
234 
FNUS54 KMRX 200905
FWFMRX

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST
VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN
405 AM EST THU DEC 20 2012

...HIGH WIND WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM EST THIS
AFTERNOON FOR THE FOOTHILLS AND HIGHER ELEVATIONS OF THE EAST TN 
MOUNTAINS AND RUSSELL AND WASHINGTON COUTNIEST OF SW VA...
...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 4 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO 7 PM EST
FRIDAY FOR THE FOOTHILLS AND HIGHER ELEVATIONS OF THE EAST TN 
MOUNTAINS AND RUSSELL AND WASHINGTON COUTNIEST OF SW VA...
...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM EST /9 AM CST/ THIS MORNING
TO 7 PM EST /6 PM CST/ FRIDAY FOR THE REST OF THE AREA...

.DISCUSSION...
A STRONG COLD FRONT WILL TRACK INTO THE AREA TODAY. AS 
THE FRONT MOVES IN....WINDS WILL INCREASE...BECOMING QUIET STRONG 
ACROSS THE ENTIRE SOUTHERN APPALACHIAN REGION WITH THE STRONGEST 
WINDS ALONG THE FOOTHILLS AND HIGHER ELEVATIONS. ADDITIONALLY...A 
LARGE BAND OF SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS WILL MOVE IN DURING 
THE AFTERNOON.


VAZ001-002-005-006-008-211015-
JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-
405 AM EST THU DEC 20 2012

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      FRI          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      51-56 (-1)   24-29 (-13)  31-36        
RH % (24H TREND)      55-60 (+10)  86-91 (+13)  43-48        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SE 13 G29                 W 17 G29     
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S 18 G33     SW 14 G25    W 18 G30     
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        SHOWERS      SNOW SHOWERS 
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     100          60           50           
PRECIP DURATION       5            2            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.31         0.05         0.03         
LAL                   3            1            1            
LASI                  2                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3500                      4900         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   S 41                      W 44         
DISPERSION            54 GEN GOOD               106 VERY GOOD

REMARKS...NONE.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS.
LOWS 15 TO 21. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 30S TO MID 40S. WEST WINDS
5 TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 20S. SOUTHWEST WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTH
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER
30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER
30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO LOWER 50S. EAST WINDS UP TO
10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW SHOWERS.
LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 50S.
SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ018-041-043-045-047-211015-
NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
405 AM EST THU DEC 20 2012

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      FRI          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      50-55 (-2)   23-28 (-11)  30-35        
RH % (24H TREND)      55-60 (+12)  89-94 (+7)   43-48        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SE 17 G38                 W 21 G37     
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S 21 G41     W 15 G29     W 21 G37     
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        SHOWERS      SNOW SHOWERS 
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     100          70           50           
PRECIP DURATION       5            3            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.32         0.06         0.02         
LAL                   3            1            1            
LASI                  2                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3600                      5000         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   S 44                      W 48         
DISPERSION            32 FAIR                   93 GOOD      

REMARKS...NONE.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS.
LOWS 13 TO 20. WEST WINDS 5 TO 20 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO 40S. WEST WINDS 5 TO
15 MPH. 
.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 20S. WEST WINDS 5 TO
15 MPH DECREASING TO LESS THAN 10 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO LOWER 50S.
SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER
30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER
30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO
10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW SHOWERS.
LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 40S TO MID 50S. WEST
WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

$$

TNZ072-074-211015-
TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-
405 AM EST THU DEC 20 2012

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      FRI          

CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       MCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      51-56 (-5)   22-27 (-15)  32-37        
RH % (24H TREND)      54-59 (+14)  84-89 (-3)   38-43        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     S 20 G44                  W 19 G36     
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S 20 G45     W 17 G33     W 18 G35     
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        SHOWERS      SNOW SHOWERS 
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     100          60           40           
PRECIP DURATION       4            5            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.42         0.03         0.02         
LAL                   3            1            1            
LASI                  3                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3800                      5000         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   S 47                      W 43         
DISPERSION            29 FAIR                   71 GOOD      

REMARKS...NONE.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS 14 TO 23. WEST WINDS 10 TO
20 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO 40S. WEST WINDS UP TO
10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 20S TO LOWER 30S.
SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE
MID 30S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER
40S. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO MID 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER
40S. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO MID 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW SHOWERS.
LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 40S TO MID 50S.
SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

$$

TNZ087-102-211015-
SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
405 AM EST THU DEC 20 2012

