
155 
FNUS54 KMRX 100823
FWFMRX

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST
VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN
423 AM EDT WED OCT 10 2012

.DISCUSSION...
A WEAK COLD FRONT WILL MOVE THROUGH THE AREA THIS AFTERNOON...BUT 
WILL DELIVER LITTLE OR NO PRECIPITATION TO THE SOUTHERN APPALACHIAN 
REGION. COOLER AIR MOVING IN OVERNIGHT WILL BRING TEMPERATURES DOWN 
INTO THE 30S AND LOWER 40S AND ALLOW AREAS OF FROST TO DEVELOP EARLY 
THURSDAY MORNING.  A GRADUAL WARMING TREND IS EXPECTED THROUGH THE 
REST OF THE WEEK. 


VAZ001-002-005-006-008-110930-
JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-
423 AM EDT WED OCT 10 2012

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      THU          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLEAR       MCLEAR       
TEMP (24H TREND)      60-65 (+3)   31-36 (-8)   62-67        
RH % (24H TREND)      43-48 (-9)   84-89 (-13)  26-31        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SW  7 G15                 LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W 10         NW  5        LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      NONE         NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           0            0            
PRECIP DURATION       1                                      
PRECIP BEGIN          11 AM                                  
PRECIP END            5 PM                                   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.02         0.00         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  4                         5            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4800                      4300         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 22                      SW  7        
DISPERSION            51 GEN GOOD               13 GEN POOR  

REMARKS...NONE.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE 30S TO UPPER 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 70S. NORTHWEST WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 40S. NORTHEAST WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S TO MID 70S.
SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S TO MID
70S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO
MID 70S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 50. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S
TO MID 70S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ018-041-043-045-047-110930-
NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
423 AM EDT WED OCT 10 2012

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      THU          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLEAR       MCLEAR       
TEMP (24H TREND)      59-64 (+4)   31-36 (-9)   60-65        
RH % (24H TREND)      44-49 (-14)  80-85 (-15)  26-31        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     W  8 G17                  LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W 11 G18     NW  7 G17    LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      NONE         NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     10           0            0            
PRECIP DURATION       1                                      
PRECIP BEGIN          11 AM                                  
PRECIP END            5 PM                                   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.01         0.00         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  3                         5            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5000                      4300         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 24                      W  8         
DISPERSION            46 GEN GOOD               11 POOR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. WEST WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 70S. WEST WINDS UP
TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 40S. NORTH WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE EAST AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID 70S.
SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO
MID 70S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO
MID 70S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 50S TO MID 70S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ072-074-110930-
TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-
423 AM EDT WED OCT 10 2012

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      THU          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLEAR       MCLEAR       
TEMP (24H TREND)      60-65 (+4)   31-36 (-9)   61-66        
RH % (24H TREND)      43-48 (-13)  81-86 (-14)  28-33        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     W  8 G16                  LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W 10 G18     N  6 G15     LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           SPRINKLES    NONE         NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            
PRECIP DURATION                                              
PRECIP BEGIN                                                 
PRECIP END                                                   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  4                         5            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5000                      4300         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 22                      W  9         
DISPERSION            34 FAIR                   10 POOR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 70S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP
TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. LIGHT WINDS
BECOMING SOUTHEAST LESS THAN 10 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO MID 70S. SOUTH
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO MID 70S.
SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO MID
70S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S
TO MID 70S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ087-102-110930-
SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
423 AM EDT WED OCT 10 2012

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      THU          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLEAR       MCLEAR       
TEMP (24H TREND)      65-70 (+5)   36-41 (-3)   66-71        
RH % (24H TREND)      39-44 (-14)  77-82 (-20)  26-31        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     W  5                      LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW  8        N  5         LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           SPRINKLES    NONE         NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            
PRECIP DURATION                                              
PRECIP BEGIN                                                 
PRECIP END                                                   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  4                         5            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4800                      4100         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 18                      SW  8        
DISPERSION            43 GEN GOOD               14 GEN POOR  

