
078 
FNUS54 KMRX 051916
FWFMRX

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST
VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN
316 PM EDT FRI OCT 5 2012

.DISCUSSION...
HIGH PRESSURE WILL BEGIN TO RETREAT TO THE EAST...AS A COLD FRONT 
APPROACHES OVERNIGHT AND PUSHES THROUGH ON SATURDAY. THEN ON 
SUNDAY...AN UPPER LEVEL TROUGH OF LOW PRESSURE WILL SWING ACROSS THE 
SOUTHERN APPALACHIANS. RAIN CHANCES INCREASE ACROSS OUR AREA 
SATURDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH SUNDAY MORNING.  


VAZ001-002-005-006-008-062030-
JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-
316 PM EDT FRI OCT 5 2012

                      TONIGHT      SAT          SAT NIGHT    SUN          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      51-56 (+3)   61-66 (-13)  41-46        51-56        
RH % (24H TREND)      88-93 (0)    54-59 (+13)  95-100       56-61        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  NW  5                     N  7         
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      N  6         N  5         NW  5        
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      SHOWERS      SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           40           80           70           
PRECIP DURATION       1            1            5            3            
PRECIP BEGIN          5 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   8 PM         
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.01         0.05         0.28         0.22         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               2                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4000                      6000         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NW 13                     NW 14        
DISPERSION                         21 FAIR                   47 GEN GOOD  

REMARKS...NONE.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 30S. LIGHT WINDS. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. LIGHT
WINDS. 
.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S.
SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO UPPER 60S. SOUTHWEST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO LOWER 70S. WEST WINDS UP TO
10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO UPPER 60S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO
LOWER 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ018-041-043-045-047-062030-
NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
316 PM EDT FRI OCT 5 2012

                      TONIGHT      SAT          SAT NIGHT    SUN          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      49-54 (+3)   62-67 (-9)   43-48        52-57        
RH % (24H TREND)      85-90 (+3)   55-60 (+16)  95-100       55-60        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  W  8 G16                  LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      NW  7 G15    LGT/VAR      NW  7 G15    
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         SHOWERS      SHOWERS      SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            40           70           70           
PRECIP DURATION                    1            5            3            
PRECIP BEGIN                       8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   8 PM         
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.05         0.29         0.21         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4700                      6400         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 17                      W 17         
DISPERSION                         29 FAIR                   53 GEN GOOD  

REMARKS...NONE.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 30S TO LOWER 40S. EAST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S TO MID 60S. LIGHT
WINDS BECOMING NORTHWEST LESS THAN 10 MPH EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON.
.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S.
SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHEAST AFTER
MIDNIGHT. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO LOWER 70S.
SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO LOWER 70S. NORTHWEST WINDS
UP TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 70S. NORTHWEST WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE
LOWER 50S TO MID 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ072-074-062030-
TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-
316 PM EDT FRI OCT 5 2012

                      TONIGHT      SAT          SAT NIGHT    SUN          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      48-53 (+4)   62-67 (-8)   43-48        53-58        
RH % (24H TREND)      88-93 (+10)  57-62 (+16)  95-100       47-52        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  W  7                      NW  5        
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      NW  6        LGT/VAR      N  6         
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         SHOWERS      SHOWERS      SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            40           60           60           
PRECIP DURATION                    1            2            2            
PRECIP BEGIN                       8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   8 PM         
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.06         0.13         0.09         
LAL                   1            2            1            1            
LASI                               3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5000                      6100         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 15                      NW 13        
DISPERSION                         23 FAIR                   31 FAIR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S.
NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S TO MID 60S.
NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTHWEST EARLY
IN THE AFTERNOON. 
.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 30S TO LOWER 40S.
NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE EAST AFTER
MIDNIGHT. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 70S.
SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 70S. NORTH WINDS 5 TO
15 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 70S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP
TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO
60S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ087-102-062030-
SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
316 PM EDT FRI OCT 5 2012

                      TONIGHT      SAT          SAT NIGHT    SUN          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      50-55 (+5)   67-72 (-8)   46-51        59-64        
RH % (24H TREND)      89-94 (+10)  52-57 (+10)  90-95        43-48        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  W  5                      N  6         
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      NW  6        N  5         N  8 G16     
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         TSTMS        SHOWERS      SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            40           50           40           
PRECIP DURATION                    1            1            1            
PRECIP BEGIN                       8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   8 PM         
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.06         0.08         0.05         
LAL                   1            2            1            1            
LASI                               3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4300                      5900         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 13                      NW 15        
DISPERSION                         24 FAIR                   51 GEN GOOD  

