
062 
FNUS54 KMRX 101851
FWFMRX

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST
VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN
251 PM EDT WED OCT 10 2012

.DISCUSSION...
COOLER AND DRIER AIR WILL FILTER IN BEHIND THE EXITING COLD FRONT 
THIS EVENING...ALLOWING SKIES TO CLEAR AND TEMPERATURES TO SLIP 
INTO THE 30S AND LOWER 40S OVERNIGHT. THESE CONDITIONS WILL BE 
FAVORABLE FOR FROST TO FORM DURING THE EARLY MORNING HOURS ON 
THURSDAY...ESPECIALLY OVER NORTHERN AREAS AND AT THE HIGHER 
ELEVATIONS. PLEASANT CONDITIONS CAN BE EXPECTED TOMORROW AS HIGH 
PRESSURE BUILDS ACROSS THE AREA. THE NEXT COLD FRONT WILL APPROACH 
ON FRIDAY BRINGING OUR NEXT CHANCE TO SEE SOME RAINFALL. 


VAZ001-002-005-006-008-112000-
JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-
251 PM EDT WED OCT 10 2012

                      TONIGHT      THU          THU NIGHT    FRI          

CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       CLEAR        PCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      30-35 (-9)   61-66 (+3)   39-44        62-67        
RH % (24H TREND)      88-93 (-9)   26-31 (-22)  72-77        39-44        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW  6 G16    LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      NW  5        
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         RAIN         RAIN         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            20           20           
PRECIP DURATION                                 1            1            
PRECIP BEGIN                                    2 AM         CONTINUING   
PRECIP END                                      CONTINUING   2 PM         
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.01         0.01         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               5                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3900                      4000         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW  6                     W 13         
DISPERSION                         8 POOR                    20 GEN POOR  

REMARKS...NONE.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 30S TO UPPER 40S. LIGHT
WINDS. 
.SATURDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S TO MID 70S. SOUTH WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER TO MID 50S.
SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
HIGHS IN THE 60S TO MID 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 40S.
HIGHS IN THE 60S TO LOWER 70S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE
LOWER 60S TO MID 70S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND 50.
HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S TO MID 70S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ018-041-043-045-047-112000-
NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
251 PM EDT WED OCT 10 2012

                      TONIGHT      THU          THU NIGHT    FRI          

CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       CLEAR        PCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      30-35 (-10)  59-64 (+2)   38-43        60-65        
RH % (24H TREND)      91-96 (-4)   26-31 (-23)  70-75        41-46        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   NW  5        
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW  9 G22    LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      NW  6        
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            0            
PRECIP DURATION                                                           
PRECIP BEGIN                                                              
PRECIP END                                                                
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               5                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3900                      4000         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W  8                      NW 16        
DISPERSION                         8 POOR                    17 GEN POOR  

REMARKS...NONE.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S.
NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT.
.SATURDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID 70S. SOUTH WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. LIGHT
WINDS. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
HIGHS IN THE 60S TO 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER
40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 70S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO
10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 50S TO MID 70S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND 50.
HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ072-074-112000-
TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-
251 PM EDT WED OCT 10 2012

                      TONIGHT      THU          THU NIGHT    FRI          

CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       CLEAR        PCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      30-35 (-10)  60-65 (+2)   44-49        62-67        
RH % (24H TREND)      89-94 (-6)   27-32 (-22)  64-69        46-51        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     N  7 G18     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      N  6         
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            0            
PRECIP DURATION                                                           
PRECIP BEGIN                                                              
PRECIP END                                                                
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               5                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4100                      4400         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W  9                      NW 13        
DISPERSION                         7 POOR                    14 GEN POOR  

REMARKS...NONE.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. NORTH WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO MID 70S. EAST WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHWEST EARLY IN THE
AFTERNOON. 
.SATURDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID
50S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING BECOMING
LIGHT. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER
40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 70S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S
TO MID 70S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER
50S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO MID 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ087-102-112000-
SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
251 PM EDT WED OCT 10 2012

                      TONIGHT      THU          THU NIGHT    FRI          

CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       CLEAR        PCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      34-39 (-5)   65-70 (+2)   43-48        67-72        
RH % (24H TREND)      86-91 (-11)  25-30 (-20)  72-77        46-51        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     N  6         LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      N  5         
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            0            
PRECIP DURATION                                                           
PRECIP BEGIN                                                              
PRECIP END                                                                
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               5                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3700                      3600         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW  7                     NW 13        
DISPERSION                         10 POOR                   16 GEN POOR  

