
240 
FNUS54 KMRX 251558
FWFMRX

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST
VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN
1058 AM EST SUN NOV 25 2012

...INCREASED FIRE THREAT THIS AFTERNOON...

.DISCUSSION...
WARMING TEMPERATURES AND AN INCREASING SOUTHWEST BREEZE...
COMBINED WITH DRY HUMIDITY LEVELS WILL INCREASE THE FIRE POTENTIAL
THIS AFTERNOON.  THIS EVENING MOISTURE WILL RECOVER QUICKLY AS 
NIGHTTIME COOLING TAKES EFFECT AS WELL AS MOISTURE ACCELERATES 
INTO THE REGION FROM THE GULF OF MEXICO.

MINIMUM HUMIDITY PERCENT VALUES THIS AFTERNOON WILL BE WIDESPREAD
INTO THE 20S...WITH A SOME LOCATIONS LOWERING INTO THE TEENS...
SEE DETAILS BELOW.


VAZ001-002-005-006-008-261700-
JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-
1058 AM EST SUN NOV 25 2012

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      MON          

CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       MCLEAR       PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      47-52 (+9)   26-31 (+9)   51-56        
RH % (24H TREND)      24-29 (-10)  67-72 (-5)   32-37        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SW  6 G16                 LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW  9 G17    SW  6        LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            
PRECIP DURATION                                              
PRECIP BEGIN                                                 
PRECIP END                                                   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  4                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3800                      4500         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 22                      W 18         
DISPERSION            34 FAIR                   39 FAIR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.MONDAY NIGHT...RAIN LIKELY. LOWS IN THE 30S TO LOWER 40S. LIGHT
WINDS BECOMING WEST LESS THAN 10 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
.TUESDAY...RAIN LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE 40S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW
SHOWERS. COLDER. LOWS IN THE 20S TO MID 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S.
NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS AROUND 30. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO MID
50S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER
40S TO MID 50S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 40. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO
UPPER 50S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ018-041-043-045-047-261700-
NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
1058 AM EST SUN NOV 25 2012

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      MON          

CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       CLEAR        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      47-52 (+9)   22-27 (+6)   51-56        
RH % (24H TREND)      20-25 (-12)  70-75 (+6)   30-35        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     W  5 G15                  LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W  8 G17     W  7 G17     LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            
PRECIP DURATION                                              
PRECIP BEGIN                                                 
PRECIP END                                                   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  5                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4300                      4100         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 22                      W 20         
DISPERSION            29 FAIR                   23 FAIR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE
30S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...RAIN LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTHWEST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW
SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 20S TO LOWER 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S.
NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 40S
TO MID 50S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE
50S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ072-074-261700-
TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-
1058 AM EST SUN NOV 25 2012

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      MON          

CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       CLEAR        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      48-53 (+6)   22-27 (+5)   55-60        
RH % (24H TREND)      15-20 (-14)  75-80 (+19)  28-33        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SW  5 G15                 LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW  9 G18    SW  8 G16    LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            
PRECIP DURATION                                              
PRECIP BEGIN                                                 
PRECIP END                                                   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  5                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4100                      4200         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 18                      W 16         
DISPERSION            15 GEN POOR               15 GEN POOR  

REMARKS...NONE.

.MONDAY NIGHT...RAIN LIKELY. LOWS IN THE 30S TO LOWER 40S.
SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...RAIN LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S.
NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW
SHOWERS. COLDER. LOWS IN THE 20S TO MID 30S. NORTH WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S.
NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS AROUND 30. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S
TO MID 50S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER
40S TO MID 50S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE
50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ087-102-261700-
SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
1058 AM EST SUN NOV 25 2012

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      MON          

CLOUD COVER           CLEAR        CLEAR        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      54-59 (+7)   23-28 (+4)   58-63        
RH % (24H TREND)      13-18 (-16)  79-84 (+15)  28-33        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW  7        S  5         LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            
PRECIP DURATION                                              
PRECIP BEGIN                                                 
PRECIP END                                                   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  5                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3900                      3900         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 13                      W 13         
DISPERSION            20 GEN POOR               19 GEN POOR  

REMARKS...NONE.

.MONDAY NIGHT...RAIN LIKELY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S.
SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...RAIN LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE 50S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER TO MID 30S.
NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S.
NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S
TO UPPER 50S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO
LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 40. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO
LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

NCZ060-061-261700-
NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-
1058 AM EST SUN NOV 25 2012

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      MON          

CLOUD COVER           CLEAR        CLEAR        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      54-59 (+7)   20-25 (+1)   58-63        
RH % (24H TREND)      13-18 (-15)  84-89 (+17)  26-31        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW  6        LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            
PRECIP DURATION                                              
PRECIP BEGIN                                                 
PRECIP END                                                   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  5                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4500                      4200         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 13                      W 13         
DISPERSION            25 FAIR                   19 GEN POOR  
MAX LVORI             3                         4            

REMARKS...NONE.

.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE
MID 30S TO LOWER 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...RAIN LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN
THE LOWER TO MID 30S. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S.
NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE
50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S.
SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE
50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-261700-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-
1058 AM EST SUN NOV 25 2012

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      MON          

CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       CLEAR        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      49-54 (+8)   24-29 (+6)   54-59        
RH % (24H TREND)      22-27 (-9)   72-77 (+3)   31-36        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW  8 G16    SW  5        LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            
PRECIP DURATION                                              
PRECIP BEGIN                                                 
PRECIP END                                                   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  4                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3300                      3700         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 17                      W 15         
DISPERSION            28 FAIR                   29 FAIR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.MONDAY NIGHT...RAIN LIKELY. LOWS IN THE 30S TO LOWER 40S. LIGHT
WINDS BECOMING WEST LESS THAN 10 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
.TUESDAY...RAIN LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTH
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS
NEAR 30. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTH
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO
UPPER 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 40. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO
LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-261700-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-
1058 AM EST SUN NOV 25 2012

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      MON          

CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       CLEAR        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      49-54 (+7)   26-31 (+6)   56-61        
RH % (24H TREND)      20-25 (-13)  74-79 (+8)   31-36        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW  8 G16    SW  6        LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            
PRECIP DURATION                                              
PRECIP BEGIN                                                 
PRECIP END                                                   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  4                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3100                      3900         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 17                      SW 14        
DISPERSION            26 FAIR                   32 FAIR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.MONDAY NIGHT...RAIN LIKELY. LOWS IN THE 30S TO MID 40S.
SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTHWEST AFTER
MIDNIGHT. 
.TUESDAY...RAIN LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. NORTH
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. COLDER. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S TO
MID 30S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S.
NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE
50S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S.
SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE
MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-261700-
CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-
1058 AM EST SUN NOV 25 2012 /958 AM CST SUN NOV 25 2012/

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      MON          

CLOUD COVER           CLEAR        CLEAR        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      53-58 (+8)   26-31 (+5)   58-63        
RH % (24H TREND)      17-22 (-13)  75-80 (+14)  31-36        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW  7        SW  5        LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            
PRECIP DURATION                                              
PRECIP BEGIN                                                 
PRECIP END                                                   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  4                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3200                      3700         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 14                      SW 13        
DISPERSION            24 FAIR                   28 FAIR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.MONDAY NIGHT...RAIN LIKELY. LOWS IN THE LOWER TO MID 40S.
SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...RAIN LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. NORTH
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. COLDER. LOWS IN THE 30S. NORTH
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S.
NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID
TO UPPER 50S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID
TO UPPER 50S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS NEAR 60.
SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

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