
176 
FNUS54 KMRX 301619 AAA
FWFMRX

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...UPDATED
VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN
1219 PM EDT SUN SEP 30 2012

.DISCUSSION...
A LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM OVER THE LOWER MISSISSIPPI RIVER VALLEY 
TODAY...IS EXPECTED TO MOVE NORTHEASTWARD INTO THE TENNESSEE RIVER 
VALLEY ON MONDAY. THIS SYSTEM WILL BRING A GOOD COVERAGE OF SHOWERS 
AND SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS THE SOUTHERN APPALACHIAN REGION 
TONIGHT AND INTO MONDAY. TEMPERATURES ARE EXPECTED TO BE SLIGHTLY 
ABOVE NORMAL THROUGHOUT THE UPCOMING WEEK.


VAZ001-002-005-006-008-011730-
JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-
1219 PM EDT SUN SEP 30 2012

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      MON          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      68-73 (+1)   50-55 (+3)   63-68        
RH % (24H TREND)      40-45 (-27)  91-96 (-1)   76-81        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   SE  7 G15    
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      SE  8        
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         SHOWERS      TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            40           80           
PRECIP DURATION                    1            8            
PRECIP BEGIN                       11 PM        CONTINUING   
PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.05         0.57         
LAL                   1            1            3            
LASI                  4                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4200                      3300         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   NW  6                     S 16         
DISPERSION            11 POOR                   17 GEN POOR  

REMARKS...NONE.

.MONDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO
10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO
LOWER 70S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN
THE 60S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE
LOWER 60S TO MID 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S TO MID 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO UPPER 60S. WEST WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ018-041-043-045-047-011730-
NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
1219 PM EDT SUN SEP 30 2012

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      MON          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        CLOUDY       
TEMP (24H TREND)      67-72 (0)    50-55 (+3)   60-65        
RH % (24H TREND)      44-49 (-23)  90-95 (-2)   74-79        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   SE  9 G17    
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      SE  9 G17    
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         SHOWERS      TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            60           90           
PRECIP DURATION                    2            8            
PRECIP BEGIN                       8 PM         CONTINUING   
PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.09         0.68         
LAL                   1            1            3            
LASI                  5                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4200                      3500         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   NW  6                     S 18         
DISPERSION            7 POOR                    12 POOR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.MONDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO
15 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO LOWER 70S.
SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN
THE UPPER 50S TO LOWER 70S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 50. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S
TO MID 70S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S TO MID 70S. WEST WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO 60S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ072-074-011730-
TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-
1219 PM EDT SUN SEP 30 2012

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      MON          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        CLOUDY       
TEMP (24H TREND)      68-73 (+1)   51-56 (+3)   61-66        
RH % (24H TREND)      46-51 (-21)  95-100 (+4)  77-82        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   S  7 G15     
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      SE  9 G16    
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         SHOWERS      TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            70           90           
PRECIP DURATION                    2            8            
PRECIP BEGIN                       8 PM         CONTINUING   
PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.24         0.82         
LAL                   1            1            3            
LASI                  5                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4300                      3500         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   NW  6                     S 22         
DISPERSION            6 VERY POOR               8 POOR       

REMARKS...NONE.

.MONDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S TO LOWER 60S.
SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 70S.
SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. COOLER. LOWS
IN THE MID 40S TO UPPER 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN
THE MID 50S TO LOWER 70S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE
MID 50S TO UPPER 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO UPPER 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO LOWER 70S. WEST WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ087-102-011730-
SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
1219 PM EDT SUN SEP 30 2012

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      MON          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        CLOUDY       
TEMP (24H TREND)      71-76 (+1)   54-59 (+3)   65-70        
RH % (24H TREND)      49-54 (-17)  91-96 (+1)   75-80        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   SE  8 G17    
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      SE 10 G18    
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           80           90           
PRECIP DURATION       1            4            8            
PRECIP BEGIN          5 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.01         0.40         0.82         
LAL                   1            1            3            
LASI                  5                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4200                      3400         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   NE  6                     S 23         
DISPERSION            11 POOR                   25 FAIR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.MONDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTHEAST
WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO LOWER 70S.
SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN
THE 40S TO UPPER 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN
THE UPPER 50S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE 60S
TO 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO 70S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 70S. NORTHWEST WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

NCZ060-061-011730-
NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-
1219 PM EDT SUN SEP 30 2012

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      MON          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        CLOUDY       
TEMP (24H TREND)      70-75 (0)    54-59 (+3)   64-69        
RH % (24H TREND)      52-57 (-15)  95-100 (+5)  80-85        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   SE  7 G16    
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      SE  9 G17    
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           80           100          
PRECIP DURATION       1            4            8            
PRECIP BEGIN          5 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.01         0.39         0.88         
LAL                   1            1            3            
LASI                  4                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4200                      3500         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW  6                     S 22         
DISPERSION            10 POOR                   24 FAIR      
MAX LVORI             5                         5            

REMARKS...NONE.

.MONDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S.
SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO LOWER 70S.
SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN
THE 60S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE
LOWER 60S TO MID 70S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S TO MID 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO UPPER 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-011730-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-
1219 PM EDT SUN SEP 30 2012

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      MON          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      71-76 (+2)   52-57 (+3)   65-70        
RH % (24H TREND)      42-47 (-25)  90-95 (-1)   74-79        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   E  7         
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      SE  8        
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         SHOWERS      TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            60           90           
PRECIP DURATION                    2            8            
PRECIP BEGIN                       8 PM         CONTINUING   
PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.11         0.67         
LAL                   1            1            3            
LASI                  5                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4100                      2700         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   N  6                      S 17         
DISPERSION            13 GEN POOR               18 GEN POOR  

REMARKS...NONE.

.MONDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. EAST WINDS
5 TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTH
WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN
THE 60S TO LOWER 70S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE
60S TO MID 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO UPPER 70S. WEST WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 70S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-011730-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-
1219 PM EDT SUN SEP 30 2012

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      MON          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      72-77 (+1)   54-59 (+3)   68-73        
RH % (24H TREND)      44-49 (-15)  90-95 (+1)   72-77        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   E  5         
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      SE  8        
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         SHOWERS      TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            70           80           
PRECIP DURATION                    2            8            
PRECIP BEGIN                       8 PM         CONTINUING   
PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.30         0.74         
LAL                   1            1            3            
LASI                  5                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4000                      2500         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   NE  6                     S 17         
DISPERSION            14 GEN POOR               18 GEN POOR  

REMARKS...NONE.

.MONDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S.
SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S
TO LOWER 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN
THE 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN
THE 60S TO MID 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE 60S
TO UPPER 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO UPPER 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO
10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO LOWER 70S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-011730-
CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-
1219 PM EDT SUN SEP 30 2012 /1119 AM CDT SUN SEP 30 2012/

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      MON          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        CLOUDY       
TEMP (24H TREND)      74-79 (0)    57-62 (+3)   69-74        
RH % (24H TREND)      46-51 (-13)  88-93 (+2)   70-75        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     NE  5                     SE  6 G15    
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      SE  9        
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           80           90           
PRECIP DURATION       1            4            8            
PRECIP BEGIN          5 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.01         0.60         0.79         
LAL                   1            1            3            
LASI                  5                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3800                      2600         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   NE  7                     S 22         
DISPERSION            17 GEN POOR               27 FAIR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.MONDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID 60S.
SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS NEAR 70.
SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN
THE MID TO UPPER 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN
THE 60S TO UPPER 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S
TO LOWER 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO LOWER 80S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO LOWER 70S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP
TO 10 MPH. 

$$

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