
425 
FNUS54 KMRX 171950
FWFMRX

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST
VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN
250 PM EST MON DEC 17 2012

.DISCUSSION...
A COLD FRONT WILL MOVE THROUGH THE AREA TONIGHT...SPREADING 
SHOWERS...AND POSSIBLY A FEW THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS THE SOUTHERN 
APPALACHIAN REGION. DRY CONDITIONS WILL RETURN TUESDAY...AS HIGH 
PRESSURE DOMINATES THE WEATHER UNTIL THE NEXT COLD FRONT APPROACHES 
THURSDAY. 
 


VAZ001-002-005-006-008-182030-
JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-
250 PM EST MON DEC 17 2012

                      TONIGHT      TUE          TUE NIGHT    WED          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        MCLEAR       MCLEAR       
TEMP (24H TREND)      37-42 (-5)   46-51 (-9)   29-34        56-61        
RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (0)   44-49 (-31)  79-84        32-37        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  W  9 G17                  LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW  6        W  9 G17     SW  6 G15    SW  5        
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        SHOWERS      NONE         NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     50           10           0            0            
PRECIP DURATION       1            1                                      
PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM         CONTINUING                             
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   10 AM                                  
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.13         0.02         0.00         0.00         
LAL                   2            1            1            1            
LASI                               3                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 6200                      3500         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 28                      W 18         
DISPERSION                         99 GOOD                   22 FAIR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN 
THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...SHOWERS AND CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 
40S TO MID 50S. SOUTH WINDS 10 TO 20 MPH WITH HIGHER GUSTS. 
.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS AND RAIN 
SHOWERS. COLDER. LOWS IN THE 20S. WEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS IN THE MORNING. 
COLDER. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S. WEST WINDS 10 TO 20 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER
30S TO MID 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE 40S. 
SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S 
TO MID 40S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ018-041-043-045-047-182030-
NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
250 PM EST MON DEC 17 2012

                      TONIGHT      TUE          TUE NIGHT    WED          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        MCLEAR       MCLEAR       
TEMP (24H TREND)      35-40 (-6)   44-49 (-8)   27-32        55-60        
RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (0)   43-48 (-33)  79-84        32-37        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  W 12 G24                  W  7 G16     
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W  7 G17     W 11 G24     SW  5        LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        SHOWERS      NONE         NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     50           20           0            0            
PRECIP DURATION       1            1                                      
PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM         CONTINUING                             
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   10 AM                                  
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.06         0.01         0.00         0.00         
LAL                   2            1            1            1            
LASI                               3                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 6500                      3500         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 33                      W 21         
DISPERSION                         108 VERY GOOD             13 GEN POOR  

REMARKS...NONE.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN 
THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH...INCREASING 
TO 10 TO 20 MPH WITH HIGHER GUSTS AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
.THURSDAY...BREEZY. SHOWERS AND CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN 
THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. SOUTH WINDS 15 TO 25 MPH WITH HIGHER GUSTS. 
.THURSDAY NIGHT...BREEZY. MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS AND 
RAIN SHOWERS. COLDER. LOWS IN THE LOWER TO MID 20S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 
25 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...BREEZY. PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS IN THE 
MORNING. COLDER. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 
25 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE 40S. 
WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO
LOWER 50S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE 40S. 
NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ072-074-182030-
TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-
250 PM EST MON DEC 17 2012

                      TONIGHT      TUE          TUE NIGHT    WED          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLEAR       MCLEAR       
TEMP (24H TREND)      35-40 (-6)   45-50 (-7)   26-31        56-61        
RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (-2)  34-39 (-43)  86-91        34-39        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  W 10 G20                  SW  6 G16    
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW  8 G20    W  7 G18     SW  5 G15    SW  5        
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        NONE         NONE         NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     50           0            0            0            
PRECIP DURATION       1                                                   
PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM                                                
PRECIP END            7 AM                                                
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.05         0.00         0.00         0.00         
LAL                   2            1            1            1            
LASI                               5                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 6000                      3700         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 21                      W 16         
DISPERSION                         53 GEN GOOD               9 POOR       

REMARKS...NONE.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS. 
LOWS IN THE MID 30S TO MID 40S. SOUTH WINDS 10 TO 20 MPH WITH HIGHER 
GUSTS. 
.THURSDAY...WINDY. SHOWERS AND CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE 
LOWER 40S TO MID 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 15 TO 30 MPH WITH HIGHER GUSTS. 
.THURSDAY NIGHT...BREEZY. MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS AND 
RAIN SHOWERS. MUCH COLDER. LOWS 18 TO 28. WEST WINDS 5 TO 25 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS IN THE MORNING. 
COLDER. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 30S TO MID 40S. WEST WINDS 10 TO 20 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S TO 
UPPER 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 20S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO 
LOWER 50S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 20S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO 
LOWER 50S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ087-102-182030-
SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
250 PM EST MON DEC 17 2012

