
186 
FNUS54 KMRX 271531 AAA
FWFMRX

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...UPDATED
VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN
1131 AM EDT THU SEP 27 2012

.DISCUSSION...
HIGH PRESSURE WILL SHIFT SOUTHEAST OF THE REGION TODAY WITH 
AN INCREASE IN CLOUDS ACROSS NORTHERN TENNESSEE AND SOUTHWEST 
VIRGINIA. THE CHANCE OF SHOWERS INCREASES FROM NORTH TO SOUTH ALSO 
AS A COLD FRONT MOVES INTO THE OHIO VALLEY THEN INTO TENNESSEE EARLY 
FRIDAY. SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS BECOME LIKELY FRIDAY AS THE FRONT 
MOVES ACROSS THE REGION. IMPROVING CONDITIONS SATURDAY INTO SUNDAY 
FROM NORTH TO SOUTH AS HIGH PRESSURE MOVES IN FROM THE NORTH. 


VAZ001-002-005-006-008-281645-
JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-
1131 AM EDT THU SEP 27 2012

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      FRI          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      76-81 (0)    55-60 (+2)   71-76        
RH % (24H TREND)      42-47 (-3)   91-96 (-1)   54-59        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SW  5                     LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W  6         LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     30           40           70           
PRECIP DURATION       1            1            2            
PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.05         0.08         0.17         
LAL                   3            3            4            
LASI                  3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    6800                      6200         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 14                      W 13         
DISPERSION            59 GEN GOOD               46 GEN GOOD  

REMARKS...NONE.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE 50S
TO LOWER 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH EARLY IN THE
EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE
LOWER 60S TO MID 70S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID
50S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING BECOMING
LIGHT. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO MID 70S. NORTHWEST
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 50. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO MID
70S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S TO MID 70S. EAST WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO UPPER 70S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ018-041-043-045-047-281645-
NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
1131 AM EDT THU SEP 27 2012

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      FRI          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      72-77 (-1)   52-57 (+2)   71-76        
RH % (24H TREND)      41-46 (-6)   93-98 (+3)   49-54        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     W  6                      W  5         
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W  6         LGT/VAR      W  6         
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           40           70           
PRECIP DURATION       1            1            2            
PRECIP BEGIN          2 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.01         0.04         0.10         
LAL                   3            3            4            
LASI                  3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    7100                      7000         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 12                      W 15         
DISPERSION            44 GEN GOOD               55 GEN GOOD  

REMARKS...NONE.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE 50S TO
LOWER 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS AND SLIGHT
CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO MID 70S. NORTHWEST WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS.
COOLER. LOWS IN THE 40S TO MID 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE
LOWER 50S TO MID 70S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID 70S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S TO MID 70S. NORTHEAST WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO MID 70S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ072-074-281645-
TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-
1131 AM EDT THU SEP 27 2012

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      FRI          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      72-77 (-1)   53-58 (+3)   72-77        
RH % (24H TREND)      40-45 (-9)   92-97 (+2)   44-49        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     W  6                      LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW  6        LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           30           70           
PRECIP DURATION       1            1            2            
PRECIP BEGIN          2 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.01         0.04         0.04         
LAL                   2            3            4            
LASI                  3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    6500                      6500         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 10                      W 16         
DISPERSION            33 FAIR                   46 GEN GOOD  

REMARKS...NONE.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S
TO MID 60S. LIGHT WINDS. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO UPPER 70S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS
IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH EARLY
IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE
LOWER 50S TO MID 70S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S TO MID 70S. EAST WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND
50. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S TO MID 70S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO UPPER 70S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ087-102-281645-
SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
1131 AM EDT THU SEP 27 2012

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      FRI          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      78-83 (+1)   54-59 (+3)   77-82        
RH % (24H TREND)      34-39 (-8)   85-90 (-2)   40-45        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SW  5                     LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW  6        LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         TSTMS        TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            20           50           
PRECIP DURATION                    1            1            
PRECIP BEGIN                       8 PM         CONTINUING   
PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.02         0.03         
LAL                   1            3            4            
LASI                  4                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    6300                      6800         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W  9                      W 14         
DISPERSION            33 FAIR                   56 GEN GOOD  

