
490 
FNUS54 KMRX 210901
FWFMRX

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST
VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN
401 AM EST FRI DEC 21 2012

.DISCUSSION...
STRONG NORTHWESTERLY WINDS WILL BRING COLDER AIR INTO THE SOUTHERN 
APPALACHIAN REGION TODAY AND TONIGHT...WITH SCATTERED SNOW SHOWERS 
OR FLURRIES AND WINDY CONDITIONS EXPECTED. A WARMING TREND WILL THEN 
DEVELOP THIS WEEKEND...WITH ANOTHER STRONG LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM EARLY 
NEXT WEEK BRINGING RAIN BACK INTO THE AREA.

VAZ001-002-005-006-008-221000-
JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-
401 AM EST FRI DEC 21 2012

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SAT          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLEAR       
TEMP (24H TREND)      29-34 (-18)  16-21 (-8)   35-40        
RH % (24H TREND)      58-63 (-8)   84-89 (-13)  30-35        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     W 18 G31                  W 10 G21     
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W 19 G32     W 17 G31     W 10 G20     
PRECIP TYPE           SNOW SHOWERS SNOW SHOWERS NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     60           20           0            
PRECIP DURATION       3            1                         
PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM         CONTINUING                
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   12 AM                     
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.07         0.01         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  2                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4200                      4300         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 44                      NW 32        
DISPERSION            80 GOOD                   63 GOOD      

REMARKS...NONE.

.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 19 TO 26. SOUTH WINDS UP TO
10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO LOWER 50S.
SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SLIGHT
CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE 20S TO UPPER 30S. SOUTH WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO
LOWER 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS
IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. EAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY AND CHANCE OF SNOW. LOWS IN THE UPPER
20S. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S TO UPPER 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO
20 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW. LOWS IN THE MID 20S.
HIGHS IN THE MID 20S TO UPPER 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 20 MPH. 

$$

TNZ018-041-043-045-047-221000-
NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
401 AM EST FRI DEC 21 2012

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SAT          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        MCLEAR       
TEMP (24H TREND)      28-33 (-19)  14-19 (-9)   35-40        
RH % (24H TREND)      50-55 (-12)  76-81 (-20)  25-30        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     W 23 G42                  W 12 G29     
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W 25 G44     W 22 G45     W 13 G25     
PRECIP TYPE           SNOW SHOWERS SNOW SHOWERS NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     60           20           0            
PRECIP DURATION       3            1                         
PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM         CONTINUING                
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   12 AM                     
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.08         0.01         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  2                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4300                      4900         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 52                      NW 38        
DISPERSION            68 GOOD                   72 GOOD      

REMARKS...NONE.

.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 19 TO 25. SOUTHWEST WINDS
5 TO 15 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO LOWER 50S.
SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN
THE 30S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO
MID 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE
LOWER 40S TO MID 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...BREEZY. SHOWERS AND SNOW LIKELY. LOWS IN THE UPPER
20S. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S TO UPPER 40S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 25 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...WINDY. MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW. LOWS IN THE MID
20S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 20S TO LOWER 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO
30 MPH. 

$$

TNZ072-074-221000-
TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-
401 AM EST FRI DEC 21 2012

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SAT          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        MCLEAR       
TEMP (24H TREND)      31-36 (-16)  15-20 (-8)   37-42        
RH % (24H TREND)      41-46 (-26)  70-75 (-18)  16-21        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     W 21 G40                  NW  7 G21    
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W 22 G41     W 15 G36     W  7 G17     
PRECIP TYPE           SNOW SHOWERS NONE         NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     30           0            0            
PRECIP DURATION       1                                      
PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM                                   
PRECIP END            7 PM                                   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.04         0.00         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  2                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4500                      4700         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 44                      NW 29        
DISPERSION            50 GEN GOOD               37 FAIR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 20S. SOUTHWEST WINDS
UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTHWEST
WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN
THE 30S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S
TO LOWER 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE
40S TO MID 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...SHOWERS AND SNOW LIKELY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S.
HIGHS IN THE MID 30S TO UPPER 40S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 20 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW. LOWS IN THE MID
20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO LOWER 40S. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

$$

TNZ087-102-221000-
SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
401 AM EST FRI DEC 21 2012

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SAT          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLEAR       CLEAR        
TEMP (24H TREND)      36-41 (-14)  17-22 (-9)   42-47        
RH % (24H TREND)      30-35 (-36)  60-65 (-22)  14-19        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     W 16 G29                  NW  6 G15    
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W 16 G30     W 11 G26     NW  6        
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      NONE         NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           0            0            
PRECIP DURATION       1                                      
PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM                                   
PRECIP END            7 PM                                   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.02         0.00         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  2                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4300                      4100         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 36                      NW 26        
DISPERSION            66 GOOD                   43 GEN GOOD  

REMARKS...NONE.

