
641 
FNUS54 KMRX 261905
FWFMRX

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST
VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN
305 PM EDT WED SEP 26 2012

.DISCUSSION...
HIGH PRESSURE WILL SHIFT SOUTHEAST OF THE REGION THROUGH THURSDAY 
WITH AN INCREASE IN CLOUDS ACROSS NORTHERN TENNESSEE AND SOUTHWEST 
VIRGINIA. THE CHANCE OF SHOWERS INCREASES FROM NORTH TO SOUTH 
THURSDAY AND FRIDAY AS A COLD FRONT MOVES INTO THE OHIO VALLEY. THE 
NEXT GOOD CHANCE FOR SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE FRIDAY NIGHT 
INTO THE WEEKEND...AS THE COLD FRONT MOVES SOUTHEAST INTO THE 
REGION. 


VAZ001-002-005-006-008-272015-
JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-
305 PM EDT WED SEP 26 2012

                      TONIGHT      THU          THU NIGHT    FRI          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      53-58 (+3)   76-81 (0)    55-60        72-77        
RH % (24H TREND)      91-96 (+1)   42-47 (-3)   90-95        53-58        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  SW  6                     LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      W  5         LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           30           40           60           
PRECIP DURATION       1            1            1            2            
PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM         2 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.03         0.03         0.02         0.16         
LAL                   1            3            3            4            
LASI                               4                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 6900                      6400         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W  9                      N  6         
DISPERSION                         38 FAIR                   20 GEN POOR  

REMARKS...NONE.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE 50S TO
LOWER 60S. LIGHT WINDS BECOMING NORTH LESS THAN 10 MPH AFTER
MIDNIGHT. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO MID 70S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID
50S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING BECOMING
LIGHT. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO UPPER 70S. NORTH
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...STRONG WINDS. PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 50. HIGHS IN
THE 50S TO UPPER 70S. NORTHEAST WINDS 40 TO 50 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 60S
TO UPPER 70S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S.
LIGHT WINDS. 

$$

TNZ018-041-043-045-047-272015-
NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
305 PM EDT WED SEP 26 2012

                      TONIGHT      THU          THU NIGHT    FRI          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      50-55 (+1)   73-78 (0)    52-57        72-77        
RH % (24H TREND)      87-92 (+1)   40-45 (-7)   91-96        48-53        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  W  6                      LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      W  6         LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            30           40           60           
PRECIP DURATION                    1            1            2            
PRECIP BEGIN                       2 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.02         0.02         0.10         
LAL                   1            3            3            4            
LASI                               3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 7200                      7200         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NW  7                     NW  5        
DISPERSION                         27 FAIR                   20 GEN POOR  

REMARKS...NONE.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S
TO MID 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO MID 70S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. COOLER. LOWS IN THE MID 40S TO
LOWER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING
BECOMING LIGHT. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO MID 70S. NORTHWEST
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...STRONG WINDS. PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS
IN THE MID 50S TO UPPER 70S. EAST WINDS 40 TO 50 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S
TO UPPER 70S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS AROUND 50. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO
UPPER 70S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ072-074-272015-
TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-
305 PM EDT WED SEP 26 2012

                      TONIGHT      THU          THU NIGHT    FRI          

CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      49-54 (-1)   73-78 (0)    52-57        73-78        
RH % (24H TREND)      88-93 (+6)   38-43 (-11)  90-95        43-48        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  W  6                      LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      NW  5        LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            20           40           60           
PRECIP DURATION                    1            1            2            
PRECIP BEGIN                       2 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.02         0.02         0.08         
LAL                   1            3            3            4            
LASI                               4                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 6800                      6700         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NW  3                     N  6         
DISPERSION                         12 POOR                   18 GEN POOR  

REMARKS...NONE.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S
TO MID 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO UPPER 70S. NORTHWEST WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. COOLER. LOWS IN THE 40S TO MID
50S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING BECOMING
LIGHT. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO 70S. NORTH WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...STRONG WINDS. PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S.
HIGHS IN THE 50S TO 70S. EAST WINDS 40 TO 50 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS AROUND 50. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO
UPPER 70S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND
50. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO LOWER 80S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ087-102-272015-
SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
305 PM EDT WED SEP 26 2012

                      TONIGHT      THU          THU NIGHT    FRI          

CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      51-56 (-2)   78-83 (+1)   54-59        78-83        
RH % (24H TREND)      83-88 (+2)   34-39 (-8)   81-86        39-44        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  SW  5                     LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         TSTMS        TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            30           40           
PRECIP DURATION                                 1            1            
PRECIP BEGIN                                    CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END                                      CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.02         0.06         
LAL                   1            1            3            4            
LASI                               4                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 6200                      7000         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NW  3                     N  6         
DISPERSION                         12 POOR                   25 FAIR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE 50S
TO UPPER 60S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO UPPER 70S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. COOLER. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S TO
MID 50S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO UPPER 70S. NORTH
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...STRONG WINDS. MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S.
HIGHS IN THE 50S TO UPPER 70S. EAST WINDS 40 TO 50 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 60S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO LOWER 80S. EAST WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