REMARKS...NONE.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 50S TO
UPPER 60S. LIGHT WINDS. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO UPPER 70S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS.
COOLER. LOWS IN THE 50S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE
50S TO MID 70S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO MID 70S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO 70S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO UPPER 70S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH. 

$$

NCZ060-061-281645-
NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-
1131 AM EDT THU SEP 27 2012

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      FRI          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      78-83 (+1)   51-56 (+2)   77-82        
RH % (24H TREND)      33-38 (-8)   89-94 (0)    37-42        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW  6        LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         TSTMS        TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            20           40           
PRECIP DURATION                    1            1            
PRECIP BEGIN                       8 PM         CONTINUING   
PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.02         0.02         
LAL                   1            2            3            
LASI                  4                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    7400                      7900         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W  9                      W 14         
DISPERSION            41 GEN GOOD               70 GOOD      
MAX LVORI             4                         4            

REMARKS...NONE.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE 50S TO
UPPER 60S. LIGHT WINDS. 
.SATURDAY...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN
THE 60S TO UPPER 70S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS.
COOLER. LOWS IN THE LOWER TO MID 50S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 50S TO MID 70S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND
50. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO MID 70S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S TO MID 70S. NORTHEAST WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO UPPER 70S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-281645-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-
1131 AM EDT THU SEP 27 2012

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      FRI          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      77-82 (-1)   55-60 (+3)   75-80        
RH % (24H TREND)      40-45 (-3)   93-98 (-1)   47-52        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SW  5                     LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W  6         LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           30           70           
PRECIP DURATION       1            1            2            
PRECIP BEGIN          2 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.02         0.05         0.11         
LAL                   3            2            4            
LASI                  3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5800                      6500         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 13                      W 12         
DISPERSION            50 GEN GOOD               52 GEN GOOD  

REMARKS...NONE.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE 50S
TO LOWER 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH EARLY IN THE
EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS AND SLIGHT
CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO UPPER 70S. NORTHWEST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. COOLER. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S TO
MID 50S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING
BECOMING LIGHT. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID 70S.
NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S
TO UPPER 70S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO UPPER 70S. LIGHT WINDS. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-281645-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-
1131 AM EDT THU SEP 27 2012

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      FRI          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      78-83 (0)    58-63 (+4)   76-81        
RH % (24H TREND)      40-45 (-2)   89-94 (-7)   45-50        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           40           70           
PRECIP DURATION       1            1            2            
PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.04         0.05         0.07         
LAL                   2            2            4            
LASI                  3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5800                      5700         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 13                      W 12         
DISPERSION            48 GEN GOOD               44 GEN GOOD  

REMARKS...NONE.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID
50S TO UPPER 60S. LIGHT WINDS. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS AND SLIGHT
CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO LOWER 80S. NORTH WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS.
COOLER. LOWS IN THE 50S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH EARLY IN
THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID 70S. NORTH
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 60S
TO 70S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO LOWER 80S. NORTHEAST WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO LOWER 80S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-281645-
CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-
1131 AM EDT THU SEP 27 2012 /1031 AM CDT THU SEP 27 2012/

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      FRI          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      80-85 (+1)   58-63 (+3)   79-84        
RH % (24H TREND)      39-44 (-3)   87-92 (-6)   41-46        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         TSTMS        TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            20           50           
PRECIP DURATION                    1            1            
PRECIP BEGIN                       8 PM         CONTINUING   
PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.02         0.02         
LAL                   1            3            4            
LASI                  4                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5900                      5600         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 10                      W 14         
DISPERSION            41 GEN GOOD               51 GEN GOOD  

REMARKS...NONE.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE 50S
TO UPPER 60S. LIGHT WINDS BECOMING NORTHEAST LESS THAN 10 MPH
AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
HIGHS IN THE 70S TO LOWER 80S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS
IN THE 50S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE
MID 60S TO UPPER 70S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO UPPER 70S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO UPPER 70S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

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