
537 
FNUS54 KMRX 152012
FWFMRX

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST
VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN
312 PM EST SAT DEC 15 2012

.DISCUSSION...
A SLOW MOVING FRONT WILL APPROACH THE REGION THROUGH THE 
EVENING...BUT WILL STALL TO OUR WEST. PERIODS OF RAIN SHOWERS AND A 
CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS WILL REMAIN ACROSS THE AREA THROUGH MONDAY. 
THE FRONT WILL PUSH THROUGH THE AREA MONDAY NIGHT. 


VAZ001-002-005-006-008-162115-
JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-
312 PM EST SAT DEC 15 2012

                      TONIGHT      SUN          SUN NIGHT    MON          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        CLOUDY       CLOUDY       MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      42-47 (+11)  56-61 (0)    45-50        56-61        
RH % (24H TREND)      83-88 (0)    60-65 (+28)  95-100       66-71        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  S  8 G17                  LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S  5         SW  9 G18    SW  8 G15    S  6         
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      TSTMS        SHOWERS      SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     50           80           50           70           
PRECIP DURATION       1            5            1            2            
PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.07         0.22         0.11         0.48         
LAL                   1            3            2            2            
LASI                               3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 2600                      4900         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 30                     SW 21        
DISPERSION                         14 GEN POOR               49 GEN GOOD  

REMARKS...NONE.

.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
UPPER 30S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE
40S TO LOWER 50S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.TUESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. COLDER. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S TO
MID 30S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO MID 50S. SOUTH
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW SHOWERS.
LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO UPPER 50S.
SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. COLDER.
LOWS AROUND 19. HIGHS IN THE 30S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE
30S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ018-041-043-045-047-162115-
NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
312 PM EST SAT DEC 15 2012

                      TONIGHT      SUN          SUN NIGHT    MON          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        CLOUDY       CLOUDY       MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      41-46 (+10)  54-59 (0)    44-49        56-61        
RH % (24H TREND)      80-85 (+3)   57-62 (+25)  95-100       64-69        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  S  7 G17                  LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S  6         SW  8 G17    SW  7        W  5         
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      TSTMS        SHOWERS      SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     40           80           70           70           
PRECIP DURATION       1            7            2            3            
PRECIP BEGIN          1 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.02         0.29         0.19         0.48         
LAL                   1            3            2            2            
LASI                               3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3200                      5100         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 31                      W 18         
DISPERSION                         11 POOR                   37 FAIR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID
30S TO LOWER 40S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE
LOWER 40S TO MID 50S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.TUESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. COLDER. LOWS IN THE MID 20S TO
LOWER 30S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 40S TO MID 50S.
SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW SHOWERS.
LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO UPPER 50S. WEST
WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. COLDER.
LOWS AROUND 20. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO LOWER 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS
10 TO 15 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 20. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 30S
TO MID 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

$$

TNZ072-074-162115-
TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-
312 PM EST SAT DEC 15 2012

                      TONIGHT      SUN          SUN NIGHT    MON          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        CLOUDY       CLOUDY       MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      43-48 (+12)  55-60 (+1)   46-51        57-62        
RH % (24H TREND)      83-88 (+3)   58-63 (+19)  90-95        60-65        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  S 10 G21                  SW  5 G17    
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S  9 G20     SW 10 G22    SW  9 G18    SW  8 G21    
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      TSTMS        SHOWERS      TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     40           80           70           70           
PRECIP DURATION       1            7            2            3            
PRECIP BEGIN          1 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.05         0.45         0.39         0.62         
LAL                   1            3            2            2            
LASI                               3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3500                      5500         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 31                     W 24         
DISPERSION                         10 POOR                   52 GEN GOOD  

REMARKS...NONE.

.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID
30S TO LOWER 40S. WEST WINDS 10 TO 20 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE
40S TO LOWER 50S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. COLDER. LOWS NEAR 30. WEST WINDS
UP TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO MID 50S. SOUTH
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW SHOWERS.
LOWS AROUND 30. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO UPPER 50S. WEST WINDS
5 TO 15 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW
SHOWERS. COLDER. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S TO
LOWER 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S
TO LOWER 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ087-102-162115-
SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
312 PM EST SAT DEC 15 2012

                      TONIGHT      SUN          SUN NIGHT    MON          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        CLOUDY       CLOUDY       MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      44-49 (+13)  56-61 (-1)   49-54        60-65        
RH % (24H TREND)      92-97 (+2)   59-64 (+16)  92-97        58-63        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  S  9 G19                  SW  5 G16    
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S  8 G15     S 10 G20     SW  9 G16    SW  6 G17    
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      TSTMS        SHOWERS      TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     50           80           70           70           
PRECIP DURATION       1            7            3            2            
PRECIP BEGIN          1 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.06         0.51         0.50         0.61         
LAL                   1            3            2            3            
LASI                               3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 2700                      4600         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 29                     SW 24        
DISPERSION                         15 GEN POOR               53 GEN GOOD  

REMARKS...NONE.

