
673 
FNUS54 KMRX 051953
FWFMRX

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST
VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN
253 PM EST MON NOV 5 2012

.DISCUSSION...
CLOUDS WILL CONTINUE TO INCREASE TONIGHT AHEAD OF AN UPPER LEVEL 
DISTURBANCE. AFTER MIDNIGHT THE CHANCES FOR RAIN...PARTICULARLY 
SOUTH OF INTERSTATE 40 WILL INCREASE. SOME LIGHT RAIN MAY LINGER 
INTO TUESDAY BEFORE ANOTHER STORM SYSTEM MOVES ACROSS EAST TENNESSEE 
AND SOUTHWEST VIRGINIA TUESDAY EVENING...BRINGING ANOTHER CHANCE FOR 
PRECIPITATION.


VAZ001-002-005-006-008-062100-
JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-
253 PM EST MON NOV 5 2012

                      TONIGHT      TUE          TUE NIGHT    WED          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      29-34 (-1)   49-54 (+2)   33-38        45-50        
RH % (24H TREND)      89-94 (+6)   44-49 (+3)   93-98        61-66        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      W  7         
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         RAIN         RAIN         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            70           60           
PRECIP DURATION                                 2            2            
PRECIP BEGIN                                    7 PM         CONTINUING   
PRECIP END                                      CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.11         0.07         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4800                      4000         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW  7                     W 10         
DISPERSION                         18 GEN POOR               18 GEN POOR  

REMARKS...NONE.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS
IN THE UPPER 20S TO MID 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S.
NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY NIGHT...CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 20S TO LOWER 30S.
NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 
.FRIDAY...CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS AROUND 40. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO MID
60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID
50S TO UPPER 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 40S.
HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S TO MID 60S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ018-041-043-045-047-062100-
NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
253 PM EST MON NOV 5 2012

                      TONIGHT      TUE          TUE NIGHT    WED          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      28-33 (-2)   46-51 (0)    32-37        42-47        
RH % (24H TREND)      87-92 (+9)   45-50 (+3)   91-96        62-67        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      W  8 G16     
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         RAIN         RAIN         RAIN         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            20           60           60           
PRECIP DURATION                    1            2            2            
PRECIP BEGIN                       CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.02         0.05         0.08         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4700                      4200         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW  6                     W 13         
DISPERSION                         10 POOR                   16 GEN POOR  

REMARKS...NONE.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
UPPER 20S TO MID 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO LOWER 50S.
NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.THURSDAY NIGHT...CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 20S TO MID 30S. NORTH WINDS
UP TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE
LOWER 50S TO MID 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S
TO 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 40S.
HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

$$

TNZ072-074-062100-
TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-
253 PM EST MON NOV 5 2012

                      TONIGHT      TUE          TUE NIGHT    WED          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      31-36 (+2)   45-50 (-3)   33-38        43-48        
RH % (24H TREND)      92-97 (+12)  53-58 (+16)  91-96        60-65        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   W  5 G15     
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      NW  9 G18    
PRECIP TYPE           RAIN         RAIN         RAIN         RAIN         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     50           30           70           60           
PRECIP DURATION       1            1            2            2            
PRECIP BEGIN          10 PM        CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.03         0.04         0.15         0.11         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4800                      4600         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W  5                      W 15         
DISPERSION                         7 POOR                    20 GEN POOR  

REMARKS...NONE.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SLIGHT
CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE 20S TO MID 30S. NORTHWEST
WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO MID 50S. NORTH
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY NIGHT...CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 20S TO MID 30S. NORTHEAST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO MID 60S. SOUTH WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS AROUND 40. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO
UPPER 60S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO
UPPER 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 40S.
HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO UPPER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

$$

TNZ087-102-062100-
SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
253 PM EST MON NOV 5 2012

                      TONIGHT      TUE          TUE NIGHT    WED          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      35-40 (+4)   49-54 (-4)   35-40        48-53        
RH % (24H TREND)      90-95 (+14)  54-59 (+20)  91-96        56-61        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   SW  6        
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      NW  9 G17    
PRECIP TYPE           RAIN         RAIN         RAIN         RAIN         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     70           30           60           30           
PRECIP DURATION       2            1            2            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   1 PM         
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.09         0.06         0.14         0.01         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4700                      4500         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                S  6                      NW 15        
DISPERSION                         14 GEN POOR               31 FAIR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 20S TO UPPER 30S.
NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 40S TO MID 50S. NORTH WINDS
UP TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY NIGHT...CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S TO MID 30S.
NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S TO MID 60S. SOUTH WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID
50S TO UPPER 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID
50S TO UPPER 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 40S.
HIGHS IN THE 40S TO UPPER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

$$

NCZ060-061-062100-
NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-
253 PM EST MON NOV 5 2012

