
917 
FNUS54 KMRX 192046
FWFMRX

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST
VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN
346 PM EST WED DEC 19 2012

.DISCUSSION...
HIGH PRESSURE ACROSS THE REGION  PUSHING OUT OF THE AREA 
ALLOWING FOR A STRONG COLD FRONT TO TRACK INTO THE AREA ON THURSDAY. 
AS THE FRONT TRACKS INTO THE AREA....SOUTHERLY WINDS WILL INCREASE...BECOMING 
QUITE STRONG ALONG THE FOOTHILLS AND HIGHER ELEVATIONS. A LARGE BAND 
OF SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS WILL MOVE IN EARLY THURSDAY.
STIFF NORTHWEST WINDS WILL CONTINUE BEHIND THE FRONT.


VAZ001-002-005-006-008-202200-
JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-
346 PM EST WED DEC 19 2012

                      TONIGHT      THU          THU NIGHT    FRI          

CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      37-42 (+7)   51-56 (-2)   27-32        30-35        
RH % (24H TREND)      76-81 (-13)  46-51 (+2)   95-100       51-56        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  SE 11 G24                 W 18 G33     
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      S 16 G29     SW 11 G24    W 19 G34     
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         TSTMS        SHOWERS      SNOW SHOWERS 
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            90           60           50           
PRECIP DURATION                    5            2            1            
PRECIP BEGIN                       7 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.43         0.02         0.03         
LAL                   1            3            1            1            
LASI                               3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3400                      5200         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                S 40                      W 43         
DISPERSION                         48 GEN GOOD               118 VERY GOOD

REMARKS...NONE.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS.
LOWS 19 TO 24. WEST WINDS 10 TO 20 MPH DECREASING TO 5 TO 15 MPH
AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
.SATURDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 30S TO MID 40S. WEST WINDS
UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 20S TO LOWER 30S.
SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO LOWER 50S.
SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER
30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO LOWER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER
30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO
15 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID
30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S TO UPPER 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO
15 MPH. 

$$

TNZ018-041-043-045-047-202200-
NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
346 PM EST WED DEC 19 2012

                      TONIGHT      THU          THU NIGHT    FRI          

CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      34-39 (+5)   51-56 (-1)   25-30        28-33        
RH % (24H TREND)      86-91 (+4)   49-54 (+6)   95-100       43-48        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  S 19 G38                  W 22 G40     
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      S 21 G40     SW 11 G27    W 23 G41     
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         TSTMS        SHOWERS      SNOW SHOWERS 
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            90           60           50           
PRECIP DURATION                    5            3            1            
PRECIP BEGIN                       7 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.51         0.02         0.02         
LAL                   1            4            1            1            
LASI                               3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3500                      5500         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                S 44                      W 51         
DISPERSION                         27 FAIR                   118 VERY GOOD

REMARKS...NONE.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...BREEZY. MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW
SHOWERS. LOWS 17 TO 22. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 25 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO 40S. WEST WINDS UP TO
10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 20S. WEST WINDS UP TO
10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO LOWER 50S.
SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER
30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 50S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 30S.
HIGHS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID
30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S TO UPPER 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO
20 MPH. 

$$

TNZ072-074-202200-
TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-
346 PM EST WED DEC 19 2012

                      TONIGHT      THU          THU NIGHT    FRI          

CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      37-42 (+6)   51-56 (-2)   22-27        30-35        
RH % (24H TREND)      93-98 (+19)  55-60 (+12)  95-100       36-41        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  S 21 G47                  W 15 G29     
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S  5         S 21 G46     W 13 G24     W 15 G30     
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         TSTMS        SHOWERS      SNOW SHOWERS 
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            90           50           40           
PRECIP DURATION                    5            1            1            
PRECIP BEGIN                       7 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   7 PM         
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.52         0.02         0.02         
LAL                   1            5            1            1            
LASI                               2                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3700                      5500         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                S 47                      W 43         
DISPERSION                         25 FAIR                   88 GOOD      

REMARKS...NONE.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS 15 TO 21. NORTHWEST WINDS
5 TO 15 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO 40S. WEST WINDS UP TO
10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 20S. SOUTHWEST WINDS
UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTHWEST
WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER
30S. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO LOWER 50S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER
30S. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS 10 TO 20 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID
30S. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO 40S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 20 MPH. 

$$

TNZ087-102-202200-
SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
346 PM EST WED DEC 19 2012

                      TONIGHT      THU          THU NIGHT    FRI          

CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       CLOUDY       PCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      40-45 (+11)  53-58 (-5)   25-30        36-41        
RH % (24H TREND)      92-97 (+3)   61-66 (+21)  80-85        31-36        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  SE 15 G29                 W 14 G27     
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SE  5        S 15 G29     W 13 G24     NW 14 G27    
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         TSTMS        SHOWERS      NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            90           30           0            
PRECIP DURATION                    8            1                         
PRECIP BEGIN                       7 AM         CONTINUING                
PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   CONTINUING                
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.55         0.01         0.00         
LAL                   1            5            1            1            
LASI                               2                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3200                      5200         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                S 40                      NW 35        
DISPERSION                         37 FAIR                   94 GOOD      