NCZ060-061-272015-
NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-
305 PM EDT WED SEP 26 2012

                      TONIGHT      THU          THU NIGHT    FRI          

CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       MCLEAR       PCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      49-54 (-3)   78-83 (+1)   51-56        78-83        
RH % (24H TREND)      85-90 (-3)   34-39 (-7)   86-91        36-41        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         TSTMS        TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            30           30           
PRECIP DURATION                                 1            1            
PRECIP BEGIN                                    8 PM         CONTINUING   
PRECIP END                                      CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.02         0.04         
LAL                   1            1            3            3            
LASI                               4                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 7200                      8100         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NW  3                     NW  3        
DISPERSION                         16 GEN POOR               17 GEN POOR  
MAX LVORI                          4                         4            

REMARKS...NONE.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE 50S
TO UPPER 60S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
HIGHS IN THE 60S TO UPPER 70S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. COOLER. LOWS IN THE LOWER TO MID
50S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO UPPER 70S. NORTH
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...STRONG WINDS. MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS AROUND 50. HIGHS IN
THE 60S TO 70S. EAST WINDS 40 TO 50 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 60S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO LOWER 80S. EAST WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-272015-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-
305 PM EDT WED SEP 26 2012

                      TONIGHT      THU          THU NIGHT    FRI          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      52-57 (+2)   77-82 (-1)   55-60        76-81        
RH % (24H TREND)      93-98 (+2)   38-43 (-5)   90-95        45-50        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  SW  5                     LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      W  5         LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            20           40           60           
PRECIP DURATION                    1            1            2            
PRECIP BEGIN                       2 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.02         0.02         0.12         
LAL                   1            3            3            4            
LASI                               4                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 6100                      6700         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W  6                      N  5         
DISPERSION                         24 FAIR                   23 FAIR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE 50S TO MID
60S. LIGHT WINDS. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO UPPER 70S. NORTHWEST WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. COOLER. LOWS IN THE 40S TO MID
50S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING BECOMING
LIGHT. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO UPPER 70S. NORTH
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...STRONG WINDS. MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S.
HIGHS IN THE 50S TO UPPER 70S. NORTHEAST WINDS 40 TO 50 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S
TO LOWER 80S. LIGHT WINDS. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE
70S TO LOWER 80S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-272015-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-
305 PM EDT WED SEP 26 2012

                      TONIGHT      THU          THU NIGHT    FRI          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      54-59 (0)    78-83 (0)    58-63        77-82        
RH % (24H TREND)      87-92 (+4)   37-42 (-5)   88-93        44-49        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  SW  5                     LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     10           20           40           60           
PRECIP DURATION       1            1            1            2            
PRECIP BEGIN          2 AM         2 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.01         0.02         0.02         0.09         
LAL                   1            3            3            4            
LASI                               4                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5700                      5900         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W  6                      N  6         
DISPERSION                         21 FAIR                   23 FAIR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE 50S
TO UPPER 60S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO LOWER 80S. NORTH WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. COOLER. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S TO
MID 50S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING
BECOMING LIGHT. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO 70S. NORTH WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...STRONG WINDS. MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S.
HIGHS IN THE 60S TO 70S. NORTHEAST WINDS 40 TO 50 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID
70S TO LOWER 80S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO LOWER 80S. EAST WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-272015-
CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-
305 PM EDT WED SEP 26 2012 /205 PM CDT WED SEP 26 2012/

                      TONIGHT      THU          THU NIGHT    FRI          

CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      54-59 (-1)   80-85 (+1)   58-63        80-85        
RH % (24H TREND)      87-92 (+1)   36-41 (-6)   85-90        40-45        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         TSTMS        TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            30           40           
PRECIP DURATION                                 1            1            
PRECIP BEGIN                                    8 PM         CONTINUING   
PRECIP END                                      CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.02         0.05         
LAL                   1            1            3            3            
LASI                               4                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5800                      5800         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W  5                      N  7         
DISPERSION                         18 GEN POOR               27 FAIR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE 50S
TO UPPER 60S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
HIGHS IN THE 70S TO LOWER 80S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. COOLER. LOWS IN THE 50S. NORTH
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO UPPER 70S. NORTH
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...STRONG WINDS. MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S.
HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO LOWER 80S. NORTHEAST WINDS 40 TO
50 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID
70S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

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