
274 
FNUS54 KMRX 211950
FWFMRX

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST
VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN
250 PM EST FRI DEC 21 2012

.DISCUSSION...
NORTHWESTERLY WINDS CONTINUE TO BRING COLDER AIR INTO 
THE AREA TONIGHT.  SNOW WILL END EARLY TONIGHT WITH LIMITED 
ADDITIONAL ACCUMULATIONS. COLD WEATHER IS EXPECTED TONIGHT 
WITH LOWS IN THE TEENS AND 20S. DRY WEATHER RETURNS FOR THE SATURDAY 
ALONG WITH A WARMING TREND THIS WEEKEND. ANOTHER STRONG LOW PRESSURE 
SYSTEM WILL APPROACH EARLY NEXT WEEK BRINGING RAIN BACK INTO THE 
AREA.


VAZ001-002-005-006-008-222100-
JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-
250 PM EST FRI DEC 21 2012

                      TONIGHT      SAT          SAT NIGHT    SUN          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLEAR       MCLEAR       PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      16-21 (-8)   34-39 (+5)   18-23        45-50        
RH % (24H TREND)      81-86 (-16)  35-40 (-33)  74-79        33-38        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  W  9 G19                  SW  7 G15    
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W 17 G30     W  9 G19     SW  5        SW  7 G15    
PRECIP TYPE           FLURRIES     NONE         NONE         RAIN         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     30           0            0            20           
PRECIP DURATION       1                                      1            
PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM                                   1 PM         
PRECIP END            7 AM                                   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.02         0.00         0.00         0.01         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               4                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4000                      5400         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NW 28                     W 31         
DISPERSION                         47 GEN GOOD               90 GOOD      

REMARKS...NONE.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE 30S.
SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...RAIN LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE MID TO UPPER 40S. SOUTHWEST
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY NIGHT...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE MID 30S TO
LOWER 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...RAIN LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. EAST WINDS
UP TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...SNOW SHOWERS AND SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE MID
20S. HIGHS IN THE 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 20 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. COLDER. LOWS
IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 20S TO LOWER 40S. NORTHEAST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO
MID 40S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ018-041-043-045-047-222100-
NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
250 PM EST FRI DEC 21 2012

                      TONIGHT      SAT          SAT NIGHT    SUN          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLEAR       MCLEAR       PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      14-19 (-9)   34-39 (+6)   19-24        44-49        
RH % (24H TREND)      78-83 (-18)  30-35 (-29)  66-71        27-32        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  W 11 G24                  W  7         
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W 22 G43     W 11 G23     W  6         W  6         
PRECIP TYPE           FLURRIES     NONE         NONE         RAIN         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     30           0            0            20           
PRECIP DURATION       1                                      1            
PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM                                   1 PM         
PRECIP END            7 AM                                   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.02         0.00         0.00         0.01         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               4                         5            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4600                      6000         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NW 33                     W 30         
DISPERSION                         54 GEN GOOD               83 GOOD      

REMARKS...NONE.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE MID
30S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...RAIN LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 40S TO MID 50S.
SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY NIGHT...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE MID 30S TO
LOWER 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...RAIN LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 40S TO MID 50S.
SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...BREEZY. SNOW SHOWERS AND SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE
MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 25 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. COLDER. LOWS
IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID 20S TO LOWER 40S. NORTHEAST
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER
30S TO MID 40S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ072-074-222100-
TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-
250 PM EST FRI DEC 21 2012

                      TONIGHT      SAT          SAT NIGHT    SUN          

CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       CLEAR        MCLEAR       PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      14-19 (-9)   36-41 (+5)   21-26        43-48        
RH % (24H TREND)      72-77 (-16)  26-31 (-19)  66-71        31-36        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  W  6 G16                  SW  8 G18    
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W 16 G35     W  6 G16     SW  6        SW  8 G18    
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         RAIN         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            30           
PRECIP DURATION                                              1            
PRECIP BEGIN                                                 1 PM         
PRECIP END                                                   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.01         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               4                         5            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4400                      5800         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NW 24                     W 31         
DISPERSION                         24 FAIR                   71 GOOD      

REMARKS...NONE.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...RAIN LIKELY. LOWS IN THE 30S. SOUTHWEST WINDS
5 TO 15 MPH. 
.MONDAY...RAIN LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO MID 50S. SOUTHWEST
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY NIGHT...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE MID 30S TO
LOWER 40S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTHEAST
AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
.TUESDAY...RAIN LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S.
SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...SNOW SHOWERS AND SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE LOWER
20S. HIGHS IN THE 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. COLDER. LOWS
IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID 20S TO LOWER 40S. EAST WINDS
UP TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO
MID 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ087-102-222100-
SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
250 PM EST FRI DEC 21 2012

                      TONIGHT      SAT          SAT NIGHT    SUN          

CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       CLEAR        MCLEAR       PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      17-22 (-9)   41-46 (+5)   21-26        48-53        
RH % (24H TREND)      69-74 (-13)  25-30 (-9)   77-82        29-34        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  NW  5                     SW  6 G16    
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW 12 G24    LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      SW  7 G16    
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         RAIN         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            30           
PRECIP DURATION                                              1            
PRECIP BEGIN                                                 1 PM         
PRECIP END                                                   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.01         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               4                         5            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3800                      5200         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NW 23                     SW 26        
DISPERSION                         31 FAIR                   70 GOOD      

