
647 
FNUS54 KMRX 150843
FWFMRX

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST
VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN
343 AM EST SAT DEC 15 2012

.DISCUSSION...
A SLOW MOVING COLD FRONT WILL APPROACH THE REGION BUT WILL STALL TO 
OUR WEST...THEN WILL PUSH THROUGH THE AREA MONDAY AND MONDAY NIGHT.  


VAZ001-002-005-006-008-160945-
JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-
343 AM EST SAT DEC 15 2012

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SUN          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        CLOUDY       
TEMP (24H TREND)      58-63 (+6)   41-46 (+10)  57-62        
RH % (24H TREND)      33-38 (-2)   84-89 (+9)   61-66        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S  5         LGT/VAR      S  5         
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         SHOWERS      SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            40           60           
PRECIP DURATION                    1            2            
PRECIP BEGIN                       7 PM         CONTINUING   
PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.03         0.17         
LAL                   1            1            4            
LASI                  5                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4200                      3400         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 21                     SW 33        
DISPERSION            39 FAIR                   40 FAIR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 40S TO
LOWER 50S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S
TO LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. COLDER. LOWS IN
THE UPPER 30S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. COOLER. HIGHS
IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S
TO MID 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER
30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO UPPER 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. COLDER.
LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

$$

TNZ018-041-043-045-047-160945-
NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
343 AM EST SAT DEC 15 2012

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SUN          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        CLOUDY       
TEMP (24H TREND)      54-59 (+5)   39-44 (+8)   55-60        
RH % (24H TREND)      32-37 (-3)   86-91 (+15)  60-65        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S  5         LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         SHOWERS      SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            40           60           
PRECIP DURATION                    1            3            
PRECIP BEGIN                       1 AM         CONTINUING   
PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.02         0.21         
LAL                   1            1            4            
LASI                  5                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4200                      3300         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 16                     SW 31        
DISPERSION            20 GEN POOR               13 GEN POOR  

REMARKS...NONE.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS LIKELY AND CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS
IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN
THE LOWER 50S TO MID 60S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. COLDER. LOWS IN
THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. COOLER. HIGHS
IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE
LOWER 40S TO MID 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND 30.
HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 60S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. COLDER.
LOWS AROUND 20. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO LOWER 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS
5 TO 20 MPH. 

$$

TNZ072-074-160945-
TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-
343 AM EST SAT DEC 15 2012

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SUN          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        CLOUDY       
TEMP (24H TREND)      53-58 (+3)   40-45 (+9)   55-60        
RH % (24H TREND)      34-39 (-5)   88-93 (+20)  62-67        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW  6 G15    S  7 G18     LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         SHOWERS      TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            50           70           
PRECIP DURATION                    1            3            
PRECIP BEGIN                       7 PM         CONTINUING   
PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.03         0.34         
LAL                   1            1            5            
LASI                  5                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4000                      3600         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 22                     SW 35        
DISPERSION            17 GEN POOR               17 GEN POOR  

REMARKS...NONE.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS LIKELY AND CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS
NEAR 50. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY AND CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN
THE LOWER 50S TO MID 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. COLDER.
LOWS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. COOLER. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 40S TO MID
50S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE
40S TO MID 50S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID
30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO LOWER 60S. WEST WINDS UP TO
10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW
SHOWERS. COLDER. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S TO
LOWER 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

$$

TNZ087-102-160945-
SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
343 AM EST SAT DEC 15 2012

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SUN          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        CLOUDY       
TEMP (24H TREND)      58-63 (+4)   40-45 (+9)   57-62        
RH % (24H TREND)      32-37 (-10)  95-100 (+18) 66-71        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S  6         LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         SHOWERS      TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            50           80           
PRECIP DURATION                    1            5            
PRECIP BEGIN                       7 PM         CONTINUING   
PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.03         0.44         
LAL                   1            1            5            
LASI                  4                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3400                      2900         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   S 23                      SW 29        
DISPERSION            26 FAIR                   18 GEN POOR  