                      TONIGHT      TUE          TUE NIGHT    WED          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      35-40 (+4)   47-52 (-7)   35-40        47-52        
RH % (24H TREND)      91-96 (+16)  59-64 (+28)  92-97        56-61        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   SW  5 G15    
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      NW 11 G18    
PRECIP TYPE           RAIN         RAIN         RAIN         RAIN         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     80           40           50           40           
PRECIP DURATION       3            1            1            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   1 PM         
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.07         0.09         0.10         0.01         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4800                      4500         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SE  5                     NW 16        
DISPERSION                         12 POOR                   30 FAIR      
MAX LVORI                          5                         4            

REMARKS...NONE.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER TO MID 30S.
NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO MID 50S. NORTH WINDS 5 TO
10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY NIGHT...CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S TO MID 30S.
NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S TO MID 60S. SOUTH WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID
50S TO UPPER 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S
TO UPPER 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 40S.
HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S TO MID 60S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

$$

TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-062100-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-
253 PM EST MON NOV 5 2012

                      TONIGHT      TUE          TUE NIGHT    WED          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      29-34 (-2)   51-56 (+2)   34-39        47-52        
RH % (24H TREND)      92-97 (+13)  44-49 (+5)   93-98        60-65        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      W  7         
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         RAIN         RAIN         RAIN         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            70           40           
PRECIP DURATION                                 2            1            
PRECIP BEGIN                                    7 PM         CONTINUING   
PRECIP END                                      CONTINUING   7 PM         
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.13         0.06         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4600                      3800         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW  8                     W 14         
DISPERSION                         22 FAIR                   27 FAIR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S TO MID
30S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 40S TO MID 50S. NORTHWEST
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY NIGHT...CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S TO MID 30S.
NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S TO MID 60S. SOUTHEAST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID
50S TO UPPER 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO
UPPER 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 40S.
HIGHS IN THE 50S TO 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-062100-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-
253 PM EST MON NOV 5 2012

                      TONIGHT      TUE          TUE NIGHT    WED          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      33-38 (+3)   51-56 (0)    36-41        48-53        
RH % (24H TREND)      90-95 (+8)   49-54 (+9)   93-98        56-61        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   W  5         
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      NW  8 G15    
PRECIP TYPE           RAIN         RAIN         RAIN         RAIN         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     30           20           80           40           
PRECIP DURATION       1            1            5            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM         CONTINUING   7 PM         CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   1 PM         CONTINUING   7 PM         
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.02         0.01         0.20         0.04         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4600                      4300         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW  7                     NW 14        
DISPERSION                         19 GEN POOR               38 FAIR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 30S. NORTHWEST
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO MID 50S. NORTH WINDS UP TO
10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY NIGHT...CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER TO MID 30S. NORTHEAST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO MID 60S. SOUTH WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE
60S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S.
SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER
40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO UPPER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO
10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-062100-
CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-
253 PM EST MON NOV 5 2012 /153 PM CST MON NOV 5 2012/

                      TONIGHT      TUE          TUE NIGHT    WED          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      37-42 (+6)   51-56 (-3)   37-42        50-55        
RH % (24H TREND)      91-96 (+6)   55-60 (+19)  90-95        51-56        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   W  6 G16     
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      SW  5        NW 10 G17    
PRECIP TYPE           RAIN         RAIN         RAIN         RAIN         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     70           20           70           20           
PRECIP DURATION       2            1            2            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM         CONTINUING   7 PM         CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   1 PM         CONTINUING   1 PM         
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.13         0.02         0.09         0.01         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4000                      4500         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                S  8                      NW 17        
DISPERSION                         19 GEN POOR               49 GEN GOOD  

REMARKS...NONE.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. NORTHWEST
WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 50S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY NIGHT...CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 30S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE 60S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S
TO LOWER 70S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID
60S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER
40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO UPPER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO
15 MPH. 

$$

