
377 
FNUS54 KMRX 091916
FWFMRX

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST
VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN
316 PM EDT TUE OCT 9 2012

.DISCUSSION...
HIGH PRESSURE WILL SHIFT EAST OVERNIGHT AS A WEAK COLD FRONT 
APPROACHES. THIS FRONTAL SYSTEM WILL MOVE THROUGH THE AREA ON 
WEDNESDAY...BUT WILL DELIVER LITTLE OR NO PRECIPITATION TO THE 
SOUTHERN APPALACHIAN REGION. THURSDAY WILL GET OFF TO A COOLER THAN 
NORMAL START...BUT PLEASANT CONDITIONS WILL PREVAIL...AS A GRADUAL 
WARMING TREND IS EXPECTED THROUGH THE WEEKEND.   


VAZ001-002-005-006-008-102030-
JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-
316 PM EDT TUE OCT 9 2012

                      TONIGHT      WED          WED NIGHT    THU          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLEAR       MCLEAR       
TEMP (24H TREND)      39-44 (-2)   60-65 (+3)   31-36        62-67        
RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (+1)  45-50 (-7)   80-85        28-33        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  W  7 G17                  LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      W 11 G18     NW  6 G16    LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         SHOWERS      NONE         NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            10           0            0            
PRECIP DURATION                    1                                      
PRECIP BEGIN                       8 AM                                   
PRECIP END                         8 PM                                   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.01         0.00         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               4                         5            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4200                      3500         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 22                      SW  9        
DISPERSION                         42 GEN GOOD               11 POOR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER TO MID 40S.
SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE
60S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO
THE WEST EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON. 
.FRIDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID TO UPPER 40S.
NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING BECOMING
LIGHT. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO MID 70S. SOUTHEAST
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO MID 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO
10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO MID 70S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO MID 70S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ018-041-043-045-047-102030-
NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
316 PM EDT TUE OCT 9 2012

                      TONIGHT      WED          WED NIGHT    THU          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLEAR       MCLEAR       
TEMP (24H TREND)      40-45 (+1)   61-66 (+6)   30-35        61-66        
RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (0)   46-51 (-12)  84-89        29-34        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  W  8 G19                  LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      W 11 G21     NW  7 G20    LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         SHOWERS      NONE         NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            20           0            0            
PRECIP DURATION                    1                                      
PRECIP BEGIN                       2 PM                                   
PRECIP END                         8 PM                                   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.02         0.00         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               4                         5            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5100                      3500         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 25                      W 10         
DISPERSION                         52 GEN GOOD               7 POOR       

REMARKS...NONE.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID
40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE
60S TO LOWER 70S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S.
NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE EAST AFTER MIDNIGHT.
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO MID 70S. SOUTHEAST
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO MID 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO
10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO MID 70S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO MID 70S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ072-074-102030-
TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-
316 PM EDT TUE OCT 9 2012

                      TONIGHT      WED          WED NIGHT    THU          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLEAR       MCLEAR       
TEMP (24H TREND)      41-46 (+3)   62-67 (+6)   31-36        60-65        
RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (+1)  45-50 (-11)  82-87        32-37        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  W  7 G15                  LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      W 10 G17     N  6 G17     W  5         
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            0            
PRECIP DURATION                                                           
PRECIP BEGIN                                                              
PRECIP END                                                                
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               4                         5            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5400                      3700         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 22                      W 10         
DISPERSION                         44 GEN GOOD               6 VERY POOR  

REMARKS...NONE.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID
40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 50S TO MID 70S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S.
NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHEAST AFTER
MIDNIGHT. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO 70S. SOUTH WINDS
UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO 70S.
SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO 70S.
NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO 70S.
SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ087-102-102030-
SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
316 PM EDT TUE OCT 9 2012

                      TONIGHT      WED          WED NIGHT    THU          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLEAR       MCLEAR       
TEMP (24H TREND)      40-45 (0)    66-71 (+6)   33-38        62-67        
RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (+2)  42-47 (-11)  79-84        33-38        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  W  5                      LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      NW  8        N  6         LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            0            
PRECIP DURATION                                                           
PRECIP BEGIN                                                              
PRECIP END                                                                
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               4                         5            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5300                      3100         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 17                      W  8         
DISPERSION                         49 GEN GOOD               7 POOR       