REMARKS...NONE.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS LIKELY AND CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS
IN THE LOWER 50S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY AND CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN
THE 50S TO MID 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. COLDER.
LOWS NEAR 40. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. WEST
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE
MID 40S TO UPPER 50S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID
30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO LOWER 60S. WEST WINDS UP TO
10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. COLDER. LOWS
IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 30S TO MID 40S. NORTHWEST
WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

$$

NCZ060-061-160945-
NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-
343 AM EST SAT DEC 15 2012

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SUN          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        CLOUDY       
TEMP (24H TREND)      59-64 (+4)   39-44 (+9)   57-62        
RH % (24H TREND)      30-35 (-12)  95-100 (+16) 67-72        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         SHOWERS      TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            50           80           
PRECIP DURATION                    1            5            
PRECIP BEGIN                       7 PM         CONTINUING   
PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.03         0.44         
LAL                   1            1            5            
LASI                  5                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3800                      3200         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   S 20                      SW 28        
DISPERSION            26 FAIR                   22 FAIR      
MAX LVORI             4                         5            

REMARKS...NONE.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS LIKELY AND CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS
IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY AND CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN
THE 50S TO MID 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. COLDER.
LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO UPPER 50S.
NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S
TO UPPER 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID
30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. COLDER. LOWS
IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S. NORTHWEST
WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-160945-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-
343 AM EST SAT DEC 15 2012

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SUN          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        CLOUDY       
TEMP (24H TREND)      58-63 (+6)   39-44 (+10)  58-63        
RH % (24H TREND)      32-37 (-4)   89-94 (+3)   63-68        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         SHOWERS      SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            50           60           
PRECIP DURATION                    1            2            
PRECIP BEGIN                       1 AM         CONTINUING   
PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.03         0.20         
LAL                   1            1            4            
LASI                  5                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3400                      2200         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 17                     SW 31        
DISPERSION            27 FAIR                   20 GEN POOR  

REMARKS...NONE.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS
IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. LIGHT WINDS. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
HIGHS IN THE 50S TO MID 60S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. COLDER. LOWS
NEAR 40. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. COOLER. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 40S TO MID
50S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S
TO MID 50S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER
30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW
SHOWERS. COLDER. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO LOWER
40S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

$$

TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-160945-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-
343 AM EST SAT DEC 15 2012

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SUN          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        CLOUDY       
TEMP (24H TREND)      57-62 (+5)   42-47 (+10)  57-62        
RH % (24H TREND)      37-42 (-5)   89-94 (+8)   67-72        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW  6        LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            50           60           
PRECIP DURATION                    1            3            
PRECIP BEGIN                       7 PM         CONTINUING   
PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.04         0.27         
LAL                   1            1            5            
LASI                  4                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3400                      2600         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 25                     SW 33        
DISPERSION            49 GEN GOOD               37 FAIR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS
IN THE 40S TO MID 50S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
HIGHS IN THE 50S TO MID 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. COLDER.
LOWS NEAR 40. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO UPPER 50S. WEST
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 40S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER
30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO LOWER 60S. WEST WINDS UP TO
10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. COLDER. LOWS
IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO MID 40S. WEST WINDS 5 TO
10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-160945-
CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-
343 AM EST SAT DEC 15 2012 /243 AM CST SAT DEC 15 2012/

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SUN          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        CLOUDY       
TEMP (24H TREND)      58-63 (+3)   43-48 (+9)   58-63        
RH % (24H TREND)      36-41 (-5)   95-100 (+16) 71-76        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S  6         LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     10           60           80           
PRECIP DURATION       1            2            5            
PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.01         0.05         0.38         
LAL                   1            1            5            
LASI                  4                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3400                      2500         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   S 26                      SW 29        
DISPERSION            53 GEN GOOD               33 FAIR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS LIKELY AND CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS
IN THE 40S TO MID 50S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS AND SLIGHT
CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO UPPER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS
UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. COLDER. LOWS IN THE MID 30S TO
LOWER 40S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO UPPER 50S. WEST
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE
50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID
30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO LOWER 60S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH.
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. COLDER. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN
THE 30S TO UPPER 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

$$

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