
720 
FNUS54 KMRX 140939
FWFMRX

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST
VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN
539 AM EDT SUN OCT 14 2012

.DISCUSSION...
A RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE WILL GRADUALLY GIVE WAY TO AN APPROACHING 
COLD FRONT TONIGHT. THE FRONT WILL MOVE THROUGH LATE TONIGHT... 
BRINGING AN INCREASE IN CLOUDS AND RAIN CHANCES. A FEW STRONG STORMS 
ARE POSSIBLE LATE TONIGHT ACROSS THE CUMBERLAND PLATEAU...BEFORE THE 
STORMS WEAKEN OVER EAST TENNESSEE. DRIER CONDITIONS RETURN MONDAY 
AFTERNOON AFTER THE FRONT HAS EXITED THE REGION.

VAZ001-002-005-006-008-151030-
JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-
539 AM EDT SUN OCT 14 2012

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      MON          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      71-76 (+6)   52-57 (+6)   62-67        
RH % (24H TREND)      41-46 (-6)   95-100 (+20) 46-51        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     S  8 G21                  W 11 G21     
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW 13 G23    S 12 G22     W 11 G21     
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         TSTMS        TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            70           40           
PRECIP DURATION                    2            1            
PRECIP BEGIN                       8 PM         CONTINUING   
PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   8 PM         
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.18         0.05         
LAL                   1            5            1            
LASI                  3                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    6000                      5300         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 25                     W 23         
DISPERSION            89 GOOD                   66 GOOD      

REMARKS...NONE.

.MONDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS NEAR 40. NORTHWEST WINDS UP
TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO MID 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP
TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 30S TO MID 40S.
SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID 70S.
SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER
70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER
40S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S TO MID 60S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 40. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S
TO LOWER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ018-041-043-045-047-151030-
NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
539 AM EDT SUN OCT 14 2012

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      MON          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      69-74 (+5)   53-58 (+10)  61-66        
RH % (24H TREND)      41-46 (-4)   91-96 (+9)   45-50        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     S  7 G17                  W 10 G23     
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S 11 G21     S 12 G23     W 14 G24     
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         TSTMS        TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            70           40           
PRECIP DURATION                    2            1            
PRECIP BEGIN                       9 PM         CONTINUING   
PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   5 PM         
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.20         0.05         
LAL                   1            3            1            
LASI                  3                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    6100                      5400         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 17                     W 21         
DISPERSION            51 GEN GOOD               48 GEN GOOD  

REMARKS...NONE.

.MONDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S.
WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO UPPER 60S. NORTHWEST
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S.
SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID 70S.
SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO
LOWER 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER
40S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S TO MID 60S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 40. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO
MID 60S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ072-074-151030-
TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-
539 AM EDT SUN OCT 14 2012

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      MON          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      66-71 (+1)   50-55 (+4)   61-66        
RH % (24H TREND)      47-52 (-6)   95-100 (+19) 43-48        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     S 10 G25                  W  9 G20     
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S 15 G27     S 14 G28     NW 12 G23    
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         TSTMS        TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            90           30           
PRECIP DURATION                    5            1            
PRECIP BEGIN                       8 PM         CONTINUING   
PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   5 PM         
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.36         0.04         
LAL                   1            3            1            
LASI                  3                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5800                      5000         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 26                     W 15         
DISPERSION            61 GOOD                   25 FAIR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.MONDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. NORTH WINDS
UP TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO UPPER 60S. NORTHWEST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S.
SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO LOWER 70S.
SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO UPPER
60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S TO MID 60S. WEST WINDS UP TO
10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 40. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO
MID 60S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ087-102-151030-
SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
539 AM EDT SUN OCT 14 2012

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      MON          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      69-74 (0)    53-58 (+5)   67-72        
RH % (24H TREND)      52-57 (+1)   90-95 (+13)  37-42        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     S 10 G23                  NW  7 G16    
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S 13 G24     S 10 G22     NW 10 G19    
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         TSTMS        TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            90           30           
PRECIP DURATION                    5            1            
PRECIP BEGIN                       8 PM         CONTINUING   
PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   2 PM         
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.41         0.02         
LAL                   1            5            1            
LASI                  4                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5100                      4400         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 24                     W 15         
DISPERSION            64 GOOD                   29 FAIR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.MONDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS NEAR 40. NORTH WINDS UP TO
10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 70S. NORTH WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S.
SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO UPPER 70S. SOUTH
WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO
LOWER 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO MID 60S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE
MID 50S TO UPPER 60S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