                      TONIGHT      TUE          TUE NIGHT    WED          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLEAR       MCLEAR       MCLEAR       
TEMP (24H TREND)      37-42 (-6)   52-57 (-4)   28-33        58-63        
RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (-1)  29-34 (-47)  80-85        33-38        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  NW  7                     LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW  6 G16    W  5         LGT/VAR      S  5         
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        NONE         NONE         NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     40           0            0            0            
PRECIP DURATION       1                                                   
PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM                                                
PRECIP END            3 AM                                                
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.03         0.00         0.00         0.00         
LAL                   2            1            1            1            
LASI                               5                         5            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5600                      3200         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NW 20                     W 12         
DISPERSION                         60 GEN GOOD               11 POOR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS. LOWS
IN THE MID 30S TO MID 40S. SOUTHEAST WINDS 10 TO 20 MPH WITH HIGHER 
GUSTS. 
.THURSDAY...SHOWERS AND CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 
40S TO MID 50S. SOUTH WINDS 10 TO 20 MPH WITH HIGHER GUSTS. 
.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS AND RAIN 
SHOWERS. COLDER. LOWS IN THE 20S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 20 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. NORTHWEST 
WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S
TO LOWER 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 30. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO 
LOWER 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S 
TO LOWER 50S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

NCZ060-061-182030-
NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-
250 PM EST MON DEC 17 2012

                      TONIGHT      TUE          TUE NIGHT    WED          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLEAR       MCLEAR       
TEMP (24H TREND)      38-43 (-5)   51-56 (-5)   27-32        58-63        
RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (-2)  27-32 (-50)  77-82        31-36        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  NW  9 G17                 LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW  5        NW  7 G17    LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        NONE         NONE         NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     40           0            0            0            
PRECIP DURATION       1                                                   
PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM                                                
PRECIP END            7 AM                                                
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.02         0.00         0.00         0.00         
LAL                   2            1            1            1            
LASI                               5                         5            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5900                      3500         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NW 25                     W 13         
DISPERSION                         79 GOOD                   13 GEN POOR  
MAX LVORI                          3                         4            

REMARKS...NONE.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS. 
LOWS NEAR 40. SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...SHOWERS AND CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 
40S TO MID 50S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS AND RAIN 
SHOWERS. COLDER. LOWS IN THE LOWER TO MID 20S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 
20 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS IN THE 
MORNING. COLDER. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS 
5 TO 15 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 40S. 
WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S 
TO LOWER 50S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S 
TO LOWER 50S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-182030-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-
250 PM EST MON DEC 17 2012

                      TONIGHT      TUE          TUE NIGHT    WED          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        MCLEAR       MCLEAR       
TEMP (24H TREND)      37-42 (-6)   49-54 (-7)   29-34        58-63        
RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (-1)  40-45 (-33)  79-84        33-38        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  W  9 G18                  LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW  5        W  9 G18     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        NONE         NONE         NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     50           0            0            0            
PRECIP DURATION       1                                                   
PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM                                                
PRECIP END            7 AM                                                
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.09         0.00         0.00         0.00         
LAL                   2            1            1            1            
LASI                               4                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5600                      3300         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 25                      W 16         
DISPERSION                         92 GOOD                   24 FAIR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS. 
LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...SHOWERS AND CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 
40S TO MID 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH...SHIFTING TO THE 
SOUTHWEST IN THE AFTERNOON. 
.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS AND RAIN 
SHOWERS. COLDER. LOWS IN THE 20S. WEST WINDS 10 TO 20 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. COLDER. HIGHS IN 
THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. WEST WINDS 10 TO 20 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE 40S. 
SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S 
TO LOWER 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S 
TO LOWER 50S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-182030-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-
250 PM EST MON DEC 17 2012

                      TONIGHT      TUE          TUE NIGHT    WED          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLEAR       MCLEAR       MCLEAR       
TEMP (24H TREND)      38-43 (-7)   51-56 (-6)   31-36        59-64        
RH % (24H TREND)      91-96 (-6)   39-44 (-32)  80-85        34-39        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  W  7                      LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW  6 G15    SW  6        S  6         S  5         
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        NONE         NONE         NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     50           0            0            0            
PRECIP DURATION       1                                                   
PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM                                                
PRECIP END            3 AM                                                
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.06         0.00         0.00         0.00         
LAL                   2            1            1            1            
LASI                               5                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4900                      3100         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 18                      SW 14        
DISPERSION                         60 GEN GOOD               23 FAIR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...SHOWERS AND CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 
TO MID 50S. SOUTH WINDS 10 TO 20 MPH...SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHWEST IN 
THE AFTERNOON. 
.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS AND RAIN 
SHOWERS. COLDER. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. COLDER. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. 
WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS AROUND 30. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO 
LOWER 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S 
TO LOWER 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 30. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO 
LOWER 50S. NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-182030-
CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-
250 PM EST MON DEC 17 2012 /150 PM CST MON DEC 17 2012/

                      TONIGHT      TUE          TUE NIGHT    WED          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLEAR       MCLEAR       MCLEAR       
TEMP (24H TREND)      37-42 (-10)  53-58 (-6)   31-36        61-66        
RH % (24H TREND)      92-97 (-5)   34-39 (-38)  80-85        33-38        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  NW  6                     LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW  5        LGT/VAR      S  5         S  6         
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        NONE         NONE         NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     40           0            0            0            
PRECIP DURATION       1                                                   
PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM                                                
PRECIP END            1 AM                                                
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.02         0.00         0.00         0.00         
LAL                   2            1            1            1            
LASI                               4                         5            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4600                      2900         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NW 18                     SW 13        
DISPERSION                         53 GEN GOOD               20 GEN POOR  

REMARKS...NONE.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 
40S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 20 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...SHOWERS AND CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE MID 
50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 20 MPH. 
.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS AND 
SNOW SHOWERS. COLDER. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 
MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 
40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S 
TO MID 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS NEAR 50. EAST 
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

