
738 
FNUS54 KMRX 081948
FWFMRX

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST
VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN
248 PM EST SAT DEC 8 2012

.DISCUSSION...
UNSEASONABLY WARM CONDITIONS WILL LINGER OVER THE SOUTHERN 
APPALACHIAN REGION THROUGH SUNDAY...WITH A FEW ISOLATED SHOWERS 
POSSIBLE TONIGHT AND TOMORROW ASSOCIATED WITH A WEAK COLD FRONT TO 
OUR WEST. A STRONGER COLD FRONT WILL THEN MOVE INTO THE REGION ON 
MONDAY...BRINGING LIKELY CHANCES FOR SHOWERS AND SCATTERED 
THUNDERSTORMS. TEMPERATURES ARE THEN EXPECTED TO COOL BACK DOWN TO 
NEAR NORMAL LEVELS FOR THE REST OF NEXT WEEK.


VAZ001-002-005-006-008-092100-
JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-
248 PM EST SAT DEC 8 2012

                      TONIGHT      SUN          SUN NIGHT    MON          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        CLOUDY       
TEMP (24H TREND)      46-51 (+3)   63-68 (+2)   48-53        54-59        
RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (+1)  57-62 (-6)   91-96        77-82        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  S  5                      S 10 G20     
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      S  9 G17     S  8 G17     SW 11 G22    
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      TSTMS        SHOWERS      TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     60           40           60           100          
PRECIP DURATION       2            1            2            8            
PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.11         0.06         0.07         0.91         
LAL                   1            2            1            2            
LASI                               3                         2            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4500                      3200         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 17                     SW 22        
DISPERSION                         35 FAIR                   22 FAIR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.MONDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS
5 TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE
MID 30S TO UPPER 40S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. COLDER. LOWS IN THE MID 20S.
NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO LOWER 50S.
EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS AROUND 30. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO
LOWER 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 40S TO MID 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO MID 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO
10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ018-041-043-045-047-092100-
NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
248 PM EST SAT DEC 8 2012

                      TONIGHT      SUN          SUN NIGHT    MON          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        CLOUDY       
TEMP (24H TREND)      42-47 (0)    61-66 (0)    45-50        52-57        
RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (+4)  57-62 (0)    95-100       78-83        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  S  7                      S 11 G20     
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      S  9 G17     S  9 G21     SW 12 G25    
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      TSTMS        SHOWERS      TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     40           40           40           100          
PRECIP DURATION       1            1            1            5            
PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.03         0.04         0.05         0.75         
LAL                   1            2            1            2            
LASI                               3                         2            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4600                      3900         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 12                     S 16         
DISPERSION                         19 GEN POOR               16 GEN POOR  

REMARKS...NONE.

.MONDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE MID TO UPPER 30S.
NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE
MID 30S TO UPPER 40S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. COLDER. LOWS IN THE 20S. NORTH
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO LOWER 50S.
EAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 40S
TO LOWER 50S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO MID 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO
10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO MID 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO
10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ072-074-092100-
TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-
248 PM EST SAT DEC 8 2012

                      TONIGHT      SUN          SUN NIGHT    MON          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        CLOUDY       
TEMP (24H TREND)      42-47 (+1)   61-66 (0)    45-50        51-56        
RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (+4)  59-64 (+2)   95-100       75-80        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  S  8 G19                  SW 14 G28    
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S  5         SW 11 G19    S 12 G25     SW 15 G33    
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      TSTMS        SHOWERS      TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     30           30           40           100          
PRECIP DURATION       1            1            1            5            
PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.03         0.02         0.06         1.05         
LAL                   1            2            1            2            
LASI                               3                         2            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5000                      4200         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 15                     SW 24        
DISPERSION                         25 FAIR                   23 FAIR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.MONDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE MID TO UPPER 30S.
NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE
MID 30S TO UPPER 40S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. COLDER. LOWS IN THE 20S. NORTH
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 50S.
EAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 30S TO LOWER 50S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 40S TO MID 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO
10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO MID 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO
10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ087-102-092100-
SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
248 PM EST SAT DEC 8 2012

