
231 
FNUS54 KMRX 161913
FWFMRX

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST
VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN
313 PM EDT TUE OCT 16 2012

.DISCUSSION...
TONIGHT...A RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE WILL CONTINUE TO KEEP OUR WEATHER 
DRY AND TEMPERATURES A FEW DEGREES ABOVE NORMAL THROUGH LATE WEDNESDAY. 
SHOWERS RETURN WITH THE ARRIVAL OF A COLD FRONT ON WEDNESDAY NIGHT 
INTO THURSDAY.  


VAZ001-002-005-006-008-172015-
JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-
313 PM EDT TUE OCT 16 2012

                      TONIGHT      WED          WED NIGHT    THU          

CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       MCLEAR       PCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      39-44 (+2)   69-74 (+6)   48-53        64-69        
RH % (24H TREND)      88-93 (-8)   27-32 (-6)   84-89        36-41        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   SW 10 G20    
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      S  5         SE  5        SW  7 G15    
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         SHOWERS      TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            40           40           
PRECIP DURATION                                 1            1            
PRECIP BEGIN                                    12 AM        CONTINUING   
PRECIP END                                      CONTINUING   4 PM         
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.04         0.12         
LAL                   1            1            2            2            
LASI                               3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5600                      7100         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW  6                     SW 31        
DISPERSION                         18 GEN POOR               133 VERY GOOD

REMARKS...NONE.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID
40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO 60S. WEST WINDS 5 TO
15 MPH. 
.FRIDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER TO MID 40S.
SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S TO MID 60S.
SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER
50S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER
60S TO MID 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 50S TO LOWER 70S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ018-041-043-045-047-172015-
NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
313 PM EDT TUE OCT 16 2012

                      TONIGHT      WED          WED NIGHT    THU          

CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       MCLEAR       PCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      38-43 (+3)   66-71 (+5)   45-50        63-68        
RH % (24H TREND)      86-91 (-10)  28-33 (-5)   86-91        34-39        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   S 12 G26     
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      S  5         S  7 G16     W  7 G15     
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         SHOWERS      TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            30           50           
PRECIP DURATION                                 1            1            
PRECIP BEGIN                                    4 AM         CONTINUING   
PRECIP END                                      CONTINUING   4 PM         
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.02         0.07         
LAL                   1            1            1            2            
LASI                               4                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 6300                      5800         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW  5                     SW 29        
DISPERSION                         14 GEN POOR               77 GOOD      

REMARKS...NONE.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. WEST
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S TO MID 60S. WEST
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S.
WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S TO MID 60S.
SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER
50S TO LOWER 70S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER
50S TO MID 70S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 50S TO LOWER 70S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ072-074-172015-
TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-
313 PM EDT TUE OCT 16 2012

                      TONIGHT      WED          WED NIGHT    THU          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLEAR       PCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      40-45 (+6)   66-71 (+5)   44-49        62-67        
RH % (24H TREND)      83-88 (-12)  28-33 (-1)   85-90        33-38        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   SW 12 G32    
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      SW  6        S  9 G24     W  9 G18     
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         SHOWERS      TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            50           30           
PRECIP DURATION                                 1            1            
PRECIP BEGIN                                    12 AM        CONTINUING   
PRECIP END                                      CONTINUING   4 PM         
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.09         0.07         
LAL                   1            1            2            2            
LASI                               4                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 6300                      6000         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW  7                     SW 29        
DISPERSION                         18 GEN POOR               74 GOOD      

REMARKS...NONE.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 40. SOUTHWEST WINDS
UP TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO UPPER 60S. SOUTHWEST
WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 30S TO LOWER 40S. WEST
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO UPPER 60S.
SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO
LOWER 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO
MID 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID
50S TO LOWER 70S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ087-102-172015-
SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
313 PM EDT TUE OCT 16 2012

                      TONIGHT      WED          WED NIGHT    THU          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLEAR       PCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      40-45 (+5)   70-75 (+3)   46-51        67-72        
RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (-1)  26-31 (-4)   83-88        30-35        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  S  5                      SW  9 G22    
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      S  7         S  6 G17     W  8         
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         TSTMS        TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            50           30           
PRECIP DURATION                                 1            1            
PRECIP BEGIN                                    12 AM        CONTINUING   
PRECIP END                                      CONTINUING   4 PM         
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.11         0.05         
LAL                   1            1            2            2            
LASI                               3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5500                      5600         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                S 10                      SW 24        
DISPERSION                         30 FAIR                   73 GOOD      