.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN
THE LOWER 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. WEST
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. COLDER. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S TO
MID 30S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO UPPER 50S.
SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER
30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO UPPER 50S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. COLDER. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN
THE LOWER 30S TO MID 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S
TO MID 40S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

NCZ060-061-162115-
NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-
312 PM EST SAT DEC 15 2012

                      TONIGHT      SUN          SUN NIGHT    MON          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        CLOUDY       CLOUDY       MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      43-48 (+13)  56-61 (-1)   48-53        59-64        
RH % (24H TREND)      93-98 (+1)   62-67 (+22)  94-99        60-65        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  S  7                      S  5         
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S  5         S  7 G15     SW  7        SW  6        
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      TSTMS        SHOWERS      TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     40           80           70           70           
PRECIP DURATION       1            7            2            5            
PRECIP BEGIN          1 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.04         0.48         0.51         0.63         
LAL                   1            3            2            3            
LASI                               3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 2700                      4800         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 28                     SW 28        
DISPERSION                         11 POOR                   61 GOOD      
MAX LVORI                          5                         4            

REMARKS...NONE.

.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
UPPER 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. WEST
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 30. WEST WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO UPPER 50S. SOUTH
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW SHOWERS.
LOWS AROUND 30. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO UPPER 50S. WEST WINDS 5 TO
10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW
SHOWERS. COLDER. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S TO
LOWER 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-162115-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-
312 PM EST SAT DEC 15 2012

                      TONIGHT      SUN          SUN NIGHT    MON          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        CLOUDY       CLOUDY       MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      43-48 (+14)  57-62 (+1)   46-51        58-63        
RH % (24H TREND)      84-89 (-8)   66-71 (+30)  95-100       62-67        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  S  6 G15                  LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      SW  9 G16    SW  7        S  5         
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      TSTMS        SHOWERS      TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     40           80           60           70           
PRECIP DURATION       1            5            2            2            
PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.06         0.29         0.18         0.49         
LAL                   1            3            1            2            
LASI                               3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 2600                      4100         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 30                     W 17         
DISPERSION                         27 FAIR                   41 GEN GOOD  

REMARKS...NONE.

.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS NEAR 40.
WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO MID 50S. WEST WINDS
5 TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. COLDER. LOWS IN THE MID 20S TO
LOWER 30S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO MID 50S. SOUTH
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW SHOWERS.
LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER TO MID 50S. WEST WINDS
5 TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW
SHOWERS. COLDER. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO LOWER
40S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE
30S TO MID 40S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-162115-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-
312 PM EST SAT DEC 15 2012

                      TONIGHT      SUN          SUN NIGHT    MON          

CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       CLOUDY       CLOUDY       MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      46-51 (+14)  57-62 (+1)   48-53        60-65        
RH % (24H TREND)      85-90 (-2)   67-72 (+20)  92-97        59-64        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  S  9 G18                  LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S  7 G15     SW  9 G17    SW  8 G16    S  6 G15     
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        SHOWERS      TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     60           80           60           60           
PRECIP DURATION       2            5            2            2            
PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.14         0.35         0.30         0.47         
LAL                   2            3            1            3            
LASI                               3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 2400                      4000         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 30                     SW 21        
DISPERSION                         28 FAIR                   50 GEN GOOD  

REMARKS...NONE.

.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO MID 50S. WEST WINDS
UP TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. COLDER. LOWS IN THE LOWER TO MID
30S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO LOWER 60S.
SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF
SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO
UPPER 50S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW
SHOWERS. COLDER. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO MID
40S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S
TO MID 40S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-162115-
CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-
312 PM EST SAT DEC 15 2012 /212 PM CST SAT DEC 15 2012/

                      TONIGHT      SUN          SUN NIGHT    MON          

CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       CLOUDY       CLOUDY       MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      47-52 (+13)  58-63 (+1)   50-55        62-67        
RH % (24H TREND)      92-97 (+5)   69-74 (+18)  95-100       59-64        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  S  9 G17                  LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S  7         SW  9 G16    SW  8 G15    SW  7 G18    
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        SHOWERS      TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     70           80           70           70           
PRECIP DURATION       2            7            3            2            
PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.13         0.47         0.45         0.43         
LAL                   2            3            1            3            
LASI                               3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 2200                      3400         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 29                     SW 23        
DISPERSION                         26 FAIR                   45 GEN GOOD  

REMARKS...NONE.

.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS
NEAR 40. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 50S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. SOUTHWEST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTH
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER
30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO UPPER 50S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO
UPPER 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE
40S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

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