                      TONIGHT      SUN          SUN NIGHT    MON          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        CLOUDY       
TEMP (24H TREND)      47-52 (+1)   65-70 (+1)   47-52        53-58        
RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (+4)  58-63 (-5)   95-100       72-77        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  S  7 G17                  S 12 G26     
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S  5         S 10 G19     S  9 G21     SW 12 G27    
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      TSTMS        SHOWERS      TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           20           50           100          
PRECIP DURATION       1            1            1            5            
PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.03         0.02         0.08         1.20         
LAL                   1            2            1            2            
LASI                               4                         2            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4500                      3200         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 15                     SW 24        
DISPERSION                         32 FAIR                   23 FAIR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.MONDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. NORTH
WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE
30S TO UPPER 40S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. COLDER. LOWS IN THE 20S. NORTH
WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S.
NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE
LOWER 40S TO MID 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO UPPER 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP
TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO UPPER 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS
5 TO 10 MPH. 

$$

NCZ060-061-092100-
NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-
248 PM EST SAT DEC 8 2012

                      TONIGHT      SUN          SUN NIGHT    MON          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        CLOUDY       
TEMP (24H TREND)      45-50 (+1)   65-70 (+2)   47-52        53-58        
RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (+3)  57-62 (-7)   95-100       76-81        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  S  6 G15                  S 10 G21     
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      S 10 G17     S  7 G16     SW 11 G22    
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      TSTMS        SHOWERS      TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           20           40           100          
PRECIP DURATION       1            1            1            5            
PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.04         0.02         0.06         1.11         
LAL                   1            2            1            2            
LASI                               4                         2            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4600                      3400         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 13                     S 17         
DISPERSION                         26 FAIR                   16 GEN POOR  
MAX LVORI                          4                         5            

REMARKS...NONE.

.MONDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. NORTHWEST
WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE
30S TO UPPER 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. COLDER. LOWS IN THE MID TO UPPER
20S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. EAST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS AROUND 30. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO MID
50S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO UPPER 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP
TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO UPPER 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO
10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-092100-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-
248 PM EST SAT DEC 8 2012

                      TONIGHT      SUN          SUN NIGHT    MON          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY        CLOUDY       
TEMP (24H TREND)      45-50 (+1)   65-70 (+1)   46-51        55-60        
RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (+1)  54-59 (+1)   93-98        74-79        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   S  8 G18     
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      SW  8        S  6         SW 12 G23    
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      TSTMS        SHOWERS      TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     50           40           50           100          
PRECIP DURATION       1            1            1            8            
PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.05         0.04         0.07         0.91         
LAL                   1            2            1            2            
LASI                               3                         2            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4000                      2600         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 13                     SW 20        
DISPERSION                         28 FAIR                   19 GEN POOR  

REMARKS...NONE.

.MONDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. NORTHWEST
WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE
30S TO UPPER 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. COLDER. LOWS IN THE 20S.
NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. EAST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID
40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS
5 TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-092100-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-
248 PM EST SAT DEC 8 2012

                      TONIGHT      SUN          SUN NIGHT    MON          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY        CLOUDY       
TEMP (24H TREND)      48-53 (+1)   66-71 (+1)   48-53        54-59        
RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (+3)  55-60 (0)    92-97        72-77        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  S  5 G16                  S 11 G22     
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      SW 10 G18    S  8 G19     W 11 G22     
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      TSTMS        SHOWERS      TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     50           40           70           100          
PRECIP DURATION       1            1            2            8            
PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.08         0.04         0.15         1.06         
LAL                   1            2            1            2            
LASI                               3                         2            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4100                      3100         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 18                     SW 25        
DISPERSION                         44 GEN GOOD               38 FAIR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.MONDAY NIGHT...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE 30S. NORTH
WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO UPPER 40S. NORTH
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. NORTHEAST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S.
NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO UPPER 50S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO
10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO UPPER 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO
10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-092100-
CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-
248 PM EST SAT DEC 8 2012 /148 PM CST SAT DEC 8 2012/

                      TONIGHT      SUN          SUN NIGHT    MON          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY        CLOUDY       
TEMP (24H TREND)      49-54 (+1)   67-72 (+2)   49-54        55-60        
RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (+3)  56-61 (-5)   93-98        75-80        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  S  6 G16                  S 11 G22     
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      S  9 G17     S  8 G17     W 11 G22     
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      TSTMS        SHOWERS      TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           20           70           100          
PRECIP DURATION       1            1            2            8            
PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.04         0.02         0.17         1.27         
LAL                   1            2            1            2            
LASI                               4                         2            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3900                      3100         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 18                     SW 25        
DISPERSION                         42 GEN GOOD               42 GEN GOOD  

REMARKS...NONE.

.MONDAY NIGHT...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE 30S. NORTH
WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTH
WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. NORTH WINDS
UP TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO MID 50S. NORTHEAST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

$$