REMARKS...NONE.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS AROUND 40. SOUTHWEST WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO UPPER 60S. WEST
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S.
WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO UPPER 60S.
SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER
50S TO MID 70S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER
60S TO MID 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE
LOWER 60S TO MID 70S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

NCZ060-061-172015-
NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-
313 PM EDT TUE OCT 16 2012

                      TONIGHT      WED          WED NIGHT    THU          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLEAR       PCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      38-43 (+5)   70-75 (+4)   44-49        69-74        
RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (0)   25-30 (-2)   86-91        30-35        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   SW  7 G16    
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      S  6         LGT/VAR      W  7         
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         SHOWERS      TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            50           30           
PRECIP DURATION                                 1            1            
PRECIP BEGIN                                    12 AM        CONTINUING   
PRECIP END                                      CONTINUING   4 PM         
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.10         0.08         
LAL                   1            1            2            2            
LASI                               4                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 6000                      5600         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                S  9                      SW 24        
DISPERSION                         29 FAIR                   68 GOOD      
MAX LVORI                          4                         4            

REMARKS...NONE.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. WEST WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHEAST AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO UPPER 60S. WEST WINDS
UP TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S.
NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO UPPER 60S.
NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S
TO LOWER 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER
60S TO MID 70S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID
60S TO UPPER 70S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-172015-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-
313 PM EDT TUE OCT 16 2012

                      TONIGHT      WED          WED NIGHT    THU          

CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       MCLEAR       PCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      38-43 (+1)   70-75 (+4)   47-52        67-72        
RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (-2)  27-32 (-2)   85-90        31-36        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   SW  9 G18    
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      S  5         LGT/VAR      W  8 G16     
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         SHOWERS      TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            40           40           
PRECIP DURATION                                 1            1            
PRECIP BEGIN                                    12 AM        CONTINUING   
PRECIP END                                      CONTINUING   4 PM         
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.06         0.10         
LAL                   1            1            2            2            
LASI                               3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5300                      6500         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW  6                     SW 29        
DISPERSION                         20 GEN POOR               125 VERY GOOD

REMARKS...NONE.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS NEAR 40. SOUTHWEST WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO UPPER 60S. WEST
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS NEAR 40. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO MID 60S. SOUTHWEST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO
LOWER 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S
TO MID 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S
TO LOWER 70S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-172015-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-
313 PM EDT TUE OCT 16 2012

                      TONIGHT      WED          WED NIGHT    THU          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLEAR       PCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      43-48 (+6)   71-76 (+4)   50-55        65-70        
RH % (24H TREND)      90-95 (-7)   28-33 (-1)   82-87        30-35        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   SW  9 G18    
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      S  7 G15     S  6 G18     W  9 G16     
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         TSTMS        SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            60           30           
PRECIP DURATION                                 2            1            
PRECIP BEGIN                                    8 PM         CONTINUING   
PRECIP END                                      CONTINUING   4 PM         
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.17         0.03         
LAL                   1            1            3            2            
LASI                               3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5200                      7200         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                S 12                      SW 26        
DISPERSION                         38 FAIR                   136 VERY GOOD

REMARKS...NONE.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS NEAR 40. SOUTHWEST WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO UPPER 60S. SOUTHWEST
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S.
SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO UPPER 60S.
SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE
LOWER 60S TO MID 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S
TO MID 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 50. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO MID
70S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-172015-
CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-
313 PM EDT TUE OCT 16 2012 /213 PM CDT TUE OCT 16 2012/

                      TONIGHT      WED          WED NIGHT    THU          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLEAR       PCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      43-48 (+4)   74-79 (+4)   50-55        66-71        
RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (0)   27-32 (-2)   79-84        30-35        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  S  5                      W  9 G17     
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      S  8 G16     S  7 G17     W  9 G17     
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         TSTMS        SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            70           20           
PRECIP DURATION                                 2            1            
PRECIP BEGIN                                    8 PM         CONTINUING   
PRECIP END                                      CONTINUING   12 PM        
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.23         0.01         
LAL                   1            1            3            2            
LASI                               3                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4900                      6500         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                S 14                      W 23         
DISPERSION                         43 GEN GOOD               106 VERY GOOD

REMARKS...NONE.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER TO MID 40S.
SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO LOWER 70S. WEST WINDS
UP TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. WEST WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO LOWER 70S.
SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S
TO MID 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER
60S TO MID 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 50. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S
TO MID 70S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

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