REMARKS...NONE.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN
THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO MID 60S. NORTHWEST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S.
EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO LOWER 70S.
SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO LOWER 70S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP
TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO MID 70S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S
TO LOWER 70S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

NCZ060-061-062030-
NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-
316 PM EDT FRI OCT 5 2012

                      TONIGHT      SAT          SAT NIGHT    SUN          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      49-54 (+6)   69-74 (-6)   47-52        60-65        
RH % (24H TREND)      88-93 (+6)   50-55 (+9)   93-98        43-48        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  W  6                      NW  5 G15    
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      NW  6        LGT/VAR      N  9 G17     
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         TSTMS        SHOWERS      SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            40           50           40           
PRECIP DURATION                    1            1            1            
PRECIP BEGIN                       8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   8 PM         
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.06         0.08         0.05         
LAL                   1            2            1            1            
LASI                               3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4500                      6400         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 15                      NW 17        
DISPERSION                         28 FAIR                   61 GOOD      
MAX LVORI                          4                         4            

REMARKS...NONE.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS
NEAR 40. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO MID 60S. SOUTHEAST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE WEST EARLY IN THE
AFTERNOON. 
.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S.
EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO UPPER 60S. SOUTHEAST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE
60S TO LOWER 70S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO LOWER 70S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S
TO UPPER 60S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-062030-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-
316 PM EDT FRI OCT 5 2012

                      TONIGHT      SAT          SAT NIGHT    SUN          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      51-56 (+3)   63-68 (-12)  44-49        54-59        
RH % (24H TREND)      90-95 (-1)   55-60 (+17)  95-100       50-55        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  W  6                      N  7         
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      NW  6        N  5         LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         SHOWERS      SHOWERS      SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            40           70           70           
PRECIP DURATION                    1            5            3            
PRECIP BEGIN                       CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   8 PM         
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.05         0.22         0.16         
LAL                   1            2            1            1            
LASI                               3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4200                      6000         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 13                      NW 13        
DISPERSION                         29 FAIR                   48 GEN GOOD  

REMARKS...NONE.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 30S TO LOWER 40S.
SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING BECOMING
LIGHT. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO MID 60S. LIGHT WINDS.
.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S.
SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTH
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO LOWER 70S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO
10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO LOWER 70S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO
UPPER 60S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-062030-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-
316 PM EDT FRI OCT 5 2012

                      TONIGHT      SAT          SAT NIGHT    SUN          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      52-57 (+3)   62-67 (-14)  43-48        55-60        
RH % (24H TREND)      88-93 (-3)   56-61 (+15)  95-100       43-48        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  NW  6                     N  7         
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      N  7         N  6         LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      TSTMS        SHOWERS      SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           40           60           60           
PRECIP DURATION       1            1            2            2            
PRECIP BEGIN          5 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   8 PM         
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.02         0.06         0.15         0.08         
LAL                   1            2            1            1            
LASI                               2                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3600                      5600         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NW 10                     NW 13        
DISPERSION                         21 FAIR                   47 GEN GOOD  

REMARKS...NONE.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 30S TO MID 40S.
NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING BECOMING
LIGHT. 
.MONDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO UPPER 60S. NORTH WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS NEAR 40. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHEAST AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTHWEST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S TO MID 70S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S TO MID 70S. WEST WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID
50S TO LOWER 70S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-062030-
CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-
316 PM EDT FRI OCT 5 2012 /216 PM CDT FRI OCT 5 2012/

                      TONIGHT      SAT          SAT NIGHT    SUN          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      53-58 (+3)   65-70 (-11)  46-51        58-63        
RH % (24H TREND)      88-93 (-1)   48-53 (+6)   81-86        40-45        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  NW  5                     N  8         
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      N  6         N  7         N  8 G15     
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      TSTMS        SHOWERS      SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           40           40           30           
PRECIP DURATION       1            1            1            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          5 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   5 PM         
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.01         0.05         0.10         0.03         
LAL                   1            2            1            1            
LASI                               2                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3600                      5200         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NW 10                     N 15         
DISPERSION                         21 FAIR                   54 GEN GOOD  

REMARKS...NONE.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S.
NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 60S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S.
SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTH
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND
50. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO MID 70S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO
10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S TO MID 70S. NORTHWEST WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 50. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO
LOWER 70S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

