
456 
FNUS54 KMRX 021449 AAA
FWFMRX

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...UPDATED
VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN
1049 AM EDT TUE OCT 2 2012

.DISCUSSION...
A LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL DRIFT NORTHEASTWARD TODAY ACROSS THE 
UPPER OHIO RIVER VALLEY WITH ITS ASSOCIATED COLD FRONT MOVING 
ACROSS THE SOUTHERN APPALACHIAN REGION. THIS SYSTEM MAY PRODUCE 
ISOLATED TO WIDELY SCATTERED SHOWERS OVER THE REGION. DRIER AIR WILL 
BUILD INTO THE SOUTHERN APPALACHIANS ON WEDNESDAY ALLOWING FOR THE 
RETURN OF SOME SUNSHINE AFTER A CLOUDY START TO THE DAY. 
ALSO TEMPERATURES WILL BE A LITTLE ABOVE NORMAL FOR THE REST OF 
THE WEEK.


VAZ001-002-005-006-008-031600-
JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-
1049 AM EDT TUE OCT 2 2012

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      WED          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      75-80 (+11)  53-58 (-3)   69-74        
RH % (24H TREND)      53-58 (-17)  92-97 (-5)   45-50        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SE  7 G15                 SW  6        
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW  8 G16    SW  6        SW  5        
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        DRIZZLE      NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     60           0            0            
PRECIP DURATION       2                                      
PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM                                   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING                             
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.05         0.00         0.00         
LAL                   3            1            1            
LASI                  3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3500                      4800         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   S 24                      SW 12        
DISPERSION            30 FAIR                   28 FAIR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID
50S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING BECOMING
LIGHT. 
.THURSDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO UPPER 70S. WEST WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S.
SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE
60S TO UPPER 70S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER
40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO LOWER 70S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S TO MID 60S. WEST WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S
TO MID 60S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ018-041-043-045-047-031600-
NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
1049 AM EDT TUE OCT 2 2012

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      WED          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      73-78 (+9)   51-56 (-4)   66-71        
RH % (24H TREND)      54-59 (-8)   93-98 (-4)   44-49        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     S 10 G22                  LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S  8 G17     S  5 G15     LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        DRIZZLE      NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     60           0            0            
PRECIP DURATION       2                                      
PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM                                   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING                             
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.05         0.00         0.00         
LAL                   3            1            1            
LASI                  3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3700                      4900         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   S 28                      SW 12        
DISPERSION            20 GEN POOR               21 FAIR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER
50S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO UPPER 70S. NORTHWEST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S.
LIGHT WINDS. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO UPPER 70S. WEST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID
40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO LOWER 70S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND
40. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S
TO MID 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ072-074-031600-
TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-
1049 AM EDT TUE OCT 2 2012

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      WED          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      70-75 (+6)   48-53 (-8)   66-71        
RH % (24H TREND)      53-58 (-18)  92-97 (-5)   40-45        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     S  9 G20                  SW  6        
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW  7 G17    S  6         W  5         
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      DRIZZLE      NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     50           0            0            
PRECIP DURATION       1                                      
PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM                                   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING                             
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.02         0.00         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  3                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4200                      5000         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   S 24                      W 12         
DISPERSION            22 FAIR                   20 GEN POOR  

REMARKS...NONE.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S.
SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO UPPER 70S. LIGHT WINDS. 
.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 40S TO MID 50S. LIGHT
WINDS. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO 70S. NORTHWEST WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 70S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO UPPER 60S. NORTH WINDS UP TO
10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID
50S TO UPPER 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ087-102-031600-
SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
1049 AM EDT TUE OCT 2 2012

