
156 
FNUS54 KMRX 061442 AAA
FWFMRX

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...UPDATED
VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN
1042 AM EDT SAT OCT 6 2012

.DISCUSSION...
A COLD FRONT WILL MOVE ACROSS THE SOUTHERN APPALACHIANS THIS MORNING 
PRODUCING A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND COOLER TEMPERATURES.  AN UPPER 
LEVEL TROUGH OF LOW PRESSURE WILL MOVE ACROSS THE REGION TONIGHT AND 
SUNDAY PRODUCING A BETTER CHANCE OF SHOWERS. A RIDGE OF HIGH 
PRESSURE WILL BUILD INTO THE TENNESSEE VALLEY FOR EARLY NEXT WEEK 
BRINGING WITH IT COOLER AND DRIER CONDITIONS.


VAZ001-002-005-006-008-071545-
JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-
1042 AM EDT SAT OCT 6 2012

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SUN          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      59-64 (-15)  42-47 (-9)   49-54        
RH % (24H TREND)      62-67 (+21)  95-100 (+14) 63-68        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     NW  6                     LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     N  5         LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           80           80           
PRECIP DURATION       1            5            3            
PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         8 PM         CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            12 PM        CONTINUING   8 PM         
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.02         0.24         0.16         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  2                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3500                      6000         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 13                      NW 14        
DISPERSION            15 GEN POOR               47 GEN GOOD  

REMARKS...NONE.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 30S. LIGHT WINDS. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. NORTH
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE WEST EARLY IN THE
AFTERNOON. 
.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S.
LIGHT WINDS BECOMING EAST LESS THAN 10 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTHWEST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO UPPER 60S. WEST WINDS UP TO
10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID
50S TO UPPER 60S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO UPPER 60S. NORTH WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ018-041-043-045-047-071545-
NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
1042 AM EDT SAT OCT 6 2012

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SUN          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      61-66 (-10)  44-49 (-5)   50-55        
RH % (24H TREND)      60-65 (+21)  95-100 (+20) 61-66        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     W  6                      LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW  5        LGT/VAR      NW  5        
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           80           80           
PRECIP DURATION       1            5            3            
PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         8 PM         CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            4 PM         CONTINUING   8 PM         
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.03         0.25         0.18         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4100                      6400         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 17                      W 17         
DISPERSION            19 GEN POOR               53 GEN GOOD  

REMARKS...NONE.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID TO UPPER 30S.
NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING BECOMING
LIGHT. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. HIGHS IN THE LOWER
50S TO MID 60S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S.
NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE EAST AFTER MIDNIGHT.
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S TO MID 70S. WEST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO LOWER 70S. NORTHWEST WINDS
UP TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 50S TO LOWER 70S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO UPPER 60S. NORTH WINDS UP TO
10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ072-074-071545-
TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-
1042 AM EDT SAT OCT 6 2012

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SUN          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      61-66 (-9)   43-48 (-5)   50-55        
RH % (24H TREND)      59-64 (+18)  95-100 (+18) 56-61        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     W  6                      LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     N  5         LGT/VAR      NW  6        
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           60           70           
PRECIP DURATION       1            2            2            
PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         8 PM         CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            4 PM         CONTINUING   8 PM         
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.03         0.11         0.09         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  2                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4600                      6100         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 14                      NW 13        
DISPERSION            18 GEN POOR               31 FAIR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S.
NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT.
.MONDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. HIGHS IN THE LOWER
50S TO MID 60S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 30S TO LOWER 40S.
NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTHWEST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO LOWER 70S. NORTH WINDS UP TO
10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 50S TO LOWER 70S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO UPPER 60S. NORTHEAST WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ087-102-071545-
SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
1042 AM EDT SAT OCT 6 2012

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SUN          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      67-72 (-8)   45-50 (-5)   55-60        
RH % (24H TREND)      54-59 (+12)  93-98 (+14)  50-55        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     NW  5                     NW  5        
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     N  6         LGT/VAR      NW  5        
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     30           50           60           
PRECIP DURATION       1            1            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         8 PM         CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            4 PM         CONTINUING   8 PM         
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.02         0.07         0.05         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  2                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3900                      5900         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 12                      NW 15        
DISPERSION            18 GEN POOR               51 GEN GOOD  

