
537 
FNUS54 KMRX 040134 AAA
FWFMRX

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...UPDATED
VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN
934 PM EDT SAT NOV 3 2012

...UPDATED TO ADD SLIGHT CHANCE THUNDER...UPDATE WINDS...

.DISCUSSION...
A WEAK LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL MOVE ACROSS THE TENNESSEE RIVER 
VALLEY...BRINGING SCATTERED SHOWERS TONIGHT AND EARLY SUNDAY. COOLER 
TEMPERATURES WILL THEN MOVE INTO THE REGION THROUGH THE EARLY WORK 
WEEK.

VAZ001-002-005-006-008-050230-
JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-
934 PM EDT SAT NOV 3 2012

                      TONIGHT      SUN          SUN NIGHT    MON          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      39-44 (+9)   51-56 (-6)   32-37        48-53        
RH % (24H TREND)      90-95 (+16)  59-64 (+26)  95-100       41-46        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  N  5                      NW  5        
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      N  6         N  5         NW  5        
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      NONE         NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     50           20           0            0            
PRECIP DURATION       1            1                                      
PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM         CONTINUING                             
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   12 PM                                  
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.10         0.01         0.00         0.00         
LAL                   2            1            1            1            
LASI                               3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5000                      5900         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NW 12                     N  8         
DISPERSION                         30 FAIR                   26 FAIR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
30S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE
40S TO LOWER 50S. LIGHT WINDS. 
.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN
THE 30S. LIGHT WINDS. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S.
NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE
LOWER 40S TO MID 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO
LOWER 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S
TO MID 60S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ018-041-043-045-047-050230-
NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
934 PM EDT SAT NOV 3 2012

                      TONIGHT      SUN          SUN NIGHT    MON          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      39-44 (+9)   50-55 (-8)   31-36        47-52        
RH % (24H TREND)      92-97 (+18)  64-69 (+35)  95-100       44-49        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  NW  6                     NW  7 G15    
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S  6 G15     NW  7        NW  7        NW  6        
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      NONE         NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     60           30           0            0            
PRECIP DURATION       2            1                                      
PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM         CONTINUING                             
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   8 PM                                   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.09         0.04         0.00         0.00         
LAL                   2            1            1            1            
LASI                               3                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5000                      5900         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 17                      NW  8        
DISPERSION                         33 FAIR                   22 FAIR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
30S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO
LOWER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN
THE 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO LOWER 50S.
NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE
LOWER 40S TO MID 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO
LOWER 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS AROUND 40. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO MID
60S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ072-074-050230-
TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-
934 PM EDT SAT NOV 3 2012

                      TONIGHT      SUN          SUN NIGHT    MON          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      39-44 (+9)   52-57 (-9)   31-36        50-55        
RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (+21) 54-59 (+28)  95-100       37-42        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  NW  6 G17                 N  5         
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW  9 G24    NW  7        N  5         N  5         
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        SHOWERS      NONE         NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     60           30           0            0            
PRECIP DURATION       2            1                                      
PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM         CONTINUING                             
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   8 PM                                   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.09         0.08         0.00         0.00         
LAL                   2            1            1            1            
LASI                               3                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5200                      6100         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 16                      N  7         
DISPERSION                         28 FAIR                   17 GEN POOR  

REMARKS...NONE.

.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
UPPER 20S TO LOWER 40S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO
MID 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN
THE 30S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO MID 50S.
NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE 30S
TO UPPER 50S. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER
40S TO MID 60S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S
TO MID 60S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ087-102-050230-
SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
934 PM EDT SAT NOV 3 2012

                      TONIGHT      SUN          SUN NIGHT    MON          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      43-48 (+11)  59-64 (-9)   34-39        55-60        
RH % (24H TREND)      91-96 (+8)   48-53 (+22)  87-92        33-38        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  NW  5                     N  5         
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW  8 G20    N  8         N  6         N  6         
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        SHOWERS      NONE         NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     30           30           0            0            
PRECIP DURATION       1            1                                      
PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM         CONTINUING                             
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   8 PM                                   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.05         0.09         0.00         0.00         
LAL                   2            1            1            1            
LASI                               4                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4500                      5400         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NW 15                     N  9         
DISPERSION                         29 FAIR                   25 FAIR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE 30S
TO LOWER 40S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE LOWER
40S TO MID 50S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN
THE 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 40S TO MID 50S.
NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID
40S TO UPPER 50S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S
TO MID 60S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 50S TO MID 60S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

