR      SW  5        
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         RAIN         RAIN         RAIN         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            20           80           70           
PRECIP DURATION                    1            5            3            
PRECIP BEGIN                       1 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.02         0.16         0.34         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               5                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3800                      3400         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 21                      SW 30        
DISPERSION                         27 FAIR                   29 FAIR      
MAX LVORI                          3                         4            

REMARKS...NONE.

.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. AREAS OF FOG. SLIGHT CHANCE OF
RAIN. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH IN
THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 
.TUESDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO
UPPER 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO
15 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY AND CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. COLDER.
HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 20 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S
TO MID 40S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. LOWS IN THE MID
20S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS
IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP
TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-232100-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-
256 PM EST SAT DEC 22 2012

                      TONIGHT      SUN          SUN NIGHT    MON          

CLOUD COVER           CLEAR        PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      18-23 (-1)   48-53 (+11)  32-37        47-52        
RH % (24H TREND)      77-82 (+4)   34-39 (-4)   93-98        69-74        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  SW  5                     LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      SW  5        LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         RAIN         RAIN         RAIN         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            70           80           
PRECIP DURATION                                 2            5            
PRECIP BEGIN                                    CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END                                      CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.17         0.33         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               5                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 2700                      2300         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 25                      SW 32        
DISPERSION                         27 FAIR                   23 FAIR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. AREAS OF FOG. SLIGHT CHANCE OF
RAIN. LOWS IN THE 30S TO LOWER 40S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH
SHIFTING TO THE NORTH AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
.TUESDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER
40S TO MID 50S. EAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S.
SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY AND CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. HIGHS IN
THE 40S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 20 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS IN
THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO LOWER 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP
TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S.
HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS
IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO LOWER 50S. WEST WINDS
UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-232100-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-
256 PM EST SAT DEC 22 2012

                      TONIGHT      SUN          SUN NIGHT    MON          

CLOUD COVER           CLEAR        PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      22-27 (+3)   47-52 (+8)   35-40        49-54        
RH % (24H TREND)      74-79 (+1)   36-41 (+2)   91-96        65-70        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  SW  5                     S  5         
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      SW  6        S  5         SW  6        
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         RAIN         RAIN         RAIN         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            20           80           70           
PRECIP DURATION                    1            5            3            
PRECIP BEGIN                       1 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.02         0.22         0.29         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               4                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 2700                      2300         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 25                      SW 32        
DISPERSION                         32 FAIR                   29 FAIR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. AREAS OF FOG. SLIGHT CHANCE OF
RAIN. LOWS NEAR 40. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE
NORTH AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
.TUESDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S
TO UPPER 50S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S. SOUTH
WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...SHOWERS AND SNOW SHOWERS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO
UPPER 40S. WEST WINDS 10 TO 20 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS IN
THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 30S TO MID 40S. NORTH WINDS UP TO
10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. LOWS IN THE
UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO MID 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS
IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO MID 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP
TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-232100-
CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-
256 PM EST SAT DEC 22 2012 /156 PM CST SAT DEC 22 2012/

                      TONIGHT      SUN          SUN NIGHT    MON          

CLOUD COVER           CLEAR        PCLDY        CLOUDY       MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      24-29 (+4)   49-54 (+6)   36-41        52-57        
RH % (24H TREND)      80-85 (+13)  39-44 (+11)  95-100       65-70        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  SW  6                     S  7         
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      S  7 G15     S  6         SW  5        
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         RAIN         RAIN         RAIN         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            40           90           70           
PRECIP DURATION                    1            5            3            
PRECIP BEGIN                       7 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.03         0.30         0.24         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               5                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 2800                      2400         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 24                     SW 30        
DISPERSION                         35 FAIR                   33 FAIR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. AREAS OF FOG. SLIGHT CHANCE OF
RAIN. LOWS NEAR 40. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO
THE NORTHEAST AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 50S.
EAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE 30S TO LOWER 40S. SOUTH
WINDS 5 TO 20 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...BREEZY. MOSTLY CLOUDY. SHOWERS LIKELY AND CHANCE OF
SNOW SHOWERS. COLDER. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO MID 40S. NORTHWEST
WINDS 5 TO 25 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE
LOWER 30S TO MID 40S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. LOWS AROUND 30.
HIGHS IN THE LOWER 40S TO MID 50S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW. LOWS
AROUND 30. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP
TO 10 MPH. 

$$

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