
100 
FNUS54 KMRX 030753
FWFMRX

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST
VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN
600 AM EDT SAT NOV 3 2012

.DISCUSSION...
A WEAK LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL MOVE ACROSS THE TENNESSEE RIVER 
VALLEY THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT...BRINGING SCATTERED SHOWERS FOR 
TONIGHT AND SUNDAY. SLIGHTLY COOLER TEMPERATURES WILL THEN MOVE 
INTO THE SOUTHERN APPALACHIAN REGION FOR EARLY NEXT WEEK.


VAZ001-002-005-006-008-040830-
JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-
600 AM EDT SAT NOV 3 2012

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SUN          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      58-63 (+4)   39-44 (+9)   49-54        
RH % (24H TREND)      29-34 (-10)  88-93 (+15)  66-71        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   N  5         
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      N  6         
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           60           20           
PRECIP DURATION       1            2            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          4 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   2 PM         
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.01         0.16         0.01         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  4                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3500                      5000         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   NW 13                     NW 12        
DISPERSION            15 GEN POOR               30 FAIR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S TO MID 30S.
NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. NORTH 
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS AND SNOW 
SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE 30S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH... 
SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHEAST AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 
UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S. 
NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S. 
SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S 
TO LOWER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ018-041-043-045-047-040830-
NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
600 AM EDT SAT NOV 3 2012

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SUN          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      58-63 (+4)   39-44 (+9)   48-53        
RH % (24H TREND)      31-36 (-8)   91-96 (+20)  70-75        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   W  5         
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      S  6 G18     NW  6        
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           60           30           
PRECIP DURATION       1            2            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          4 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   8 PM         
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.01         0.21         0.04         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  4                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3500                      5000         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   NW 18                     W 17         
DISPERSION            10 POOR                   32 FAIR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S TO MID 30S.
NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. NORTHWEST 
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS AND SNOW 
SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE 30S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH...SHIFTING TO 
THE SOUTH AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S 
TO MID 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 
UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S. 
WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S 
TO LOWER 60S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ072-074-040830-
TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-
600 AM EDT SAT NOV 3 2012

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SUN          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      61-66 (+3)   39-44 (+9)   50-55        
RH % (24H TREND)      32-37 (-4)   92-97 (+18)  70-75        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   NW  5 G16    
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW  5        SW 10 G28    NW  6        
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         SHOWERS      SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            60           30           
PRECIP DURATION                    2            1            
PRECIP BEGIN                       8 PM         CONTINUING   
PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.24         0.07         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  4                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3700                      5000         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 17                      W 16         
DISPERSION            8 POOR                    25 FAIR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE 
MID 20S TO UPPER 30S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S TO UPPER 50S. NORTH 
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS AND SNOW 
SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S TO UPPER 30S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS 
THAN 10 MPH...SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHEAST AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO 
UPPER 50S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO 
UPPER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO 
LOWER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO 
MID 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ087-102-040830-
SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
600 AM EDT SAT NOV 3 2012

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SUN          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      68-73 (+3)   43-48 (+11)  56-61        
RH % (24H TREND)      33-38 (0)    92-97 (+20)  64-69        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW  6        SW  8 G22    N  7         
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         SHOWERS      SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            50           30           
PRECIP DURATION                    1            1            
PRECIP BEGIN                       8 PM         CONTINUING   
PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.22         0.10         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  3                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3400                      4400         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 13                      NW 15        
DISPERSION            13 GEN POOR               28 FAIR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE 
30S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. NORTH 
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 30S
TO LOWER 40S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 50S. 
NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S 
TO LOWER 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 
50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 
50S TO MID 60S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

NCZ060-061-040830-
NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-
600 AM EDT SAT NOV 3 2012

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SUN          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      69-74 (+4)   42-47 (+12)  56-61        
RH % (24H TREND)      30-35 (-4)   95-100 (+20) 64-69        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   NW  5        
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW  6        SW  6 G15    NW  7        
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         SHOWERS      SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            50           30           
PRECIP DURATION                    1            1            
PRECIP BEGIN                       8 PM         CONTINUING   
PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.19         0.11         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  3                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3500                      4500         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 15                      W 18         
DISPERSION            15 GEN POOR               36 FAIR      
MAX LVORI             4                         4            

REMARKS...NONE.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE 
30S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. NORTHWEST 
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 
30S TO LOWER 40S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 50S. 
NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S. 
NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S
TO LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S 
TO MID 60S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-040830-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-
600 AM EDT SAT NOV 3 2012

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SUN          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      62-67 (+3)   41-46 (+9)   52-57        
RH % (24H TREND)      29-34 (-8)   92-97 (+17)  66-71        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      NW  5        
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           60           30           
PRECIP DURATION       1            2            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          4 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   8 PM         
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.01         0.24         0.02         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  4                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3300                      4900         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 10                      NW 12        
DISPERSION            15 GEN POOR               35 FAIR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS 
THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. NORTHWEST 
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE 30S. 
EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 
50S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S. 
NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 
50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 
50S TO MID 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-040830-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-
600 AM EDT SAT NOV 3 2012

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SUN          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      65-70 (+2)   42-47 (+9)   55-60        
RH % (24H TREND)      32-37 (0)    93-98 (+13)  58-63        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   N  5         
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      S  5 G15     N  5         
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     10           60           30           
PRECIP DURATION       1            2            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          4 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   8 PM         
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.01         0.30         0.03         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    2800                      4900         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 10                      NW 12        
DISPERSION            13 GEN POOR               38 FAIR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 30S. NORTH WINDS LESS 
THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 50S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 
MPH. 
.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID
30S TO LOWER 40S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 
50S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S
TO LOWER 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS AROUND 40. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO 
LOWER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER
50S TO MID 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-040830-
CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-
600 AM EDT SAT NOV 3 2012 /500 AM CDT SAT NOV 3 2012/

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SUN          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      70-75 (+2)   46-51 (+11)  58-63        
RH % (24H TREND)      36-41 (+2)   91-96 (+13)  58-63        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   N  6         
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW  6        SW  7 G16    N  6         
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         SHOWERS      SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            50           30           
PRECIP DURATION                    1            1            
PRECIP BEGIN                       8 PM         CONTINUING   
PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   8 PM         
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.23         0.09         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    2800                      4400         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 12                      NW 14        
DISPERSION            15 GEN POOR               38 FAIR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. NORTH WINDS 
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. NORTH 
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 
30S TO LOWER 40S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO 
LOWER 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 
50S TO LOWER 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 
50S TO MID 60S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S.
SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

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