
271 
FNUS54 KMRX 061836
FWFMRX

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST
VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN
236 PM EDT SAT OCT 6 2012

.DISCUSSION...
A COLD FRONT WILL BE OFF TO OUR EAST TONIGHT...WHILE AN UPPER 
LEVEL TROUGH OF LOW PRESSURE WILL MOVE ACROSS THE REGION TONIGHT AND 
SUNDAY. RAIN WILL SPREAD ACROSS MOST OF THE AREA LATE TONIGHT 
THROUGH SUNDAY MORNING. MUCH COOLER TEMPERATURES CAN BE EXPECTED FOR 
THE BEGINNING OF THE WEEK. 


VAZ001-002-005-006-008-071945-
JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-
236 PM EDT SAT OCT 6 2012

                      TONIGHT      SUN          SUN NIGHT    MON          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      42-47 (-9)   49-54 (-7)   35-40        56-61        
RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (+13) 62-67 (-11)  89-94        40-45        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      NW  6        LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           RAIN         RAIN         NONE         SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     80           80           0            30           
PRECIP DURATION       2            3                         1            
PRECIP BEGIN          12 AM        CONTINUING                8 AM         
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   8 PM                      2 PM         
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.30         0.14         0.00         0.01         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4100                      4500         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NW 14                     S  5         
DISPERSION                         26 FAIR                   9 POOR       

REMARKS...NONE.

.MONDAY NIGHT...CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S. LIGHT
WINDS. 
.TUESDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S.
SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN
THE 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO LOWER 70S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND
50. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S TO MID 70S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ018-041-043-045-047-071945-
NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
236 PM EDT SAT OCT 6 2012

                      TONIGHT      SUN          SUN NIGHT    MON          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      44-49 (-5)   48-53 (-9)   37-42        56-61        
RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (+17) 61-66 (-10)  86-91        40-45        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      NW  6        LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           RAIN         RAIN         NONE         SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     80           80           0            40           
PRECIP DURATION       2            3                         1            
PRECIP BEGIN          12 AM        CONTINUING                CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   8 PM                      8 PM         
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.30         0.15         0.00         0.06         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4900                      5300         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 16                      SW  9        
DISPERSION                         29 FAIR                   20 GEN POOR  

REMARKS...NONE.

.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S.
LIGHT WINDS. 
.TUESDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S TO MID 70S. SOUTHWEST
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER TO MID 40S.
SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE WEST AFTER MIDNIGHT.
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN
THE UPPER 50S TO LOWER 70S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 50S TO LOWER 70S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S TO MID 70S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO
10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S TO MID 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP
TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ072-074-071945-
TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-
236 PM EDT SAT OCT 6 2012

                      TONIGHT      SUN          SUN NIGHT    MON          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      43-48 (-5)   49-54 (-6)   38-43        57-62        
RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (+7)  54-59 (-15)  89-94        39-44        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      N  6         LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           RAIN         RAIN         SHOWERS      SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     80           50           20           40           
PRECIP DURATION       2            1            1            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          12 AM        CONTINUING   2 AM         CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   8 PM         CONTINUING   8 PM         
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.15         0.07         0.01         0.09         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4900                      5300         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NW 10                     SW  9        
DISPERSION                         16 GEN POOR               16 GEN POOR  

REMARKS...NONE.

.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S.
LIGHT WINDS. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S TO MID 70S. WEST
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S.
SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING BECOMING
LIGHT. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN
THE UPPER 50S TO LOWER 70S. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 50S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S TO MID 70S. NORTH WINDS UP TO
10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S TO MID 70S. WEST WINDS UP TO
10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ087-102-071945-
SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
236 PM EDT SAT OCT 6 2012

                      TONIGHT      SUN          SUN NIGHT    MON          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      46-51 (-4)   54-59 (-7)   41-46        61-66        
RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (+7)  50-55 (-19)  82-87        41-46        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      N  7         LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           RAIN         RAIN         SHOWERS      SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     60           40           20           40           
PRECIP DURATION       1            1            1            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          12 AM        CONTINUING   2 AM         CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   8 PM         CONTINUING   8 PM         
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.08         0.05         0.01         0.10         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4100                      4500         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                N 13                      S  6         
DISPERSION                         21 FAIR                   12 POOR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.MONDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS NEAR 40. LIGHT WINDS. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO UPPER 70S. SOUTH
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHWEST EARLY IN THE
AFTERNOON. 
.TUESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S.
LIGHT WINDS. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO MID 70S. NORTH
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER
50S TO MID 70S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO 70S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND
50. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH. 

