
793 
FNUS54 KMRX 171909
FWFMRX

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST
VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN
309 PM EDT MON SEP 17 2012

.DISCUSSION...
A SURFACE LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL TRACK ACROSS THE TENNESSEE 
VALLEY...AS IT DOES...MOISTURE WILL CONTINUE TO SPREAD ACROSS 
THE REGION...INCREASING OUR CHANCES FOR WIDESPREAD HEAVY RAINFALL 
AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS TONIGHT. SIGNIFICANT RAINFALL AMOUNTS 
AVERAGING BETWEEN TWO AND FOUR INCHES WILL BE POSSIBLE...WITH THE 
LARGEST ACCUMULATIONS LIKELY OCCURRING ACROSS THE CUMBERLAND 
PLATEAU. ANOTHER COLD FRONT WILL SWEEP THROUGH THE AREA ON 
TUESDAY...PRODUCING WIDESPREAD PRECIPITATION. LOCALIZED FLOODING 
WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH AREAS OF HEAVY RAINFALL  INTO TUESDAY. DRY 
CONDITIONS WILL RETURN WEDNESDAY. 


VAZ001-002-005-006-008-182015-
JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-
309 PM EDT MON SEP 17 2012

                      TONIGHT      TUE          TUE NIGHT    WED          

CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       CLOUDY       PCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      59-64 (0)    65-70 (-4)   49-54        65-70        
RH % (24H TREND)      93-98 (+2)   76-81 (+8)   95-100       45-50        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  SW  6                     N  6         
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SE  6        W  7         NW  7        N  5         
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        SHOWERS      NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     100          100          50           0            
PRECIP DURATION       8            7            1                         
PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING                
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   4 AM                      
PRECIP AMOUNT         1.28         0.81         0.02         0.00         
LAL                   2            2            1            1            
LASI                               3                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4100                      6700         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 17                     N 12         
DISPERSION                         30 FAIR                   48 GEN GOOD  

REMARKS...NONE.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS NEAR 50. EAST WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO MID 70S.
SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHWEST EARLY IN
THE AFTERNOON. 
.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S.
SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE
70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER
50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO MID 70S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO
10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO LOWER 70S. NORTH WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID
60S TO LOWER 70S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ018-041-043-045-047-182015-
NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
309 PM EDT MON SEP 17 2012

                      TONIGHT      TUE          TUE NIGHT    WED          

CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       CLOUDY       PCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      58-63 (-1)   64-69 (-4)   48-53        66-71        
RH % (24H TREND)      93-98 (+7)   72-77 (+4)   95-100       46-51        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  S  9 G18                  N  8 G17     
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SE  8 G17    W  7 G15     NW  8 G16    N  6         
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        SHOWERS      NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     100          100          50           0            
PRECIP DURATION       8            7            1                         
PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING                
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   4 AM                      
PRECIP AMOUNT         1.25         0.96         0.02         0.00         
LAL                   2            2            1            1            
LASI                               3                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4300                      6600         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 22                     N 12         
DISPERSION                         27 FAIR                   39 FAIR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER
50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO MID 70S.
SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S.
SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE
70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER
50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO MID 70S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO LOWER 70S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S
TO LOWER 70S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ072-074-182015-
TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-
309 PM EDT MON SEP 17 2012

                      TONIGHT      TUE          TUE NIGHT    WED          

CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       CLOUDY       PCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      59-64 (0)    66-71 (-3)   49-54        69-74        
RH % (24H TREND)      89-94 (+7)   69-74 (0)    95-100       38-43        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  SW  9 G20                 NE  8 G16    
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S  9 G21     W  8 G16     NW  7 G16    N  6         
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        SHOWERS      NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     100          90           20           0            
PRECIP DURATION       8            5            1                         
PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING                
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   12 AM                     
PRECIP AMOUNT         1.32         0.73         0.01         0.00         
LAL                   2            2            1            1            
LASI                               3                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4500                      6500         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 20                     N 10         
DISPERSION                         22 FAIR                   33 FAIR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER
50S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO MID 70S. WEST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 40S TO MID 50S. SOUTH
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE
60S TO UPPER 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER
50S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO UPPER 70S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO LOWER 70S. NORTHEAST WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S
TO LOWER 70S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ087-102-182015-
SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
309 PM EDT MON SEP 17 2012

                      TONIGHT      TUE          TUE NIGHT    WED          

CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       MCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      62-67 (0)    69-74 (-3)   52-57        73-78        
RH % (24H TREND)      89-94 (+9)   66-71 (-3)   95-100       34-39        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  S  7 G15                  N 10 G18     
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S  7 G16     NW  8        N  7         N  9 G17     
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        SHOWERS      NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     100          80           20           0            
PRECIP DURATION       8            4            1                         
PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING                
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   12 AM                     
PRECIP AMOUNT         1.48         0.59         0.01         0.00         
LAL                   2            2            1            1            
LASI                               3                         5            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4300                      5900         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 16                     N 17         
DISPERSION                         31 FAIR                   57 GEN GOOD  

