
531 
FNUS54 KMRX 190936
FWFMRX

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST
VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN
436 AM EST WED DEC 19 2012

.DISCUSSION...
ONE MORE WARM AND DRY DAY WITH HIGH PRESSURE OVER THE SOUTHERN 
APPALACHIAN REGION.  THEN...WE WILL MOVE INTO AN ACTIVE WEATHER 
PATTERN FOR TONIGHT AND THURSDAY...AS A STRONG COLD FRONT MOVES INTO 
THE AREA.  AS THE FRONT APPROACHES...WINDS WILL INCREASE...BECOMING 
QUITE STRONG ALONG THE FOOTHILLS AND HIGHER ELEVATIONS.  
ADDITIONALLY...A LARGE BAND OF SHOWERS AND POSSIBLY A STRAY 
THUNDERSTORM WILL MOVE IN THURSDAY AFTERNOON.


VAZ001-002-005-006-008-201045-
JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-
436 AM EST WED DEC 19 2012

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      THU          

CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       PCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      53-58 (+9)   36-41 (+6)   50-55        
RH % (24H TREND)      42-47 (-17)  87-92 (-2)   53-58        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   SE 11 G24    
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW  5        LGT/VAR      S 15 G29     
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            90           
PRECIP DURATION                                 5            
PRECIP BEGIN                                    7 AM         
PRECIP END                                      CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.47         
LAL                   1            1            3            
LASI                  5                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4200                      4300         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 17                      S 35         
DISPERSION            31 FAIR                   68 GOOD      

REMARKS...NONE.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...SNOW SHOWERS AND SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE
20S TO LOWER 30S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE MID
20S TO UPPER 30S. WEST WINDS 15 TO 20 MPH. 
.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS.
LOWS 19 TO 25. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO MID 40S. SOUTHWEST
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 30S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S.
HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S.
HIGHS IN THE LOWER 40S TO MID 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ018-041-043-045-047-201045-
NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
436 AM EST WED DEC 19 2012

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      THU          

CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       PCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      52-57 (+8)   35-40 (+6)   49-54        
RH % (24H TREND)      41-46 (-10)  85-90 (+3)   52-57        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     W  6                      S 19 G38     
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W  5         LGT/VAR      S 21 G40     
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            90           
PRECIP DURATION                                 5            
PRECIP BEGIN                                    7 AM         
PRECIP END                                      CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.55         
LAL                   1            1            3            
LASI                  5                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4200                      4300         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 20                      S 36         
DISPERSION            24 FAIR                   47 GEN GOOD  

REMARKS...NONE.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...SNOW SHOWERS AND SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE
UPPER TEENS TO LOWER 30S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 20 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...BREEZY. MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. HIGHS IN
THE 20S TO LOWER 40S. WEST WINDS 15 TO 25 MPH. 
.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS.
LOWS 18 TO 24. WEST WINDS 5 TO 20 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO 40S. WEST WINDS
5 TO 15 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 30S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S.
HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE MID 30S.
HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ072-074-201045-
TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-
436 AM EST WED DEC 19 2012

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      THU          

CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       PCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      53-58 (+7)   38-43 (+7)   50-55        
RH % (24H TREND)      41-46 (-8)   78-83 (+4)   51-56        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     W  5                      S 21 G47     
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW  6        LGT/VAR      S 21 G46     
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            90           
PRECIP DURATION                                 5            
PRECIP BEGIN                                    7 AM         
PRECIP END                                      CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.60         
LAL                   1            1            3            
LASI                  4                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4300                      4300         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 18                      S 39         
DISPERSION            18 GEN POOR               40 FAIR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS AND
SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID TEENS TO LOWER 30S. WEST WINDS 10 TO
20 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 20S
TO LOWER 40S. WEST WINDS 10 TO 20 MPH. 
.FRIDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS 14 TO 23. WEST WINDS 5 TO
20 MPH DECREASING TO UP TO 10 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO 40S. SOUTHWEST
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID
30S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S.
HIGHS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S.
HIGHS IN THE 30S TO MID 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ087-102-201045-
SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
436 AM EST WED DEC 19 2012

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      THU          

CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       PCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      58-63 (+7)   41-46 (+12)  53-58        
RH % (24H TREND)      38-43 (-6)   78-83 (-11)  49-54        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   S 15 G29     
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW  5        LGT/VAR      S 14 G29     
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         SHOWERS      TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            20           90           
PRECIP DURATION                    1            5            
PRECIP BEGIN                       3 AM         CONTINUING   
PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.01         0.64         
LAL                   1            1            3            
LASI                  4                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4100                      4000         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 15                      S 36         
DISPERSION            26 FAIR                   59 GEN GOOD  