NCZ060-061-151030-
NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-
539 AM EDT SUN OCT 14 2012

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      MON          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      69-74 (0)    53-58 (+7)   66-71        
RH % (24H TREND)      51-56 (+1)   89-94 (+10)  37-42        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     S  8 G21                  NW  8 G18    
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S 10 G21     S  8 G17     NW 11 G21    
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         TSTMS        TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            100          50           
PRECIP DURATION                    5            1            
PRECIP BEGIN                       8 PM         CONTINUING   
PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   2 PM         
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.41         0.02         
LAL                   1            5            1            
LASI                  3                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    6200                      5500         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 22                     W 17         
DISPERSION            75 GOOD                   49 GEN GOOD  
MAX LVORI             4                         4            

REMARKS...NONE.

.MONDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. NORTH WINDS
UP TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO LOWER 70S. NORTHWEST
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S.
EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTH
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO
LOWER 70S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP
TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE
50S TO UPPER 60S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-151030-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-
539 AM EDT SUN OCT 14 2012

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      MON          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      72-77 (+3)   52-57 (+7)   65-70        
RH % (24H TREND)      40-45 (-3)   95-100 (+15) 41-46        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     S  6 G18                  W  9 G20     
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW 11 G21    S  9 G17     W 12 G22     
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         TSTMS        TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            70           30           
PRECIP DURATION                    2            1            
PRECIP BEGIN                       8 PM         CONTINUING   
PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   5 PM         
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.24         0.04         
LAL                   1            5            1            
LASI                  3                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5400                      4700         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 22                     W 21         
DISPERSION            73 GOOD                   57 GEN GOOD  

REMARKS...NONE.

.MONDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS NEAR 40. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO LOWER 70S. WEST WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 30S TO MID 40S.
SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO MID 70S. SOUTH
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO LOWER
70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO MID 60S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE
50S TO UPPER 60S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-151030-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-
539 AM EDT SUN OCT 14 2012

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      MON          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      71-76 (0)    52-57 (+2)   66-71        
RH % (24H TREND)      47-52 (0)    95-100 (+22) 38-43        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     S  9 G23                  W  8 G18     
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S 14 G25     SW 11 G21    NW 10 G20    
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     10           80           20           
PRECIP DURATION       1            6            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          2 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   2 PM         
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.01         0.26         0.01         
LAL                   1            5            1            
LASI                  4                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4700                      4000         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 29                     W 17         
DISPERSION            84 GOOD                   41 GEN GOOD  

REMARKS...NONE.

.MONDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S.
WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO LOWER 70S. LIGHT
WINDS BECOMING WEST LESS THAN 10 MPH EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON. 
.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S.
SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN
THE MID 60S TO UPPER 70S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S TO
MID 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO UPPER 60S. WEST WINDS UP TO
10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE
60S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-151030-
CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-
539 AM EDT SUN OCT 14 2012 /439 AM CDT SUN OCT 14 2012/

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      MON          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      72-77 (-1)   54-59 (+2)   68-73        
RH % (24H TREND)      52-57 (+5)   92-97 (+16)  36-41        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     S 10 G21                  NW  7 G15    
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S 12 G21     SW  9 G18    NW  9 G17    
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     10           80           20           
PRECIP DURATION       1            6            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          2 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   2 PM         
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.01         0.27         0.01         
LAL                   1            5            1            
LASI                  4                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4400                      3700         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 25                     NW 17        
DISPERSION            71 GOOD                   37 FAIR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.MONDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S.
NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO LOWER 70S. NORTH WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE WEST EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON. 
.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER TO MID 40S.
SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO UPPER 70S. SOUTH
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO MID 70S.
SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO
LOWER 70S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S.
WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

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