
829 
FNUS54 KMRX 130928
FWFMRX

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST
VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN
528 AM EDT SAT OCT 13 2012

.DISCUSSION...
PLEASANT CONDITIONS ARE ON TAP FOR TODAY...AS HIGH PRESSURE BRIEFLY 
BUILDS INTO THE AREA. THE NEXT COLD FRONT APPROACHES ON SUNDAY...
BRINGING INCREASING CLOUDS AND RAIN CHANCES. SHOWERS AND 
THUNDERSTORMS ASSOCIATED WITH THE FRONT WILL MOVE THROUGH THE AREA 
SUNDAY NIGHT INTO MONDAY. A FEW STRONG STORMS ARE POSSIBLE LATE 
SUNDAY NIGHT...ESPECIALLY ACROSS THE CUMBERLAND PLATEAU.

VAZ001-002-005-006-008-141030-
JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-
528 AM EDT SAT OCT 13 2012

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SUN          

CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       PCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      65-70 (+5)   46-51 (+6)   70-75        
RH % (24H TREND)      39-44 (-6)   78-83 (-4)   40-45        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SE  6                     S  8 G19     
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S  9 G16     S  7 G15     S 11 G20     
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            
PRECIP DURATION                                              
PRECIP BEGIN                                                 
PRECIP END                                                   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  4                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5200                      5700         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 13                     SW 25        
DISPERSION            34 FAIR                   109 VERY GOOD

REMARKS...NONE.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SLIGHT
CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO
15 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO UPPER 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS
5 TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. COLDER. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S TO
MID 40S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO 60S. SOUTHEAST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTH WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO
LOWER 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO UPPER 60S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ018-041-043-045-047-141030-
NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
528 AM EDT SAT OCT 13 2012

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SUN          

CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       MCLEAR       PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      64-69 (+6)   43-48 (+5)   67-72        
RH % (24H TREND)      35-40 (-17)  75-80 (-6)   40-45        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SE  7                     S 10 G19     
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S  8 G17     S 10 G18     SW  9 G17    
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            
PRECIP DURATION                                              
PRECIP BEGIN                                                 
PRECIP END                                                   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5100                      5800         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   S  8                      SW 18        
DISPERSION            17 GEN POOR               66 GOOD      

REMARKS...NONE.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SLIGHT
CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO
10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS.
HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO LOWER 70S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.MONDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. COLDER. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S TO
MID 40S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO UPPER 60S.
SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 50S TO MID 70S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO
LOWER 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO LOWER 70S. WEST WINDS UP TO
10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ072-074-141030-
TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-
528 AM EDT SAT OCT 13 2012

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SUN          

CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       PCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      65-70 (+9)   46-51 (+2)   66-71        
RH % (24H TREND)      36-41 (-30)  73-78 (-14)  43-48        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     S  7                      S 11 G24     
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S  7         S  8 G17     SW 12 G25    
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            
PRECIP DURATION                                              
PRECIP BEGIN                                                 
PRECIP END                                                   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5700                      5300         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW  7                     SW 25        
DISPERSION            16 GEN POOR               84 GOOD      

REMARKS...NONE.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS LIKELY AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO LOWER 70S. NORTHWEST
WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. COLDER. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S TO
MID 40S. NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO UPPER 60S. EAST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 50S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO
UPPER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO UPPER 60S. WEST WINDS UP TO
10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ087-102-141030-
SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
528 AM EDT SAT OCT 13 2012

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SUN          

CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       PCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      69-74 (+8)   48-53 (+1)   69-74        
RH % (24H TREND)      38-43 (-27)  77-82 (-11)  47-52        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SE  8 G17                 S 11 G22     
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S 10 G18     SE  9 G18    S 11 G21     
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            
PRECIP DURATION                                              
PRECIP BEGIN                                                 
PRECIP END                                                   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  3                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5000                      4800         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   S 13                      S 26         
DISPERSION            32 FAIR                   109 VERY GOOD

