
381 
FNUS54 KMRX 171910
FWFMRX

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST
VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN
310 PM EDT WED OCT 17 2012

.DISCUSSION...
A COLD FRONT WILL APPROACH THE SOUTHERN APPALACHIAN REGION LATE 
TONIGHT...BRINGING SHOWERS AND SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS FOR THURSDAY 
MORNING. DRY CONDITIONS WITH NEAR NORMAL TEMPERATURES WILL THEN 
RETURN FOR THE WEEKEND AND INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK.


VAZ001-002-005-006-008-182015-
JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-
310 PM EDT WED OCT 17 2012

                      TONIGHT      THU          THU NIGHT    FRI          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLEAR       PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      48-53 (+9)   64-69 (-5)   37-42        61-66        
RH % (24H TREND)      86-91 (-3)   38-43 (+4)   69-74        31-36        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  S 10 G21                  S 10 G22     
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S  8 G19     SW  7 G17    LGT/VAR      SW 11 G23    
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        NONE         NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     40           70           0            0            
PRECIP DURATION       1            2                                      
PRECIP BEGIN          12 AM        CONTINUING                             
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   8 PM                                   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.08         0.09         0.00         0.00         
LAL                   3            3            1            1            
LASI                               3                         5            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5800                      5700         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 28                     SW 25        
DISPERSION                         90 GOOD                   80 GOOD      

REMARKS...NONE.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS NEAR 40. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 
MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. WEST 
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. 
WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTHWEST 
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 
60S TO MID 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S 
TO MID 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 
60S TO MID 70S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ018-041-043-045-047-182015-
NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
310 PM EDT WED OCT 17 2012

                      TONIGHT      THU          THU NIGHT    FRI          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLEAR       PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      46-51 (+5)   63-68 (-5)   36-41        60-65        
RH % (24H TREND)      85-90 (+6)   41-46 (+8)   70-75        32-37        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  S 14 G29                  S  8 G19     
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S 11 G28     W  6 G17     LGT/VAR      W  9 G19     
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        NONE         NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     30           70           0            0            
PRECIP DURATION       1            2                                      
PRECIP BEGIN          12 AM        CONTINUING                             
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   8 PM                                   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.04         0.06         0.00         0.00         
LAL                   3            3            1            1            
LASI                               3                         5            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4900                      5500         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 26                     SW 18        
DISPERSION                         51 GEN GOOD               43 GEN GOOD  

REMARKS...NONE.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S. 
WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. WEST 
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. 
NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO LOWER 70S. WEST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S 
TO MID 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S 
TO MID 70S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 
60S TO MID 70S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ072-074-182015-
TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-
310 PM EDT WED OCT 17 2012

                      TONIGHT      THU          THU NIGHT    FRI          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLEAR       PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      46-51 (0)    63-68 (-4)   36-41        60-65        
RH % (24H TREND)      85-90 (+10)  35-40 (+2)   70-75        31-36        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  SW 13 G34                 SW 11 G23    
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S 13 G34     W  9 G17     SW  6        SW 11 G22    
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        NONE         NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     60           60           0            0            
PRECIP DURATION       1            2                                      
PRECIP BEGIN          12 AM        CONTINUING                             
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   8 PM                                   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.18         0.05         0.00         0.00         
LAL                   3            3            1            1            
LASI                               3                         5            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5400                      5900         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 28                     SW 25        
DISPERSION                         54 GEN GOOD               60 GEN GOOD  

REMARKS...NONE.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S. 
WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 60S. 
SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS AROUND 40. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS 
THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO LOWER 70S. WEST 
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO 
MID 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO 
MID 70S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 50S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S 
TO MID 70S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ087-102-182015-
SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
310 PM EDT WED OCT 17 2012

                      TONIGHT      THU          THU NIGHT    FRI          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLEAR       PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      48-53 (+2)   65-70 (-4)   37-42        62-67        
RH % (24H TREND)      87-92 (+1)   32-37 (0)    73-78        31-36        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  S  9 G25                  SW  9 G20    
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S 11 G30     W  8 G16     LGT/VAR      SW 11 G20    
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        SHOWERS      NONE         NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     60           50           0            0            
PRECIP DURATION       1            1                                      
PRECIP BEGIN          12 AM        CONTINUING                             
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   4 PM                                   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.29         0.03         0.00         0.00         
LAL                   3            3            1            1            
LASI                               3                         5            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5300                      5900         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 25                     SW 23        
DISPERSION                         68 GOOD                   76 GOOD      

