
074 
FNUS54 KMRX 010742
FWFMRX

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST
VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN
600 AM EDT MON OCT 1 2012

.DISCUSSION...
A LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM OVER THE LOWER MISSISSIPPI RIVER VALLEY WILL 
SLOWLY DRIFT NORTHEASTWARD INTO THE TENNESSEE RIVER VALLEY TODAY. 
THIS SYSTEM WILL BRING AN EXTENSIVE AREA OF SHOWERS WITH SCATTERED 
THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS THE SOUTHERN APPALACHIAN REGION TODAY AND 
TONIGHT. THIS SYSTEM WILL THEN EXIT THE REGION ON WEDNESDAY...WITH A 
COLD FRONT MOVING INTO THE TENNESSEE RIVER VALLEY ON FRIDAY.


VAZ001-002-005-006-008-020815-
JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-
600 AM EDT MON OCT 1 2012

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      TUE          

CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       CLOUDY       MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      64-69 (-3)   55-60 (+5)   68-73        
RH % (24H TREND)      66-71 (+23)  95-100 (+4)  73-78        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     E  8 G18                  SE  9 G17    
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SE 11 G20    SE  8 G19    S 11 G18     
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     100          100          50           
PRECIP DURATION       5            5            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.56         0.37         0.17         
LAL                   3            3            2            
LASI                  3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3000                      3400         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   S 23                      S 29         
DISPERSION            19 GEN POOR               33 FAIR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN 
THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 
UPPER 60S TO MID 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS NEAR 50. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS 
THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO MID 70S. WEST 
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 
50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 
40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO LOWER 70S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 
MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 
40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ018-041-043-045-047-020815-
NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
600 AM EDT MON OCT 1 2012

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      TUE          

CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       CLOUDY       MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      64-69 (-2)   55-60 (+6)   65-70        
RH % (24H TREND)      65-70 (+22)  95-100 (+4)  72-77        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SE 10 G23                 SE 10 G20    
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SE 11 G23    SE 11 G27    S 11 G20     
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     100          100          60           
PRECIP DURATION       5            5            2            
PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.50         0.47         0.23         
LAL                   3            3            2            
LASI                  3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3400                      3800         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   S 28                      S 32         
DISPERSION            16 GEN POOR               26 FAIR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN 
THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 
UPPER 60S TO MID 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. 
WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO MID 70S. WEST 
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 
50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 
40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO LOWER 70S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 
40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ072-074-020815-
TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-
600 AM EDT MON OCT 1 2012

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      TUE          

CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       CLOUDY       MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      64-69 (-4)   56-61 (+6)   63-68        
RH % (24H TREND)      67-72 (+21)  95-100 (+4)  71-76        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     S 11 G26                  S 10 G22     
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S 12 G26     SE  9 G21    S 11 G19     
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     100          100          60           
PRECIP DURATION       5            4            2            
PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.68         0.36         0.22         
LAL                   3            3            2            
LASI                  3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3400                      4200         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   S 32                      S 30         
DISPERSION            10 POOR                   27 FAIR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN 
THE MID 40S TO MID 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 
LOWER 60S TO MID 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S TO LOWER 
50S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S TO MID 70S. 
SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE 50S. 
HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO UPPER 70S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE 
40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO LOWER 70S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 
10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE 40S. 
HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO UPPER 60S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ087-102-020815-
SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
600 AM EDT MON OCT 1 2012

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      TUE          

CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       CLOUDY       MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      67-72 (-4)   59-64 (+5)   67-72        
RH % (24H TREND)      70-75 (+18)  95-100 (+3)  66-71        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SE 12 G26                 S  9 G20     
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SE 12 G26    SE  8 G17    S 10         
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     100          90           60           
PRECIP DURATION       5            3            2            
PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.87         0.30         0.22         
LAL                   3            3            2            
LASI                  3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    2800                      4000         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   S 32                      S 26         
DISPERSION            21 FAIR                   44 GEN GOOD  

REMARKS...NONE.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN 
THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 
UPPER 60S TO MID 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. 
LIGHT WINDS. 
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO MID 70S. 
NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 
50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE 
UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO LOWER 70S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS 
THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 
40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

NCZ060-061-020815-
NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-
600 AM EDT MON OCT 1 2012

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      TUE          

CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       CLOUDY       MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      66-71 (-5)   59-64 (+5)   66-71        
RH % (24H TREND)      71-76 (+15)  95-100 (+3)  68-73        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SE 10 G21                 S  9 G18     
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SE 11 G21    SE  7 G15    S  9         
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     100          90           60           
PRECIP DURATION       5            3            2            
PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.92         0.41         0.24         
LAL                   3            3            2            
LASI                  3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3400                      4000         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   S 31                      S 26         
DISPERSION            30 FAIR                   39 FAIR      
MAX LVORI             5                         4            

REMARKS...NONE.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN 
THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 
UPPER 60S TO MID 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS NEAR 50. LIGHT WINDS. 
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO MID 70S. 
NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 
50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 
40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO LOWER 70S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 
MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 
40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-020815-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-
600 AM EDT MON OCT 1 2012

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      TUE          

CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       CLOUDY       MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      67-72 (-1)   57-62 (+6)   68-73        
RH % (24H TREND)      62-67 (+17)  95-100 (+4)  69-74        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     E  9 G19                  SE  9 G16    
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SE  9 G19    E  7 G16     S 10 G17     
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     100          100          60           
PRECIP DURATION       5            5            2            
PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.64         0.34         0.19         
LAL                   3            3            2            
LASI                  3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    2600                      3700         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   S 24                      S 25         
DISPERSION            23 FAIR                   47 GEN GOOD  

REMARKS...NONE.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN 
THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 
UPPER 60S TO MID 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS NEAR 50. LIGHT WINDS. 
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS 
THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 
50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 
40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO LOWER 70S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 
MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 
40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-020815-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-
600 AM EDT MON OCT 1 2012

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      TUE          

CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       CLOUDY       MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      67-72 (-4)   58-63 (+4)   69-74        
RH % (24H TREND)      67-72 (+25)  95-100 (+4)  62-67        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     E  8 G18                  S  8 G16     
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S  8 G17     SE  6        S 10 G18     
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     100          100          50           
PRECIP DURATION       5            4            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.87         0.28         0.13         
LAL                   3            3            2            
LASI                  3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    2500                      4000         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   S 25                      S 25         
DISPERSION            26 FAIR                   58 GEN GOOD  

REMARKS...NONE.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN 
THE LOWER TO MID 50S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 
UPPER 60S TO MID 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. 
LIGHT WINDS. 
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 70S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 
MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 
50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE 
UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO LOWER 70S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 
10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 
40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-020815-
CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-
600 AM EDT MON OCT 1 2012 /500 AM CDT MON OCT 1 2012/

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      TUE          

CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       CLOUDY       MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      69-74 (-3)   61-66 (+5)   70-75        
RH % (24H TREND)      71-76 (+23)  95-100 (+3)  61-66        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SE  9 G19                 S 10 G19     
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S 11 G20     SE  8 G18    S 10 G17     
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     100          80           50           
PRECIP DURATION       5            3            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.93         0.24         0.12         
LAL                   3            3            2            
LASI                  3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    2700                      4000         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   S 30                      S 25         
DISPERSION            40 FAIR                   62 GOOD      

REMARKS...NONE.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN 
THE MID 50S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 
70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. LIGHT WINDS. 
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO LOWER 80S. 
NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 
50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO LOWER 80S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 
MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE 
UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO MID 70S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 
10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 
40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO LOWER 70S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 
MPH. 

$$

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