
092 
FNUS54 KMRX 131913
FWFMRX

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST
VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN
313 PM EDT SAT OCT 13 2012

.DISCUSSION...
TONIGHT...HIGH PRESSURE WILL GIVE WAY TO AN APPROACHING UPPER LEVEL 
TROUGH AND ASSOCIATED COLD FRONT. THE FRONT WILL MOVE THROUGH LATE 
SUNDAY NIGHT...BRINGING AN INCREASE IN CLOUDS AND RAIN CHANCES. 
A FEW STRONG STORMS ARE POSSIBLE LATE SUNDAY NIGHT...ESPECIALLY 
ACROSS THE CUMBERLAND PLATEAU. DRY CONDITIONS RETURN ON MONDAY 
AFTERNOON AFTER THE FRONT HAS EXITED THE REGION.


VAZ001-002-005-006-008-142015-
JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-
313 PM EDT SAT OCT 13 2012

                      TONIGHT      SUN          SUN NIGHT    MON          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      45-50 (+5)   70-75 (+5)   51-56        62-67        
RH % (24H TREND)      82-87 (0)    44-49 (-3)   95-100       56-61        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  S  6 G15                  SW  6        
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SE  5        S  7 G15     S  6         NW  8        
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         TSTMS        TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            70           50           
PRECIP DURATION                                 2            1            
PRECIP BEGIN                                    8 PM         CONTINUING   
PRECIP END                                      CONTINUING   8 PM         
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.16         0.12         
LAL                   1            1            5            4            
LASI                               3                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5500                      5300         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 28                     NW 16        
DISPERSION                         84 GOOD                   46 GEN GOOD  

REMARKS...NONE.

.MONDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. WEST WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S TO MID 60S. NORTHWEST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 30S TO MID 40S.
SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHEAST AFTER
MIDNIGHT. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN
THE LOWER 60S TO MID 70S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER
70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID 60S. WEST WINDS UP TO
10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 40. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO
LOWER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ018-041-043-045-047-142015-
NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
313 PM EDT SAT OCT 13 2012

                      TONIGHT      SUN          SUN NIGHT    MON          

CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      42-47 (+4)   67-72 (+3)   51-56        62-67        
RH % (24H TREND)      85-90 (+4)   48-53 (+3)   95-100       54-59        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  S  5                      SW  6        
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SE  6        S  6         S  6         NW  9 G17    
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         TSTMS        TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            70           60           
PRECIP DURATION                                 2            3            
PRECIP BEGIN                                    8 PM         CONTINUING   
PRECIP END                                      CONTINUING   8 PM         
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.17         0.15         
LAL                   1            1            5            4            
LASI                               3                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5600                      5400         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 20                     W 21         
DISPERSION                         48 GEN GOOD               47 GEN GOOD  

REMARKS...NONE.

.MONDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. NORTHWEST
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO UPPER 60S. NORTHWEST
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S.
SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTH AFTER
MIDNIGHT. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID 70S.
SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO
LOWER 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND
40. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO MID 60S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 40. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S
TO MID 60S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ072-074-142015-
TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-
313 PM EDT SAT OCT 13 2012

                      TONIGHT      SUN          SUN NIGHT    MON          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      46-51 (+2)   66-71 (+1)   52-57        61-66        
RH % (24H TREND)      80-85 (-7)   51-56 (-2)   95-100       49-54        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  S  7 G15                  SW  7        
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S  6         S  8 G16     S  8 G16     NW  8 G17    
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         TSTMS        TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            90           50           
PRECIP DURATION                                 5            1            
PRECIP BEGIN                                    8 PM         CONTINUING   
PRECIP END                                      CONTINUING   8 PM         
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.24         0.18         
LAL                   1            1            5            4            
LASI                               3                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5100                      5000         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 29                     NW 16        
DISPERSION                         50 GEN GOOD               24 FAIR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.MONDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. NORTH WINDS
UP TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO UPPER 60S. NORTH WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S.
EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO LOWER 70S.
SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO
UPPER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S TO MID 60S. WEST WINDS UP TO
10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 40. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO
MID 60S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ087-102-142015-
SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
313 PM EDT SAT OCT 13 2012

                      TONIGHT      SUN          SUN NIGHT    MON          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      48-53 (+1)   69-74 (0)    54-59        66-71        
RH % (24H TREND)      79-84 (-9)   53-58 (+2)   91-96        45-50        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  S  8 G17                  W  6         
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SE  6        S  9 G18     S  7 G15     NW  9 G18    
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         TSTMS        TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            90           40           
PRECIP DURATION                                 5            1            
PRECIP BEGIN                                    8 PM         CONTINUING   
PRECIP END                                      CONTINUING   8 PM         
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.29         0.12         
LAL                   1            1            5            4            
LASI                               4                         5            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4600                      4400         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 26                     NW 14        
DISPERSION                         57 GEN GOOD               28 FAIR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.MONDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S.
NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO LOWER 70S. NORTH
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S.
EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID 70S.
SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO
LOWER 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 40. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO MID
60S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE
LOWER 50S TO MID 60S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