REMARKS...NONE.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...RAIN LIKELY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. SOUTH WINDS
5 TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...RAIN LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO MID 50S. SOUTHWEST
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY NIGHT...CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE UPPER
30S TO MID 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE
NORTHEAST AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
.TUESDAY...RAIN LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO UPPER 50S. SOUTHEAST
WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...SNOW SHOWERS AND SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE UPPER
20S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS IN
THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 20S TO MID 40S. EAST WINDS UP
TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER
30S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

NCZ060-061-222100-
NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-
250 PM EST FRI DEC 21 2012

                      TONIGHT      SAT          SAT NIGHT    SUN          

CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       CLEAR        MCLEAR       PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      16-21 (-10)  42-47 (+6)   20-25        49-54        
RH % (24H TREND)      70-75 (-21)  23-28 (-12)  78-83        27-32        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  NW  8 G16                 W  5         
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW 15 G27    NW  7 G16    LGT/VAR      SW  6        
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         RAIN         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            30           
PRECIP DURATION                                              1            
PRECIP BEGIN                                                 1 PM         
PRECIP END                                                   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.01         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               4                         5            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4100                      5500         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NW 29                     W 25         
DISPERSION                         45 GEN GOOD               69 GOOD      
MAX LVORI                          2                         2            

REMARKS...NONE.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...RAIN LIKELY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. SOUTH WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...RAIN LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. WEST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY NIGHT...CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE LOWER
40S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH IN THE EVENING BECOMING
LIGHT. 
.TUESDAY...RAIN LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO
10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...SNOW SHOWERS AND SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE UPPER
20S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE
LOWER 30S TO MID 40S. EAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER
30S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-222100-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-
250 PM EST FRI DEC 21 2012

                      TONIGHT      SAT          SAT NIGHT    SUN          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLEAR       MCLEAR       PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      17-22 (-9)   37-42 (+5)   18-23        46-51        
RH % (24H TREND)      75-80 (-20)  31-36 (-24)  77-82        32-37        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  W  8 G15                  SW  5        
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W 15 G30     W  7 G15     LGT/VAR      SW  5        
PRECIP TYPE           SNOW SHOWERS NONE         NONE         RAIN         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     10           0            0            20           
PRECIP DURATION       1                                      1            
PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM                                   1 PM         
PRECIP END            7 AM                                   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.01         0.00         0.00         0.01         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               4                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3700                      5100         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NW 21                     W 29         
DISPERSION                         40 FAIR                   88 GOOD      

REMARKS...NONE.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE 30S.
SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...RAIN LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO MID 50S. SOUTHWEST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY NIGHT...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE MID 30S TO
LOWER 40S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...RAIN LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO MID 50S. EAST WINDS
UP TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...SNOW SHOWERS AND SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE UPPER
20S. HIGHS IN THE 40S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 20 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. COLDER.
LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 20S TO LOWER 40S.
NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID
30S TO UPPER 40S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-222100-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-
250 PM EST FRI DEC 21 2012

                      TONIGHT      SAT          SAT NIGHT    SUN          

CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       CLEAR        MCLEAR       PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      17-22 (-8)   39-44 (+4)   22-27        46-51        
RH % (24H TREND)      75-80 (-4)   30-35 (-11)  74-79        35-40        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  W  5                      SW  6        
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W 12 G27     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      SW  6        
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         RAIN         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            30           
PRECIP DURATION                                              1            
PRECIP BEGIN                                                 7 AM         
PRECIP END                                                   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.01         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               4                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3000                      4400         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NW 17                     SW 31        
DISPERSION                         25 FAIR                   84 GOOD      

REMARKS...NONE.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...RAIN LIKELY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. SOUTH WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...RAIN LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S.
SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY NIGHT...CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE UPPER
30S TO MID 40S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...RAIN LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 40S TO MID 50S.
SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...SNOW SHOWERS AND SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE UPPER
20S. HIGHS IN THE 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 20 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS IN
THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 30S TO MID 40S. NORTHEAST WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S
TO UPPER 40S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-222100-
CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-
250 PM EST FRI DEC 21 2012 /150 PM CST FRI DEC 21 2012/

                      TONIGHT      SAT          SAT NIGHT    SUN          

CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       CLEAR        MCLEAR       PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      18-23 (-8)   42-47 (+3)   23-28        48-53        
RH % (24H TREND)      71-76 (-1)   26-31 (-6)   81-86        39-44        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  NW  5                     SW  6        
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW 12 G27    LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      S  7 G15     
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         RAIN         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            40           
PRECIP DURATION                                              1            
PRECIP BEGIN                                                 7 AM         
PRECIP END                                                   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.02         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               4                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 2600                      4000         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NW 20                     SW 30        
DISPERSION                         24 FAIR                   73 GOOD      

REMARKS...NONE.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...RAIN LIKELY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S.
SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...RAIN LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE 50S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH. 
.MONDAY NIGHT...CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE LOWER
TO MID 40S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...RAIN LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO UPPER 50S.
SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...SNOW SHOWERS AND SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE UPPER
20S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 20 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S
TO MID 40S. NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 40S
TO LOWER 50S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

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