
734 
FNUS54 KMRX 141921
FWFMRX

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST
VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN
321 PM EDT SUN OCT 14 2012

.DISCUSSION...
A COLD FRONT WILL MOVE THROUGH LATE TONIGHT...BRINGING AN INCREASE 
IN CLOUDS AND RAIN CHANCES. A FEW STRONG STORMS ARE POSSIBLE LATE 
TONIGHT ACROSS THE CUMBERLAND PLATEAU...BEFORE THE STORMS WEAKEN 
OVER EAST TENNESSEE. DRY CONDITIONS RETURN ON MONDAY AFTERNOON AFTER 
THE FRONT HAS EXITED THE REGION...AND WILL REMAIN DRY THROUGH WEDNESDAY.


VAZ001-002-005-006-008-152030-
JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-
321 PM EDT SUN OCT 14 2012

                      TONIGHT      MON          MON NIGHT    TUE          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        MCLEAR       MCLEAR       
TEMP (24H TREND)      52-57 (+6)   61-66 (-10)  36-41        60-65        
RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (+20) 45-50 (-6)   89-94        33-38        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  W  9 G20                  LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S 11 G22     W 10 G20     NW  6        NW  5        
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        SHOWERS      NONE         NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     70           30           0            0            
PRECIP DURATION       2            1                                      
PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM         CONTINUING                             
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   8 PM                                   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.23         0.05         0.00         0.00         
LAL                   5            1            1            1            
LASI                               4                         5            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 6000                      6000         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NW 22                     NW 13        
DISPERSION                         78 GOOD                   44 GEN GOOD  

REMARKS...NONE.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 30S TO MID 40S.
NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHEAST AFTER
MIDNIGHT. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID 70S.
SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS NEAR 50. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO
10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTH WINDS UP
TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER
40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO MID 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE
MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO
UPPER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ018-041-043-045-047-152030-
NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
321 PM EDT SUN OCT 14 2012

                      TONIGHT      MON          MON NIGHT    TUE          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLEAR       MCLEAR       
TEMP (24H TREND)      52-57 (+9)   60-65 (-9)   35-40        59-64        
RH % (24H TREND)      92-97 (+10)  45-50 (-8)   92-97        34-39        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  W 10 G19                  NW  6 G15    
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S 12 G23     W 11 G19     NW  8 G18    NW  6 G15    
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        SHOWERS      NONE         NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     70           40           0            0            
PRECIP DURATION       2            1                                      
PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM         CONTINUING                             
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   5 PM                                   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.31         0.05         0.00         0.00         
LAL                   5            1            1            1            
LASI                               3                         5            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 6100                      6100         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NW 25                     NW 15        
DISPERSION                         73 GOOD                   42 GEN GOOD  

REMARKS...NONE.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 30S TO MID 40S. SOUTH
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID 70S.
SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER
50S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTH WINDS
UP TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER
40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO UPPER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE
MID 50S TO UPPER 60S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO
UPPER 60S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ072-074-152030-
TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-
321 PM EDT SUN OCT 14 2012

                      TONIGHT      MON          MON NIGHT    TUE          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        MCLEAR       MCLEAR       
TEMP (24H TREND)      50-55 (+4)   60-65 (-6)   36-41        58-63        
RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (+19) 44-49 (-16)  95-100       31-36        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  W 10 G19                  N  5         
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S 14 G32     NW  9 G19    NW  5 G15    LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        SHOWERS      NONE         NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     90           30           0            0            
PRECIP DURATION       5            1                                      
PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM         CONTINUING                             
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   5 PM                                   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.42         0.03         0.00         0.00         
LAL                   5            1            1            1            
LASI                               4                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5700                      5700         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NW 20                     NW 10        
DISPERSION                         44 GEN GOOD               22 FAIR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S.
SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID 70S.
SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS NEAR 50. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO
10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO UPPER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS
UP TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO UPPER 60S. WEST WINDS UP TO
10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE
50S TO MID 60S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO
UPPER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ087-102-152030-
SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
321 PM EDT SUN OCT 14 2012

                      TONIGHT      MON          MON NIGHT    TUE          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        MCLEAR       MCLEAR       
TEMP (24H TREND)      52-57 (+4)   66-71 (-3)   37-42        65-70        
RH % (24H TREND)      91-96 (+14)  37-42 (-25)  95-100       29-34        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  W  8 G17                  LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S 12 G25     NW  9 G17    LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        SHOWERS      NONE         NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     90           30           0            0            
PRECIP DURATION       5            1                                      
PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM         CONTINUING                             
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   2 PM                                   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.37         0.02         0.00         0.00         
LAL                   5            1            1            1            
LASI                               4                         6            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5100                      5100         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NW 20                     N 10         
DISPERSION                         50 GEN GOOD               28 FAIR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 40S. SOUTHEAST WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO UPPER 70S. SOUTH
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS NEAR 50. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO
10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTHWEST
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO UPPER 60S. WEST WINDS UP TO
10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE
MID 50S TO UPPER 60S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO
UPPER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

