
787 
FNUS54 KMRX 111906
FWFMRX

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST
VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN
306 PM EDT THU OCT 11 2012

.DISCUSSION...
CLOUDS WILL INCREASE OVERNIGHT AHEAD OF A WEAK COLD FRONT THAT WILL 
MOVE THROUGH THE AREA ON FRIDAY. SCATTERED TO ISOLATED SHOWERS WILL 
BE POSSIBLE TOMORROW MORNING AND INTO THE EARLY AFTERNOON. THE 
WARMING TREND WILL CONTINUE THROUGH SUNDAY WHEN THE NEXT COLD FRONT 
IS FORECAST TO SWEEP ACROSS THE REGION...BRINGING INCREASED RAIN 
CHANCES SUNDAY INTO MONDAY. 


VAZ001-002-005-006-008-122015-
JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-
306 PM EDT THU OCT 11 2012

                      TONIGHT      FRI          FRI NIGHT    SAT          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLEAR       MCLEAR       
TEMP (24H TREND)      40-45 (+10)  60-65 (+1)   39-44        67-72        
RH % (24H TREND)      80-85 (-9)   41-46 (+10)  85-90        45-50        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      S  5         
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            0            
PRECIP DURATION                                                           
PRECIP BEGIN                                                              
PRECIP END                                                                
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               3                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4100                      5200         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NW 14                     SW 13        
DISPERSION                         24 FAIR                   35 FAIR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.SATURDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER
50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S TO MID 70S. SOUTH WINDS UP
TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SLIGHT
CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO
10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO
LOWER 70S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 50S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S TO MID 70S. SOUTH WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO
LOWER 70S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ018-041-043-045-047-122015-
NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
306 PM EDT THU OCT 11 2012

                      TONIGHT      FRI          FRI NIGHT    SAT          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLEAR       MCLEAR       
TEMP (24H TREND)      39-44 (+9)   59-64 (+1)   39-44        63-68        
RH % (24H TREND)      83-88 (-7)   49-54 (+17)  83-88        45-50        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   SE  6        
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      SE  6        
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         SHOWERS      NONE         NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            10           0            0            
PRECIP DURATION                    1                                      
PRECIP BEGIN                       8 AM                                   
PRECIP END                         4 PM                                   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.01         0.00         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4100                      5200         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NW 18                     SW  8        
DISPERSION                         20 GEN POOR               18 GEN POOR  

REMARKS...NONE.

.SATURDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. SOUTH
WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S TO MID 70S. SOUTH WINDS
5 TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SLIGHT
CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER TO MID 50S. SOUTHWEST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE LOWER
60S TO MID 70S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER
50S TO MID 70S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND
50. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID 70S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO
LOWER 70S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ072-074-122015-
TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-
306 PM EDT THU OCT 11 2012

                      TONIGHT      FRI          FRI NIGHT    SAT          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLEAR       MCLEAR       
TEMP (24H TREND)      42-47 (+12)  60-65 (0)    43-48        66-71        
RH % (24H TREND)      86-91 (-5)   58-63 (+26)  88-93        46-51        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   S  5         
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      S  5         
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         SHOWERS      NONE         NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            30           0            0            
PRECIP DURATION                    1                                      
PRECIP BEGIN                       8 AM                                   
PRECIP END                         4 PM                                   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.03         0.00         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               3                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4200                      5300         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NW 20                     SW  7        
DISPERSION                         17 GEN POOR               15 GEN POOR  

REMARKS...NONE.

.SATURDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER
50S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS
5 TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SLIGHT
CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO
10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO
MID 70S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S
TO MID 70S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND
50. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO MID 70S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO UPPER
60S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ087-102-122015-
SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
306 PM EDT THU OCT 11 2012

                      TONIGHT      FRI          FRI NIGHT    SAT          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLEAR       PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      45-50 (+11)  66-71 (+2)   44-49        70-75        
RH % (24H TREND)      86-91 (-4)   54-59 (+23)  91-96        44-49        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   SE  6        
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      S  6         
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      NONE         NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           30           0            0            
PRECIP DURATION       1            1                                      
PRECIP BEGIN          2 AM         CONTINUING                             
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   8 PM                                   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.01         0.05         0.00         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3900                      5000         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                N 18                      S 12         
DISPERSION                         27 FAIR                   29 FAIR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.SATURDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. SOUTHEAST
WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S TO MID 70S. SOUTH WINDS
5 TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SLIGHT
CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER TO MID 50S. SOUTHWEST
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE
LOWER 60S TO MID 70S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER
60S TO MID 70S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S TO MID 70S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO
10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO
LOWER 70S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