.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 20S TO LOWER 30S.
SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTHWEST
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. NOT AS COOL.
LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO
MID 50S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS AROUND 40. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S
TO UPPER 50S. EAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY AND CHANCE OF SNOW. LOWS IN THE UPPER
20S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 20 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW. LOWS IN THE MID
20S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 30S TO MID 40S. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

$$

NCZ060-061-221000-
NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-
401 AM EST FRI DEC 21 2012

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SAT          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLEAR       CLEAR        
TEMP (24H TREND)      36-41 (-12)  16-21 (-10)  43-48        
RH % (24H TREND)      31-36 (-38)  58-63 (-33)  11-16        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     W 18 G32                  NW  9 G18    
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW 19 G33    NW 15 G29    NW  8 G17    
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      NONE         NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           0            0            
PRECIP DURATION       1                                      
PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM                                   
PRECIP END            7 PM                                   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.02         0.00         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  2                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4400                      4400         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   NW 39                     NW 36        
DISPERSION            70 GOOD                   64 GOOD      
MAX LVORI             3                         1            

REMARKS...NONE.

.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 20S. NORTHWEST WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTHEAST AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 40S TO MID 50S.
SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. NOT AS COOL.
LOWS IN THE MID 30S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO
MID 50S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE
40S TO MID 50S. EAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY AND CHANCE OF SNOW. LOWS AROUND 30.
HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 20 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW. LOWS IN THE MID
20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO MID 40S. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

$$

TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-221000-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-
401 AM EST FRI DEC 21 2012

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SAT          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        MCLEAR       
TEMP (24H TREND)      32-37 (-17)  17-22 (-9)   38-43        
RH % (24H TREND)      45-50 (-12)  76-81 (-19)  25-30        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     W 19 G33                  W  8 G17     
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W 20 G34     W 14 G30     W  9 G17     
PRECIP TYPE           SNOW SHOWERS NONE         NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     60           0            0            
PRECIP DURATION       2                                      
PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM                                   
PRECIP END            7 PM                                   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.04         0.00         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  2                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4100                      4000         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 43                      NW 24        
DISPERSION            97 GOOD                   51 GEN GOOD  

REMARKS...NONE.

.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 18 TO 26. SOUTH WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTHWEST
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN
THE 30S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO
MID 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S.
HIGHS IN THE 40S TO MID 50S. EAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY AND CHANCE OF SNOW. LOWS AROUND 30.
HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO LOWER 50S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 20 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF
SNOW. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 20S TO LOWER 40S.
WEST WINDS 5 TO 20 MPH. 

$$

TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-221000-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-
401 AM EST FRI DEC 21 2012

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SAT          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        MCLEAR       
TEMP (24H TREND)      35-40 (-13)  17-22 (-8)   40-45        
RH % (24H TREND)      34-39 (-30)  71-76 (-8)   24-29        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     W 17 G30                  W  5         
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W 17 G30     W 12 G27     W  6         
PRECIP TYPE           SNOW SHOWERS NONE         NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           0            0            
PRECIP DURATION       1                                      
PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM                                   
PRECIP END            7 PM                                   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.02         0.00         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  2                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4100                      3300         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 39                      NW 20        
DISPERSION            96 GOOD                   35 FAIR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 20S. SOUTH WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO MID 50S. SOUTHWEST
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY NIGHT...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 30S TO
LOWER 40S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER
40S TO MID 50S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S.
HIGHS IN THE 40S TO 50S. NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY AND CHANCE OF SNOW. LOWS IN THE UPPER
20S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO LOWER 50S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH.
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. LOWS
IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 30S TO MID 40S. NORTHWEST
WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

$$

TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-221000-
CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-
401 AM EST FRI DEC 21 2012 /301 AM CST FRI DEC 21 2012/

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SAT          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLEAR       CLEAR        
TEMP (24H TREND)      39-44 (-9)   18-23 (-8)   43-48        
RH % (24H TREND)      25-30 (-33)  67-72 (-5)   19-24        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     W 17 G30                  NW  6 G15    
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W 16 G30     NW 12 G28    NW  5        
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            
PRECIP DURATION                                              
PRECIP BEGIN                                                 
PRECIP END                                                   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  3                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4000                      2900         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   NW 39                     NW 22        
DISPERSION            95 GOOD                   33 FAIR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 20S. SOUTH WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO MID 50S. SOUTHWEST
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY NIGHT...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 30S TO
LOWER 40S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO UPPER
50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S.
HIGHS IN THE 40S TO UPPER 50S. NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...BREEZY. SHOWERS LIKELY AND CHANCE OF SNOW. LOWS
AROUND 30. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO
25 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE
30S TO UPPER 40S. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

$$

TG/TD

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