
833 
FNUS54 KMRX 150909
FWFMRX

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST
VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN
509 AM EDT MON OCT 15 2012

.DISCUSSION...
A COLD FRONT WILL MOVE EAST OF THE APPALACHIANS THIS MORNING...
FOLLOWED BY A RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE AND DRY WEATHER. THIS DRY 
WEATHER WILL LAST THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT...UNTIL ANOTHER COLD FRONT 
APPROACHES ON THURSDAY TO BRING MORE SHOWERS.

VAZ001-002-005-006-008-161000-
JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-
509 AM EDT MON OCT 15 2012

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      TUE          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLEAR       MCLEAR       
TEMP (24H TREND)      62-67 (-9)   36-41 (-17)  60-65        
RH % (24H TREND)      42-47 (-9)   88-93 (-2)   32-37        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     W  8 G16                  LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W 10 G18     NW  6 G15    LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      NONE         NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     30           0            0            
PRECIP DURATION       1                                      
PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM                                   
PRECIP END            5 PM                                   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.04         0.00         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  3                         5            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    6700                      6000         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   NW 22                     NW 13        
DISPERSION            91 GOOD                   43 GEN GOOD  

REMARKS...NONE.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 30S TO UPPER 40S.
SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S TO MID 70S. SOUTH
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER
50S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE MID
50S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER
40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO MID 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE
MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO
UPPER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ018-041-043-045-047-161000-
NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
509 AM EDT MON OCT 15 2012

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      TUE          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLEAR       MCLEAR       
TEMP (24H TREND)      62-67 (-7)   35-40 (-19)  59-64        
RH % (24H TREND)      40-45 (-13)  81-86 (-5)   32-37        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     W  9 G19                  NW  6        
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W 13 G23     NW  8 G19    NW  6        
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      NONE         NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     40           0            0            
PRECIP DURATION       1                                      
PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM                                   
PRECIP END            5 PM                                   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.05         0.00         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  2                         5            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    6800                      6100         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   NW 25                     NW 15        
DISPERSION            88 GOOD                   41 GEN GOOD  

REMARKS...NONE.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S.
SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID 70S. SOUTH
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER
50S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER
50S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER
30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO UPPER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE
MID 50S TO UPPER 60S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO
UPPER 60S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ072-074-161000-
TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-
509 AM EDT MON OCT 15 2012

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      TUE          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLEAR       MCLEAR       
TEMP (24H TREND)      61-66 (-5)   34-39 (-18)  59-64        
RH % (24H TREND)      38-43 (-22)  83-88 (-10)  27-32        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     NW  8 G17                 LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW 10 G19    NW  5 G15    LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      NONE         NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     30           0            0            
PRECIP DURATION       1                                      
PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM                                   
PRECIP END            5 PM                                   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.03         0.00         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  3                         5            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    6400                      5700         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   NW 20                     N 10         
DISPERSION            57 GEN GOOD               22 FAIR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS NEAR 40. SOUTH WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID 70S. SOUTHWEST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER
50S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE MID
50S TO UPPER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO MID 60S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE
50S TO MID 60S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO
UPPER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ087-102-161000-
SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
509 AM EDT MON OCT 15 2012

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      TUE          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLEAR       MCLEAR       
TEMP (24H TREND)      66-71 (-3)   35-40 (-21)  65-70        
RH % (24H TREND)      35-40 (-27)  85-90 (-3)   26-31        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     NW  7 G15                 N  5         
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW 10 G18    N  5         N  5         
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      NONE         NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     30           0            0            
PRECIP DURATION       1                                      
PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM                                   
PRECIP END            2 PM                                   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.02         0.00         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  3                         5            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5800                      5100         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   NW 20                     N 12         
DISPERSION            62 GOOD                   30 FAIR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S.
SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO 70S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO
10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER
50S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER
50S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO UPPER 60S. WEST WINDS UP TO
10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE
MID 50S TO UPPER 60S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO
UPPER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

NCZ060-061-161000-
NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-
509 AM EDT MON OCT 15 2012

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      TUE          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLEAR       MCLEAR       
TEMP (24H TREND)      65-70 (-4)   33-38 (-23)  64-69        
RH % (24H TREND)      36-41 (-25)  87-92 (-2)   25-30        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     NW  7 G16                 LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW 10 G20    NW  5        NW  5        
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      NONE         NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     30           0            0            
PRECIP DURATION       1                                      
PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM                                   
PRECIP END            2 PM                                   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.02         0.00         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  3                         5            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    6900                      6200         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   NW 22                     N 12         
DISPERSION            88 GOOD                   40 FAIR      
MAX LVORI             4                         4            

REMARKS...NONE.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS NEAR 40. EAST WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S TO MID 70S. SOUTH
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. SOUTH
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER
50S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND
40. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO LOWER 70S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 40. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO
UPPER 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO
UPPER 60S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-161000-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-
509 AM EDT MON OCT 15 2012

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      TUE          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLEAR       MCLEAR       
TEMP (24H TREND)      67-72 (-5)   36-41 (-18)  64-69        
RH % (24H TREND)      36-41 (-16)  84-89 (-10)  29-34        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     W  8 G16                  LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W 10 G18     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      NONE         NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     30           0            0            
PRECIP DURATION       1                                      
PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM                                   
PRECIP END            5 PM                                   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.04         0.00         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  3                         5            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    6100                      5400         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   NW 22                     NW  9        
DISPERSION            87 GOOD                   30 FAIR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S.
SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO UPPER 70S. SOUTH
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER
50S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO
LOWER 70S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO UPPER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE
50S TO UPPER 60S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S
TO LOWER 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-161000-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-
509 AM EDT MON OCT 15 2012

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      TUE          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLEAR       MCLEAR       
TEMP (24H TREND)      67-72 (-4)   37-42 (-17)  65-70        
RH % (24H TREND)      35-40 (-23)  87-92 (-7)   31-36        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     NW  7 G16                 LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW  9 G18    LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      NONE         NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           0            0            
PRECIP DURATION       1                                      
PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM                                   
PRECIP END            2 PM                                   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.01         0.00         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  3                         5            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5400                      4700         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   NW 18                     N  6         
DISPERSION            65 GOOD                   19 GEN POOR  

REMARKS...NONE.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 30S TO UPPER 40S.
SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO UPPER 70S. SOUTH WINDS UP
TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS
IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE LOWER
60S TO MID 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO UPPER 60S. WEST WINDS UP TO
10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE
60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID
60S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-161000-
CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-
509 AM EDT MON OCT 15 2012 /409 AM CDT MON OCT 15 2012/

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      TUE          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLEAR       MCLEAR       
TEMP (24H TREND)      68-73 (-4)   38-43 (-18)  67-72        
RH % (24H TREND)      35-40 (-24)  88-93 (-3)   30-35        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     NW  7 G16                 LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW 10 G18    LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            
PRECIP DURATION                                              
PRECIP BEGIN                                                 
PRECIP END                                                   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  3                         5            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5100                      4400         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   NW 18                     N  8         
DISPERSION            62 GOOD                   23 FAIR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 40S. SOUTH WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO UPPER 70S. SOUTH WINDS UP
TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS
IN THE 40S TO MID 50S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO
LOWER 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S
TO LOWER 70S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S.
WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID
60S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TG/TD

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