
141 
FNUS54 KMRX 271825
FWFMRX

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST
VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN
225 PM EDT THU SEP 27 2012

.DISCUSSION...
HIGH PRESSURE WILL SHIFT SOUTHEAST OF THE REGION TODAY WITH 
AN INCREASE IN CLOUDS ACROSS NORTHERN TENNESSEE AND SOUTHWEST 
VIRGINIA. THE CHANCE OF SHOWERS INCREASES FROM NORTH TO SOUTH ALSO 
AS A COLD FRONT MOVES INTO THE OHIO VALLEY THEN INTO TENNESSEE EARLY 
FRIDAY. SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS BECOME LIKELY FRIDAY AS THE FRONT 
MOVES ACROSS THE REGION. IMPROVING CONDITIONS SATURDAY INTO SUNDAY 
FROM NORTH TO SOUTH AS HIGH PRESSURE MOVES IN FROM THE NORTH. 


VAZ001-002-005-006-008-281930-
JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-
225 PM EDT THU SEP 27 2012

                      TONIGHT      FRI          FRI NIGHT    SAT          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      55-60 (+2)   71-76 (-5)   54-59        67-72        
RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (+4)  58-63 (+10)  88-93        50-55        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      SW  5        LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        SHOWERS      SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     40           70           30           40           
PRECIP DURATION       1            2            1            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.08         0.22         0.02         0.15         
LAL                   3            4            1            1            
LASI                               3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 6200                      4700         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 13                      NW  7        
DISPERSION                         46 GEN GOOD               15 GEN POOR  

REMARKS...NONE.

.SATURDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS
IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. LIGHT WINDS. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO LOWER 80S. NORTHWEST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS NEAR 50. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO
70S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO LOWER 80S. EAST WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER
50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTHWEST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ018-041-043-045-047-281930-
NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
225 PM EDT THU SEP 27 2012

                      TONIGHT      FRI          FRI NIGHT    SAT          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      52-57 (+2)   71-76 (-1)   56-61        67-72        
RH % (24H TREND)      91-96 (+1)   54-59 (+3)   87-92        53-58        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  SW  6                     LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      W  7         LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        SHOWERS      SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     30           70           30           60           
PRECIP DURATION       1            2            1            3            
PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.03         0.15         0.02         0.53         
LAL                   3            4            1            1            
LASI                               3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 7000                      4700         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 15                      W  9         
DISPERSION                         55 GEN GOOD               16 GEN POOR  

REMARKS...NONE.

.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
40S TO MID 50S. LIGHT WINDS. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE
50S TO UPPER 70S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 40S TO MID 50S. NORTH
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 
.MONDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO 70S. SOUTHEAST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 50S.
HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID
50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTHWEST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ072-074-281930-
TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-
225 PM EDT THU SEP 27 2012

                      TONIGHT      FRI          FRI NIGHT    SAT          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      54-59 (+4)   72-77 (0)    58-63        69-74        
RH % (24H TREND)      89-94 (-1)   51-56 (-1)   83-88        52-57        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  SW  7 G16                 LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      W  6 G17     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        SHOWERS      SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     30           70           30           60           
PRECIP DURATION       1            2            1            3            
PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.02         0.09         0.02         0.51         
LAL                   3            4            1            1            
LASI                               3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 6600                      5100         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 16                      W  8         
DISPERSION                         48 GEN GOOD               13 GEN POOR  

REMARKS...NONE.

.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
40S TO UPPER 50S. LIGHT WINDS. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE
MID 50S TO UPPER 70S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 40S TO MID 50S. EAST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO UPPER 70S. EAST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 50S.
HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO UPPER 70S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID
50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO LOWER 80S. WEST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ087-102-281930-
SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
225 PM EDT THU SEP 27 2012

                      TONIGHT      FRI          FRI NIGHT    SAT          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY        CLOUDY       
TEMP (24H TREND)      55-60 (+4)   77-82 (-1)   59-64        74-79        
RH % (24H TREND)      84-89 (-7)   44-49 (-1)   83-88        47-52        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        SHOWERS      SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           50           30           60           
PRECIP DURATION       1            1            1            3            
PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.02         0.08         0.02         0.45         
LAL                   3            4            1            1            
LASI                               3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 6800                      5200         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 14                      NW  8        
DISPERSION                         57 GEN GOOD               20 GEN POOR  

REMARKS...NONE.