REMARKS...NONE.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE 40S. LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTHEAST
LESS THAN 10 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S TO MID 70S. SOUTHEAST WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTHEAST EARLY IN THE
AFTERNOON. 
.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. EAST WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO 70S. SOUTHEAST
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO 70S.
WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO 70S.
NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE
LOWER 60S TO MID 70S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

NCZ060-061-110930-
NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-
423 AM EDT WED OCT 10 2012

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      THU          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLEAR       MCLEAR       
TEMP (24H TREND)      64-69 (+2)   34-39 (-4)   68-73        
RH % (24H TREND)      41-46 (-11)  80-85 (-17)  26-31        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     W  5                      LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW  9 G16    NW  5        LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           SPRINKLES    NONE         NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            
PRECIP DURATION                                              
PRECIP BEGIN                                                 
PRECIP END                                                   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  4                         5            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4900                      4300         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 20                      W  9         
DISPERSION            45 GEN GOOD               15 GEN POOR  
MAX LVORI             4                         3            

REMARKS...NONE.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER TO MID 40S. LIGHT WINDS. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S TO MID 70S. NORTHEAST WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. LIGHT WINDS
BECOMING EAST LESS THAN 10 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO UPPER 70S.
SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO
UPPER 70S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S TO
MID 70S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE
LOWER 60S TO MID 70S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-110930-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-
423 AM EDT WED OCT 10 2012

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      THU          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLEAR       MCLEAR       
TEMP (24H TREND)      62-67 (+2)   33-38 (-5)   64-69        
RH % (24H TREND)      42-47 (-8)   78-83 (-19)  25-30        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SW  6                     LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W  9         LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           SPRINKLES    NONE         NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            
PRECIP DURATION                                              
PRECIP BEGIN                                                 
PRECIP END                                                   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  4                         5            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4700                      4100         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 21                      SW  7        
DISPERSION            56 GEN GOOD               16 GEN POOR  

REMARKS...NONE.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. LIGHT WINDS. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO LOWER 70S. NORTHWEST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 40S. LIGHT WINDS. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S TO MID 70S.
SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S TO
MID 70S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S TO MID
70S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE
LOWER 60S TO MID 70S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-110930-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-
423 AM EDT WED OCT 10 2012

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      THU          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLEAR       MCLEAR       
TEMP (24H TREND)      64-69 (+4)   35-40 (-5)   64-69        
RH % (24H TREND)      41-46 (-7)   79-84 (-18)  27-32        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SW  5                     LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W  9         LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           SPRINKLES    NONE         NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            
PRECIP DURATION                                              
PRECIP BEGIN                                                 
PRECIP END                                                   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  4                         5            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4800                      4100         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 18                      SW  7        
DISPERSION            57 GEN GOOD               17 GEN POOR  

REMARKS...NONE.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE 40S. LIGHT WINDS. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S TO MID 70S. WEST WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTH EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON. 
.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. LIGHT
WINDS. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO UPPER 70S.
SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO MID 70S.
WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO MID
70S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 60S
TO MID 70S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-110930-
CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-
423 AM EDT WED OCT 10 2012 /323 AM CDT WED OCT 10 2012/

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      THU          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLEAR       MCLEAR       
TEMP (24H TREND)      67-72 (+5)   37-42 (-3)   66-71        
RH % (24H TREND)      37-42 (-14)  77-82 (-19)  27-32        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     W  5                      LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW  8        N  5         LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           SPRINKLES    NONE         NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            
PRECIP DURATION                                              
PRECIP BEGIN                                                 
PRECIP END                                                   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  4                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4700                      4000         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 18                      W  7         
DISPERSION            56 GEN GOOD               17 GEN POOR  

REMARKS...NONE.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. LIGHT WINDS. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO MID 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTHWEST EARLY IN THE
AFTERNOON. 
.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S.
NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING BECOMING
LIGHT. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO UPPER 70S. SOUTH
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO UPPER
70S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS AROUND 50. HIGHS IN THE 70S. NORTHEAST WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE
70S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

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