REMARKS...NONE.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. LIGHT WINDS.
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S TO MID 70S.
SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID
50S. LIGHT WINDS. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO UPPER 70S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER
40S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S TO MID 70S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE
LOWER 60S TO MID 70S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER
50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO UPPER 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH. 

$$

NCZ060-061-112000-
NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-
251 PM EDT WED OCT 10 2012

                      TONIGHT      THU          THU NIGHT    FRI          

CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       CLEAR        PCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      33-38 (-5)   67-72 (+5)   43-48        69-74        
RH % (24H TREND)      90-95 (-7)   26-31 (-20)  71-76        45-50        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     N  7 G15     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      N  5         
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            0            
PRECIP DURATION                                                           
PRECIP BEGIN                                                              
PRECIP END                                                                
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               5                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3900                      4300         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W  8                      NW 16        
DISPERSION                         11 POOR                   28 FAIR      
MAX LVORI                          4                         3            

REMARKS...NONE.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. LIGHT WINDS.
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO MID 70S. SOUTHEAST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTH EARLY IN THE
AFTERNOON. 
.SATURDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. LIGHT
WINDS. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
HIGHS IN THE 60S TO UPPER 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 40S.
HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S TO MID 70S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE
LOWER 60S TO MID 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND 50.
HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO UPPER 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-112000-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-
251 PM EDT WED OCT 10 2012

                      TONIGHT      THU          THU NIGHT    FRI          

CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       MCLEAR       PCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      32-37 (-6)   63-68 (+3)   39-44        65-70        
RH % (24H TREND)      88-93 (-9)   25-30 (-23)  77-82        37-42        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW  5 G15    LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      NW  5        
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         RAIN         RAIN         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            10           0            
PRECIP DURATION                                 1                         
PRECIP BEGIN                                    2 AM                      
PRECIP END                                      CONTINUING                
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.01         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               5                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3700                      3600         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW  5                     W 12         
DISPERSION                         8 POOR                    21 FAIR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 30S TO UPPER 40S. LIGHT
WINDS. 
.SATURDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S TO MID 70S. EAST WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTH EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON. 
.SATURDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID
50S. LIGHT WINDS. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO UPPER 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 40S.
HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID 70S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE
LOWER 60S TO MID 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER
50S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S TO MID 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-112000-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-
251 PM EDT WED OCT 10 2012

                      TONIGHT      THU          THU NIGHT    FRI          

CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       MCLEAR       PCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      33-38 (-7)   63-68 (+1)   44-49        66-71        
RH % (24H TREND)      82-87 (-15)  27-32 (-19)  72-77        43-48        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         RAIN         RAIN         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            20           20           
PRECIP DURATION                                 1            1            
PRECIP BEGIN                                    2 AM         CONTINUING   
PRECIP END                                      CONTINUING   2 PM         
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.03         0.01         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               5                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3700                      3500         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW  5                     NW  9        
DISPERSION                         9 POOR                    19 GEN POOR  

REMARKS...NONE.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. LIGHT WINDS.
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO MID 70S. EAST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHWEST EARLY IN THE
AFTERNOON. 
.SATURDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. LIGHT
WINDS. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
HIGHS IN THE 60S TO UPPER 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S TO MID 70S. NORTH WINDS UP TO
10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 60S
TO MID 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID
50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO UPPER 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-112000-
CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-
251 PM EDT WED OCT 10 2012 /151 PM CDT WED OCT 10 2012/

                      TONIGHT      THU          THU NIGHT    FRI          

CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       MCLEAR       PCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      36-41 (-4)   65-70 (0)    46-51        68-73        
RH % (24H TREND)      75-80 (-21)  27-32 (-15)  81-86        48-53        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     N  5         LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      N  5         
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         RAIN         RAIN         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            20           20           
PRECIP DURATION                                 1            1            
PRECIP BEGIN                                    2 AM         CONTINUING   
PRECIP END                                      CONTINUING   2 PM         
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.04         0.03         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               4                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3600                      3100         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W  5                      NW 13        
DISPERSION                         9 POOR                    21 FAIR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS NEAR 50. LIGHT WINDS. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO MID 70S.
SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 50S. SOUTH WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
HIGHS IN THE 60S TO UPPER 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND
50. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO MID 70S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE
70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID
50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

