
794 
FNUS54 KMRX 042014
FWFMRX

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST
VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN
314 PM EST TUE DEC 4 2012

.DISCUSSION...
A COLD FRONT WILL MOVE ACROSS THE AREA OVERNIGHT...SPREADING SHOWERS 
ACROSS THE SOUTHERN APPALACHIAN REGION. THIS SYSTEM WILL MOVE EAST 
OF THE AREA...AND THUS BRINGING AN END TO THE PRECIPITATION BY 
MIDDAY ON WEDNESDAY. TEMPERATURES NEAR THE SEASONAL NORMALS...AND 
DRY CONDITIONS CAN BE EXPECTED FOR THE REMAINDER OF THE WORK WEEK. 


VAZ001-002-005-006-008-052115-
JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-
314 PM EST TUE DEC 4 2012

                      TONIGHT      WED          WED NIGHT    THU          

CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       PCLDY        MCLEAR       PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      44-49 (-1)   55-60 (-7)   31-36        54-59        
RH % (24H TREND)      91-96 (+7)   39-44 (-15)  82-87        36-41        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  N  7                      LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW  6        N  6         LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      NONE         NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     90           20           0            0            
PRECIP DURATION       6            1                                      
PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM         CONTINUING                             
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   12 PM                                  
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.25         0.03         0.00         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               4                         2            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4400                      3600         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                N 14                      SW  9        
DISPERSION                         29 FAIR                   13 GEN POOR  

REMARKS...NONE.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 30S TO MID 40S.
SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE
50S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN
THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER
50S TO MID 60S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 40S.
HIGHS IN THE 50S TO MID 60S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS
IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID 60S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 30S.
HIGHS IN THE 50S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ018-041-043-045-047-052115-
NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
314 PM EST TUE DEC 4 2012

                      TONIGHT      WED          WED NIGHT    THU          

CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      44-49 (+1)   52-57 (-8)   30-35        51-56        
RH % (24H TREND)      88-93 (+4)   45-50 (-8)   88-93        36-41        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  N  6                      SE  6        
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      N  6         LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      NONE         NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     90           50           0            0            
PRECIP DURATION       6            1                                      
PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM         CONTINUING                             
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   7 PM                                   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.22         0.07         0.00         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               3                         2            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4300                      3700         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                N 10                      S  8         
DISPERSION                         14 GEN POOR               6 VERY POOR  

REMARKS...NONE.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER
40S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE
50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN
THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 50S TO MID 60S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 40S.
HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID 60S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS
IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID 60S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 30S.
HIGHS IN THE 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ072-074-052115-
TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-
314 PM EST TUE DEC 4 2012

                      TONIGHT      WED          WED NIGHT    THU          

CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      44-49 (0)    52-57 (-7)   36-41        52-57        
RH % (24H TREND)      92-97 (+7)   55-60 (-3)   90-95        52-57        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  N  5                      LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW  7        NE  6        LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      NONE         NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     90           60           0            0            
PRECIP DURATION       6            2                                      
PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM         CONTINUING                             
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   7 PM                                   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.25         0.12         0.00         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4100                      4000         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                N  7                      S  8         
DISPERSION                         6 VERY POOR               6 VERY POOR  

REMARKS...NONE.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 30S TO MID 40S.
SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE
50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN
THE 30S TO UPPER 40S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE
50S TO MID 60S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 40S.
HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO UPPER 60S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS
IN THE MID 50S TO UPPER 60S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER
30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO LOWER 60S. NORTH WINDS UP TO
10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ087-102-052115-
SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
314 PM EST TUE DEC 4 2012

                      TONIGHT      WED          WED NIGHT    THU          

CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       MCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      46-51 (+2)   56-61 (-6)   41-46        55-60        
RH % (24H TREND)      94-99 (+11)  56-61 (+1)   90-95        55-60        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  N  5                      SE  6        
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW  5        N  7         LGT/VAR      S  7         
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      SHOWERS      NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     90           60           20           0            
PRECIP DURATION       6            2            1                         
PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING                
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   7 AM                      
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.25         0.17         0.02         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3100                      3600         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                N  8                      S 13         
DISPERSION                         7 POOR                    17 GEN POOR  

