
208 
FNUS54 KMRX 160856
FWFMRX

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST
VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN
356 AM EST SUN DEC 16 2012

.DISCUSSION...
A FRONTAL BOUNDARY TO OUR WEST WILL  REMAIN NEARLY STATIONARY 
TODAY...THEN PUSH THROUGH OUR AREA AS A COLD FRONT LATER MONDAY AND 
MONDAY NIGHT.  


VAZ001-002-005-006-008-171000-
JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-
356 AM EST SUN DEC 16 2012

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      MON          

CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       CLOUDY       MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      56-61 (0)    44-49 (+2)   57-62        
RH % (24H TREND)      64-69 (+32)  95-100 (+18) 61-66        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW  6        LGT/VAR      SW  6        
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        SHOWERS      TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     80           60           70           
PRECIP DURATION       3            2            2            
PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.15         0.04         0.43         
LAL                   3            1            3            
LASI                  2                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3100                      3500         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 32                     SW 21        
DISPERSION            28 FAIR                   27 FAIR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
UPPER 30S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO LOWER 50S.
SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. COLDER. LOWS IN THE 20S TO UPPER
30S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO LOWER 60S.
SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW SHOWERS.
LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO UPPER 50S. WEST WINDS
5 TO 15 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. COLDER. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN
THE UPPER 20S TO LOWER 40S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE
30S TO MID 40S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ018-041-043-045-047-171000-
NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
356 AM EST SUN DEC 16 2012

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      MON          

CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       CLOUDY       CLOUDY       
TEMP (24H TREND)      53-58 (-1)   43-48 (+3)   56-61        
RH % (24H TREND)      67-72 (+35)  95-100 (+21) 59-64        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW  5        LGT/VAR      SW  6        
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     80           60           70           
PRECIP DURATION       4            2            3            
PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.26         0.09         0.42         
LAL                   3            3            3            
LASI                  3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3200                      3900         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 30                     W 26         
DISPERSION            10 POOR                   25 FAIR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID
30S TO LOWER 40S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH INCREASING TO 5 TO
15 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
.TUESDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO LOWER 50S.
WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S TO MID 30S.
NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO LOWER 60S.
SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF
SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO
UPPER 50S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. COLDER.
LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 20S TO LOWER 40S. WEST
WINDS 5 TO 20 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE
30S TO 40S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ072-074-171000-
TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-
356 AM EST SUN DEC 16 2012

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      MON          

CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       CLOUDY       CLOUDY       
TEMP (24H TREND)      52-57 (-2)   44-49 (+1)   56-61        
RH % (24H TREND)      74-79 (+35)  95-100 (+20) 60-65        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SW  7 G18                 LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW  7 G16    SW  7 G17    SW  6        
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     90           80           70           
PRECIP DURATION       4            4            3            
PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.44         0.12         0.54         
LAL                   3            3            3            
LASI                  3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3500                      4100         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 29                     W 28         
DISPERSION            12 POOR                   24 FAIR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID
30S TO LOWER 40S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 50S. WEST
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. COLDER. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S TO
MID 30S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH IN THE EVENING BECOMING
LIGHT. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTH
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF
SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO
LOWER 60S. WEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. COLDER. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN
THE LOWER 30S TO MID 40S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE
30S TO 40S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ087-102-171000-
SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
356 AM EST SUN DEC 16 2012

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      MON          

CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       CLOUDY       MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      56-61 (-1)   46-51 (+2)   59-64        
RH % (24H TREND)      74-79 (+31)  95-100 (+12) 56-61        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     S  5                      LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S  5         LGT/VAR      SW  5        
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     90           90           70           
PRECIP DURATION       4            4            2            
PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.54         0.17         0.59         
LAL                   3            3            3            
LASI                  3                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    2600                      3400         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 25                     SW 24        
DISPERSION            12 POOR                   28 FAIR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS
NEAR 40. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO UPPER 50S. WEST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. COLDER. LOWS IN THE LOWER TO MID
30S. LIGHT WINDS. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTH
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS AROUND 30. HIGHS IN THE UPPER
40S TO LOWER 60S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. COLDER. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN
THE LOWER 30S TO MID 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 30S TO LOWER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

$$

NCZ060-061-171000-
NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-
356 AM EST SUN DEC 16 2012

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      MON          

CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       CLOUDY       CLOUDY       
TEMP (24H TREND)      57-62 (0)    47-52 (+4)   58-63        
RH % (24H TREND)      76-81 (+36)  95-100 (+10) 59-64        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     90           80           80           
PRECIP DURATION       4            4            5            
PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.57         0.18         0.55         
LAL                   3            3            3            
LASI                  3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3000                      3600         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 22                     W 25         
DISPERSION            14 GEN POOR               28 FAIR      
MAX LVORI             5                         4            

REMARKS...NONE.

.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN
THE UPPER 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO UPPER 50S. WEST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. LIGHT
WINDS. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTH
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF
SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER
60S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. COLDER. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN
THE 30S TO MID 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 40S
TO LOWER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-171000-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-
356 AM EST SUN DEC 16 2012

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      MON          

CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       CLOUDY       MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      57-62 (+1)   44-49 (+3)   58-63        
RH % (24H TREND)      69-74 (+33)  95-100 (+15) 59-64        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW  5        LGT/VAR      SW  5        
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        SHOWERS      TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     90           60           70           
PRECIP DURATION       4            2            2            
PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.22         0.07         0.45         
LAL                   3            3            3            
LASI                  3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    2000                      2700         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 30                     W 23         
DISPERSION            13 GEN POOR               24 FAIR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS
NEAR 40. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 40S TO MID 50S. WEST
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. COLDER. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S TO
MID 30S. LIGHT WINDS. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTH
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER
20S. HIGHS IN THE 50S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. COLDER. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN
THE LOWER 30S TO MID 40S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S
TO UPPER 40S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-171000-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-
356 AM EST SUN DEC 16 2012

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      MON          

CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       CLOUDY       MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      56-61 (0)    46-51 (+1)   60-65        
RH % (24H TREND)      70-75 (+23)  95-100 (+17) 55-60        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW  5        LGT/VAR      SW  5        
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     80           80           70           
PRECIP DURATION       3            2            2            
PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.23         0.10         0.44         
LAL                   3            3            3            
LASI                  2                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    2200                      2800         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 29                     SW 23        
DISPERSION            23 FAIR                   31 FAIR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN
THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO UPPER 50S. SOUTHWEST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 30S. SOUTHWEST WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN
THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS AROUND 30. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S
TO UPPER 50S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. COLDER. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE
MID 30S TO UPPER 40S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 40S
TO LOWER 50S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-171000-
CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-
356 AM EST SUN DEC 16 2012 /256 AM CST SUN DEC 16 2012/

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      MON          

CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       CLOUDY       MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      57-62 (0)    47-52 (0)    61-66        
RH % (24H TREND)      73-78 (+22)  95-100 (+10) 55-60        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     S  5                      LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW  5        LGT/VAR      SW  6        
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     90           80           70           
PRECIP DURATION       4            4            2            
PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.40         0.19         0.53         
LAL                   3            3            3            
LASI                  2                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    1900                      2700         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 26                     SW 23        
DISPERSION            16 GEN POOR               31 FAIR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.MONDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN
THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 30S. SOUTH WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN
THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE
MID 40S TO UPPER 50S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S
TO UPPER 40S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID
40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

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