REMARKS...NONE.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER TO MID 40S.
SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE
LOWER 60S TO MID 70S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO
THE WEST EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON. 
.FRIDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S.
NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE EAST AFTER MIDNIGHT.
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO MID 70S. SOUTHEAST
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO MID 70S.
SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO MID 70S.
NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO MID 70S.
SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

NCZ060-061-102030-
NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-
316 PM EDT TUE OCT 9 2012

                      TONIGHT      WED          WED NIGHT    THU          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLEAR       MCLEAR       
TEMP (24H TREND)      39-44 (-2)   67-72 (+5)   33-38        62-67        
RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (+1)  43-48 (-9)   79-84        34-39        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  W  5 G15                  LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      NW  9 G17    NW  6        LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            0            
PRECIP DURATION                                                           
PRECIP BEGIN                                                              
PRECIP END                                                                
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               4                         5            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5600                      3500         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 20                      W  9         
DISPERSION                         56 GEN GOOD               10 POOR      
MAX LVORI                          4                         4            

REMARKS...NONE.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER TO MID 40S.
SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE
MID 60S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING
TO THE WEST EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON. 
.FRIDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S.
NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE EAST AFTER MIDNIGHT.
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO MID 70S.
SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO MID
70S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO MID
70S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO MID
70S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-102030-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-
316 PM EDT TUE OCT 9 2012

                      TONIGHT      WED          WED NIGHT    THU          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLEAR       MCLEAR       
TEMP (24H TREND)      38-43 (-5)   63-68 (+3)   32-37        64-69        
RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (+1)  44-49 (-6)   81-86        28-33        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  SW  5 G15                 LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      W 10 G17     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            0            
PRECIP DURATION                                                           
PRECIP BEGIN                                                              
PRECIP END                                                                
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               4                         5            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4300                      3300         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 20                      SW  8        
DISPERSION                         48 GEN GOOD               13 GEN POOR  

REMARKS...NONE.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER TO MID 40S.
SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE
60S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE
NORTHWEST EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON. 
.FRIDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S.
LIGHT WINDS BECOMING EAST LESS THAN 10 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO MID 70S.
SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO MID
70S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO MID
70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO MID
70S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-102030-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-
316 PM EDT TUE OCT 9 2012

                      TONIGHT      WED          WED NIGHT    THU          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLEAR       MCLEAR       
TEMP (24H TREND)      41-46 (0)    65-70 (+5)   34-39        64-69        
RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (+2)  38-43 (-10)  80-85        30-35        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  W  5                      LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      W  9 G16     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            0            
PRECIP DURATION                                                           
PRECIP BEGIN                                                              
PRECIP END                                                                
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               4                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4700                      3100         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 18                      W  8         
DISPERSION                         52 GEN GOOD               12 POOR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. SOUTH WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE
60S TO MID 70S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S.
NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING BECOMING
LIGHT. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 70S. SOUTH WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO UPPER
70S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO UPPER
70S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO UPPER
70S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-102030-
CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-
316 PM EDT TUE OCT 9 2012 /216 PM CDT TUE OCT 9 2012/

                      TONIGHT      WED          WED NIGHT    THU          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLEAR       MCLEAR       
TEMP (24H TREND)      42-47 (+1)   68-73 (+6)   35-40        65-70        
RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (+3)  38-43 (-13)  77-82        33-38        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  W  5                      LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      NW  8 G17    N  5         LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            0            
PRECIP DURATION                                                           
PRECIP BEGIN                                                              
PRECIP END                                                                
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               4                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4600                      2800         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 17                      W  8         
DISPERSION                         51 GEN GOOD               11 POOR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. SOUTH WINDS
UP TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE
LOWER TO MID 70S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. NORTHEAST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S. SOUTH WINDS UP
TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S. SOUTH
WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S. NORTH
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S. SOUTH
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