REMARKS...NONE.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS NEAR 40. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP
TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE
50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN
THE 40S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE
50S TO UPPER 60S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER
40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO UPPER 60S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS
IN THE 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER
30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

$$

NCZ060-061-052115-
NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-
314 PM EST TUE DEC 4 2012

                      TONIGHT      WED          WED NIGHT    THU          

CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      45-50 (+3)   56-61 (-6)   41-46        54-59        
RH % (24H TREND)      93-98 (+7)   60-65 (+4)   94-99        57-62        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   SE  6        
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      N  5         LGT/VAR      SE  7        
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      SHOWERS      NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     90           60           20           0            
PRECIP DURATION       4            2            1                         
PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING                
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   7 AM                      
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.23         0.20         0.05         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3400                      4000         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NW  7                     SE 12        
DISPERSION                         7 POOR                    17 GEN POOR  
MAX LVORI                          6                         5            

REMARKS...NONE.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS NEAR 40. SOUTHEAST WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE
50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN
THE LOWER TO MID 40S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 50S TO MID 60S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER
40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO UPPER 60S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.MONDAY...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS
IN THE 60S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER
30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-052115-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-
314 PM EST TUE DEC 4 2012

                      TONIGHT      WED          WED NIGHT    THU          

CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       PCLDY        MCLEAR       PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      46-51 (+1)   56-61 (-7)   32-37        55-60        
RH % (24H TREND)      87-92 (+3)   42-47 (-12)  90-95        39-44        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  NE  6                     LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      NE  6        LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      NONE         NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     90           30           0            0            
PRECIP DURATION       6            1                                      
PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM         CONTINUING                             
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   7 PM                                   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.24         0.06         0.00         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               4                         2            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3800                      3000         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                N 12                      S  8         
DISPERSION                         24 FAIR                   10 POOR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER
40S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE
MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN
THE LOWER TO MID 40S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER
50S TO MID 60S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 40S.
HIGHS IN THE 50S TO UPPER 60S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS
IN THE 50S TO UPPER 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER
30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-052115-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-
314 PM EST TUE DEC 4 2012

                      TONIGHT      WED          WED NIGHT    THU          

CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       PCLDY        MCLEAR       PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      46-51 (-1)   57-62 (-7)   37-42        56-61        
RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (+9)  40-45 (-16)  88-93        48-53        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  NE  6                     LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW  5        NE  6        NE  5        LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      NONE         NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     90           30           0            0            
PRECIP DURATION       6            1                                      
PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM         CONTINUING                             
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   7 PM                                   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.27         0.07         0.00         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               4                         2            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3400                      3000         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NE 14                     S 10         
DISPERSION                         26 FAIR                   14 GEN POOR  

REMARKS...NONE.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 40S. SOUTH WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE
MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN
THE 40S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 60S.
SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER
40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S. NORTHWEST
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER
30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.

$$

TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-052115-
CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-
314 PM EST TUE DEC 4 2012 /214 PM CST TUE DEC 4 2012/

                      TONIGHT      WED          WED NIGHT    THU          

CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      48-53 (0)    58-63 (-6)   41-46        58-63        
RH % (24H TREND)      91-96 (+7)   48-53 (-9)   89-94        53-58        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  N  6                      SE  5        
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW  5        NE  7        NE  6        S  7         
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      NONE         NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     90           60           0            0            
PRECIP DURATION       6            2                                      
PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM         CONTINUING                             
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   7 PM                                   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.25         0.12         0.00         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               3                         2            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3000                      3100         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NE 13                     S 16         
DISPERSION                         21 FAIR                   26 FAIR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER TO MID 40S.
SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 50S TO MID 60S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN
THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 60S.
SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND 50. HIGHS
IN THE 60S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S. NORTHWEST
WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER
40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

$$

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