REMARKS...NONE.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID
50S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHEAST
AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO UPPER 70S.
SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 40S TO MID 50S.
SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 60S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID
50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO UPPER 70S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID 70S. NORTHEAST WINDS UP
TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER
50S TO MID 70S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

NCZ060-061-182015-
NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-
309 PM EDT MON SEP 17 2012

                      TONIGHT      TUE          TUE NIGHT    WED          

CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       MCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      61-66 (+1)   68-73 (-3)   54-59        75-80        
RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (+10) 68-73 (-1)   95-100       33-38        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  S  7                      N  8 G15     
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SE  7        W  8         NW  7        N  7 G15     
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        SHOWERS      NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     100          90           20           0            
PRECIP DURATION       8            5            1                         
PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING                
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   12 AM                     
PRECIP AMOUNT         1.50         0.62         0.01         0.00         
LAL                   2            2            1            1            
LASI                               3                         5            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4300                      6200         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 18                     N 13         
DISPERSION                         32 FAIR                   43 GEN GOOD  
MAX LVORI                          4                         4            

REMARKS...NONE.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID
50S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO UPPER 70S.
SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S.
SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE
70S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID
50S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO UPPER 70S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S TO MID 70S. NORTHEAST WINDS UP
TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER
60S TO MID 70S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-182015-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-
309 PM EDT MON SEP 17 2012

                      TONIGHT      TUE          TUE NIGHT    WED          

CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       CLOUDY       PCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      61-66 (+2)   66-71 (-5)   50-55        69-74        
RH % (24H TREND)      92-97 (+1)   73-78 (+6)   95-100       41-46        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  SW  6                     N  5         
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SE  6        W  8 G15     NW  7        LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        SHOWERS      NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     100          90           40           0            
PRECIP DURATION       8            5            1                         
PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING                
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   4 AM                      
PRECIP AMOUNT         1.26         0.79         0.01         0.00         
LAL                   2            2            1            1            
LASI                               3                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4000                      6300         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 17                     N 10         
DISPERSION                         37 FAIR                   44 GEN GOOD  

REMARKS...NONE.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS NEAR 50. EAST WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 70S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHWEST EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON. 
.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S.
LIGHT WINDS. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE
70S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER
50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO MID 70S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO
10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO MID 70S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID
60S TO LOWER 70S. LIGHT WINDS. 

$$

TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-182015-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-
309 PM EDT MON SEP 17 2012

                      TONIGHT      TUE          TUE NIGHT    WED          

CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       MCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      62-67 (+1)   69-74 (-3)   49-54        70-75        
RH % (24H TREND)      89-94 (+1)   69-74 (0)    95-100       34-39        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  SW  6                     NE  6        
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S  6         NW  8        NW  5        N  5         
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        SHOWERS      NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     100          90           0            0            
PRECIP DURATION       8            5                                      
PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM         CONTINUING                             
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING                             
PRECIP AMOUNT         1.53         0.53         0.00         0.00         
LAL                   2            2            1            1            
LASI                               3                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4200                      6000         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 15                      N 12         
DISPERSION                         37 FAIR                   49 GEN GOOD  

REMARKS...NONE.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID
50S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 50S. SOUTH WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE
MID 70S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER
50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO MID 70S. NORTHEAST WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER
60S TO MID 70S. LIGHT WINDS. 

$$

TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-182015-
CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-
309 PM EDT MON SEP 17 2012 /209 PM CDT MON SEP 17 2012/

                      TONIGHT      TUE          TUE NIGHT    WED          

CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       MCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      63-68 (0)    71-76 (-2)   49-54        72-77        
RH % (24H TREND)      88-93 (+5)   65-70 (-3)   95-100       33-38        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  SW  7                     N  7         
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S  7         NW  8        N  7 G15     N  6         
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        NONE         NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     100          80           0            0            
PRECIP DURATION       8            4                                      
PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM         CONTINUING                             
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   8 PM                                   
PRECIP AMOUNT         1.75         0.44         0.00         0.00         
LAL                   2            2            1            1            
LASI                               3                         5            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4200                      5300         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 14                      N 16         
DISPERSION                         36 FAIR                   58 GEN GOOD  

REMARKS...NONE.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID
50S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 70S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTH EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON. 
.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER TO MID 50S.
SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE
MID 70S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND
50. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO MID 70S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S
TO UPPER 70S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

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