NCZ060-061-050230-
NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-
934 PM EDT SAT NOV 3 2012

                      TONIGHT      SUN          SUN NIGHT    MON          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      42-47 (+12)  60-65 (-10)  34-39        57-62        
RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (+12) 46-51 (+21)  86-91        31-36        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  NW  6                     N  5         
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW  6        NW  9        N  6         NW  7        
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      NONE         NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     30           30           0            0            
PRECIP DURATION       1            1                                      
PRECIP BEGIN          12 AM        CONTINUING                             
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   8 PM                                   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.04         0.09         0.00         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               4                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4600                      5500         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 18                      N  7         
DISPERSION                         37 FAIR                   20 GEN POOR  
MAX LVORI                          4                         4            

REMARKS...NONE.

.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID
30S TO LOWER 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO MID
50S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN
THE 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO MID 50S.
NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID
40S TO UPPER 50S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S
TO MID 60S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 50S TO MID 60S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-050230-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-
934 PM EDT SAT NOV 3 2012

                      TONIGHT      SUN          SUN NIGHT    MON          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      41-46 (+9)   54-59 (-7)   33-38        51-56        
RH % (24H TREND)      94-99 (+18)  56-61 (+27)  95-100       38-43        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      NW  6        LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      NONE         NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     60           20           0            0            
PRECIP DURATION       2            1                                      
PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM         CONTINUING                             
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   8 PM                                   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.13         0.02         0.00         0.00         
LAL                   2            1            1            1            
LASI                               3                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4900                      5800         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NW 12                     N  7         
DISPERSION                         35 FAIR                   27 FAIR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
30S. LIGHT WINDS. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE
40S TO LOWER 50S. LIGHT WINDS. 
.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN
THE 30S. LIGHT WINDS. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 40S TO MID 50S.
NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID
40S TO UPPER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S
TO MID 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 50S TO MID 60S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-050230-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-
934 PM EDT SAT NOV 3 2012

                      TONIGHT      SUN          SUN NIGHT    MON          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      42-47 (+9)   57-62 (-8)   34-39        53-58        
RH % (24H TREND)      94-99 (+16)  50-55 (+21)  89-94        37-42        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  N  6                      LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      N  6         LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        SHOWERS      NONE         NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     40           20           0            0            
PRECIP DURATION       1            1                                      
PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM         CONTINUING                             
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   8 PM                                   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.11         0.03         0.00         0.00         
LAL                   2            1            1            1            
LASI                               3                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4900                      5800         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NW 12                     NE  8        
DISPERSION                         38 FAIR                   32 FAIR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID
30S TO LOWER 40S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE
WEST EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON. 
.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. WEST WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S.
NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S
TO UPPER 50S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER
50S TO MID 60S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE
60S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-050230-
CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-
934 PM EDT SAT NOV 3 2012 /834 PM CDT SAT NOV 3 2012/

                      TONIGHT      SUN          SUN NIGHT    MON          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      46-51 (+11)  61-66 (-8)   35-40        56-61        
RH % (24H TREND)      91-96 (+5)   46-51 (+14)  85-90        35-40        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  NW  6                     LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW  7 G16    N  7         N  5         LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        SHOWERS      NONE         NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           30           0            0            
PRECIP DURATION       1            1                                      
PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM         CONTINUING                             
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   8 PM                                   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.09         0.08         0.00         0.00         
LAL                   2            1            1            1            
LASI                               3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4400                      5300         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NW 14                     NE 10        
DISPERSION                         38 FAIR                   37 FAIR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS NEAR 40.
NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE WEST AFTER
MIDNIGHT. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE
50S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. NORTHWEST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE 50S. NORTH WINDS UP TO
10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S
TO LOWER 60S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S.
EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S.
SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TD

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