REMARKS...NONE.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS LIKELY AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID TO UPPER 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO
15 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO LOWER 70S. WEST WINDS UP
TO 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTHWEST EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON. 
.MONDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. COLDER. LOWS IN THE LOWER TO MID
40S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO LOWER 70S.
EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 50S TO MID 70S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO
LOWER 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S
TO UPPER 60S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

NCZ060-061-141030-
NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-
528 AM EDT SAT OCT 13 2012

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SUN          

CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       PCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      69-74 (+6)   46-51 (0)    69-74        
RH % (24H TREND)      35-40 (-32)  78-83 (-13)  45-50        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SE  8 G16                 S  8 G17     
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SE 10 G17    SE  6        S  9 G17     
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            
PRECIP DURATION                                              
PRECIP BEGIN                                                 
PRECIP END                                                   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5700                      5900         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   S  9                      S 23         
DISPERSION            27 FAIR                   96 GOOD      
MAX LVORI             4                         3            

REMARKS...NONE.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS LIKELY AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.
.MONDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO LOWER 70S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP
TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. COLDER. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S.
NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO LOWER 70S. EAST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE
60S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO
LOWER 70S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S.
WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-141030-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-
528 AM EDT SAT OCT 13 2012

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SUN          

CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       PCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      69-74 (+6)   45-50 (+5)   72-77        
RH % (24H TREND)      35-40 (-13)  80-85 (-8)   39-44        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SE  6 G15                 S  7 G16     
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S  7         SE  5        SW 10 G18    
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            
PRECIP DURATION                                              
PRECIP BEGIN                                                 
PRECIP END                                                   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  4                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4800                      5100         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   S  9                      SW 22        
DISPERSION            28 FAIR                   100 GOOD     

REMARKS...NONE.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SLIGHT
CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO
10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO LOWER 70S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP
TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. COLDER. LOWS IN THE LOWER TO MID
40S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING BECOMING
LIGHT. 
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO LOWER 70S.
LIGHT WINDS. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE
60S TO MID 70S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO LOWER
70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO LOWER 70S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-141030-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-
528 AM EDT SAT OCT 13 2012

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SUN          

CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       PCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      71-76 (+10)  50-55 (+5)   72-77        
RH % (24H TREND)      39-44 (-18)  75-80 (-15)  43-48        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SE  6 G17                 S 10 G23     
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S  9 G19     S  8 G17     S 12 G22     
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            10           
PRECIP DURATION                                 1            
PRECIP BEGIN                                    8 AM         
PRECIP END                                      CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.01         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  4                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4700                      4400         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   S 14                      SW 32        
DISPERSION            43 GEN GOOD               130 VERY GOOD

REMARKS...NONE.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS LIKELY AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS
UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S TO MID 70S. NORTHWEST WINDS
UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. COLDER. LOWS IN THE 40S. NORTH
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO LOWER 70S. EAST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO MID 70S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S TO
MID 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO
LOWER 70S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-141030-
CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-
528 AM EDT SAT OCT 13 2012 /428 AM CDT SAT OCT 13 2012/

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SUN          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      73-78 (+9)   52-57 (+2)   72-77        
RH % (24H TREND)      38-43 (-22)  79-84 (-14)  49-54        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     S  8 G17                  S 10 G20     
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S 10 G18     S  8 G18     S 12 G21     
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            10           
PRECIP DURATION                                 1            
PRECIP BEGIN                                    8 AM         
PRECIP END                                      CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.01         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  3                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4800                      4100         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   S 16                      S 30         
DISPERSION            49 GEN GOOD               108 VERY GOOD

REMARKS...NONE.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS LIKELY AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO
10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO MID 70S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO
10 MPH. 
.MONDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. COLDER. LOWS IN THE 40S. NORTH
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO LOWER 70S. EAST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO MID 70S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO
10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO MID
70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID
60S TO LOWER 70S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TG/TD

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