
632 
FNUS54 KMRX 151919
FWFMRX

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST
VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN
319 PM EDT MON OCT 15 2012

.DISCUSSION...
A RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE AND DRY WEATHER WILL BEGIN TO BUILD IN 
OVERNIGHT AND REMAIN THROUGH WEDNESDAY...UNTIL ANOTHER COLD FRONT 
APPROACHES ON THURSDAY AND BRINGS THE NEXT CHANCE FOR SHOWERS. 


VAZ001-002-005-006-008-162030-
JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-
319 PM EDT MON OCT 15 2012

                      TONIGHT      TUE          TUE NIGHT    WED          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLEAR       MCLEAR       MCLEAR       
TEMP (24H TREND)      36-41 (-17)  60-65 (-2)   39-44        69-74        
RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (+3)  31-36 (-12)  78-83        27-32        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW  5        NW  5        LGT/VAR      S  5         
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            0            
PRECIP DURATION                                                           
PRECIP BEGIN                                                              
PRECIP END                                                                
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               4                         5            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5500                      6000         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NW 12                     S  6         
DISPERSION                         34 FAIR                   19 GEN POOR  

REMARKS...NONE.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS
IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER
50S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS
IN THE MID 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S TO MID 60S.
SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE
LOWER 50S TO MID 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID
50S TO UPPER 60S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S
TO LOWER 70S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ018-041-043-045-047-162030-
NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
319 PM EDT MON OCT 15 2012

                      TONIGHT      TUE          TUE NIGHT    WED          

CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       MCLEAR       MCLEAR       MCLEAR       
TEMP (24H TREND)      34-39 (-20)  58-63 (-4)   39-44        66-71        
RH % (24H TREND)      90-95 (+1)   32-37 (-11)  77-82        27-32        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  NW  5                     LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW  7 G19    NW  7 G15    LGT/VAR      S  5         
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            0            
PRECIP DURATION                                                           
PRECIP BEGIN                                                              
PRECIP END                                                                
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               4                         5            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5600                      6200         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NW 14                     S  5         
DISPERSION                         33 FAIR                   13 GEN POOR  

REMARKS...NONE.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS
IN THE MID 40S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE MID
50S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS
IN THE LOWER 40S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S TO MID 60S. WEST
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE
LOWER 50S TO MID 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID
50S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER
50S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ072-074-162030-
TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-
319 PM EDT MON OCT 15 2012

                      TONIGHT      TUE          TUE NIGHT    WED          

CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       MCLEAR       MCLEAR       MCLEAR       
TEMP (24H TREND)      34-39 (-18)  58-63 (-3)   40-45        66-71        
RH % (24H TREND)      92-97 (-4)   29-34 (-11)  78-83        29-34        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     N  5 G18     N  5         LGT/VAR      SW  5        
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            0            
PRECIP DURATION                                                           
PRECIP BEGIN                                                              
PRECIP END                                                                
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               5                         5            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5200                      5700         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                N  9                      S  7         
DISPERSION                         16 GEN POOR               15 GEN POOR  

REMARKS...NONE.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS
IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO
LOWER 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS
IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO MID 60S. WEST WINDS
UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE
40S TO UPPER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER
40S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S
TO LOWER 70S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ087-102-162030-
SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
319 PM EDT MON OCT 15 2012

                      TONIGHT      TUE          TUE NIGHT    WED          

CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       MCLEAR       MCLEAR       MCLEAR       
TEMP (24H TREND)      35-40 (-21)  64-69 (-2)   39-44        70-75        
RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (-2)  26-31 (-10)  86-91        27-32        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     N  5         N  6         LGT/VAR      SW  5        
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            0            
PRECIP DURATION                                                           
PRECIP BEGIN                                                              
PRECIP END                                                                
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               5                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4600                      5300         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                N 10                      S  9         
DISPERSION                         23 FAIR                   26 FAIR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
40S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER
50S TO LOWER 70S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS
IN THE LOWER 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO UPPER 60S. WEST
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE
MID 50S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER
50S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER
60S TO MID 70S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

NCZ060-061-162030-
NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-
319 PM EDT MON OCT 15 2012

                      TONIGHT      TUE          TUE NIGHT    WED          

CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       MCLEAR       MCLEAR       MCLEAR       
TEMP (24H TREND)      33-38 (-23)  63-68 (-2)   37-42        71-76        
RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (0)   25-30 (-11)  87-92        26-31        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     N  6         NW  5        LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            0            
PRECIP DURATION                                                           
PRECIP BEGIN                                                              
PRECIP END                                                                
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               5                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5700                      5700         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                N 10                      S  9         
DISPERSION                         32 FAIR                   26 FAIR      
MAX LVORI                          4                         4            

REMARKS...NONE.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
40S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO
LOWER 70S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS
IN THE LOWER 40S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO UPPER 60S. NORTHWEST
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE
50S TO UPPER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER
50S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER
60S TO MID 70S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-162030-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-
319 PM EDT MON OCT 15 2012

                      TONIGHT      TUE          TUE NIGHT    WED          

CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       MCLEAR       MCLEAR       MCLEAR       
TEMP (24H TREND)      36-41 (-18)  63-68 (-4)   37-42        71-76        
RH % (24H TREND)      90-95 (-4)   29-34 (-9)   87-92        26-31        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            0            
PRECIP DURATION                                                           
PRECIP BEGIN                                                              
PRECIP END                                                                
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               5                         5            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4900                      5600         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NW  8                     S  6         
DISPERSION                         24 FAIR                   20 GEN POOR  

REMARKS...NONE.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS
IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO
LOWER 70S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS
IN THE MID 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO MID 60S. SOUTHWEST
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE
MID 50S TO UPPER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER
50S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S
TO LOWER 70S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-162030-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-
319 PM EDT MON OCT 15 2012

                      TONIGHT      TUE          TUE NIGHT    WED          

CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       MCLEAR       MCLEAR       MCLEAR       
TEMP (24H TREND)      37-42 (-17)  64-69 (-3)   41-46        71-76        
RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (-3)  30-35 (-6)   87-92        29-34        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      SW  5        
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            0            
PRECIP DURATION                                                           
PRECIP BEGIN                                                              
PRECIP END                                                                
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               5                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4200                      4900         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                N  6                      SW 10        
DISPERSION                         15 GEN POOR               32 FAIR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO
LOWER 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS
IN THE MID 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO UPPER 60S. WEST
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE
50S TO UPPER 60S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S
TO LOWER 70S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS AROUND 50. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO MID
70S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-162030-
CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-
319 PM EDT MON OCT 15 2012 /219 PM CDT MON OCT 15 2012/

                      TONIGHT      TUE          TUE NIGHT    WED          

CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       MCLEAR       MCLEAR       MCLEAR       
TEMP (24H TREND)      38-43 (-18)  66-71 (-2)   43-48        73-78        
RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (-3)  30-35 (-5)   88-93        27-32        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      S  6         
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            0            
PRECIP DURATION                                                           
PRECIP BEGIN                                                              
PRECIP END                                                                
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               5                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3900                      4700         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                N  7                      S 12         
DISPERSION                         16 GEN POOR               36 FAIR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S
TO LOWER 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS
IN THE MID 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 60S. WEST WINDS UP TO
10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S
TO LOWER 70S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID
60S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS AROUND 50. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO
MID 70S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

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