NCZ060-061-142015-
NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-
313 PM EDT SAT OCT 13 2012

                      TONIGHT      SUN          SUN NIGHT    MON          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      46-51 (0)    69-74 (0)    54-59        65-70        
RH % (24H TREND)      81-86 (-10)  51-56 (+1)   90-95        46-51        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  SE  6                     W  6         
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SE  6        S  7         S  5         NW  9 G18    
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         TSTMS        TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            100          60           
PRECIP DURATION                                 5            2            
PRECIP BEGIN                                    8 PM         CONTINUING   
PRECIP END                                      CONTINUING   8 PM         
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.26         0.12         
LAL                   1            1            5            4            
LASI                               3                         5            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5700                      5500         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 24                     NW 16        
DISPERSION                         72 GOOD                   45 GEN GOOD  
MAX LVORI                          3                         4            

REMARKS...NONE.

.MONDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. NORTH WINDS
5 TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO LOWER 70S. NORTH WINDS UP
TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS NEAR 40. EAST WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTH
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO
LOWER 70S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND
40. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO MID 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE
50S TO MID 60S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-142015-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-
313 PM EDT SAT OCT 13 2012

                      TONIGHT      SUN          SUN NIGHT    MON          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      44-49 (+4)   72-77 (+3)   52-57        65-70        
RH % (24H TREND)      88-93 (0)    46-51 (+3)   95-100       50-55        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  S  5                      SW  5        
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SE  5        S  6         S  5         NW  9        
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         TSTMS        TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            70           50           
PRECIP DURATION                                 2            1            
PRECIP BEGIN                                    8 PM         CONTINUING   
PRECIP END                                      CONTINUING   8 PM         
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.18         0.13         
LAL                   1            1            5            4            
LASI                               3                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4900                      4700         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 24                     NW 15        
DISPERSION                         71 GOOD                   44 GEN GOOD  

REMARKS...NONE.

.MONDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S.
NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO LOWER 70S. WEST WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 30S TO MID 40S. LIGHT
WINDS. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO MID 70S. SOUTH
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO LOWER
70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER TO MID 60S. WEST WINDS UP TO
10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE
50S TO MID 60S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-142015-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-
313 PM EDT SAT OCT 13 2012

                      TONIGHT      SUN          SUN NIGHT    MON          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      50-55 (+5)   72-77 (+1)   54-59        66-71        
RH % (24H TREND)      76-81 (-14)  49-54 (+2)   95-100       44-49        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  S  7 G17                  W  6         
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S  5         S  9 G19     S  6         NW  8        
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            10           80           40           
PRECIP DURATION                    1            8            1            
PRECIP BEGIN                       8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   8 PM         
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.01         0.24         0.06         
LAL                   1            1            5            3            
LASI                               4                         5            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4200                      4000         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 31                     NW 13        
DISPERSION                         77 GOOD                   30 FAIR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.MONDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER TO MID 40S.
NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO LOWER 70S. NORTH WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S.
LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTHEAST LESS THAN 10 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN
THE MID 60S TO UPPER 70S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S TO
MID 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 50S TO MID 60S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 50S TO MID 60S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-142015-
CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-
313 PM EDT SAT OCT 13 2012 /213 PM CDT SAT OCT 13 2012/

                      TONIGHT      SUN          SUN NIGHT    MON          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLEAR       
TEMP (24H TREND)      52-57 (+2)   72-77 (-1)   56-61        68-73        
RH % (24H TREND)      78-83 (-15)  54-59 (+7)   92-97        42-47        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  S  9 G19                  W  6 G15     
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S  7         S 10 G20     S  7 G15     NW  9 G16    
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            10           80           30           
PRECIP DURATION                    1            8            1            
PRECIP BEGIN                       8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   2 PM         
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.01         0.29         0.03         
LAL                   1            1            5            3            
LASI                               4                         5            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3900                      3700         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 28                     NW 14        
DISPERSION                         65 GOOD                   31 FAIR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.MONDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER TO MID 40S.
NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO LOWER 70S. NORTH WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. NORTHEAST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHEAST AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN
THE 60S TO UPPER 70S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO MID
70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S
TO LOWER 70S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S.
WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

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