NCZ060-061-152030-
NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-
321 PM EDT SUN OCT 14 2012

                      TONIGHT      MON          MON NIGHT    TUE          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        MCLEAR       MCLEAR       
TEMP (24H TREND)      52-57 (+6)   65-70 (-4)   36-41        64-69        
RH % (24H TREND)      92-97 (+13)  36-41 (-25)  95-100       30-35        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  W  8 G16                  N  5         
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S 10 G19     NW  9 G16    NW  5        NW  5        
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        SHOWERS      NONE         NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     100          30           0            0            
PRECIP DURATION       5            1                                      
PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM         CONTINUING                             
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   2 PM                                   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.45         0.02         0.00         0.00         
LAL                   5            1            1            1            
LASI                               4                         5            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 6200                      6200         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NW 22                     NW 12        
DISPERSION                         74 GOOD                   40 FAIR      
MAX LVORI                          4                         4            

REMARKS...NONE.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S.
NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT.
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTH
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. SOUTH
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTHWEST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE
50S TO UPPER 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO
UPPER 60S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-152030-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-
321 PM EDT SUN OCT 14 2012

                      TONIGHT      MON          MON NIGHT    TUE          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLEAR       MCLEAR       
TEMP (24H TREND)      52-57 (+7)   64-69 (-8)   36-41        63-68        
RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (+15) 41-46 (-11)  95-100       32-37        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  W 10 G19                  LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S  9 G17     W 10 G19     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        SHOWERS      NONE         NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     80           30           0            0            
PRECIP DURATION       5            1                                      
PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM         CONTINUING                             
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   5 PM                                   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.34         0.04         0.00         0.00         
LAL                   5            1            1            1            
LASI                               4                         5            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5400                      5400         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NW 22                     NW 10        
DISPERSION                         74 GOOD                   35 FAIR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 30S TO UPPER 40S.
SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHEAST AFTER
MIDNIGHT. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO UPPER 70S.
SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS NEAR 50. SOUTH WINDS UP TO
10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTH WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO UPPER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE
50S TO UPPER 60S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S
TO LOWER 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-152030-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-
321 PM EDT SUN OCT 14 2012

                      TONIGHT      MON          MON NIGHT    TUE          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        MCLEAR       MCLEAR       
TEMP (24H TREND)      51-56 (+1)   65-70 (-6)   38-43        64-69        
RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (+23) 41-46 (-17)  95-100       31-36        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  NW  9 G18                 LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW 11 G23    NW  9 G18    LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        SHOWERS      NONE         NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     80           20           0            0            
PRECIP DURATION       6            1                                      
PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM         CONTINUING                             
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   2 PM                                   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.29         0.01         0.00         0.00         
LAL                   5            1            1            1            
LASI                               4                         5            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4700                      4700         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NW 18                     NW  8        
DISPERSION                         54 GEN GOOD               23 FAIR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 40S. SOUTHEAST WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO UPPER 70S. SOUTH
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS
IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S TO MID 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO LOWER 70S. WEST WINDS UP TO
10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE
60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID
60S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-152030-
CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-
321 PM EDT SUN OCT 14 2012 /221 PM CDT SUN OCT 14 2012/

                      TONIGHT      MON          MON NIGHT    TUE          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        MCLEAR       MCLEAR       
TEMP (24H TREND)      53-58 (+1)   66-71 (-6)   39-44        66-71        
RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (+18) 39-44 (-20)  92-97        31-36        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  NW  8 G18                 LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW 10 G20    NW  9 G18    NW  5        LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        NONE         NONE         NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     80           0            0            0            
PRECIP DURATION       7                                                   
PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM                                                
PRECIP END            CONTINUING                                          
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.20         0.00         0.00         0.00         
LAL                   5            1            1            1            
LASI                               4                         5            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4400                      4400         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NW 18                     NW  7        
DISPERSION                         51 GEN GOOD               19 GEN POOR  

REMARKS...NONE.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID TO UPPER 40S.
SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO UPPER 70S. SOUTH
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS
IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP
TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S
TO LOWER 70S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S.
WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID
60S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

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