REMARKS...NONE.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER TEENS TO LOWER 30S. WEST WINDS
10 TO 15 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 20S TO MID 40S. WEST
WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH. 
.FRIDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. COLDER. LOWS 15 TO 23. NORTHWEST
WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO LOWER 50S.
WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER
40S TO MID 50S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S.
HIGHS IN THE LOWER 40S TO MID 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S.
HIGHS IN THE 40S TO 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

$$

NCZ060-061-201045-
NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-
436 AM EST WED DEC 19 2012

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      THU          

CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       PCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      58-63 (+6)   41-46 (+14)  51-56        
RH % (24H TREND)      38-43 (-3)   79-84 (-12)  49-54        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   SE 12 G23    
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      S 12 G22     
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            90           
PRECIP DURATION                                 5            
PRECIP BEGIN                                    CONTINUING   
PRECIP END                                      CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.71         
LAL                   1            1            3            
LASI                  4                         2            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4300                      4200         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 16                      S 32         
DISPERSION            29 FAIR                   53 GEN GOOD  
MAX LVORI             4                         3            

REMARKS...NONE.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE 20S TO LOWER 30S. WEST WINDS 10 TO
15 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 30S TO MID 40S. WEST
WINDS 10 TO 20 MPH. 
.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. COLDER. LOWS 15 TO 21. NORTHWEST
WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S.
NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO
MID 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S.
HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO UPPER 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S.
HIGHS IN THE 40S TO MID 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-201045-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-
436 AM EST WED DEC 19 2012

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      THU          

CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       PCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      54-59 (+6)   38-43 (+11)  51-56        
RH % (24H TREND)      42-47 (-10)  84-89 (-11)  54-59        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   SE 10 G25    
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      S 15 G29     
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            90           
PRECIP DURATION                                 5            
PRECIP BEGIN                                    7 AM         
PRECIP END                                      CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.52         
LAL                   1            1            3            
LASI                  5                         2            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4000                      4000         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 15                      S 33         
DISPERSION            33 FAIR                   72 GOOD      

REMARKS...NONE.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW
SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE 20S TO LOWER 30S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. HIGHS IN
THE MID 20S TO LOWER 40S. WEST WINDS 10 TO 20 MPH. 
.FRIDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS 19 TO 25. WEST WINDS 5 TO
15 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S TO UPPER 40S.
SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S
TO LOWER 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S.
HIGHS IN THE LOWER 40S TO MID 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S.
HIGHS IN THE 40S TO MID 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-201045-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-
436 AM EST WED DEC 19 2012

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      THU          

CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       PCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      57-62 (+7)   42-47 (+11)  53-58        
RH % (24H TREND)      41-46 (-7)   80-85 (-11)  50-55        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   S 10 G22     
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S  5         LGT/VAR      SW 14 G26    
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         SHOWERS      TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            20           90           
PRECIP DURATION                    1            5            
PRECIP BEGIN                       3 AM         CONTINUING   
PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.01         0.55         
LAL                   1            1            3            
LASI                  4                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3900                      4000         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 14                      S 37         
DISPERSION            31 FAIR                   86 GOOD      

REMARKS...NONE.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SLIGHT
CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE 20S TO LOWER 30S. WEST WINDS
10 TO 15 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 30S TO MID 40S. WEST
WINDS 10 TO 20 MPH. 
.FRIDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS 19 TO 24. WEST WINDS 5 TO
15 MPH DECREASING TO LESS THAN 10 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S.
SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO
MID 50S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS AROUND 40. HIGHS IN
THE 40S TO MID 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS AROUND 40. HIGHS
IN THE MID 40S TO UPPER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-201045-
CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-
436 AM EST WED DEC 19 2012 /336 AM CST WED DEC 19 2012/

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      THU          

CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       PCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      61-66 (+9)   44-49 (+12)  55-60        
RH % (24H TREND)      37-42 (-7)   80-85 (-11)  47-52        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   S 12 G23     
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S  5         S  5         SW 15 G30    
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         SHOWERS      TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            30           90           
PRECIP DURATION                    1            5            
PRECIP BEGIN                       3 AM         CONTINUING   
PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.01         0.62         
LAL                   1            1            3            
LASI                  4                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3900                      4000         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 14                      SW 38        
DISPERSION            33 FAIR                   93 GOOD      

REMARKS...NONE.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS
IN THE 20S TO LOWER 30S. WEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. WEST
WINDS 10 TO 20 MPH. 
.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 20S. NORTHWEST WINDS
5 TO 15 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S.
SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO
UPPER 50S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S.
HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S.
HIGHS IN THE 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

$$

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