NCZ060-061-122015-
NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-
306 PM EDT THU OCT 11 2012

                      TONIGHT      FRI          FRI NIGHT    SAT          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLEAR       MCLEAR       
TEMP (24H TREND)      44-49 (+11)  67-72 (+4)   44-49        70-75        
RH % (24H TREND)      86-91 (-7)   53-58 (+21)  90-95        45-50        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   SE  5        
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      SE  6        
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         SHOWERS      NONE         NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            20           0            0            
PRECIP DURATION                    1                                      
PRECIP BEGIN                       8 AM                                   
PRECIP END                         8 PM                                   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.04         0.00         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4100                      5200         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NW 21                     S  9         
DISPERSION                         32 FAIR                   23 FAIR      
MAX LVORI                          4                         4            

REMARKS...NONE.

.SATURDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. SOUTHEAST
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO MID 70S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SLIGHT
CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO
MID 70S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER
60S TO MID 70S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND
50. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S TO MID 70S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO
LOWER 70S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-122015-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-
306 PM EDT THU OCT 11 2012

                      TONIGHT      FRI          FRI NIGHT    SAT          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLEAR       MCLEAR       
TEMP (24H TREND)      42-47 (+10)  64-69 (+3)   40-45        69-74        
RH % (24H TREND)      88-93 (-3)   44-49 (+12)  90-95        41-46        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         SHOWERS      NONE         NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            20           0            0            
PRECIP DURATION                    1                                      
PRECIP BEGIN                       8 AM                                   
PRECIP END                         12 PM                                  
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.01         0.00         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               3                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4000                      5100         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NW 10                     SW 10        
DISPERSION                         23 FAIR                   32 FAIR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.SATURDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER
50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO MID 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO
10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SLIGHT
CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE LOWER
60S TO MID 70S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE
LOWER 60S TO MID 70S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S TO MID 70S. SOUTH WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO LOWER
70S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-122015-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-
306 PM EDT THU OCT 11 2012

                      TONIGHT      FRI          FRI NIGHT    SAT          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        MCLEAR       PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      46-51 (+14)  65-70 (+2)   43-48        72-77        
RH % (24H TREND)      88-93 (0)    49-54 (+18)  95-100       42-47        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      S  6         
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      NONE         NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           30           0            0            
PRECIP DURATION       1            1                                      
PRECIP BEGIN          2 AM         CONTINUING                             
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   4 PM                                   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.01         0.02         0.00         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               2                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3800                      4900         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                N 14                      SW 15        
DISPERSION                         29 FAIR                   45 GEN GOOD  

REMARKS...NONE.

.SATURDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER
50S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO MID 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS
UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SLIGHT
CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE 50S. WEST WINDS UP TO
10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE
60S TO MID 70S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 50. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO MID
70S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO MID 70S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO LOWER
70S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-122015-
CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-
306 PM EDT THU OCT 11 2012 /206 PM CDT THU OCT 11 2012/

                      TONIGHT      FRI          FRI NIGHT    SAT          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      49-54 (+14)  68-73 (+3)   47-52        73-78        
RH % (24H TREND)      88-93 (+9)   54-59 (+22)  93-98        46-51        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   SE  5        
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      S  9 G17     
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      NONE         NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     30           30           0            0            
PRECIP DURATION       1            1                                      
PRECIP BEGIN          2 AM         CONTINUING                             
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   8 PM                                   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.03         0.09         0.00         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3500                      4600         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                N 15                      S 15         
DISPERSION                         31 FAIR                   46 GEN GOOD  

REMARKS...NONE.

.SATURDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 40S TO UPPER 50S.
SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO UPPER 70S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO
10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SLIGHT
CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. WEST
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE
60S TO UPPER 70S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 50. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S
TO MID 70S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO MID 70S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO
10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO LOWER
70S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