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      FRI          

CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       MCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      53-58 (-7)   23-28 (-17)  37-42        
RH % (24H TREND)      54-59 (+16)  80-85 (-9)   33-38        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SE 15 G36                 W 14 G27     
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S 16 G37     W 14 G26     W 15 G27     
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        SHOWERS      NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     100          30           0            
PRECIP DURATION       3            1                         
PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM         CONTINUING                
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING                
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.43         0.02         0.00         
LAL                   3            1            1            
LASI                  3                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3400                      4900         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   S 43                      NW 38        
DISPERSION            47 GEN GOOD               94 GOOD      

REMARKS...NONE.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. NORTHWEST
WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS
UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 20S TO LOWER 30S.
SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE
LOWER 40S TO MID 50S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER
40S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 40S TO MID 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER
40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO UPPER 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO
15 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW SHOWERS.
LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO 50S. WEST WINDS 5 TO
15 MPH. 

$$

NCZ060-061-211015-
NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-
405 AM EST THU DEC 20 2012

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      FRI          

CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       MCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      52-57 (-6)   23-28 (-17)  36-41        
RH % (24H TREND)      55-60 (+15)  80-85 (-9)   35-40        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SE 13 G27                 W 15 G26     
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S 14 G28     W 14 G23     W 15 G26     
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        SHOWERS      NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     100          50           0            
PRECIP DURATION       4            1                         
PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM         CONTINUING                
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   7 AM                      
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.46         0.02         0.00         
LAL                   3            1            1            
LASI                  2                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3500                      5100         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   S 39                      NW 41        
DISPERSION            41 GEN GOOD               99 GOOD      
MAX LVORI             4                         3            

REMARKS...NONE.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS AROUND 19. NORTHWEST WINDS
5 TO 15 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS
UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 20S TO LOWER 30S.
WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE
LOWER 40S TO MID 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 40S.
HIGHS IN THE 40S TO MID 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER
40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO UPPER 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO
10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW SHOWERS.
LOWS AROUND 30. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO MID 50S. WEST WINDS 5 TO
10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-211015-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-
405 AM EST THU DEC 20 2012

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      FRI          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      53-58 (-3)   25-30 (-12)  33-38        
RH % (24H TREND)      56-61 (+13)  86-91 (+11)  40-45        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SE 13 G31                 W 17 G29     
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S 17 G34     SW 15 G26    W 18 G30     
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        SHOWERS      SNOW SHOWERS 
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     100          50           20           
PRECIP DURATION       5            1            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   7 PM         
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.33         0.04         0.01         
LAL                   3            1            1            
LASI                  2                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3300                      4800         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   S 40                      W 43         
DISPERSION            64 GOOD                   123 VERY GOOD

REMARKS...NONE.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS 15 TO 22. WEST WINDS 5 TO
15 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S TO UPPER 40S. WEST WINDS
UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 20S. SOUTHWEST WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTH
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER
30S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 40S TO MID 50S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND 40.
HIGHS IN THE LOWER 40S TO MID 50S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER
30S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 40S TO MID 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO
10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-211015-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-
405 AM EST THU DEC 20 2012

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      FRI          

CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       MCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      54-59 (-4)   25-30 (-17)  36-41        
RH % (24H TREND)      54-59 (+13)  79-84 (0)    37-42        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     S 12 G28                  W 15 G27     
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW 16 G30    W 15 G25     W 15 G26     
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        SHOWERS      NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     100          30           0            
PRECIP DURATION       3            1                         
PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM         CONTINUING                
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING                
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.37         0.02         0.00         
LAL                   3            1            1            
LASI                  3                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3300                      4800         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   S 41                      W 40         
DISPERSION            73 GOOD                   123 VERY GOOD

REMARKS...NONE.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 16 TO 23. WEST WINDS 5 TO
15 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. WEST WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 20S TO LOWER 30S.
SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE
40S TO MID 50S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER
40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER
40S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO UPPER 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID
30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO UPPER 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.

$$

TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-211015-
CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-
405 AM EST THU DEC 20 2012 /305 AM CST THU DEC 20 2012/

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      FRI          

CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       PCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      55-60 (-4)   25-30 (-18)  39-44        
RH % (24H TREND)      54-59 (+12)  76-81 (-15)  33-38        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     S 13 G27                  W 15 G27     
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW 16 G28    W 14 G26     W 15 G28     
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        SHOWERS      NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     100          20           0            
PRECIP DURATION       4            1                         
PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM         CONTINUING                
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   12 AM                     
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.39         0.01         0.00         
LAL                   3            1            1            
LASI                  3                         5            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3700                      4700         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   S 41                      NW 40        
DISPERSION            91 GOOD                   125 VERY GOOD

REMARKS...NONE.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 20S. NORTHWEST WINDS
5 TO 15 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTHWEST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 20S TO LOWER 30S.
SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER
40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER
40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID
30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

$$

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