
551 
FNUS54 KMRX 041837
FWFMRX

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST
VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN
237 PM EDT THU OCT 4 2012

.DISCUSSION...
HIGH PRESSURE WILL REMAIN IN THE AREA THROUGH FRIDAY...BRINGING 
DRIER WEATHER AND SLIGHTLY ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES. TWO DIFFERENT 
SYSTEMS WILL MOVE THROUGH THE AREA ON SATURDAY AND SUNDAY...BRINGING 
THE NEXT CHANCE FOR RAIN. 


VAZ001-002-005-006-008-051945-
JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-
237 PM EDT THU OCT 4 2012

                      TONIGHT      FRI          FRI NIGHT    SAT          

CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      48-53 (-4)   74-79 (+1)   51-56        63-68        
RH % (24H TREND)      93-98 (+3)   37-42 (-6)   85-90        57-62        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      SW  6        LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            40           
PRECIP DURATION                                              1            
PRECIP BEGIN                                                 8 AM         
PRECIP END                                                   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.07         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               5                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5400                      4000         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 10                     W 15         
DISPERSION                         29 FAIR                   25 FAIR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.SATURDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE 30S TO UPPER 40S.
NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE 50S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. NORTHEAST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO MID 60S. WEST WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO
LOWER 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S
TO UPPER 60S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ018-041-043-045-047-051945-
NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
237 PM EDT THU OCT 4 2012

                      TONIGHT      FRI          FRI NIGHT    SAT          

CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       MCLEAR       PCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      46-51 (-3)   72-77 (+1)   49-54        64-69        
RH % (24H TREND)      88-93 (-4)   34-39 (-6)   85-90        52-57        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      W  6         
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            40           
PRECIP DURATION                                              1            
PRECIP BEGIN                                                 8 AM         
PRECIP END                                                   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.02         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               5                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5800                      4500         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W  7                      W 20         
DISPERSION                         17 GEN POOR               30 FAIR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.SATURDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE 40S. WEST WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO LOWER 60S.
SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTHWEST EARLY
IN THE AFTERNOON. 
.SUNDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. COLDER. LOWS IN THE 30S. NORTH
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO UPPER 60S.
SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO
LOWER 70S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO LOWER 70S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 50S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ072-074-051945-
TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-
237 PM EDT THU OCT 4 2012

                      TONIGHT      FRI          FRI NIGHT    SAT          

CLOUD COVER           CLEAR        MCLEAR       PCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      46-51 (-1)   71-76 (-1)   48-53        66-71        
RH % (24H TREND)      84-89 (-5)   33-38 (-6)   86-91        49-54        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      NW  5        
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            40           
PRECIP DURATION                                              1            
PRECIP BEGIN                                                 8 AM         
PRECIP END                                                   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.02         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               5                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5700                      4500         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW  7                     W 17         
DISPERSION                         16 GEN POOR               20 GEN POOR  

REMARKS...NONE.

.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
40S TO LOWER 50S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 60S. WEST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTHWEST EARLY IN THE
AFTERNOON. 
.SUNDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. COLDER. LOWS IN THE 30S TO LOWER
40S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO 60S. WEST WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 50S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO LOWER 70S. NORTH WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S
TO UPPER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ087-102-051945-
SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
237 PM EDT THU OCT 4 2012

                      TONIGHT      FRI          FRI NIGHT    SAT          

CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       MCLEAR       PCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      47-52 (-1)   75-80 (-1)   49-54        70-75        
RH % (24H TREND)      84-89 (+3)   35-40 (-3)   84-89        50-55        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      NW  5        
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            40           
PRECIP DURATION                                              1            
PRECIP BEGIN                                                 8 AM         
PRECIP END                                                   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.02         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               5                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5000                      3800         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW  7                     W 14         
DISPERSION                         16 GEN POOR               20 GEN POOR  

REMARKS...NONE.

.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO
LOWER 60S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. COLDER. LOWS IN THE MID 30S TO
LOWER 40S. NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO UPPER 60S. WEST WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S
TO LOWER 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO LOWER 70S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 50. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO
LOWER 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

NCZ060-061-051945-
NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-
237 PM EDT THU OCT 4 2012

                      TONIGHT      FRI          FRI NIGHT    SAT          

CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       MCLEAR       PCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      46-51 (-1)   75-80 (-1)   47-52        71-76        
RH % (24H TREND)      87-92 (+6)   32-37 (-5)   85-90        48-53        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            40           
PRECIP DURATION                                              1            
PRECIP BEGIN                                                 8 AM         
PRECIP END                                                   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.02         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               4                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5300                      4000         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW  7                     W 15         
DISPERSION                         17 GEN POOR               22 FAIR      
MAX LVORI                          4                         4            

REMARKS...NONE.

.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND
50. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 50S.
NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. COLDER. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S.
NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID 60S. LIGHT
WINDS. 
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID
60S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO LOWER 70S. NORTH WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE
60S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-051945-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-
237 PM EDT THU OCT 4 2012

                      TONIGHT      FRI          FRI NIGHT    SAT          

CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      47-52 (-3)   75-80 (+1)   50-55        67-72        
RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (+1)  33-38 (-10)  86-91        51-56        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      NW  5        
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            40           
PRECIP DURATION                                              1            
PRECIP BEGIN                                                 8 AM         
PRECIP END                                                   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.02         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               5                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5100                      3800         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW  8                     W 15         
DISPERSION                         24 FAIR                   30 FAIR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.SATURDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE MID TO UPPER 40S.
NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. NORTH
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. COLDER. LOWS IN THE 30S TO LOWER
40S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING BECOMING
LIGHT. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO UPPER 60S. LIGHT
WINDS. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID
60S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO LOWER 70S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE
60S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-051945-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-
237 PM EDT THU OCT 4 2012

                      TONIGHT      FRI          FRI NIGHT    SAT          

CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      48-53 (-2)   77-82 (+1)   51-56        66-71        
RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (+6)  35-40 (-5)   84-89        50-55        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      SW  5        LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            50           
PRECIP DURATION                                              1            
PRECIP BEGIN                                                 8 AM         
PRECIP END                                                   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.02         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               5                         2            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4900                      3400         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW  8                     NW 12        
DISPERSION                         26 FAIR                   21 FAIR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SHOWERS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO
LOWER 60S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. COLDER. LOWS IN THE MID 30S TO
LOWER 40S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO UPPER 60S. WEST WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S
TO MID 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO LOWER 70S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE
MID 60S TO LOWER 70S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-051945-
CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-
237 PM EDT THU OCT 4 2012 /137 PM CDT THU OCT 4 2012/

                      TONIGHT      FRI          FRI NIGHT    SAT          

CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      49-54 (-1)   78-83 (+1)   53-58        70-75        
RH % (24H TREND)      92-97 (+7)   35-40 (-4)   83-88        50-55        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      NW  5        
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            50           
PRECIP DURATION                                              1            
PRECIP BEGIN                                                 8 AM         
PRECIP END                                                   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.02         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               5                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4600                      3100         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW  7                     W 12         
DISPERSION                         21 FAIR                   20 GEN POOR  

REMARKS...NONE.

.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS NEAR 50.
NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS NEAR 60. NORTH
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 40. NORTH WINDS 5 TO
10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE 60S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 50. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S
TO MID 70S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE
60S TO MID 70S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS NEAR 70.
WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

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