$$

NCZ060-061-071945-
NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-
236 PM EDT SAT OCT 6 2012

                      TONIGHT      SUN          SUN NIGHT    MON          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      46-51 (-3)   54-59 (-13)  40-45        62-67        
RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (+11) 52-57 (-9)   89-94        40-45        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      N  6         LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           RAIN         RAIN         SHOWERS      SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     60           50           20           40           
PRECIP DURATION       1            1            1            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          12 AM        CONTINUING   2 AM         CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   8 PM         CONTINUING   8 PM         
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.09         0.05         0.01         0.13         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4500                      4900         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NW 13                     S  8         
DISPERSION                         24 FAIR                   17 GEN POOR  
MAX LVORI                          4                         4            

REMARKS...NONE.

.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS NEAR 40. LIGHT WINDS. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO MID 70S. SOUTHEAST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHWEST EARLY IN THE
AFTERNOON. 
.TUESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. LIGHT WINDS.
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO UPPER 70S. NORTH
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER
60S TO MID 70S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO UPPER 70S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTHEAST WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-071945-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-
236 PM EDT SAT OCT 6 2012

                      TONIGHT      SUN          SUN NIGHT    MON          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      45-50 (-6)   52-57 (-7)   39-44        60-65        
RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (+14) 55-60 (-17)  87-92        34-39        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      N  5         LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           RAIN         RAIN         NONE         SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     80           80           0            30           
PRECIP DURATION       2            2                         1            
PRECIP BEGIN          12 AM        CONTINUING                8 AM         
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   8 PM                      2 PM         
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.26         0.11         0.00         0.04         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4200                      4600         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NW 13                     S  5         
DISPERSION                         29 FAIR                   12 POOR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S.
LIGHT WINDS. 
.TUESDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S TO MID 70S. SOUTHEAST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHWEST EARLY IN THE
AFTERNOON. 
.TUESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 40S. LIGHT WINDS. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN
THE 60S TO LOWER 70S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO MID 70S. NORTHWEST WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND
50. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO UPPER 70S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-071945-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-
236 PM EDT SAT OCT 6 2012

                      TONIGHT      SUN          SUN NIGHT    MON          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      44-49 (-8)   54-59 (-3)   39-44        59-64        
RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (+13) 43-48 (-25)  88-93        36-41        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      N  5         LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           RAIN         RAIN         SHOWERS      SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     60           50           0            20           
PRECIP DURATION       1            1                         1            
PRECIP BEGIN          12 AM        CONTINUING                CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   8 PM                      2 PM         
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.12         0.06         0.00         0.03         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3900                      4300         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NW 10                     SE  5        
DISPERSION                         25 FAIR                   12 POOR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S.
LIGHT WINDS. 
.TUESDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO MID 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN
THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. LIGHT WINDS. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN
THE LOWER 60S TO MID 70S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S TO MID 70S. WEST WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND
50. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO LOWER 80S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-071945-
CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-
236 PM EDT SAT OCT 6 2012 /136 PM CDT SAT OCT 6 2012/

                      TONIGHT      SUN          SUN NIGHT    MON          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      45-50 (-8)   56-61 (-1)   42-47        61-66        
RH % (24H TREND)      90-95 (+4)   40-45 (-28)  81-86        37-42        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  N  5                      LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      N  7         LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           RAIN         RAIN         SHOWERS      SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     50           30           20           30           
PRECIP DURATION       1            1            1            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          12 AM        CONTINUING   2 AM         CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   8 PM         CONTINUING   8 PM         
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.06         0.03         0.01         0.04         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3600                      4000         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                N 13                      E  3         
DISPERSION                         27 FAIR                   10 POOR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. LIGHT WINDS.
.TUESDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO MID 70S. SOUTHWEST
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS NEAR 50. LIGHT WINDS. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO UPPER 70S. NORTH
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO UPPER 70S. WEST WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO UPPER 70S. NORTH WINDS UP TO
10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO
10 MPH. 

$$

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