
625 
FNUS54 KMRX 290737
FWFMRX

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST
VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN
600 AM EDT SAT SEP 29 2012

.DISCUSSION...
AN UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCE WILL HELP TO TRIGGER SCATTERED SHOWERS 
AND THUNDERSTORMS TODAY...WITH TEMPERATURES ONLY COOLING A LITTLE 
THIS WEEKEND BEHIND THE PASSAGE OF A WEAK COLD FRONT. A LOW PRESSURE 
SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO MOVE FROM THE LOWER MISSISSIPPI RIVER VALLEY 
ON SUNDAY...ACROSS THE TENNESSEE RIVER VALLEY ON MONDAY. THIS SYSTEM 
WILL BRING A GOOD COVERAGE OF SHOWERS AND SOME SCATTERED 
THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS THE SOUTHERN APPALACHIAN REGION ON MONDAY.


VAZ001-002-005-006-008-300830-
JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-
600 AM EDT SAT SEP 29 2012

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SUN          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      68-73 (-2)   48-53 (-8)   66-71        
RH % (24H TREND)      53-58 (-9)   87-92 (-7)   43-48        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      SW  5        
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        SHOWERS      NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     30           20           0            
PRECIP DURATION       1            1                         
PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING                
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   12 AM                     
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.04         0.01         0.00         
LAL                   3            1            1            
LASI                  3                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4000                      5000         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   NW  7                     W  7         
DISPERSION            12 POOR                   18 GEN POOR  

REMARKS...NONE.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE 
UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO 
LOWER 70S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 
40S TO MID 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY AND CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 
60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE 
MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS 
THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 
60S TO MID 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 50. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO 
LOWER 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ018-041-043-045-047-300830-
NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
600 AM EDT SAT SEP 29 2012

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SUN          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      67-72 (-3)   48-53 (-7)   64-69        
RH % (24H TREND)      55-60 (-3)   89-94 (-2)   46-51        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        SHOWERS      NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     50           30           0            
PRECIP DURATION       1            1                         
PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING                
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   12 AM                     
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.05         0.02         0.00         
LAL                   3            1            1            
LASI                  3                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4000                      4900         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W  8                      W  7         
DISPERSION            8 POOR                    13 GEN POOR  

REMARKS...NONE.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 
40S TO MID 50S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO 
LOWER 70S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 
40S TO MID 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE 60S. WEST 
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 
50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO LOWER 70S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 
MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 
60S TO MID 70S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S 
TO LOWER 70S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ072-074-300830-
TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-
600 AM EDT SAT SEP 29 2012

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SUN          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      69-74 (-3)   51-56 (-5)   63-68        
RH % (24H TREND)      55-60 (+1)   90-95 (+3)   50-55        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        SHOWERS      SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     40           30           20           
PRECIP DURATION       1            1            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   8 AM         
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   12 AM        CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.05         0.02         0.01         
LAL                   3            1            1            
LASI                  3                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4200                      4900         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W  8                      NW  7        
DISPERSION            7 POOR                    11 POOR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 
40S TO UPPER 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO
LOWER 70S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE MID 
40S TO UPPER 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S 
TO LOWER 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE 
50S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S TO LOWER 70S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 50S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S 
TO MID 70S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 40S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S TO 
MID 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ087-102-300830-
SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
600 AM EDT SAT SEP 29 2012

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SUN          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      73-78 (-4)   53-58 (-5)   67-72        
RH % (24H TREND)      51-56 (+1)   87-92 (-4)   53-58        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        SHOWERS      SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     40           30           20           
PRECIP DURATION       1            1            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   8 AM         
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   12 AM        CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.05         0.02         0.02         
LAL                   3            1            1            
LASI                  3                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4000                      4600         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W  7                      N  7         
DISPERSION            12 POOR                   15 GEN POOR  

REMARKS...NONE.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE 50S. 
NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO 
LOWER 70S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE 50S. 
SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO 
LOWER 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE 
MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO MID 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS 
THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 
60S TO MID 70S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 
60S TO MID 70S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

NCZ060-061-300830-
NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-
600 AM EDT SAT SEP 29 2012

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SUN          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      73-78 (-3)   52-57 (-5)   67-72        
RH % (24H TREND)      50-55 (0)    87-92 (-7)   54-59        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        SHOWERS      SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     50           30           20           
PRECIP DURATION       1            1            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   8 AM         
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   12 AM        CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.06         0.02         0.02         
LAL                   4            1            1            
LASI                  3                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4000                      5000         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W  9                      W  7         
DISPERSION            13 GEN POOR               16 GEN POOR  
MAX LVORI             5                         4            

REMARKS...NONE.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE 50S. 
NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO 
LOWER 70S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 
40S TO MID 50S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO 
LOWER 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE 
MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO LOWER 70S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS 
THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 
60S TO MID 70S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 
60S TO MID 70S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-300830-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-
600 AM EDT SAT SEP 29 2012

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SUN          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      71-76 (-2)   49-54 (-8)   68-73        
RH % (24H TREND)      53-58 (-6)   87-92 (-5)   44-49        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        SHOWERS      NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     40           20           0            
PRECIP DURATION       1            1                         
PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING                
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   12 AM                     
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.05         0.01         0.00         
LAL                   3            1            1            
LASI                  3                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3800                      4800         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   NW  7                     W  7         
DISPERSION            14 GEN POOR               20 GEN POOR  

REMARKS...NONE.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE 50S. 
SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO 
LOWER 70S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE 50S. 
SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO 
LOWER 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE 
MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO LOWER 70S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 
MPH. 
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 
60S TO MID 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 
60S TO MID 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-300830-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-
600 AM EDT SAT SEP 29 2012

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SUN          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      72-77 (-3)   52-57 (-6)   69-74        
RH % (24H TREND)      51-56 (-5)   87-92 (-5)   43-48        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        SHOWERS      NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     30           20           0            
PRECIP DURATION       1            1                         
PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING                
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   12 AM                     
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.04         0.01         0.00         
LAL                   3            1            1            
LASI                  3                         5            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3800                      4600         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   NW  7                     NW  7        
DISPERSION            15 GEN POOR               20 GEN POOR  

REMARKS...NONE.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE 
50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO 
LOWER 70S. EAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE 50S. 
SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS 
IN THE MID 60S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE 
UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO MID 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS 
THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S. 
SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S. 
SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-300830-
CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-
600 AM EDT SAT SEP 29 2012 /500 AM CDT SAT SEP 29 2012/

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SUN          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      75-80 (-5)   55-60 (-5)   70-75        
RH % (24H TREND)      48-53 (-1)   87-92 (-4)   49-54        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        SHOWERS      SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     30           20           20           
PRECIP DURATION       1            1            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   8 AM         
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   12 AM        CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.04         0.01         0.01         
LAL                   3            1            1            
LASI                  3                         5            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3900                      4500         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   NW  7                     N  7         
DISPERSION            16 GEN POOR               20 GEN POOR  

REMARKS...NONE.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 
50S TO LOWER 60S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO 
LOWER 70S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE MID 
50S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS 
IN THE MID 60S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE 
UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO MID 70S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS 
THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S. 
SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S. 
NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

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