.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
50S. LIGHT WINDS. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 50S TO LOWER 80S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 40S TO UPPER 50S.
NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE
60S TO UPPER 70S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER
50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER
50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO LOWER 80S. WEST WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

NCZ060-061-281930-
NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-
225 PM EDT THU SEP 27 2012

                      TONIGHT      FRI          FRI NIGHT    SAT          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY        CLOUDY       
TEMP (24H TREND)      52-57 (+3)   77-82 (-1)   58-63        74-79        
RH % (24H TREND)      88-93 (-5)   42-47 (-2)   84-89        48-53        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        SHOWERS      SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           40           30           50           
PRECIP DURATION       1            1            1            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.02         0.07         0.02         0.43         
LAL                   2            3            1            1            
LASI                               3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 7900                      5900         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 14                      W  9         
DISPERSION                         70 GOOD                   29 FAIR      
MAX LVORI                          4                         4            

REMARKS...NONE.

.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
50S. LIGHT WINDS. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE
60S TO 70S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S.
NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO UPPER 70S. EAST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER
50S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO UPPER 70S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S.
HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO LOWER 80S. WEST WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-281930-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-
225 PM EDT THU SEP 27 2012

                      TONIGHT      FRI          FRI NIGHT    SAT          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      56-61 (+4)   75-80 (-2)   56-61        70-75        
RH % (24H TREND)      93-98 (-1)   52-57 (+3)   88-93        49-54        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  SW  5                     LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      W  5         LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        SHOWERS      SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     30           70           30           50           
PRECIP DURATION       1            2            1            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.04         0.16         0.02         0.48         
LAL                   3            4            1            1            
LASI                               3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 6500                      4300         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 12                      NW  6        
DISPERSION                         52 GEN GOOD               13 GEN POOR  

REMARKS...NONE.

.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
40S TO UPPER 50S. LIGHT WINDS. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO LOWER 80S. NORTHWEST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S.
NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO
70S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER
50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO LOWER 80S.
SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-281930-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-
225 PM EDT THU SEP 27 2012

                      TONIGHT      FRI          FRI NIGHT    SAT          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      59-64 (+5)   75-80 (-3)   58-63        73-78        
RH % (24H TREND)      89-94 (-3)   50-55 (+2)   88-93        48-53        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        SHOWERS      SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     30           70           30           40           
PRECIP DURATION       1            2            1            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.06         0.12         0.02         0.41         
LAL                   3            4            1            1            
LASI                               3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5700                      4300         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 12                      NW  6        
DISPERSION                         44 GEN GOOD               14 GEN POOR  

REMARKS...NONE.

.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
50S. LIGHT WINDS. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO LOWER 80S. NORTH
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 50S. NORTHEAST WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S
TO LOWER 80S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER
50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO LOWER 80S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER
50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO LOWER 80S. WEST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-281930-
CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-
225 PM EDT THU SEP 27 2012 /125 PM CDT THU SEP 27 2012/

                      TONIGHT      FRI          FRI NIGHT    SAT          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      59-64 (+4)   79-84 (-1)   59-64        74-79        
RH % (24H TREND)      85-90 (-5)   45-50 (-4)   89-94        49-54        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      NW  6        LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        SHOWERS      SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           50           30           50           
PRECIP DURATION       1            1            1            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.02         0.07         0.02         0.33         
LAL                   3            4            1            1            
LASI                               3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5600                      3900         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 14                      NW  6        
DISPERSION                         51 GEN GOOD               15 GEN POOR  

REMARKS...NONE.

.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
MID TO UPPER 50S. LIGHT WINDS BECOMING NORTH LESS THAN 10 MPH
AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 60S TO LOWER 80S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 50S. NORTHEAST WINDS
5 TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO
LOWER 80S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND 60.
HIGHS IN THE 70S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER
50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO LOWER 80S. WEST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