REMARKS...NONE.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN
THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S. LIGHT WINDS. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. HIGHS IN THE 50S
TO MID 60S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE WEST
EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON. 
.MONDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S.
LIGHT WINDS. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S TO MID 70S. SOUTH
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE
LOWER 60S TO MID 70S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 50S TO MID 70S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 70S. NORTHEAST WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

NCZ060-061-071545-
NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-
1042 AM EDT SAT OCT 6 2012

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SUN          

CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      69-74 (-6)   46-51 (-3)   56-61        
RH % (24H TREND)      53-58 (+12)  95-100 (+16) 50-55        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW  6        LGT/VAR      NW  5        
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     30           50           60           
PRECIP DURATION       1            1            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         8 PM         CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            4 PM         CONTINUING   8 PM         
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.03         0.06         0.05         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4100                      6400         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 14                      NW 17        
DISPERSION            21 FAIR                   61 GOOD      
MAX LVORI             5                         4            

REMARKS...NONE.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN
THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S. LIGHT WINDS. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. HIGHS IN THE 50S
TO MID 60S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE WEST
EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON. 
.MONDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S.
LIGHT WINDS. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO MID 70S. NORTHEAST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S
TO MID 70S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 50. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S
TO MID 70S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO LOWER 70S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-071545-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-
1042 AM EDT SAT OCT 6 2012

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SUN          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      62-67 (-13)  45-50 (-6)   52-57        
RH % (24H TREND)      59-64 (+21)  95-100 (+13) 57-62        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     NW  6                     LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           80           80           
PRECIP DURATION       1            5            3            
PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         8 PM         CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            12 PM        CONTINUING   8 PM         
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.01         0.17         0.13         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  2                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3600                      6000         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 12                      NW 13        
DISPERSION            20 GEN POOR               48 GEN GOOD  

REMARKS...NONE.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S.
LIGHT WINDS. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO MID 60S. NORTH WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE WEST EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON. 
.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S.
LIGHT WINDS. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTHWEST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO LOWER 70S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO
10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S
TO LOWER 70S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO LOWER 70S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-071545-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-
1042 AM EDT SAT OCT 6 2012

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SUN          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      61-66 (-15)  44-49 (-8)   52-57        
RH % (24H TREND)      54-59 (+13)  95-100 (+11) 51-56        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     N  6                      LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     N  5         LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           60           70           
PRECIP DURATION       1            2            2            
PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         8 PM         CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            12 PM        CONTINUING   8 PM         
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.01         0.09         0.06         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  2                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3200                      5600         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   NW  9                     NW 13        
DISPERSION            14 GEN POOR               47 GEN GOOD  

REMARKS...NONE.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S.
LIGHT WINDS. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO MID 60S. NORTHEAST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE WEST EARLY IN THE
AFTERNOON. 
.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS NEAR 40. LIGHT WINDS. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S TO MID 70S.
SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S TO MID 70S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE
LOWER 60S TO MID 70S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S TO MID 70S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-071545-
CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-
1042 AM EDT SAT OCT 6 2012 /942 AM CDT SAT OCT 6 2012/

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SUN          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      63-68 (-13)  44-49 (-9)   55-60        
RH % (24H TREND)      53-58 (+11)  87-92 (+6)   46-51        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     N  6                      N  7         
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     N  6         LGT/VAR      N  6         
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           40           40           
PRECIP DURATION       1            1            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         8 PM         CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            4 PM         CONTINUING   5 PM         
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.01         0.06         0.03         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  2                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3200                      5200         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   NW  9                     N 15         
DISPERSION            16 GEN POOR               54 GEN GOOD  

REMARKS...NONE.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S.
NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT.
.MONDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID 60S.
NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S.
LIGHT WINDS. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO MID 70S. SOUTH
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE
60S TO MID 70S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 50. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO
MID 70S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND
50. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO MID 70S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH. 

$$

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