REMARKS...NONE.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS 16 TO 23. NORTHWEST WINDS
5 TO 15 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO LOWER 50S. NORTHWEST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 20S TO LOWER 30S.
SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 40S TO MID 50S. SOUTH
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER
40S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 40S TO MID 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO
10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER
30S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 40S TO MID 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO
20 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID
30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 50S. WEST WINDS 10 TO 20 MPH. 

$$

NCZ060-061-202200-
NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-
346 PM EST WED DEC 19 2012

                      TONIGHT      THU          THU NIGHT    FRI          

CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       MCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      40-45 (+13)  51-56 (-7)   26-31        37-42        
RH % (24H TREND)      92-97 (+1)   63-68 (+23)  90-95        27-32        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  SE 12 G23                 NW 15 G27    
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      S 12 G22     W 13 G23     NW 15 G28    
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         TSTMS        SHOWERS      NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            100          40           0            
PRECIP DURATION                    8            1                         
PRECIP BEGIN                       7 AM         CONTINUING                
PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   7 AM                      
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.68         0.01         0.00         
LAL                   1            5            1            1            
LASI                               2                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3300                      5900         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                S 36                      NW 40        
DISPERSION                         33 FAIR                   125 VERY GOOD
MAX LVORI                          5                         1            

REMARKS...NONE.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 16 TO 22. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO
15 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS
UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 20S. WEST WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 40S TO MID 50S. SOUTH
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER
40S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 40S TO MID 50S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER
30S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 40S TO MID 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO
15 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID
30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO LOWER 50S. WEST WINDS 10 TO
15 MPH. 

$$

TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-202200-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-
346 PM EST WED DEC 19 2012

                      TONIGHT      THU          THU NIGHT    FRI          

CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      37-42 (+10)  55-60 (+1)   28-33        34-39        
RH % (24H TREND)      79-84 (-16)  45-50 (0)    95-100       39-44        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  SE 10 G25                 W 18 G33     
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      S 15 G29     SW 11 G24    W 18 G33     
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         TSTMS        SHOWERS      SNOW SHOWERS 
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            90           30           20           
PRECIP DURATION                    5            1            1            
PRECIP BEGIN                       7 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   7 PM         
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.40         0.02         0.01         
LAL                   1            3            1            1            
LASI                               2                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3100                      5300         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                S 39                      W 41         
DISPERSION                         56 GEN GOOD               137 VERY GOOD

REMARKS...NONE.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS 19 TO 24. WEST WINDS 10 TO
15 MPH DECREASING TO 5 TO 15 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
.SATURDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S TO UPPER 40S. WEST WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER TO MID 20S.
SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 40S TO MID 50S.
SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER
30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER
30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID
30S. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO UPPER 40S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

$$

TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-202200-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-
346 PM EST WED DEC 19 2012

                      TONIGHT      THU          THU NIGHT    FRI          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      42-47 (+11)  54-59 (-3)   26-31        37-42        
RH % (24H TREND)      85-90 (-6)   55-60 (+12)  83-88        33-38        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  S 10 G22                  W 15 G27     
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      SW 14 G26    W 13 G25     W 14 G28     
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         TSTMS        SHOWERS      NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            90           20           0            
PRECIP DURATION                    5            1                         
PRECIP BEGIN                       7 AM         CONTINUING                
PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   CONTINUING                
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.45         0.01         0.00         
LAL                   1            5            1            1            
LASI                               2                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3100                      4700         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                S 41                      W 37         
DISPERSION                         64 GOOD                   109 VERY GOOD

REMARKS...NONE.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS 19 TO 29. WEST WINDS UP TO
10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. WEST WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 20S. SOUTHWEST WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 40S TO MID 50S. SOUTH
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND 40. HIGHS
IN THE LOWER 40S TO MID 50S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND 40.
HIGHS IN THE LOWER 40S TO MID 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID
30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO LOWER 50S. WEST WINDS 10 TO
15 MPH. 

$$

TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-202200-
CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-
346 PM EST WED DEC 19 2012 /246 PM CST WED DEC 19 2012/

                      TONIGHT      THU          THU NIGHT    FRI          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        CLOUDY       PCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      43-48 (+11)  55-60 (-6)   26-31        39-44        
RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (+5)  48-53 (+9)   78-83        29-34        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  S 13 G24                  W 15 G28     
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S  6 G16     SW 15 G30    W 13 G24     NW 15 G29    
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         TSTMS        SHOWERS      NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            90           0            0            
PRECIP DURATION                    8                                      
PRECIP BEGIN                       CONTINUING                             
PRECIP END                         CONTINUING                             
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.53         0.00         0.00         
LAL                   1            5            1            1            
LASI                               2                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3100                      3900         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                S 40                      NW 36        
DISPERSION                         67 GOOD                   85 GOOD      

REMARKS...NONE.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 20S. NORTHWEST WINDS
5 TO 15 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. WEST WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 20S. SOUTHWEST WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. SOUTH
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER
40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO
10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER
40S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO MID 50S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. WEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH. 

$$

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