REMARKS...NONE.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S. 
WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID 60S. WEST 
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. NORTH WINDS 
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO LOWER 70S. LIGHT 
WINDS. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S 
TO LOWER 70S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S 
TO LOWER 70S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 
60S TO MID 70S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

NCZ060-061-182015-
NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-
310 PM EDT WED OCT 17 2012

                      TONIGHT      THU          THU NIGHT    FRI          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLEAR       PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      45-50 (+3)   64-69 (-5)   35-40        61-66        
RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (+3)  35-40 (+3)   77-82        32-37        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  S  8 G21                  SW  8 G19    
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SE  8 G21    W  7 G15     LGT/VAR      SW 10 G19    
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        NONE         NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     60           60           0            0            
PRECIP DURATION       1            1                                      
PRECIP BEGIN          12 AM        CONTINUING                             
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   4 PM                                   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.21         0.04         0.00         0.00         
LAL                   3            3            1            1            
LASI                               3                         5            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5500                      6000         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 25                     SW 22        
DISPERSION                         69 GOOD                   71 GOOD      
MAX LVORI                          4                         3            

REMARKS...NONE.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S. 
WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS 
THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. NORTHEAST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO LOWER 70S. LIGHT 
WINDS. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S 
TO MID 70S. LIGHT WINDS. 
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE 70S. 
NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 
60S TO MID 70S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-182015-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-
310 PM EDT WED OCT 17 2012

                      TONIGHT      THU          THU NIGHT    FRI          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLEAR       PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      48-53 (+8)   66-71 (-5)   38-43        63-68        
RH % (24H TREND)      87-92 (-5)   36-41 (+3)   70-75        31-36        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  S  9 G20                  S  9 G19     
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SE  6 G15    SW  7 G15    LGT/VAR      SW 10 G21    
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        NONE         NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     50           60           0            0            
PRECIP DURATION       1            2                                      
PRECIP BEGIN          12 AM        CONTINUING                             
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   8 PM                                   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.11         0.07         0.00         0.00         
LAL                   3            3            1            1            
LASI                               3                         5            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4700                      5500         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 25                     SW 23        
DISPERSION                         72 GOOD                   78 GOOD      

REMARKS...NONE.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 40. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 
10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID 60S. WEST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. 
LIGHT WINDS. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO LOWER 70S. LIGHT 
WINDS. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 
60S TO MID 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 
60S TO MID 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 
60S TO MID 70S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-182015-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-
310 PM EDT WED OCT 17 2012

                      TONIGHT      THU          THU NIGHT    FRI          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLEAR       PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      50-55 (+6)   66-71 (-5)   38-43        63-68        
RH % (24H TREND)      83-88 (-4)   31-36 (-2)   71-76        29-34        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  SW  8 G17                 SW  9 G21    
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S  7 G18     SW  8 G15    LGT/VAR      SW 12 G22    
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        NONE         NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     60           50           0            0            
PRECIP DURATION       1            1                                      
PRECIP BEGIN          12 AM        CONTINUING                             
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   4 PM                                   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.32         0.04         0.00         0.00         
LAL                   3            3            1            1            
LASI                               3                         5            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5800                      5900         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 24                     SW 25        
DISPERSION                         95 GOOD                   103 VERY GOOD

REMARKS...NONE.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS NEAR 40. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 
MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS 
THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. 
SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTH 
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS AROUND 50. HIGHS IN THE 70S. SOUTHWEST 
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 50. HIGHS IN THE 70S. 
SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 
60S TO MID 70S. LIGHT WINDS. 

$$

TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-182015-
CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-
310 PM EDT WED OCT 17 2012 /210 PM CDT WED OCT 17 2012/

                      TONIGHT      THU          THU NIGHT    FRI          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLEAR       PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      52-57 (+3)   68-73 (-4)   40-45        65-70        
RH % (24H TREND)      77-82 (-11)  27-32 (-7)   66-71        30-35        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  SW  7 G15                 SW  9 G21    
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S  6 G17     W  9 G17     LGT/VAR      SW 12 G23    
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        SHOWERS      NONE         NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     70           40           0            0            
PRECIP DURATION       1            1                                      
PRECIP BEGIN          12 AM        CONTINUING                             
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   4 PM                                   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.56         0.03         0.00         0.00         
LAL                   3            1            1            1            
LASI                               4                         5            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5700                      5800         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 21                      SW 24        
DISPERSION                         81 GOOD                   98 GOOD      

REMARKS...NONE.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. WEST WINDS UP 
TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS 
THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. 
NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO MID 70S. SOUTH 
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S. 
SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 50. HIGHS IN THE 70S. WEST 
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 
TO MID 70S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

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