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      WED          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      69-74 (+2)   48-53 (-12)  69-74        
RH % (24H TREND)      58-63 (-13)  92-97 (-4)   43-48        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     S  7 G17                  SW  5        
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S  6         SW  7        W  5         
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      DRIZZLE      NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     40           0            0            
PRECIP DURATION       1                                      
PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM                                   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING                             
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.02         0.00         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  3                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4100                      5000         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   S 22                      W 12         
DISPERSION            37 FAIR                   29 FAIR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S.
SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO LOWER 80S. NORTHWEST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 40S TO MID 50S. LIGHT
WINDS. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO LOWER 80S. WEST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S TO MID 70S. NORTHWEST WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO LOWER 70S. NORTHWEST WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S
TO UPPER 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

NCZ060-061-031600-
NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-
1049 AM EDT TUE OCT 2 2012

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      WED          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      69-74 (+3)   48-53 (-10)  68-73        
RH % (24H TREND)      58-63 (-15)  93-98 (-4)   41-46        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     S  6                      LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S  6         S  6         LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      DRIZZLE      NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     50           0            0            
PRECIP DURATION       1                                      
PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM                                   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING                             
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.02         0.00         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  3                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4100                      5100         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   S 23                      W 12         
DISPERSION            35 FAIR                   28 FAIR      
MAX LVORI             4                         4            

REMARKS...NONE.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER
50S. LIGHT WINDS BECOMING NORTHWEST LESS THAN 10 MPH AFTER
MIDNIGHT. 
.THURSDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO UPPER 70S. NORTH WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH EARLY IN THE MORNING BECOMING LIGHT. 
.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S.
LIGHT WINDS. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO UPPER 70S. WEST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S TO MID 70S. NORTHWEST WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO LOWER 70S. NORTH WINDS UP TO
10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S
TO UPPER 60S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-031600-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-
1049 AM EDT TUE OCT 2 2012

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      WED          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      75-80 (+8)   52-57 (-6)   70-75        
RH % (24H TREND)      51-56 (-14)  91-96 (-6)   44-49        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     S  6 G15                  W  5         
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW  8 G15    SW  5        LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        DRIZZLE      NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     60           0            0            
PRECIP DURATION       1                                      
PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM                                   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING                             
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.04         0.00         0.00         
LAL                   3            1            1            
LASI                  3                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3200                      4300         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   S 21                      W 12         
DISPERSION            30 FAIR                   28 FAIR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS NEAR 50. WEST WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 
.THURSDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO UPPER 70S. WEST WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S.
LIGHT WINDS. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO UPPER 70S. WEST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER
40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO LOWER 70S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO UPPER 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 50S TO MID 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-031600-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-
1049 AM EDT TUE OCT 2 2012

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      WED          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      73-78 (+6)   50-55 (-9)   71-76        
RH % (24H TREND)      51-56 (-19)  92-97 (-5)   41-46        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     S  5                      SW  7        
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW  7        SW  6        W  5         
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      DRIZZLE      NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     40           0            0            
PRECIP DURATION       1                                      
PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM                                   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING                             
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.02         0.00         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  3                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3500                      4800         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   S 21                      SW 12        
DISPERSION            40 FAIR                   36 FAIR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID
50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO LOWER 80S. LIGHT WINDS. 
.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S.
LIGHT WINDS. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE
70S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO LOWER 70S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO UPPER 60S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S.
NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-031600-
CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-
1049 AM EDT TUE OCT 2 2012 /949 AM CDT TUE OCT 2 2012/

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      WED          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      70-75 (+1)   50-55 (-11)  71-76        
RH % (24H TREND)      59-64 (-14)  92-97 (-4)   41-46        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     S  6                      SW  5        
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW  6        SW  6        SW  5        
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      DRIZZLE      NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     30           0            0            
PRECIP DURATION       1                                      
PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM                                   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING                             
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.02         0.00         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  3                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3900                      4900         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   S 18                      SW 12        
DISPERSION            44 GEN GOOD               37 FAIR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. SOUTH
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO LOWER 80S. LIGHT
WINDS. 
.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. LIGHT
WINDS. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO LOWER 80S. WEST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND
50. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO MID 70S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO LOWER 70S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S.
NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

